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Moody's Boosts Turkey's Rating to Investment Grade

ozi2000

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Moody's Boosts Turkey's Rating to Investment Grade




By Nathalie Tadena


Moody's Investors Service raised its rating on Turkey into investment grade Thursday, pointing to the country's improvements in key economic and public finance metrics and progress on reforms that will reduce its external vulnerabilities over time.

Moody's upgraded Turkey's government-bond ratings by a notch to Baa3, the first step into investment grade, from Ba1. The outlook is stable.

The ratings firm noted Turkey's debt burden has decreased by 10 percentage points to 36% of gross domestic product since the beginning of 2009, a trend that is expected to continue in the coming years. Moody's said Turkey's ability to finance its outstanding stock of debt is supported by relatively low and decreasing share of its debt that is denominated in foreign currency. Moody's added that Turkey's revenue streams have been resilient in recent years, noting general government revenue has been on an upward trajectory since 2009.

Additionally, the government's progress on a wide-ranging institutional reform program is expected to reduce Turkey's vulnerabilities to shocks to international capital flows over time, Moody's said. The firm noted Turkey's policy actions address the role energy plays in driving up the current-account deficit, as well as the country's weak saving rate and its overall competitiveness.

Turkey's government is pursuing a strategy of focusing on energy efficiency and reducing reliance on imported hydrocarbons through nuclear power, domestic energy sources and renewables. Moody's said energy imports are a key contributor to Turkey's current-account deficit, but said it expects the government's energy policy will cause those pressures to decline over time.

Earlier this year, a new incentive program to increase investment in personal pensions went into effect. Last year, the government adopted a commercial code aimed at improving corporate-governance standards and overall competitiveness.

Moody's cited Turkey's size, wealth, economic diversification and growth prospects as its economic strengths though the firm noted Turkey has some of the highest external vulnerabilities among investment-grade sovereigns.

In March, fellow ratings firm Standard & Poor's Ratings Services raised its sovereign credit rating on Turkey to double-B-plus, one level below investment grade, saying the country's export performance has strengthened.

-Write to Nathalie Tadena at nathalie.tadena@dowjones.com
 
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Wow, we were waiting for this news. First Fitch, secondly S&P and finally Moody's :)

Tomorrow the stock exchange will explode :)

Do you have any stocks in Turkish market? Any recommendation?
 
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Do you have any stocks in Turkish market? Any recommendation?
The guy says he's not active on that field :D there are companies that'll make that recommendation for a small commission perhaps you must speak with one If you're planning on investing. ;)

I'd just go invest on Otokar blindly :D It's a no-brainer for me
unfortunately I'm broke :)
 
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The Fitch Ratings was the first last November to raise Turkey to investment grade, and expectations are high that a second rating agency such as Moody's or the S&P will give the country a similar boost.

"I cannot see any reason that would block more rating upgrades in a country like as Turkey with such policy position and economic stability," said Hans Blommestein, head of the Bond Market and Public Debt Management Unit at the OECD.

The Fitch upgrade of the country's long-term foreign debt to BBB- from BB+ was long expected after years of sub-investment assessments and it arrived a bit late, Blommestein said.

"Sometimes I find it quite difficult to understand the logic of rating agencies. I am a staunch supporter of more upgrades in Turkey's ratings," he said.

'No obstacle' to upgrade Turkey's credit rating more: OECD official | Economy | World Bulletin
 
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