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Islamabad eyes $3b loan from Beijing

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hydrabadi_arab

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ISLAMABAD:
Pakistan has set its sight on a loan to the tune of $3 billion from China to stabilise its dwindling foreign exchange reserves and also seeks an investment bonanza in half a dozen sectors during the visit of Prime Minister Imran Khan to Beijing next week.


Government sources said that in addition to political engagement, the premier would also seek Chinese support in areas of finance, trade and investment.

A final meeting to shape the agenda of the visit would take place on Tuesday -- two days before the scheduled visit, the sources added.

The prime minister will depart for Beijing on February 3 and attend the inaugural session of the Winter Olympics there.

A senior finance ministry official said the government was considering requesting China to approve another loan to the tune of $3 billion in China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange, known as SAFE deposits.

China has already placed around $11 billion with Pakistan in the shape of commercial loans and foreign exchange reserves support initiatives, including $4 billion in SAFE deposits.

The Chinese money is part of the country’s current official foreign exchange reserves recorded at $16.1 billion.

In the last fiscal year, the country had paid over Rs26 billion in interest cost to China only for using a $4.5 billion Chinese trade finance facility to repay the maturing debt.

Last month, Pakistan also received a Saudi loan of $3 billion, which the country has consumed. The foreign exchange reserves that before the Saudi injection stood at $15.9 billion have already fallen to $16 billion by January 21.

The government would also seek Chinese investment in six priority sectors by highlighting the competitive advantages that the country has in areas of cheap but skilled labour, access to the two richest continents of the world and tax exemptions.

“We will market textile, footwear, pharmaceutical, furniture, agriculture, automobile and information technology sectors for Chinese investment,” said Azfar Ahsan, the chairman of the Board of Investment.


The government is expected to tell the 75 Chinese companies that it provided access to trade routes to the Middle East, Africa and the rest of the world – offering greater incentive in shape of reduction in freight cost.

“Unlike in the past when we would only talk about Pak-Sino friendship being higher than the Himalayas and sweeter than honey, this time we are going prepared to China with a structured approach,” Federal Planning and Development Minister Asad Umar told The Express Tribune.

He added that with the involvement of the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) Authority, the government had selected those sectors for foreign investment where there was evidence of huge benefits for Chinese investors.

“The study of selected locations shows substantial benefits in transportation times via CPEC.”

Read Pak-China relationship has grown stronger with time: PM Imran

Sea freight charges often contribute 2% to 10% of unit cost depending on the product. Pakistan offers substantially better and lower sea freight rates to two of the largest import destinations, according to the CPEC Authority officials.

If imported from Pakistan, the freight costs 4,000 Euros per large container to EU destinations compared with 15,000 Euros from China. Similarly, these rates are 6,700 Euros in case of the US East coast against 12,500 Euros from Chinese port to the US.

These rates were also less when compared with India, Bangladesh and Cambodia.

Cost savings on sea freight can materially reduce costs for transacting parties, make product pricing competitive.

Similarly, Pakistani authorities believe that its labour is two times cheaper than that of China. This offers a greater opportunity for relocation of the dying Chinese industries.


However, all these areas and the competitive advantages are already known to the investors but they remain reluctant to bring in “big money” to Pakistan because of its inconsistent fiscal and energy policies.

China has decided to move into more sophisticated and high-tech-driven textile and apparel industry and engage in more value-added functions under its 2021-25 plan.

The government officials claimed that the electricity tariffs were competitive to the regional peers, 9 cents per unit electricity cost compared with 7.1 cents in Indian Punjab and 7.3 cents per unit in Vietnam.

They added that there was 100% exemption on income tax for 10 years, duty-free import of all plant, machinery and equipment and customs and other duty exemptions available for export-oriented raw material.

However, this month the government has withdrawn tax exemptions on the import of machinery and plants, including for Export Promotion Zones.

However, the Pakistani authorities believe that the country’s textile sector presents the most attractive opportunities for Chinese investors in the value-added segment particularly apparel and made-ups, where there is considerable growth potential.

The investors will be able to take advantage of the “best possible” fiscal incentives in its special economic zones, skilled and inexpensive labour, easy availability of raw material, competitive energy tariffs, low freight costs and preferential access to European markets.

The Pakistan Railways has also informed the prime minister about the hiccups in the execution of the $6.8 billion Mainline-I project -- the largest project of the CPEC that has already faced a delay of more than four years.


The sources said the financing modalities of the project had not yet been finalised. Therefore, no major breakthrough was expected on this front.

The government has shown some progress on the lingering issue of about Rs230 billion withheld payments to Chinese power producers and has so far paid Rs50 billion. Another Rs50 billion are also expected to be paid next month.
 
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Well it is better than going to IMF but the incompetent Government will still go to IMF.
 
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Textile industry?
There are already too many countries competing for the textile industry, especially Vietnam and Bangladesh, which have taken a lot of lead. Pakistan is close to the Persian Gulf and has good diplomatic relations with Arab countries. Why does Pakistan not consider vigorously developing crude oil processing and petrochemical industry?
 
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Textile industry?
There are already too many countries competing for the textile industry, especially Vietnam and Bangladesh, which have taken a lot of lead. Pakistan is close to the Persian Gulf and has good diplomatic relations with Arab countries. Why does Pakistan not consider vigorously developing crude oil processing and petrochemical industry?
China net textiles exports is $154b I don’t see you are reducing. Why not give it to Pakistan?

Seriously I hope China gives up as soon as those cheap manufacturing and give them to Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh.
 
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Textile industry?
There are already too many countries competing for the textile industry, especially Vietnam and Bangladesh, which have taken a lot of lead. Pakistan is close to the Persian Gulf and has good diplomatic relations with Arab countries. Why does Pakistan not consider vigorously developing crude oil processing and petrochemical industry?
So true. I always said that Pakistan has every potential to use its huge work force in own favor instead of counting on remittance from other countries which puts Pakistani Workers under threat of racism. Its inevitable

Their problem is something that keeps them dependent on Foreign factors. They under Foreign pressure quit from Iran Pakistan gas pipeline. It could boost Pakistan factories, increase their electricity production capacity and make them energy hub of the region. But they built their infrastructures on LNG. They will feel the pain of this in the long run which kept their economy dependent, insecure and small.
 
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China net textiles exports is $154b I don’t see you are reducing. Why not give it to Pakistan?

Seriously I hope China gives up as soon as those cheap manufacturing and give them to Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh.
Never going to happen. Chinese AI robot factories will keep manufacturing everything the world needs at a cheap unbeatable rate.
 
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Textile industry?
There are already too many countries competing for the textile industry, especially Vietnam and Bangladesh, which have taken a lot of lead. Pakistan is close to the Persian Gulf and has good diplomatic relations with Arab countries. Why does Pakistan not consider vigorously developing crude oil processing and petrochemical industry?

Our govts are thoroughly incompetent. All of them.
 
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Well it is better than going to IMF but the incompetent Government will still go to IMF.
IMF may have lower interest rates. Typically around 1%

The Saudi loan was at 4% interest. The interest paid for $4.5 billion trade finance facility also seems to be roughly 4% based on the figures quoted in the article.

Pakistan seems to have a request plan for improved CPEC route transit trade with China. Has the previous government not floated such proposals before? Does not really sound like a novel idea.
 
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Well it is better than going to IMF but the incompetent Government will still go to IMF.


I have an idea…. Why doesn’t GOP approach big fat bastard daddy sitting in London and ask him for the loan ?

I mean he can lend billions of dollars and reinject his haram ki kamai in Pakistan.

Think about it folks this harami family has more money than the state bank of Pakistan and Patwaris will rejoice as well that their leader saved Pakistan. Kill two birds with one nalli nihari bone.
 
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Textile industry?
There are already too many countries competing for the textile industry, especially Vietnam and Bangladesh, which have taken a lot of lead. Pakistan is close to the Persian Gulf and has good diplomatic relations with Arab countries. Why does Pakistan not consider vigorously developing crude oil processing and petrochemical industry?

Our textile exports which were stagnant for long time will double to $26b by next time compared to $12-13b in 2020. So still lot of potential to grow.

Well it is better than going to IMF but the incompetent Government will still go to IMF.

Actually no one will lend us if we dont go to IMF. In fact SBP bill will not be amended even if someone else form next govt. Opposition are crying with fake tears.

Almost 37% of federal govt revenues goes to debt servicing now. Ideally it should be 20%, that should be the goal in next few years. Basically N league got Pakistan with good fundamentals, cheap oil etc and they wasted it and made Pakistan bankrupt by 2018. While rest of the region doubled their exports we were busy following Dubai model.
 
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Well it is better than going to IMF but the incompetent Government will still go to IMF.
Incompetent PMLN govt yes
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China net textiles exports is $154b I don’t see you are reducing. Why not give it to Pakistan?

Seriously I hope China gives up as soon as those cheap manufacturing and give them to Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh.
Why? This would lead to job losses in Chinese textile manufacturing sector
 
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Textile industry?
There are already too many countries competing for the textile industry, especially Vietnam and Bangladesh, which have taken a lot of lead. Pakistan is close to the Persian Gulf and has good diplomatic relations with Arab countries. Why does Pakistan not consider vigorously developing crude oil processing and petrochemical industry?
- Textile is core strength of Pakistan in fact it was Pakistani businessmen from textile sector who actively contributed in the development of Bangladesh's Textile industry

- Secondly Textile Industry in Bangladesh is not sustainable as Bangladesh is not the producer of Cotton but Pakistan is one of the largest producer of Cotton and we still have ample amount of cultivated land available to further increase the cotton cultivation

- We already have highly trained workforce available in all segments of Textile Industry.

- The only weakness our textile industry face is that it depends on the import of Textile machinery mainly from Germany, here China is taking some share but still a minor player of Machinery related to Textile Industry in Pakistan.

- China could have business opportunities with relatively nonexistence competition in 3 sectors related to Pakistani Textile Industry
  • Manufacturing of Textile Machinery in Pakistan
  • Production of Synthetic Fiber
  • Value addition and Branding for Global Market
Further Chinese could also explore opportunities in
  • JV with existing Textile groups to further expand their capacity
  • Or might shift their factories to take advantage of Cheap labour and Tax Holidays few Chinese factories have already started their operations and now planning to expand further
  • We already have complete supply chain available for Textile Industry so Chinese could Investment in different stages of this supply chain as well.
  • Value addition sector especially in Garments, we have trained labour available for this sector as well
As far as your point related to Oil Processing and Petrochemical Industry we are trying to develop it from past 2 decades but the issue our we are facing are more related to Global Politics than Business Opportunities
 
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It gets even worse - the begging bowl is out and this time Pakistan's so called leaders have gone to Russia and Central Asia as well with a big begging bowl !!

Pakistan to seek loans from Russia, China, Kazakhstan​

Pakistan plans to borrow $3 billion from China, $2 billion from Russia and Kazakhstan​

 
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- Secondly Textile Industry in Bangladesh is not sustainable as Bangladesh is not the producer of Cotton but Pakistan is one of the largest producer of Cotton and we still have ample amount of cultivated land available to further increase the cotton cultivation.
Bangladesh has offset this disadvantage with zero tariff imports and by extracting government assurances with some cotton producers like India. They've become efficient enough to offset the slightly higher price for imports in return for this stability.

What is the per hectare productivity of cotton in Pakistan? Curious to know if it is better than the terrible situation in India
 
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