All set to achieve economic stability: report
LONDON (May 22 2007): The economic growth of Pakistan has been described as one of the world's most dramatic turnaround stories, says a report in May's issue of The Banker, a leading magazine in the global financial industry. In his article on Pakistan, writer Jules Stewart says Pakistan looks set to achieve economic stability, a goal many thought impossible.
Pakistan, he wrote, was a verge on default in 1999 when President General Pervez Musharraf came into power. His Finance Minister and now Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz put in place an urgent package of macro-economic reforms aimed at stabilising economy.
At that time, Pakistan was facing an external debt of $37 billion, coupled with huge fiscal and current account deficits. Tax revenue was almost non-existent, exports were stagnated and foreign exchange reserves had shrunk to a dangerously low level.
The stabilisation plan put in place was highlighted by exchange rate liberalisation and the strengthening of foreign reserves, which now stand at over $13 billion compared with $1 billion when the programme was launched. In this period, domestic debt as a percentage of GDP has been managed down to half the 1999 level.
Although, according to Stewart Pakistan has not been able to completely eliminate the imbalances in its economy but a leading banker Farrukh Khan of BMA Capital has spoken about strong foreign direct investment inflows, along with remittances and the ability to borrow in international markets.
However, the writer has noted long term, imports and exports need to come into balance. According to Khan, domestic demand has been the engine of growth. Between 20 million and 30 million people now earn $8000 to $10,000 a year, making the current rate of growth sustainable.
He also says the general election later this year does not pose a threat to the reform process. The present government has been most aggressive in taking the reforms forward. Those living below poverty level account for 25 percent of the population compared with 33 percent a few years ago.
Standard Chartered was the latest of the big ticket acquirers, having recently paid nearly $500 million for Union Bank, one of the most dynamic players in Pakistan's banking sector. More take-overs are in the pipeline.
The article has quoted another leading banker Reza-ur-Rahim of J.P. Morgan as saying that law and order scarce has been blown out of proportion.' We need to portray the softer side of Pakistan because the actual situation is quite different in what people see on their television screens.
A lot is going well in Pakistan. FDI is up, privatisation is moving ahead, the deficit is under control, poverty is reducing and the government is not letting the upcoming elections dictate their policy decisions." The government, says Stewart is now pushing for the second generation of reforms, a task being handled by Ashfaque Khan, Director-General of the government's debt office who is responsible for monitoring the implementation of the new Fiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act, which binds current and future governments to abide by prudent economic policies.
Khan says that once the current high demand for imported capital goods has been satisfied, the current account deficit will decline to normal levels. In his interview with Governor, State Bank of Pakistan, Shamshad Akhtar, she says financial reform needs a progressive mindset, which the present government has provided. Akhtar pointed out that the SBP monetary policy looks at the dual objectives of promoting growth while maintaining price stability.
http://www.brecorder.com/index.php?id=567233&currPageNo=1&query=&search=&term=&supDate=
LONDON (May 22 2007): The economic growth of Pakistan has been described as one of the world's most dramatic turnaround stories, says a report in May's issue of The Banker, a leading magazine in the global financial industry. In his article on Pakistan, writer Jules Stewart says Pakistan looks set to achieve economic stability, a goal many thought impossible.
Pakistan, he wrote, was a verge on default in 1999 when President General Pervez Musharraf came into power. His Finance Minister and now Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz put in place an urgent package of macro-economic reforms aimed at stabilising economy.
At that time, Pakistan was facing an external debt of $37 billion, coupled with huge fiscal and current account deficits. Tax revenue was almost non-existent, exports were stagnated and foreign exchange reserves had shrunk to a dangerously low level.
The stabilisation plan put in place was highlighted by exchange rate liberalisation and the strengthening of foreign reserves, which now stand at over $13 billion compared with $1 billion when the programme was launched. In this period, domestic debt as a percentage of GDP has been managed down to half the 1999 level.
Although, according to Stewart Pakistan has not been able to completely eliminate the imbalances in its economy but a leading banker Farrukh Khan of BMA Capital has spoken about strong foreign direct investment inflows, along with remittances and the ability to borrow in international markets.
However, the writer has noted long term, imports and exports need to come into balance. According to Khan, domestic demand has been the engine of growth. Between 20 million and 30 million people now earn $8000 to $10,000 a year, making the current rate of growth sustainable.
He also says the general election later this year does not pose a threat to the reform process. The present government has been most aggressive in taking the reforms forward. Those living below poverty level account for 25 percent of the population compared with 33 percent a few years ago.
Standard Chartered was the latest of the big ticket acquirers, having recently paid nearly $500 million for Union Bank, one of the most dynamic players in Pakistan's banking sector. More take-overs are in the pipeline.
The article has quoted another leading banker Reza-ur-Rahim of J.P. Morgan as saying that law and order scarce has been blown out of proportion.' We need to portray the softer side of Pakistan because the actual situation is quite different in what people see on their television screens.
A lot is going well in Pakistan. FDI is up, privatisation is moving ahead, the deficit is under control, poverty is reducing and the government is not letting the upcoming elections dictate their policy decisions." The government, says Stewart is now pushing for the second generation of reforms, a task being handled by Ashfaque Khan, Director-General of the government's debt office who is responsible for monitoring the implementation of the new Fiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act, which binds current and future governments to abide by prudent economic policies.
Khan says that once the current high demand for imported capital goods has been satisfied, the current account deficit will decline to normal levels. In his interview with Governor, State Bank of Pakistan, Shamshad Akhtar, she says financial reform needs a progressive mindset, which the present government has provided. Akhtar pointed out that the SBP monetary policy looks at the dual objectives of promoting growth while maintaining price stability.
http://www.brecorder.com/index.php?id=567233&currPageNo=1&query=&search=&term=&supDate=