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Montana Mines to Test Trump Team’s Appetite for China Deals

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Montana Mines to Test Trump Team’s Appetite for China Deals
by David McLaughlin April 8, 2017, 12:23 AM GMT+8 April 8, 2017, 6:06 AM GMT+8
  • Westinghouse may not be only firm U.S. keeps away from China
  • Secretive panel adrift as national security reviews pile up
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Even as President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping of China met for the first time to try to sort out their complex relationship, Trump’s administration is reviewing attempts by China to buy sensitive U.S. companies and in one case is actively trying to thwart a deal.

The Trump administration is scrambling to make sure Westinghouse Electric Co.’s nuclear business doesn’t fall into Chinese hands. It also has national security concerns about several other deals in the pipeline that involve Chinese investors.

Bids for Lattice Semiconductor Corp. and money-transfer company MoneyGram International Inc. are potentially problematic because they could give China access to sensitive U.S. technology and financial infrastructure. The U.S., which is reviewing both deals, can block foreign acquisitions of American companies on national security grounds.

The most pressing government review, however, is of a deal for Stillwater Mining Co., which operates mines in Montana. Stillwater is the sole U.S. source of platinum and palladium, materials that have strategic importance and military applications. Its proposed acquirer, Sibanye Gold Ltd., is a South African gold miner whose biggest shareholder is a consortium with ties to China’s government.

At least one analyst said this week that those three deals weren’t as thorny as a possible sale of Westinghouse and said he was cautiously optimistic that they would win approval. Height Securities analyst Nils Tracy went on to say that the Sibanye deal had the fewest complications because palladium has a “low military priority.”

Stillwater sells most of its output to a European refiner, which in turn sells to various companies, including U.S. manufacturers.

Unfilled Posts

But some lawyers who work on foreign acquisitions are less sanguine about the prospects for those deals. The multi-agency panel reviewing them -- called the Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S., or CFIUS -- has a backlog of takeovers to review and is adrift as senior posts at key member agencies have yet to be filled by the president.

Backlogs mean that many of the reviews won’t be completed on schedule. The panel’s deadline for the Stillwater takeover is approaching, on April 14, and may have to be extended. Even if the panel isn’t inclined to recommend blocking deals, repeated delays can upend them.

“The process is continuing as expected and we hope to have some feedback by the end of next week,” Sibanye spokesman James Wellsted said by phone. “We’re fairly confident it will be positive.”

Trump met with Xi at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach, Florida, this week after having pounded the Chinese for taking jobs and stealing intellectual property from the U.S. The president’s harsh criticism of China has led some analysts to believe that Washington will take a tougher stance on foreign ownership of critical infrastructure and military suppliers.

Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said the administration has been looking carefully at the status of Westinghouse, although the company wasn’t discussed with Chinese officials during Xi’s visit, he said. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said any sale to a Chinese buyer would be reviewed by CFIUS.

“An undercurrent to Trump’s ‘America First’ agenda is preventing China’s ascent to world leadership status on par with the U.S.,” Beacon Policy Advisors, a Washington policy research firm, said in a note in February. “In practice, this will mean that Trump’s administration is likely to reject a wide range of deals that would place U.S. companies under the control of Chinese entities or funds.”

Nuclear Business

Already, the Trump administration is worried enough that Chinese investors may try to buy the Westinghouse nuclear reactor business that it’s trying to arrange a sale to a U.S. or allied company, people familiar with the matter have said. Westinghouse, a unit of Toshiba Corp., filed for bankruptcy protection last week. Chinese entities have been interested in the company for years, and the company has been a repeated target of Chinese attempts to steal nuclear know-how.

One person familiar with CFIUS deliberations said that the staff has been looking more closely at the ownership structures of potential Chinese buyers to ensure they fully understand the often complex entities that are involved.

Sibanye’s largest single shareholder is Gold One Group Ltd., a Chinese consortium that holds about a 20 percent stake and is owned by state-controlled companies including China Development Bank Corp., as well as private investors, according to a document provided by Sibanye.

Representatives for Gold One and China Development Bank didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.

Sibanye is offering $2.2 billion for Littleton, Colorado-based Stillwater, the biggest producer of platinum and palladium outside South Africa and Russia. The metals are identified as "strategic materials" by the U.S. Defense Logistics Agency. Platinum is used for aircraft turbine blades and other parts, while palladium is used by aerospace and automotive industries. Some lawyers with CFIUS experience say possible concerns could be addressed by ensuring U.S. access to the metals.

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Secretive Body

Whether such concessions can satisfy the security panel might signal where U.S. officials are drawing the line on Chinese ownership. Such clues are closely watched by deal-makers because CFIUS is a secretive body that provides no information about its deliberations. It doesn’t comment on reviews, even to confirm whether they are pending, or explain its actions. CFIUS can impose changes to deals to protect national security, like walling off American operations from foreigners, and can recommend to the president that a deal be blocked.

“Some major deals now in the pipeline should provide some insight on whether the committee will be taking a tougher stance,” said Shawn Cooley, a lawyer at Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer LLP in Washington who previously worked on CFIUS reviews at the Department of Homeland Security.​

The direction of CFIUS in the new Trump administration isn’t yet clear. The panel is led by the Treasury Department. Day-to-day operations are being handled by Aimen Mir, the deputy assistant secretary for investment security and a career Treasury official. Two senior positions at Treasury that are involved in CFIUS reviews have yet to be filled on a permanent basis.

The Trump administration has tapped Jim Donovan to be deputy secretary, the No. 2 position, and Heath Tarbert to be assistant secretary for international markets and development. The Treasury declined to comment on CFIUS’s work.

Awaiting Appointees

Other departments with seats on the panel are experiencing similar problems. For any deal to be approved by CFIUS, a Senate-confirmed official from each lead agency must sign off. In practice, that means the cabinet secretary, a person familiar with the process said, because deputy and assistant secretary positions have yet to be filled with political appointments. That can delay reviews because it takes additional time and resources to move a recommendation to the top of a department, the person said.

Mir is overseeing a record number of deals. This year the panel is on track to review about 250 transactions, up from roughly 170 last year, according to people familiar with the figures, which haven’t been made public.

“The volume of transactions is way up, the complexity of the cases has increased, and there are Chinese cases that are taking more time to dissect and understand,” said Anne Salladin, a lawyer at Stroock & Stroock & Lavan LLP in Washington who works on cross-border deals.​

Among the takeovers now awaiting approval is for Lattice Semiconductor, which has agreed to be sold to Canyon Bridge Capital Partners, a firm backed by Chinese investors. Lattice said in a securities filing in March that the deal was resubmitted to CFIUS after the 75-day review period expired without a decision. Lattice said the companies remain “fully committed” to the deal and were “actively engaged” with CFIUS.

MoneyGram is working to complete its sale to Ant Financial Services Group, which was spun out from the Chinese online retailing giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. The tie-up would allow Ant Financial to expand in the U.S. by acquiring one of the country’s largest money-transfer service providers. In March, a rival, Euronet Worldwide Inc., offered a higher price for MoneyGram and wrote to Mnuchin to say the Ant Financial deal raises “significant” national security risks.

Canyon Bridge and Ant Financial didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment. MoneyGram said in a statement that under the proposed sale, Ant Financial won’t have access to U.S. customer data and that MoneyGram will remain subject to examinations and audits by U.S. regulators. It said it was on track to complete the deal in the second half.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...g-a-9-trillion-game-of-chicken-with-investors
 
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Paranoia on part of the US regime. It is like a drowning person rejecting help.

Let them lose blood. There are plenty of opportunities elsewhere.

How is it drowning?

US economy is doing well with growth at 2%
 
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China pretty much considers any foreign investments as national security related, even by several degrees off. So why is the US wrong in doing the same ?
 
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How is it drowning?

US economy is doing well with growth at 2%

if those companies are being sold, it means they may not be all that profitable.

China pretty much considers any foreign investments as national security related, even by several degrees off. So why is the US wrong in doing the same ?

to be fair, it's fair game. when you are weak, you get step on. when you are strong, you must do everything in your power to crush your potential challengers.
 
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How is it drowning?

US economy is doing well with growth at 2%
You mean overall scale (nominal value of economic activities within border) is growing at 2%, cos economy is a big concept with multiple dimensions in it, see Greece or PIIGS for as an example. Say for a corporation, revenue is one dimension, which may grow while at the same time running at a widening loss, and drowning deeper in debt. Similarly for an individual, he may have high expenditure, fairly good income, but when assessing his net position (net worth, or assets less liabilities) and if it's negative, he may very well be drowned. Perhaps that's the aspect that @TaiShang is referring to.
 
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You mean overall scale (nominal value of economic activities within border) is growing at 2%, cos economy is a big concept with multiple dimensions in it, see Greece or PIIGS for as an example. Say for a corporation, revenue is one dimension, which may grow while at the same time running at a widening loss, and drowning deeper in debt. Similarly for an individual, he may have high expenditure, fairly good income, but when assessing his net position (net worth, or assets less liabilities) and if it's negative, he may very well be drowned. Perhaps that's the aspect that @TaiShang is referring to.

Firstly, it is not nominal, but real GDP that is growing at 1-2%

Again, net position as used by you, for me is highly unsatisfactory as a criteria.

The ownership in US economy in fact shows people's trust in the legal, political and economic future of US.

In fact just recently, China imposed capital controls due to the transfer of wealth abroad. Chinese officials are on record saying that capital and wealth is being transferred abroad.

The company comparison doesn't make sense. Companies have to pay back in a currency that they have no control over.

US debt and leverage is all denominated in USD. All its debt is essentially domestic.

If you want to talk about domestic debt, Chinese domestic debt is something often overlooked by you. Chinese SOEs are full with debt. Chinese debt is in fact reaching 300% the GDP, much higher than any developing country, and even higher than most developed countries.


Apart from that US retains enormous advantages:
  1. It remains THE most attractive country on Earth for high skilled, high worth individuals.
  2. A lot of wealth buying of US assets is in property sector, which has a lot to do with individuals settling, or their families settling abroad.
  3. A lot of net investment positions use national accounts, but they don't correctly take in to account the ownership, and its transfer. A lot of high worth individuals are moving out of China and other countries for US. So while according to national accounts that wealth seems to be owed to China or other countries, in real affect that wealth has already moved abroad due to transfer of the person owning that wealth.
 
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Firstly, it is not nominal, but real GDP that is growing at 1-2%
Nominal or real, GDP is somewhat one of many formula that try to gauge overall size of economic activities within border, details of which is widely available on the web, only takes you a few minutes to understand. To get just acquainted with Economy, it may take years or even decades. GDP =/= Economy, not even close.
The ownership in US economy in fact shows people's trust in the legal, political and economic future of US.
If the angle is pure financial, then what you said is true, but not all investments are purely financial, many if not most, are strategic. Owing a mine of strategic materials helps monopolizing the supply or even ship stocks back home, who cares about the local "economic future"?
In fact just recently, China imposed capital controls due to the transfer of wealth abroad. Chinese officials are on record saying that capital and wealth is being transferred abroad.
China on record imposes censorship, only approves investment in the "right segment", say those led by central SOE (SGCC, CGN-CNCC, ChemChina, Tsinghua Uni, SMIC, Baosteel, GreatWall Motors, Gold One, Chinalco ...), state funds (CIC, Silk Road, China-Mexico Fund, China-LatAm, China-CEE, ...). POE and individuals depend case-by-case, sane ones like Fosun, HNA are good to go, the likes of Wanda, who invests in football clubs, should get their heads examined. You need latest examples of deals approved?
All its debt is essentially domestic.
Now that's Breaking News, if true. Is there any sane normal person nearby you? Ask them, anyone in a normal street will do. Have anyone told you US net liabilities is world's largest by far, world's largest debtor nation? Even as percentage of GDP, already worse than Mexico, Brazil or Eastern Europe, still "growing" towards PIIGS level?
If you want to talk about domestic debt, Chinese domestic debt is something often overlooked by you. Chinese SOEs are full with debt. Chinese debt is in fact reaching 300% the GDP, much higher than any developing country, and even higher than most developed countries.
No, we have been talking about international debt till now. But since you suddenly mention domestic "debt", in fact proper terms are Domestic Credit to Private Sector vs GDP (China 153.3%, US 188.8%, Afghanistan 3.9%), Domestic Credit By Financial Institutions vs GDP (China 194.4%, US 236.5%, Afghanistan 0.3%). So what's the question again?

Domestic credit markets are drastically different between nations, in China SOE takes the lion share, while household is pathetically low, situation is opposite in US. If you see SOE is a "problem" to financial system, do you also see American household debt threatening US banking system, like 2008 sub-prime, family bankruptcies and widespread foreclosure? You know household debt means mortgage, auto, credit card, student loan and such, do you?
A lot of net investment positions use national accounts, but they don't correctly take in to account the ownership, and its transfer. So while according to national accounts that wealth seems to be owed to China or other countries, in real affect that wealth has already moved abroad due to transfer of the person owning that wealth.
I suggest you re-read the non-sense you have just typed, and compare that with IMF BPM6.
 
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Nominal or real, GDP is somewhat a formula that gauges sum of economic activities within border, details of which is widely available on the web. The point is, GDP=/= economy, not even close.

If the angle is pure financial, then good legal environment and stable political system is favorable.
Do note not all investments are purely financial, many if not most, are strategic.

China imposes censorship, only approves investment in the "right segment", say those led by central SOE (SGCC, CGN-CNCC, ChemChina, Tsinghua Uni, SMIC, Baosteel, GreatWall Motors, Gold One, Chinalco ...), state funds (CIC, Silk Road, China-Mexico Fund, China-LatAm, China-CEE, ...), those are sane. POE varies, the likes of Fosun, HNA are encouraged, the likes of Wanda should get their heads examined. You need latest examples?

That's breaking news if true. Is there any sane normal person nearby you? Ask them, anyone.

No, we have been talking about international debt till now. But since you suddenly mention domestic "debt", the proper term are Domestic Credit to Private Sector vs GDP (China 153.3%, US 188.8%,), Domestic Credit By Financial Institutions vs GDP (China 194.4%, US 236.5%). Excuse me, what's the problem again?
In domestic credit market, in China SOE takes the lion share while household is low, situation is opposite in US. If you see SOE is a "problem" to financial system, do you see household debt threatens US, like 2008 sub-prime, family bankruptcies and widespread foreclosure?

I suggest you re-read what you are typing and compare that with IMF BPM6, don't type non-sense.
You reply to another jack of all trade Indian expert.
 
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Breaking news on the development.

Stillwater Mining Company Announces CFIUS Clearance Related to the Proposed Acquisition by Sibanye

GlobeNewswire • April 17, 2017

Stillwater Mining Company (“Stillwater” or “Company”) (SWC) today announced that it has been informed that the review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) related to the proposed acquisition of the Company by Sibanye Gold Limited has been completed, and there are no unresolved national security issues with respect to the transaction.

The closing of the transaction remains subject to (1) approval of the merger agreement by the holders of a majority of Stillwater’s outstanding shares, (2) approval of the transaction by the holders of a majority of Sibanye’s shares present and voting, (3) the approval of the related issuance of shares by Sibanye in a rights offering by the holders of at least 75% of the shares present and voting, and (4) other customary conditions.

Both Stillwater and Sibanye Gold Limited have scheduled shareholders’ meetings on April 25, 2017 to conduct voting related to the proposed merger.

Read the news at http://finance.yahoo.com/news/stillwater-mining-company-announces-cfius-120000013.html
 
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Dig the US inside out and bring out all the riches for the betterment of US worker.
 
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betterment of US worker
Stillwater Mine Workers to Receive Pay Hike Under New Owners
Union and company officials say 760 workers of the Stillwater Mining Co. will receive a pay raise in a deal with Stillwater's new owners.
June 20, 2017, at 11:41 a.m

BILLINGS, Mont. (AP) — Union and company officials say 760 workers of the Stillwater Mining Co. will receive a pay raise in a deal with Stillwater's new owners. The Billings Gazette reports (http://bit.ly/2tJnpc7 ) the workers in Nye and Columbus will get a 5 percent wage hike over the next two years. Steelworkers' Local 11-0001 president Scott McGinnis says the union got what it could and believes it's a fair settlement. He says it was overwhelmingly approved by the union miners, and negotiations will now begin for workers at another mine in East Boulder. The raise comes as precious metals prices improve and more than a month after South Africa-based Sibanye Gold Limited completed its $2.2 billion purchase of Stillwater.

Stillwater is the only U.S. producer of platinum and palladium, which is used in catalytic converters and in jewelry.

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-st...-workers-to-receive-pay-hike-under-new-owners
 
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US workers already feeling the positive impact of selling out an otherwise near-bankruptcy inefficient mine.

The redneckish reaction to the successful bidding of the only US rare earth mine by a China company would probably end up being leaner, more efficient, and sustainable under a much progressive and developed Chinese ownership - should redneck nationalism overwhelms.

Let's wait and see.
 
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Trump has done nothing to save low-educated low-skill xenophobic Mericans so far.
They are continuing dying when money is pouring into military bases overseas.

If they continue to alienate foreign investors to save industries that are in distress and near bankruptcy. This is not how you employ the unemployed people in the US, whose number, in fact, has grown in the latest count-judging by the number of people applying for welfare.

Trump has to soothe the nationalists and hateful aggressive liberals, nearly half of the country.

In the end, his no 1 priority is to get reelected. Country's long term welfare comes a distant second.

China is sincere in its efforts to provide jobs to the US people. The US needs to stop being paranoid and give the mine to the winning team.
 
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