Dubious
RETIRED MOD
- Joined
- Jul 22, 2012
- Messages
- 37,717
- Reaction score
- 80
- Country
- Location
it is purely laughable that someone claiming to have done a PhD thinks that 0.01% of a population can miraculously cover the whole 1.25 billion population....if that was the case every scientific mistake would have been accepted instead of being discredited as statistically insignificant!!This is a much better line to take with disputing the result than the "22,000" is too tiny a sample for 1.25 billion people etc etc.
I mean we all know just how bad exit polls have often been too, and not just in India.
Discrepancies ultimately come from non-random factors like bias.
But that is a very deep and immense argument/debate by itself.
After all the bhakts will say that non-bhakts also rally to influence polls etc....and that was the ultimate reason when something does not go their way.
Who is to know for sure ultimately? Not me or you.
Seriously make use of your education dont behave as a troll!
you tell me....IF I blindfold myself and point at an indian from 1.25 billion what is the chance I find a say Christian (I think the population is higher than 0.01%)? or one with real Portuguese ancestry (something closer to 0.01%) in say Tamil Nadu or Kashmir?wont work only when its against RSS
Seriously some of you have foreign flags and know not even the basics....or pretend to be smarter than people who actually have a degree in such a field@Nilgiri @deckingraj for future reference, you will have better luck explaining to a rock anything intelligent. Sampling principles, unfortunately will fail.
I almost fell off my chair at 1%
Sometimes I do feel a rock would be more reasonable than an indian I wont even say indian troll coz as per your logic since I have seen enough indian trolls it can be safely equated to all indians are tolls
No I am not Jana...Again you have not picked up a statistics book and understand how normal distribution works even for a simple binomial system. There is a magic number of 30 (I won't go into the reasons why - because you have so far not bothered to counter anything with actual statistical reasoning) that as long as you are higher than (in your sample size), you have the start of statistical significance as long as it is totally random selection....no matter how big the population is.
If we had 30 samples instead of 22,000 for example for this response, the 95% confidence interval still has bounds of 72% and 98% (with center at 85%). The question again becomes the randomness of the sample (and thus its bias)....not its size.
This may be a helpful resource for you if you want to get grounded on some very basic things and concepts regarding population analysis through sampling, because you seem to know absolutely nothing on this matter:
Sampling Distributions
and yes that would be interesting but where was the survey taken? Online...
How many people of india have access to internet and spend time doing online survey?
How many answer it properly and not to troll?
How many say what they really feel or arent ashamed to feel like a black sheep?
Lastly, who processed the survey? were they politically motivated?
I say it is questionableWhat example?? A sample size of 22K is good for you or not?? Contradict or acknowledge that it is a good enough sample size...see how debates can be made simple...