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July-December textile exports up 4.3 percent

KARACHI (January 20 2007): Pakistan's textile exports witnessed a growth of 4.3 percent during the first half of the current fiscal year (July-December 2006-07) at $5.318 billion, against last year's $5.097 billion, depicting an increase of $220.493 million, according to official statistics on Friday.

The post-quota regime has put a negative impact on the country's textile exports, showing a decrease of 1.12 percent during July-November of the current fiscal year.

The exports in textile rose by 14 percent to $976.402 million during December 2006 against $857.998 million of December 2005 indicating an increase of $118.404 million during December 2006. However, textile exports in December 2006 showed an increase of $111.467 million, or 12.89 percent, against $864.935 million in November 2006.

During this period (July-December 2006-07), cotton yarn exports showed a rise of 9.66 percent; knitwear exports moved up by 13.29 percent, and towels by 4.63 percent. Similarly, exports of tents increased by 206.13 percent; readymade garments by 2.49 percent, art silk by 127.87 percent, whereas exports of other textile sectors registered 2.97 percent growth.

However, exports of four textile sectors fell during this period, which included raw cotton, cotton cloth, bed-wear and made-up articles. Raw cotton exports declined by 23.53 percents, cotton cloth by 10.50 percent, bed-wear by 6.41 percent and made-up articles by 6.87 percent. Country's textile exports fell by 1.12 percent during the first five months of current fiscal year as compared to the same period of last fiscal year.

Pakistan's textile exports were $4.192 billion during the first five months July-November period of the current fiscal year as compared to $4.239 billion during the same period of last fiscal year (2005-06), showing a decrease of $47.54 million in five months.

http://www.brecorder.com/index.php?id=519359&currPageNo=1&query=&search=&term=&supDate=
 
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Growth on track; inflation to be higher: SBP

KARACHI (January 19 2007): Monetary policy statement for January-June 2007: first quarterly report for fiscal year 2007: The State Bank of Pakistan says that the growth target (7 percent) for the current year is achievable. However, inflation would be higher (7.5 percent) because of the double-digit increase in food prices.

Issuing the Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday, for January-June 2007 and the first quarterly report for FY07, SBP feared that the increase in money supply will be higher than envisaged in the Credit Plan by the central bank for the year. Further, the volatility in government borrowing is putting pressure on monetary policy.

The report clearly illustrates that the proper application of monetary policy in a calibrated manner has successfully curbed the demand side inflationary pressures while supporting the growth momentum.

SBP said the high reserve money growth is of serious concern as it is indicative of future monetary expansion and inflation. "Liberal access provided to exporters under EFS and LTF-EOP" has added Rs 42 billion over and above the credit plan rise in M2.

In addition, the net foreign assets of the banking system have also expanded by Rs 11.5 billion in the first half of FY07 as against Rs 66.7 contraction a year ago.

SBP report says that although government borrowing for budgetary needs could well be within the Rs 120 billion target - the source of borrowing is a concern for the monetary policy.

The report warns that government borrowing from the banking system jumped from Rs 20 to Rs 60 billion in last 18 months - causing a sharp increase in reserve money. This has a potential of re-igniting the inflationary pressures in the economy. And, the path of low stable inflation could be extended and interest rates kept at a high level for a longer period.

The report says private sector credit growth has slowed down primarily due to dampening of consumption-oriented demand for credit. The demand for long term fixed investment, however, has remained intact.

There has been a decrease in demand for working capital. It has slowed down as most industries are working at near full capacity. Unless additional capacity becomes operational, SBP does should not expect a significant rise in the demand for working capital.

Since inflation in Pakistan is relatively higher compared to its competitors and trading partners, the Relative Price Index (RPI) increased by 4.5 percent. It offset the gains emanating from nominal depreciation of the rupee and the Relative Effective Exchange Rate (REER) index appreciated slightly by one percent during last six months, concludes the report.

http://www.brecorder.com/index.php?id=518577&currPageNo=3&query=&search=&term=&supDate=
 
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January 20, 2007

PMI buys 50.21pc stakes in Lakson: Rs20.62 billion deal

By Shahid Iqbal

KARACHI, Jan 19: The Philip Morris International (PMI) announced on Friday that it will further acquire over 50 per cent stakes in the Lakson Tobacco Company that will bring an inflow of $338.9 million in Pakistan.

It is a major deal as the Lakson is the second largest cigarette manufacturer in the country after Pakistan Tobacco.

“It’s a big deal as Lakson has 47 per cent share in the Pakistani market,” Shahid Ahmed Khan, executive director of Lakson Tobacco, told Dawn. The PMI will buy 50.21 per cent stakes which will accumulate 90 per cent share for the PMI.

“The PMI will acquire an additional 50.21 per cent stake in the Lakson Tobacco from major shareholders in a transaction valued at Rs20.62 billion ($338.9 million),” said an official release issued by the PMI.

“The Philip Morris International already has 40 per cent stakes,” said Khan, adding it was the confidence of the company which resulted in more foreign investment.

The PMI would buy the shares from a number of Lakson Tobacco's principal shareholders for PKR 666.89 per share.

Based on a price per share of PKR 666.89, Lakson Tobacco is valued at Rs41.07 billion.

The Philip Morris International will pay cash for all shares tendered and expects the tender offer to be completed within 90 days, subject to customary regulatory review and approvals.

Lakson Tobacco is Pakistan's second largest tobacco company, with an estimated cigarette volume of 29.8 billion units in fiscal year, ending 30 June, 2006, generating net revenues of approximately Rs10 billion.

Pakistan is the growing market of 63 billion units of cigarettes and the sector is a major revenue generator for the government.

Morven Gold is the leading brand in the market with an estimated 37 per cent market share, complemented by Diplomat and Royals.

Additionally, Lakson Tobacco is the licensed manufacturer of PMI's Marlboro and Red & White brands in Pakistan.

Khan said this foreign investment was a proof of growing investors’ confidence in Pakistan's economy.

Pakistan witnessed a substantially high foreign investment last year and is expected to receive about $3 billion during this fiscal.

However, most of the foreign investment came either in the financial sector or oil exploration and telecommunications.

The investment in a cigarette manufacturing company could lead to diversification of foreign investments.

"Our additional investment in Lakson Tobacco gives the PMI a significant presence in one of the top 20 cigarette markets in the world," said Andre Calantzopoulos, President and Chief Executive Officer of the PMI.

"Lakson Tobacco is a very well established and managed company with a strong brand portfolio, including the market leader Morven Gold. This transaction provides the PMI with an excellent opportunity to further develop Lakson Tobacco's brands and to deploy its international portfolio in Pakistan."

http://www.dawn.com/2007/01/20/ebr1.htm
 
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January 20, 2007

$100m Swiss ethanol plant likely at PQ

By Mohammad Yasin

ISLAMABAD, Jan 19: Switzerland intends to invest $100 million for setting up a maize-based ethanol plant near Port Qasim for export of ethanol to international destinations by enhancing adequate availability of fuel-grade ethanol locally, besides exploring various other options for investment in oil and gas sector in Pakistan.

This was stated by Mr Gilbert Brunner, managing director, Fair Energy, Switzerland , during his meeting with the Senate chairman, Mohammedmian Soomro, here on Friday at the Parliament House. Mr. Brunner is currently visiting Pakistan with a delegation of Swiss investors.

The chairman Senate said: "The demand for energy is increasing to sustain the growth momentum in the economy and it is imperative to look for alternate sources of energy in the backdrop of high petroleum prices."

While assuring the delegation of all-out support in setting up the prospective plant, the chairman advised its members to coordinate with the Board of Investment and Planning Commission officials to work out details.

He said that the idea of blended fuel is an innovative one and certainly worth a try.

The leader of the Swiss delegation said they were particularly impressed by the policy of privatisation and opening up of economy to foreign investors and entrepreneurs in Pakistan.

Later, the managing director, Shell Pakistan Limited, Mr. Zaiviji Ismail Bin Abdullah, and Mohammad Shahani bin Baba of Kumplan SPL Development SDN, BHD Dar-ul-Ehsan Malaysia also called on Chairman Senate, and discussed investment prospects in petroleum, housing and health sectors.

The leader of the Malaysian investors delegation, Mr. Mohammad Shahani bin Baba said they were currently exploring the possibility of setting up a health city in the country, having a medical university, hospital with state-of-the art facilities.

He said their country is also interested in real estate and housing sectors, particularly to cater to the needs of fixed and low-income groups.

The chairman Senate said that the country was currently facing a shortage of six million units and it is desperately trying to remedy the situation by securing additional investment.

http://www.dawn.com/2007/01/20/ebr2.htm
 
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Tatas reach Pakistan via Korea

Mumbai, Jan. 19: The Tatas might be struggling to secure approvals for their investments in strife-torn Bangladesh,

but they have established a beachhead in Pakistan where no Indian automobile company has gone yet.

Tata Motors is entering Pakistan through its subsidiary Tata Daewoo Commercial Vehicle Company (TDCV).

Afzal Motors (Pvt) Ltd of Pakistan has commissioned a truck and bus assembly plant in Karachi to assemble heavy-duty trucks of TDCV.

The two companies have signed a technical assistance agreement to this effect. The plant, which has a capacity of 3,000 vehicles a year, will assemble heavy-duty trucks of TDCV and also buses from the Daewoo Bus Company, South Korea.

Suzuki Motors, which has a controlling interest in Maruti Udyog, has a joint venture in Pakistan, which makes models that closely resemble the Zen and the Alto. But no Indian automobile manufacturer has a direct or indirect presence in that country.

While Tata cars, buses and trucks are being marketed to Europe, Africa, West Asia, South Asia, Southeast Asia and Australia, the group has been aggressively going global in all its major businesses.

In 2004, Tata Motors took over Daewoo Commercial Vehicles, Korea’s second-largest truckmaker for $102 million. Later, it acquired a 21 per cent stake in Hispano Carrocera SA, the well-known Spanish bus company. Last year, the company acquired Nissan’s South Africa plant for an undisclosed amount. the compant already had a greenfield bus-making unit in Johannesburg.

Recent reports say that Tata Motors is bidding for Daewoo Automobile Romania, which can produce 100,000 cars, 150,000 engines and 200,000 trans-axles.

It is also believed that Tata Motors is planning to use Fiat's production facility in Cordoba, Argentina, to manufacture 1-tonne pick-ups, which will be sold in various Latin American and overseas markets under both Tata and Fiat brands.

In 2007-08, TDCV trucks are expected to garner a market share of about 30 per cent in Pakistan, a Tata Motors statement said. TDCV, which is a 100 per cent subsidiary of Tata Motors, has a modern manufacturing facility at Gunsan. It is also the largest exporter of heavy-duty trucks from South Korea, accounting for about two-thirds of the export of such vehicles from the country.

In 2005-06, TDCV posted a turnover of Rs 1,584 crore, a growth of 34.5 per cent, and a profit of Rs 58 crore, a growth of 160 per cent.

Prime Minister of Pakistan, Shaukat Aziz, formally inaugurated the plant, in the presence of senior management of TDCV and Afzal Motors.

http://www.telegraphindia.com/1070120/asp/business/story_7286968.asp
 
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China Co Signs Deal To Build Pakistan Gas-Fired Pwr Plant

BEIJING -(Dow Jones)- State-owned China National Chemical Engineering Group said Friday it signed a $139 million contract to build a gas-fired power facility in Pakistan as it actively seeks overseas engineering projects to boost its profits.

The facility will have a capacity of 230 megawatts and construction will be completed in 25 months, the company said in a statement on its Web site, without disclosing its location or where the gas would be sourced from.

The contract was signed Jan. 14.

The plant will provide electricity to Pakistan's national grid, it added.

The company said its profits in 2006 were estimated at CNY340 million ($43.7 million), up 57% on year, while revenue was estimated at CNY15.3 billion, up 14% .

Pakistan is suffering a shortage of electricity due to insufficient generation capacity.

http://www.nasdaq.com/aspxcontent/N...CQDJON200701190317DOWJONESDJONLINE000391.htm&
 
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Great news!
Another one, a bit old, but important nonetheless:


Cafe Coffee Day warms up to Pak


BANGALORE: India’s biggest coffee-cafe chain Cafe Coffee Day (CCD) opened its first cafe in Pakistan’s commercial capital of Karachi on Wednesday. CCD’s first outlet has opened for business in Karachi’s Zamzama Commercial Area, famous for its designer outlets and vibrant cafe-culture.

Within the next 12 months, CCD plans to open four more cafes in Karachi and expand into Lahore and Islamabad. CCD is planning 25 cafes in Pakistan over the next few years. “We feel that an Islamic country with a booming economy like Pakistan has great potential for consumption of non-alcoholic brews,” Cafe Coffee Day director Naresh Malhotra said here on Thursday.

CCD’s entry into Pakistan is through the franchise route. “We have tied up with a leading industrial house owned by a reputed business family. I cannot tell you who it is as the announcement will be made in Pakistan by the group who is our master-franchisee for our expansion plans there. The baristas — those who brew and serve the coffee — are all from — Pakistan and have come here for training,” Mr Malhotra said.

Cafe Coffee Day now has 364 cafes in India and three abroad, two in Vienna and one in Karachi. While Europe will be the biggest region for CCD’s expansion plans abroad, Pakistan could over the next few years have more CCD outlets than any other foreign country.
Asked whether Coffee Cafe Day would be looking at other neighbouring countries, Malhotra says: “

Our focus will be on Pakistan which we feel is a far more challenging market in terms of risks and opportunities. The area where we have opened our first cafe in Karachi is familiar to me since I have stayed in a guest-house there while working for Sheikh Bukhatir, the man who brought cricket to Sharjah.” Familiarity breeds content and expansion!
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/661251.cms
 
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Shaukat says H1 revenue collection up 27 percent


KARACHI (updated on: January 20, 2007, 21:31 PST): Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz has said that there has been a 27 percent increase in the revenue collection in the first six months of the current financial year, compared to the figures for the corresponding period in the previous fiscal year.

He was speaking as chief guest at the Convocation 2007 of the Institute of Business Administration (IBA) Karachi held at its City Campus on Saturday.

The Governor of Sindh Dr. Ishratul Ebad Khan who is also the patron of IBA and Chairman Central Board of Revenue Abdullah Yousuf were also present on the occasion.

The degrees of MBA in Tax Management were conferred on the occasion.

Shaukat Aziz pointed out that in the first six months of the current fiscal year, total revenue of Rs 410 billion has been collected.

In the last financial year's first six months the revenue collection was Rs 323 billion.

He said the 27 percent increase is the highest ever, adding that the target was 17 percent growth. He attributed the growth to reduced tax rate, buoyancy in the economy and simplification of procedures.

"We have a lot of work to do in this are and in the sphere of customs," he said, referring to new reforms in customs.

"We will have to make our customs procedures modern, relying more on intelligence and less on physical checking."

He stated that change was necessary and that was being done step by step.

Citing some of the corrupt practices in the department, Shaukat Aziz said that in many cases there were more refunds than the collection and that there were cases in which no exports were made but refunds were given.

Shaukat Aziz said that slowly the government is building processes which will not allow this to happen.

brecorder.com
 
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PSA to invest $550 million to run Gwadar port

ISLAMABAD (January 21 2007): The Gwadar Port Implementation Authority (GPIA) and the Port of Singapore Authority (PSA) have finalised terms of the Concession Agreement under which PSA will invest $550 million in five years to make the port functional and expand its infrastructure.

The government in December 2006 selected SPA out of four finalist international seaport operators to run the strategic Gwadar deep seaport. Official sources told Business Recorder here on Saturday that the two sides have agreed on 17 terms of the agreement in just 2 days of the negotiations.

The PSA negotiating team has expressed complete satisfaction over the co-operative manner and cordial atmosphere in which parleys were held. They said that terms of the concession agreement related to the establishment of Free Trade Zone, waiver from duty for 20 years, development of infrastructure, SPA's right of tariff, land acquisition, sharing of profit etc.

They said that prior to signing the Concession Agreement, Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz would on Tuesday preside over a meeting of the Gwadar Port Policy Board, which will also be attended by ten federal ministers to approve the agreement. Sources said that SPA would make the port functional by 23rd March 2007 when President Musharraf inaugurates the port with arrival of a merchant ship.

They said that SPA would run the port on corporate structure with three companies ie Marine Security Co, Business Co and Business Development Co while GPIA will act as catalyst for these activities. They said that the SPA had been elected because of its international standing, sound financial position with a vibrant cluster of maritime activities and technical and management skills.

They said that Singapore merchant fleet is the largest in Asia and fourth biggest in the world and spearheads attractive programmes for maritime industry. It is noted for its wide range of maritime services, including towage, heavy lift services, offshore support, salvage work, freshwater supply, crew change, ship supplies and slop disposal.


http://brecorder.com/index.php?id=519728&currPageNo=2&query=&search=&term=&supDate=
 
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Cement production likely to go beyond 45 million tons in two years

ISLAMABAD (January 21 2007): The government hopes that cement production will go beyond 45 million tons per year in the next two years, as the existing 28 units are planning to further enhance their output capacity.

Sources in the Ministry of Industries and Production said that a couple of new plants may be set up, as three investors from UAE, Egypt and Qatar are exploring the opportunities to invest in this sector. However, they have not yet made up their mind, and decision is likely to be taken in the first quarter of this year.

The demand for sulphur-resistant (SR) cement, white cement and blast furnace slag cement from Middle East is on the rise whereas demand for ordinary Portland cement is also up from Afghanistan. Efforts are underway to meet the demand of both sides.

More than 45 million tons production is anticipated from the existing 28 units. If any new plant is added during this time, the production will surpass 45 million tons.

However, the biggest cement market, Afghanistan, is becoming hard to capture because of the growing competition among Central Asian States, Iran and Pakistan. Pakistan is still in a better position due to low transportation charges. The cement sector has seen splendid production during last four months bringing the total production in October to 33 million tons from 21 million tons in January, 2006.

Attock Cement has completed its expansion program, and the expansion of Bestway Cement would be completed soon. D G Khan Cement's new unit in Chakwal is likely to start production soon, whereas the other units have either started their capacity enhancement program or are planning to do so.

The cement manufacturers see the demand of the commodity growing at home days ahead when expected dams construction projects would begin and reconstruction activities in Afghanistan gather momentum. The prices of cement, as a result of government intervention, have also been brought down.

"The government hopes that cement prices will remain under control because of the commitment of the manufacturers to raise the level of production and increase the production capacity," sources said.

http://www.brecorder.com/index.php?id=519718&currPageNo=2&query=&search=&term=&supDate=
 
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Sunday, January 21, 2007

Textile exports: 19% a month growth needed to achieve target

By Hamid Waleed

LAHORE: The textile sector would have to grow at the rate of 19 percent per month to achieve rest of the export target of $11.5 billion [14.6 percent higher than last fiscal year’s $10.04 billion] for 2006-07, as the half-year figures suggest that the industry with a growth of 4.3 percent is still short of over $400 million to the actual target.

The government has fixed a target of $11.5 billion for textile sector exports during fiscal year 2006-07 against $10.04 billion of 2005-06, ie, a growth of 14.6 percent on year-on-year basis. The exports figures, released a day earlier, shows that the textile sector has witnessed a growth of 4.3 percent during the first half of the current fiscal year (July-December 2006-07) at $5.318 billion, against last year’s $5.097 billion, depicting an increase of $220.493 billion.

Exports of four textile sectors, raw cotton, cotton cloth, bed wear and made-up articles, fell to 23.53 percent, 10.50 percent, 6.41 percent and 6.87 percent, respectively, during this period. Experts believe that the decline in cotton exports is understandable, as there’s no place for trashy cotton with a recovery ratio of 80 percent against 90 percent in competitive countries in the world market. However, the decline in both fabric and bed wear is worrisome, as it shows that managing their industrial competitiveness is easy for the competitors and the cost-push factors are not as aggressive to them as in Pakistan.

The report of the National Textile Strategy Committee has also pointed out that the cost of production is 10-15 percent higher in Pakistan against the immediate competitors and the government should take measures to bring the industry at par with them.

The start of fiscal year 2006-07 was depressing for the textile sector and it lost sharply during July-October despite the announcement of Rs 25 billion-relief package by the government. However, a sudden jump of 22 percent in exports in November 2006 against November 2005 [when textile exports declined sharply against an average rate of growth for the whole fiscal] suggested to the government to hold back the next phase of much-awaited relief package. The textile minister had told Daily Times that the earlier relief package has started showing results and further improvement is expected in December 2006 against the corresponding period. The December 2006 exports figures ($111.467 million) show an increase of 12.89 percent against the corresponding period of fiscal year 2005 that proves the fact that numbers have started showing strength gradually despite an overall shortfall of over $400 million.

But the industrial circles believe that a marginal growth of 4.3 percent in the first half of the fiscal year does not mach the real potential of the textile sector that has attracted an investment of over $5 billion in the recent past.

http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2007\01\21\story_21-1-2007_pg5_8
 
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Pakistan, $5.4bn in remittances

Saudi Arabia:

Pakistan is expecting to receive $5.4bn in remittances in the fiscal year ending June 30, significantly above the anticipated target of $4.6bn, reported Bloomberg citing State Bank of Pakistan figures. Funds transferred from areas such as the Gulf and the US by the end of December had reached $2.6bn, a rise of 25% over the same period last year. Pakistan needs the funds to boost its foreign currency reserves.

http://www.ameinfo.com/108217.html
 
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Pakistan, $5.4bn in remittances

Saudi Arabia:

Pakistan is expecting to receive $5.4bn in remittances in the fiscal year ending June 30, significantly above the anticipated target of $4.6bn, reported Bloomberg citing State Bank of Pakistan figures. Funds transferred from areas such as the Gulf and the US by the end of December had reached $2.6bn, a rise of 25% over the same period last year. Pakistan needs the funds to boost its foreign currency reserves.

http://www.ameinfo.com/108217.html

LOL, this is one benifit of having a huge population!!
 
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$14.5 billion textile export target possible: FPCCI

KARACHI (January 22 2007): Pakistan can surpass textile export target of $14.50 billion in three years by focusing on value addition, Tanvir Ahmed Sheikh, President Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI) told Business Recorder. He said that value addition was the only possible way to increase exports of textiles.

Continuing he said that textile exports were growing at a reasonable pace all over the world. Presently, textile exports are around $350 billion and were expected to increase to $800 billion in 2014. Pakistan's share in the world markets was about 3 percent. In view of the global competition, the country has set a target of exports of textiles at $14.50 billion by 2010.

"I am of the opinion that the expected investment of $6 billion in three years will enable us to achieve this target. However, if we desire to achieve or beat this target, we will have to focus on value addition and this is the only possible way to increase exports of textiles," he said. He said that the industry would have to promote garment sector and improve quality of the products and designing skill as well. He said that the first quarter of the current fiscal year witnessed a sharp decline of 10.29 percent in textile exports to $2.449 billion.

However, the improvement by more than 20 percent in the October-November 2006, if not connected with political upheavals in Bangladesh, is a green signal that Pakistan may achieve the textile export target, envisaged for the current fiscal year.

But a detailed overview of the textile exports shows that Pakistani exporters are facing serious challenges in the international market.

Commenting on the less than expected textile exports, he said that the basic reason was the strong competitive pressure from China, India and Bangladesh. Antidumping duties and loss of preferential access under the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP) in the European Union (EU) market are some of the other major factors that affect Pakistan's exports adversely.

Some internal factors, including increasing cost of production, higher mark-up rates, reduction in domestic cotton production, non-adjustment of currency exchange rates, non-availability of technical staff etc also hit the textile exports.

He mentioned that the textile industry was confronted with numerous problems, including increase in the cost of production that made the industry less competitive in the global market.

Input cost especially utilities and interest on bank loans had also increased, especially during the last one and half years.

"We have lost the advantage of indigenous production of cotton in the past as its local consumption has increased to 16 million tons while production stands at 12.5 million tons and that the balance has to be imported at higher cost, he said.

He was of the considered view that the current rise in the textile exports was not due mainly to the provision of 5 percent research and development (R&D) assistance to the textile industry.

He said, "if 5 percent R&D support is spent on the specific purpose for which it is provided, it may bring positive results. We can use this facility for enhancing our total factor productivity, which is lower as compared with the competing countries like China, India, Bangladesh and Indonesia.

The government subsidy to exports in form of R&D, rebate in taxes announced last year is not helping to raise the quality of the products fetching higher prices, he added.

FPCCI President said that like various developing countries, access to finance was a serious problem in the growth of small businesses as indicated in a UNDP report 'unleashing entrepreneurship'. The basic reason for non-availability of finance is that a large number of small businesses are being operated informally, on account of which banks do not provide the required finance.

Finance was provided to SMEs on high mark-up rate. "Although SME Bank and Khushhali Bank are providing finance to the promote SMEs, still the benefit is limited."

He said that the industry had invested heavily on import of modern textile machinery, adequate availability of skilled manpower to run the machinery was not available, which was one of the major impeding factors in the growth of the sector.

"During the last five years about $5.6 billion have been invested in the textile sector. We are expecting more investment in balancing, modernisation & restructuring (BMR), however there is a dire need for the training of the staff in line with the modern techniques. There is a need for the establishment of textile related vocational and training institutions in the country so that we could produce the required skilled labour, with improved productivity."

Pakistan is presently fourth largest producer of cotton in the world. This crop provides raw material to 337 textile mills, 1500 ginning factories and 5000 oil mills. The local cotton yield is less than 20 mounds per acre although in the neighbouring country with similar soil conditions and resources the yield is more than 40 maunds per acre. In spite of cotton, Pakistan is considered as one of the largest exporters of textile items in most of the developed countries like EU, USA, and Canada.

In 2005, Pakistan stood fifth in the export of textile products to the European Union. Share of Pakistan's textile products in the United States' total textile import is 7.6 percent and ranked sixth largest exporter, Tanvir Sheikh said.

Pakistan's performance in clothing sector is not that good as in textile sector. However clothing and readymade garment is a high potential sector in which Pakistan can increase its export share in the world market by many folds.

In respect of BMR and new machinery in the textile sector, about $550 million have been invested. We are expecting more investment in the remaining six months.

The post quota scenario has dramatically altered the global trading pattern. With the complete phasing out of quotas, the textile and clothing sector has been experiencing another global revolution. With the opening of world markets and increased global competition, new focus is required for textile industry to compete globally. In this context, both the government and the textile manufacturers will have to work together to come out with a workable solution to enhance productivity and to reduce cost of doing business so that they become competitive in global market and increase their market share.

Replying to a question whether Pakistan can achieve current fiscal year's target of textile exports, he said that if the rise in exports of textile during October-December 2006 continued, the target could be achieved.

"However, I emphasise on the need to promote value addition if we wish to achieve the target. If, we are not able to achieve the target, it may negatively affect the overall export targets of Pakistan."

He recommended that there was an urgent need for the improvement in the textile sector as more than 60 percent of our export depends on textile sector.

To make our textile sector compatible with the post quota situation, textile sector should be declared as a priority sector for application of a separate lower gas tariff as they have done in Bangladesh.

A strategy should be devised to bring down price of furnace oil for power generation. A 10 percent financial support for capital investment in textile sector should be devised. Customs duty on import of textile machinery, spare parts and generators of textile machinery should be reduced to zero. Withholding tax on exports of textile should be at 0.25 percent. Modern techniques should be employed to increase the yield of cotton. Some long-term strategies require to be implemented for the improvement of textile sector including establishment of textile training institutes, agriculture research support institution and compatible infrastructure etc.

http://brecorder.com/index.php?id=519971&currPageNo=1&query=&search=&term=&supDate=
 
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World Bank differs with Pakistan over poverty reduction figures

ISLAMABAD (January 22 2007): In a draft on "Pakistan promoting rural growth and poverty reduction" the World Bank has sharply differed with the government of Pakistan over estimates of poverty reduction. It said the poverty reduction in Pakistan between 2001-02, and 2004-05, have been 5.2 percentage point bringing it down from 34.4 percent to 29.2 percent at national level and 39.1 to 34 (5.1 percentage point) for rural households.

The government estimates for the same period showed a decline of 10.6 percent and 11.2 percent for the national and rural poverty respectively.

The official figures show that between 2001-02 and 2004-05, rural and national poverty reduced from 39.3 percent to 28.1 percent and 34.5 percent to 23.9 percent respectively.

The draft noted that the government of Pakistan's estimates for poverty reduction was different from the World Bank due to variation in inflation rates used to determine poverty line.

Business Recorder managed to get the copy of the draft, which was circulated by the World Bank to the concerned divisions/ ministries last week.

The draft said the estimates of poverty in Pakistan are particularly sensitive to differences in methodology because a high percentage of rural households have per capita expenditures close to the official poverty line. 10.9 percent of rural households in 2001-02 had per capita expenditures within (+/-)5 percent of the official poverty line; in 2004-05, 8.95 percent of rural households were within (+/-) 5 percent of the Planning Commission official poverty line (Rs878.6). It said small changes in calculated real income (expenditures), whether do to actual changes in expenditures, price deflators or other methodological issues related to updating a poverty line, can lead to misleadingly large changes in poverty estimates.

To minimise this effect and to avoid debates on the definition of the poverty line, the analysis in this chapter focuses on the bottom 40 percent of the per capita household expenditure distribution.

The grouping nonetheless is similar to the definitions of the poor using various food consumption needs-based poverty lines in Pakistan.

The rural poverty in Pakistan, which declined sharply in the 1980s, remained stubbornly high in the 1990s. In the 1980s rapid growth in agricultural GDP of 3.9 percent contributed to a steady decline in rural poverty from 49.3 percent in 1984-85 to 36.9 percent in 1990-91.

In spite of substantial growth in agricultural, real GDP in the 1990s (4.6 percent), however, rural poverty did not decline. Instead, the percentage of poor was essentially unchanged between 1990-91 (36.9 percent) and 1998-99 (35.9 percent). Several factors help explain the stagnation in the rural poverty in the 1990s

Despite substantial agricultural growth, including over estimates of livestock income growth, rise in the real consumer price of major staples, and the skewed distribution of returns to land coupled with a declining share of the crop sector in the overall GDP.

The draft said since 1998-99, real household incomes, income-based poverty indicators and agricultural output have fluctuated sharply, with only slow improvement over the medium term. Recent household survey results indicate sharp reductions in rural poverty in Pakistan over the 2001-02 to 2004-05 period. Long-term trends are less encouraging, though, suggesting no major changes in real expenditures of the poorest 40 percent of households between 1998-99 and 2004-05. The changes in agricultural output due in large part to weather, mirror the changes in rural real incomes, over these periods but like real expenditures of the poor, agricultural output and incomes have increased only modestly over the period. Other factors outside agriculture, especially increases in workers remittances have also contributed to increased incomes since 2001-02.

In the medium-term, however, econometric evidence suggests that investments in human capital and physical infrastructure have been among the most important determinants of increased real incomes in rural Pakistan.

It added that preliminary analysis of 2004-05, Pakistan Social Living Standards and Measurement Survey (PSLM) data indicates that both rural and urban poverty have declined since 2001-02. The Planning Commission's estimates based on poverty line in 2001-02 suggests that poverty fell by 10.6 percentage point, from 34.5 to 23.9 percent between 2001-02 and 2004-05. Their estimates of rural poverty show a decline of 11.2 percentage point, from 39.3 percent in 2001-02 to 28.1 percent in 2004-05.

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