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Indonesia Economy Forum

Japan, Korea Banks to Finance Mitsubishi’s Indonesia LNG Project
By Emi Urabe & Tesun Oh on 03:00 pm Nov 14, 2014

Banks in Japan and South Korea, the world’s biggest importers of liquefied natural gas, are set to lend $1.5 billion to Mitsubishi’s project to produce the fuel in Indonesia, people familiar with the matter said.

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group is leading the group of lenders, they said, asking not to be identified because the details are private. State-owned Japan Bank for International Cooperation will commit $764 million. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Mizuho Financial Group and Sumitomo Mitsui will provide a total of $382 million, while Export-Import Bank of Korea, Korea Exchange Bank and Nonghyup Bank together are committing the same amount, according to the people.

Mitsubishi owns 45 percent, the largest stake, in the Donggi-Senoro LNG project on the central island of Sulawesi in Indonesia. Japan is the world’s biggest importer of the liquefied fuel as it seeks other energy sources following the earthquake and Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011. South Korea relies on the imports, which are transported in tankers, as its only land border is with North Korea and it has no international oil or natural gas pipelines.

Mitsubishi will secure the project finance soon, said Yukio Shinano, a spokesman for the company, while declining to provide any further details.

The facilities in Sulawesi are scheduled to begin operations in the middle of next year, and will have annual capacity of 2 million tons, the people said.

Bloomberg

Japan, Korea Banks to Finance Mitsubishi’s Indonesia LNG Project - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Indonesia’s One-Stop-Shop for Permits to Cut Investment Red Tape
By Rieka Rahadiana on 02:41 pm Nov 04, 2014

Indonesia will streamline the government’s permit process by combining ministry licenses in a one-stop service, as the country seeks to attract investment to narrow a trade deficit.

Permits from ministries such as mining, forestry and transport will be moved to the investment coordinating board, said Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs Sofyan Djalil in an interview with Bloomberg TV Indonesia in Jakarta. Indonesia needs to improve its bureaucracy so regulations don’t get in the way of development, he said on Oct. 31 in his first week on the job after being appointed by President Joko Widodo.

The plans signal the first efforts by Widodo, known as Jokowi, to tackle the red tape that led the World Bank to place the country 155th out of 189 economies for the ease of starting a business. Investors have bought nearly $4 billion of Indonesian stocks this year on hopes Jokowi will replicate his policies as governor of the capital in shaking up the bureaucracy, moving tax collection online and kick starting infrastructure in Southeast Asia’s largest economy.

“The President wants a one-stop service to be one stop in reality,” Djalil said in the interview at his ministry in central Jakarta, adding that he aims to complete coordinating this with ministries in two to three weeks. “Right now, regulations are very expensive. People doing business require so many licenses.”

Currently, foreign investors need dozens of permits from different departments including the investment board for approval to start operating. They have to go to various ministries for permits for land use, import duties and exports. Companies that want to explore for oil in the archipelago need 289 permits, according to the country’s main energy regulator.

The government will raise subsidized fuel prices “as soon as possible” as that’s another reform urgently needed, Djalil said. Finance Minister Bambang Brodjonegoro said last week the government will raise the prices before the end of the year to trim subsidies and create more fiscal space in the budget.

Bloomberg

Indonesia’s One-Stop-Shop for Permits to Cut Investment Red Tape - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Google and Indonesian Phone Manufacturers Team Up for Android One Release
By Vanesha Manuturi & Dion Bisara on 06:41 pm Nov 16, 2014

Jakarta. Internet giant Google is in talks with several domestic smartphone manufacturers to bring Android One, its affordable smartphone to Indonesia, as part of its effort to boost mobile internet penetration among the country’s population.

“We are talking with Google about the Android One phone, but so far, it’s still in the early planning stage,” said Djatmiko Wardoyo, corporate secretary at Erajaya Swasembada told the Jakarta Globe last week.

“There’s no discussion about the launching period yet,” Djatmiko said.

Google launched three Android One devices two months ago in India in partnership with smartphone companies in the country, namely Micromax, Karbonn and Spice, with starting price at around $100.

Andrew McGlinchey, a Google product manager, said that it is Google’s basic strategy to work with more than one smartphone manufacturer in the Android One initiative in Indonesia to reach broader market segments and to provide customers with more options.

While Android One devices would not be the first smartphone in the entry-level price range in Indonesia, the devices would offer software upgrades directly from Google, instead of the phone makers, ensuring a more consistent service and dependable experience.

“The idea of Android One is not a phone. It’s a program.”

“We want to make sure that every phone with Android One written on them is good,” McGlinchey said.

He noted that sometimes hardware manufacturers devote less attention to their software, which often leads to a subpar performance of the device, potentially putting off first-time smartphone users to the experience.

Google and Indonesian Phone Manufacturers Team Up for Android One Release - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Jokowi’s Return to Indonesia ‘Will Mark Fuel Hike’
By Novy Lumanauw, Ezra Sihite & Carla Isati Octama on 08:06 pm Nov 14, 2014

Lawatan-Perdana-Presiden-Jokowi-081114-aw-1.jpg

Jakarta. President Joko Widodo may announce an expected hike in the price of subsidized fuel as soon as Sunday, when he returns from Brisbane, Australia, where he is attending the Group of 20 Leaders’ Summit.

Vice President Jusuf Kalla said in Jakarta on Friday that Joko would no longer delay the increase in the price of subsidized diesel and low-octane gasoline, which the administration says will be done before the end of the year.

“Yes, it needs to be done sooner. God willing, it will be announced as soon as Jokowi arrives from Australia in order to prevent any uncertainty,” Kalla said.

Joko will return home on Sunday from a visit encompassing China, Myanmar and Australia — his first overseas trip as president.

Kalla said the government would recalculate the size of the fuel subsidy cut to account for the decline in the world oil price to around $80 per barrel, and the rupiah’s depreciation that has made fuel imports more costly.

“We have to recalculate because [of] the [falling] price of oil. We will calculate the combination of the percentage we can maintain due to the oil price decline and that due to the rupiah depreciation,” the vice president said.

Kalla also denied that the government’s inability to give a firm date for the fuel price increase had contributed to inflation, particularly for food items. Instead, he attributed the higher costs to the weakening rupiah and the extended dry season affecting crop harvests.

The government’s plan to cut fuel subsidies has been met with mixed reactions, with some approving the move with reservations and others opposing it.

Ahmad Safrudin, executive director of the Committee to Phase Out Leaded Gasoline (KPBB), said the government should improve the quality of the fuel before raising its price.

“If [the government] wants to adjust the price of subsidized fuel, I think they should improve the quality first. We’re still adopting the international price on the Singapore commodity exchange as the benchmark, but have failed to also adopt the quality standards,” he said.

Safrudin said the benchmark price referred to 92-octane gasoline, but the Indonesian government was applying it to the lower-quality 88-octane fuel.

He said there were 14 other parameters used to determine the price of oil based on its quality, which should make the price of the 88-octane lower than at present.

“You have to be fair: if you want to use the international price, it should also follow the quality. If the benchmark price adopts the 92-octane quality, the quality of the subsidized fuel given to the people should also be of the same class,” he said.

Safrudin said that improved subsidized fuel quality would help reduce consumption and cut emissions.

“Vehicles that use 92-octane fuel can save up to 10 percent [fuel] than vehicles that use 88-octane [fuel],” he said.
 
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Indonesia Has $6.5b Balance of Payments Surplus in Q3, Central Bank Says
By Adriana Nina Kusuma on 03:03 pm Nov 14, 2014

Jakarta. Indonesia posted a balance of payments surplus of $6.5 billion during July to September, bigger than the $4.3 billion surplus it had in April-June, the central bank said on Friday.

There was a surplus of $13.7 billion in third quarter’s financial and capital account, which offset a $6.8 billion deficit — equivalent to 3.07 percent of gross domestic product — in its current account.

The balance of payments surplus added to Bank Indonesia’s foreign exchange reserves, which increased to $111.2 billion at end of the third quarter from $107.7 billion on June 30.

At the end of October, the reserves were nearly $112 billion.

Reuters

Indonesia Has $6.5b Balance of Payments Surplus in Q3, Central Bank Says
 
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Lion Air Plans IPO for New Airport, Nears Airbus Deal
By Tim Hepher on 02:29 pm Nov 14, 2014

Paris. Indonesia’s Lion Group is pushing forward with revived plans for a 2016 initial public offering now designed to fund an airport vital to securing its growth, chief executive Rusdi Kirana said.

The owner of one of the world’s fastest-growing airlines, Lion Air, is also close to placing an order for Airbus A330 wide-body jets, which it plans to use for busy domestic routes as it runs short of airport slots for smaller jets.

“We are talking now with banks about an IPO and will use the money to build this hub. Now we are using our own money but hopefully by first quarter 2016, the company will do an IPO and will use the money partly for airport expansion,” said Kirana.

He declined to say how much the company planned to raise. Privately owned Lion has long toyed with a flotation, only to conclude it could fund some of the industry’s largest plane orders from its own operations. This has changed, however, with the group’s growing focus on airport projects, Kirana said.

The 51-year-old former travel agent captured international attention when he announced record purchases of jets from Boeing and Airbus to serve Indonesia’s rapidly growing consumer class, as well as to compete with Malaysia’s AirAsia.

Rival AirAsia operates in Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines and India and its flagship Malaysian company is valued at $2.1 billion. Both companies have hundreds of aircraft on order.

The latest order for current-generation A330s will be placed “soon,” said Kirana. He said the size of the deal had not been fixed but did not dispute a suggestion by industry sources that it could involve 7-10 jets, worth $2.5 billion at list prices.

Lion had previously cancelled an order for newer but smaller Boeing 787-8 jets because it needed more seats, said Kirana, who was in France to mark the reception of its first Airbus jets, which will be used for its full-service Batik Air subsidiary.

“In Indonesia…there is a lot of demand. We keep increasing frequency. If we had the slots, we would make it every half an hour instead of every hour (on routes like) Jakarta-Medan. The only limit we have today is because of infrastructure.”

Kirana said Lion Air would not buy more planes other than the A330s before the end of 2015, but had no plans to defer any of its existing large order book of Airbus and Boeing jets. It is no longer looking at Canada’s Bombardier CSeries.

Infrastructure gap

Weak transport structure is the main obstacle to Lion’s further growth, Kirana said, so it is focusing on two projects to sidestep congestion at Jakarta’s Soekarno-Hatta’s airport.

It has won permission to operate and expand Halim Perdanakusuma airport in east Jakarta, bringing capacity to 11-12 million passengers a year from current tiny levels.

In a rare comment on the company’s finances, Kirana said this could increase Lion’s revenues by 15-20 percent next year.

Kirana said Lion would break ground in 2015 on its plans for an entirely new airport at Lebak south of the capital for the main low-cost brand with a capacity up to 50 million passengers, hoping to gain an edge over capacity-constrained rivals.

Its four runways will include one capable of taking A380 superjumbos to draw in Gulf carriers. Kirana said Lion may seek an alliance to support this but has not approached anyone yet.

“Fuel price and currency are beyond our control. They can be up and down. The most important thing is that we control things we can like infrastructure.”

The rupiah has declined over 25 percent since Lion placed a record Boeing plane order in 2011, whereas aircraft are paid for in dollars. Kirana said its dollar exposure would be cushioned by the company’s new in-house maintenance and repair facility and stock of parts, limiting dollar spending to buying new jets.

In key overseas ventures, Kirana said Lion’s Thai affiliate is faring well and looking to expand. Malindo is performing less well in Malaysia but Lion Group expects to outstrip AirAsia as Asia’s largest budget carrier by fleet size in 1-2 years.

“The growth looks promising for Thai, so we will double our fleet (there) by the end of next year.” From eight planes in the first year, Thai Lion plans to increase this to 20.

Lion Air has not decided when to start a planned local venture in Australia but will serve the country initially from Indonesia under the Batik brand. It has no immediate plans to add further international ventures, Kirana said.

Reuters

Lion Air Plans IPO for New Airport, Nears Airbus Deal - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Green Growth Is ‘Way to Go,’ Wealthy Nations Declare
By Erwida Maulia on 08:25 am Nov 14, 2014

Yogyakarta. Indonesia is expected to take on a leadership role in a regional campaign for green economic growth, with a new report suggesting it is a high time for Southeast Asia — one of the world’s fastest-growing regions — to abandon business as usual and embrace sustainable developments.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, in its latest report launched on Tuesday, says Southeast Asia has ample opportunities to make use of green technologies that have become increasingly available, some of which have also been growing more affordable.

Green growth has traditionally been seen as a costly alternative to the status-quo, typically yielding lesser outcomes. For these reasons green growth has long been dispreferred among low-income nations.

But the OECD report argues that green growth should be “the way to go” for the region, that its economic growth can go hand in hand with sustainable developments, as the latter has increasingly become a necessity instead.

“Infrastructure and the built environment are being determined now [in Southeast Asia], defining energy consumption, pollution levels and resilience for decades to come,” according to the report, titled “Towards Green Growth in Southeast Asia.”

“The experience of many OECD and other emerging countries shows that growth strategies that ignore environmental performance eventually result in expensive clean-up and mitigation measures, as well as large welfare losses.”

“Southeast Asia has a golden opportunity to leapfrog over the low-performing, polluting, resource-inefficient technologies of more developed countries … leapfrog 20th Century technologies and infrastructure by adopting clean, viable and economical alternatives.”

OECD deputy secretary-general Rintaro Tamaki said the organization of high-income nations acknowledged progress that had been made in Southeast Asia toward low-emission developments, but that more could be done by the region to “put on the green growth path.”

Tamaki said the OECD advises countries in the region on strategies and policy recommendations toward sustainable growth, summing up the report in three key messages:

“First, economic growth and environmental sustainability are inseparable. Secondly, Southeast Asia shouldn’t miss the good opportunity of this time. Thirdly, the political leaders should be essential,” Tamaki told a press conference on the sidelines of Asia Low-Emission Development Strategies Forum 2014, which took place in Yogyakarta from Tuesday through Thursday.

The report cites an example of how outdoor air pollution, which resulted in nearly 200,000 deaths in the region in 2010 and cost over $280 billion — according to a World Health Organization report earlier this year, can be curbed in the future by developing more environmentally friendly transportation networks.

“By reducing air pollution, better public transport can reduce these [health impact] costs and benefit the economy by easing congestion and increasing productivity,” the report says.

The report cites coastal flooding in Southeast Asian cities as another example, as such flooding was estimated to cost the region $300 million in average annual losses in 2005.

“Even with significant investment in adaptation the price tag [of coastal flooding] could climb to $6 billion by 2050. Installing climate-resilient structure now and being much more ambitious in adaptation efforts could limit the damage and attract businesses seeking long-lasting, resilient investments.”

The report also highlights the issue of fossil fuel subsidies, saying they amounted to about $51 billion in 2012 in Southeast Asia, equivalent to about 11 percent of all general government spending.

Indonesia has the largest fossil fuel subsidy program in the region, the OECD said .

“We’re in particular suggesting to the Indonesian government to reduce your fossil fuel subsidies accounting for 15 percent of the total [government] expenditure, and 60 percent of education and health expenditures,” Tamaki said, citing 2012 figures.

“Removing or reducing these subsidies — while alleviating any social impacts investing the savings in education, health and social welfare programs — will simultaneously reduce environmental pressures and increase wellbeing.”

Indonesia’s role

Ali Tauqeer Sheikh, regional director for Asia at the Climate and Development Knowledge Network, said Indonesia was expected to lead green economic growth campaign for Southeast Asia, continuing with what it’s already been doing.

He cited Indonesia’s leadership shown in the Bali Action Plan, and later through its 2010 commitment to reduce the country’s carbon emissions by 26 percent by 2020 using its own resources — and by 41 percent with international assistance.

“Low carbon development strategies [must be championed through] Indonesia’s leadership in Southeast Asian regions,” Sheikh told the same press conference in Yogyakarta.

“Indonesia must take leadership in stabilizing the global temperature at 2 degrees [Celsius], because Indonesia is under imminent threat of [global warming],” he added, referring to the temperature rise ceiling agreed upon by countries in Copenhagen in 2009.

Sheikh earlier said, citing a latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, that Indonesia and other island nations in Asia would be hit hardest by sea level rise. Many of the coastal areas will be submerged, even if the world manages to curb temperature increase below 2 degrees Celsius.

“[Indonesia] needs to protect its territory. Indonesia has to protect its natural resource base, forests and others,” Sheikh said. “They’re not only important to Indonesia and its economy, they’re also important to stabilize global temperature and global climate.”

Endah Murniningtyas, a deputy minister for national resources and environment at Indonesia’s National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas), claimed that the Indonesian government had “mainstreamed” low-emission growth in its development agenda. In Indonesian development parlance, “mainstreaming” means an issue is at least nominally regarded as a core priority, often at the behest of outsiders, that policy makers are obliged to address.

“Indonesia has internalized, has mainstreamed emission reductions in its development programs,” Endah said.

“In many countries, climate change and development issues have not been combined. But I can say in Indonesia we’ve luckily done that, although there remain many challenges ahead.”

She added Indonesia was willing to continue its environmental leadership, this time with green growth campaign in Southeast Asia.

“Since the beginning, Indonesia has been committed to taking the lead, to give examples as to how this [green campaign] can be done,” Endah said.

She added she believed, supporting the OECD report’s suggestion, that low-emission development would not go against Southeast Asia’s goals of economic growth and poverty reductions.

Tamaki, meanwhile, dismissed concerns that green technologies to support low-emission developments were too expensive for developing nations, citing as an example the continually declining costs of solar power, an alternative renewable energy source.

“Looking at the solar panel prices, they decline very quickly. [Solar panel] is now a traded good in international markets. Any countries, developed or developing, can enjoy the price changes, price declines.”

Tamaki said what remained to be seen was willpower from governments in Southeast Asia to embrace low-emission developments, suggesting that they could begin with attracting more foreign direct investments in the renewable energy sector.

He added governments in Southeast Asia, too, could use carbon trading and or carbon taxation schemes to encourage the growth of sustainable development projects in their respective nations.

“Public and private finance providers are increasingly seeking green investment opportunities as part of a growing international and domestic trend towards investment portfolios, whose profits go hand-in-hand with environmental performance,” the OECD report says.

“Southeast Asia has the opportunity to lead this global shift, given its rapid industrialization and natural resource wealth.”

Green Growth Is ‘Way to Go,’ Wealthy Nations Declare - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Indonesia Needs to Focus on Infrastructure to Secure Growth, Strategist Says
By Jakarta Globe on 06:19 pm Nov 13, 2014

Jakarta. Indonesia needs to develop its infrastructure in order for the economy to grow further, and newly elected President Joko Widodo is on the right path with a focus on building ports across the nation, a global strategist says.

“I’ve noticed a trend towards democracies that get frustrated with their past performance starting to elect leaders on more explicitly technocratic kinds of mandates, and that’s happened here, in the Philippines and India,” Dr. Parag Khanna said in an interview with the Jakarta Globe on Thursday.

“Indonesia’s extremely significant in that regard because the world economy is looking for countries with large populations that have not grown up to their potential to make those infrastructure investments. So the mood in Indonesia now focuses and supports this emphasis on infrastructure as a catalyst of growth.”

Indonesia’s spending on infrastructure relative to gross domestic product is less than 5 percent.

Typically a nation should strive to have 25 percent to 30 percent of GDP as investment in infrastructure, and in China that’s 50 percent, said Dr. Khanna, who is also an adjunct professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore.

Alibaba this past week had billions of dollars in online sales from the so-called Singles Day, as parcels were shipped out on a network of roads that now exceeds that of the United States.

Alibaba would not have been able to achieve that without high-quality infrastructure, Dr. Khanna said in a meeting titled “Indonesia Smart Country Outlook Summit” at the Shangri-La Hotel in Jakarta.

Infrastructure in Indonesia is in decay, and having ports will help facilitate the transport of goods between islands, he argued.

“Jokowi is exactly correct to be saying, ‘Yes, we need more ports,’ ” Dr. Khanna said, referring to the president by his nickname.

The analyst equated Indonesia with Brazil and India in terms of economic size and development.

“A big country has to be active on domestic issues, on economic issues, on diplomatic issues, on strategic issues all at the same time,” said Dr. Khanna. “This is the next time around when the whole world has its eyes on Indonesia, where Indonesia is strategic in Asia and is an important global, emerging market. Today India is respected for its economy.”

“This [Indonesia] is one of the largest destinations for foreign investment in the entire world. So, it’s going to be about transparency, rule of law, about efficiency, about quality of infrastructure, about diversifying the economy,” he added.

Joko wants to bring back economic growth to a 7 percent annual pace. But that may take some time. Growth in the third quarter was 5 percent, which was the slowest in five years.

Dr. Khanna said at the summit that Indonesia is tipped to become a developed country over the next few decades on the back of its huge and growing middle class population.

He said that Indonesia’s growing middle class would ensure a sustained domestic demands, an economic advantage that few of its peers have. In addition, Indonesia also has a demographic bonus, with young people outnumbering the elderly.

Khanna said Indonesia has the world’s ninth-largest GDP with an economy valued at $ 2.39 trillion, slightly above that of the United Kingdom, which stands at $2.32 trillion as measured by purchasing power parity.

The latest survey on 600 CEOs revealed that Indonesia is the country’s third-largest investment destination in the world, after China and the United States.

Meanwhile, Ancora chairman and former trade minister Gita Wirjawan, also at the summit, said that while Indonesia has advantages, the country bears many weaknesses, namely the current account deficit and mismanagement of fuel subsidies.

Gita says there are three policies that might be implemented by the new president to make Indonesia better.

The first would be to increase tax revenues through a tax amnesty policy, he said. The second would be to encourage the growth of the manufacturing sector with the aim of creating jobs and increasing exports, and the third is managing fuel subsidy policies effectively, such as by raising the price or replace it with alternative energy, Gita said.

Additional reporting from Investor Daily

BeritaSatu Media Holdings, the parent company of the Jakarta Globe, was a sponsor of Indonesia Smart Country Outlook Summit

Indonesia Needs to Focus on Infrastructure to Secure Growth, Strategist Says - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Cosmetics Giant Mustika Ratu to Venture into Property Next Year
By Rausyan Fikri on 03:55 pm Nov 13, 2014

Jakarta.Publicly traded traditional cosmetics company Mustika Ratu is set to branch out into the property industry next year, setting aside as much as Rp 500 billion ($41 million) to build apartments, warehouses and commercial and residential space over a 11-hectare land in Bekasi, West Java.

Dwi Putri Yanthi, associate director of marketing and corporate development at Mustika Ratu, said that the company is still waiting for a license for the project, but construction is scheduled to begin in the third quarter of next year. The company targets to complete construction by 2017.

“We will start marketing the project next year,” said Dwi in Jakarta on Wednesday.

As for its main business, Mustika Ratu is looking to increase its exports to Europe and Africa in efforts to increase its revenue next year, following its recent foray into the two regions — namely Germany and Togo.

“Currently, exports contribute 7 percent of revenue. We aim to increase it to 11 percent next year,” Dwi said.

The company is currently talking with a distribution company in Germany with a plan to sell Mustika Ratu products in other European Union countries through Germany.

Cosmetics Giant Mustika Ratu to Venture into Property Next Year - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Bank Indonesia Holds Key Interest Rate for 12th Month as Current Account Deficit Narrows
By Agustiyanti on 04:04 pm Nov 13, 2014

Jakarta. Indonesia’s central bank, Bank Indonesia, maintained the benchmark interest rate at 7.5 percent on Thursday for the 12 straight month in an ongoing effort to narrow the current account balance, despite the nation’s economic slowdown.

The central bank decided to hold the lending facility rate at 7.5 percent and the deposit rate at 5.75 percent, Bank Indonesia governor Agus Martowardojo said after the monthly board meeting in Jakarta on Thursday.

The governor said that Indonesia current account — which is the widest account for goods and services exchange, and income and remittance transfer across borders — narrowed to 3.07 percent of gross domestic product compared with 4.27 percent of GDP in the second quarter.

Agus forecasts inflation at between 3.5 percent and 5.5 percent by the end of this year, and between 3 percent and 5 percent in 2015.

The country’s economy grew by 5.01 percent in the third quarter this year — its slowest pace in five years — according to data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS).

Bank Indonesia Holds Key Interest Rate for 12th Month as Current Account Deficit Narrows - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Residential Property Sales Growth Slows in Q3 on High Mortgage Interest
By Jakarta Globe on 08:50 pm Nov 11, 2014

Jakarta. The growth of Indonesia’s residential property prices slowed in the third quarter this year, reflecting slowing demand in line with slowing economic growth, according to Bank Indonesia’s latest survey.

Prices increased 6.5 percent in the July-September period this year compared to the same period last year according the survey. That compared to a 7.4 percent advance in the previous three month period.

The Residential Property Price Survey, which was conducted by the Indonesian central bank, attributed the slowdown to a stable economic adjustment process which it said is still ongoing and “is expected to result in more balanced and sustainable growth.”

More than three quarters of Indonesian property buyers are still dependent on bank loans to purchase their houses, especially those buyers of small houses, the survey showed.

Those potential first time buyers should have been deterred by high interest rates charged on their mortgage.

The central bank is expected to kept its benchmark rate at 7.5 percent for 12 consecutive months on Thursday in an attempt to slow down growth and, in turn, narrow the country’s current account deficit. Bank Indonesia intends the deficit narrows to 3 percent of the gross domestic product by the end of this year, from a record 4.3 percent of the GDP in the second quarter.

The largest economy in Southeast Asia expanded just by 5 percent in the last quarter, its slowest pace in five years.

Bank Indonesia predicted that residential property price growth will slow further in the fourth quarter.

Still, demand for upscale apartments seems unaffected by high interest rates.

Lippo Karawaci, the largest listed property developer in Indonesia, sold most of its Eastern Wing Embarcadero SuitesBintaro apartment units during its launch over the weekend.

The property developer sold over 140 units of a total of 156 in just five hours, even with units starting at Rp 590 million ($48,300), or more than 18 times the average Indonesian’s annual income.

Industry players expected demand will pick up next year, especially in Jakarta’s apartments as limited land availability in the capital prompted more people to choose an apartment lifestyle.

Demand for strata title apartments in the capital is expected to grow by at least 19 percent to 25,000 units next year compared to this year.

Property consultant Colliers International Indonesia predicted that stock for apartments will reach 28,950 units in 2015, which will include projects that missed their completion target this year.

Ferry Salanto, associate director at Colliers International Indonesia, said sales of apartments have recovered since the recent presidential election.

Ferry attributed the demand growth to the people’s wish to live in the heart of the city and to the gradual mindset change from living on land to high rise buildings.

“On the other hand, people also buy apartments for investment,” he said.

Residential Property Sales Growth Slows in Q3 on High Mortgage Interest - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Archi Indonesia Aims to Raise $320m
By Jakarta Globe on 09:49 pm Nov 12, 2014

Jakarta. Indonesian gold miner Archi Indonesia, a subsidiary of Rajawali Corpora, aims to raise up to Rp 3.9 trillion ($320 million) from the initial public offering next month to pay off debt and to fund expansion.

Archi, which has a mining operation in Toka Tindung project in North Sulawesi, offers 1.6 billion shares or around 40.41 percent of its total equity.

“The shares are offered at Rp 1,895 to Rp 2,445 per share,” Hendra Surya, president director of Archi Indonesia said in a press conference on Wednesday.

He said the funds for the IPO will be used to pay debt for $216.2 million due on Dec. 30 to London-listed gold miner Archipelago Resources.

Rajawali Corpora, which is controlled by tycoon Peter Sondakh, acquired Archipelago Resources last year in a $541 million deal. Archipelago operates mining sites in North Sulawesi, the Philippines and Vietnam.

Rajawali also has businesses in hotels, plantations, broadcasting and transportation.

Hendra said that the proceeds from the IPO will also be used to acquire 99.98 percent shares of Smart Mining Resources at a cost of $35.9 million.

The company will use the rest of the funds for working capital, including new office facilities, employees residents and other facilities in the mining sector.

“The IPO is a huge step in supporting our business development,” he said.

More than 6.4 million shares, or 0.4 percent, will be used in an Employee Stock Allocation program, as part of the company’s plan to allocate up to 3 percent of its total equity to management and employee stock option plan.

CIMB Securities Indonesian, Danareksa Sekuritas, Mandiri Sekuritas and Valbury Asia Securities will act as the underwriters in this offering.

Archi plan to list on the Indonesia Stock Exchange on Dec. 15.

The company is also planning to embark on an international road show to attract potential investors.

Archi Indonesia Aims to Raise $320m - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Indonesia Dominates Southeast Asia Car and Motorcycle Sales
By Basten Gokkon on 05:48 pm Nov 12, 2014

Jakarta. Car and motorcycle sales in Southeast Asia were dominated by Indonesia between January and September this year, the Asean Automotive Federation (AAF) said on Wednesday.

Latest data from the AAF showed sales in Indonesia accounted for 39.2 percent of all sales in the region, overtaking Thailand, which was in the top spot in 2013.

Sales of four-wheelers in Southeast Asia’s largest economy stood at 932,943 units in September 2014, up 2.7 percent from 908,330 at the same time last year.

Transactions in Thailand, meanwhile, nosedived, falling 37.3 percent to 648,410 units from 1,034,279 units over the same period last year. Southeast Asia’s second-largest economy still accounted for 27.3 percent of sales, behind only Indonesia.

Indonesia, the world’s fourth-most populous country, retained top spot in motorcycle sales, making up 73.1 percent of sales within Asean.

Although motorcycle sales across the region dipped slightly to 8,319,132 units in 2014, the market in Indonesia remained strong. A total of 6,079,915 units were sold in the third quarter of this year, rising 4.6 percent from 5,812,807 units at the same period last year.

Thailand, behind only Indonesia, accounted for 16 percent of sales, or 1,324,603 units, a 16.7 percent drop on 2013.

The AAF figures showed car sales in the Asean region dropped 10.8 percent to 2,380,683 units from 2,670,074 over the same nine-month period the year previous.

Singapore showed the fastest regional growth (34.2 percent) year-on-year, while Vietnam was not far behind, climbing 30.5 percent.

Brunei Darussalam was the only other country that posted a drop in car sales, falling almost 3 percent to 13,722 from 14,115 units, according to AAF data.

Indonesia Dominates Southeast Asia Car and Motorcycle Sales - The Jakarta Globe
 
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Indonesia Aims for Economic growth of 5.8% Next Year, Finance Minister Says
By Kanupriya Kapoor & Fergus Jensen on 02:33 pm Nov 12, 2014

Jakarta. Indonesia’s finance minister said the country’s new government aims to achieve annual economic growth of between 5.5 to 5.8 percent in 2015, faster than the 5.1 percent forecast for this year.

Finance Minister Bambang Brodjonegoro, speaking at a US-Indonesia Investment Summit in Jakarta on Wednesday, said he wants investment to be the engine of growth, and is targeting for it to expand 10-16 percent next year.

“The role of foreign direct investment will be even more critical next year,” Brodjonegoro said.

In July-September, Southeast Asia’s largest economy grew 5.01 percent from a year earlier, its slowest pace in five years.

Indonesia Aims for Economic growth of 5.8% Next Year, Finance Minister Says
 
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Tax Man Cometh in Indonesia in Jokowi’s Quest for Cash
By Bloomberg on 10:29 am Oct 30, 2014

The tax man cometh. And next year in Indonesia, there will be more of them.

In his mission to raise revenue available for investing in roads, rail and ports in Southeast Asia’s largest economy, President Joko Widodo’s administration is planning to expand the ranks of tax collectors. Finance Minister Bambang Brodjonegoro, who took office Oct. 27, said in an interview on Wednesday that the campaign will target both companies and individuals.

Jokowi, as the president who took office last week is known, also will probably scale back fuel subsidies by year-end as a first step in creating fiscal space for investment and assistance for the poor in 2015, according to Bambang. The goal is to boost Indonesia’s slowing economic growth and address income inequality in the world’s fourth most-populous nation.

“Our concern now is how to make growth with quality,” Bambang, 48, said at the finance ministry in Jakarta, in his first interview since being appointed. The president wants to reduce the income gap and has stressed the importance of an economic program “that has direct impact to the common people,” he said.

Improving the government’s budget is the first step toward achieving Jokowi’s promises to voters, as he inherits an economy expanding at its slowest since 2009 and a near-record current account deficit that is weighing on the rupiah. The leader plans to bolster sea-transport links and ports in the world’s largest archipelago, one of his priorities as he aims for a growth pace Indonesia hasn’t seen since before the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s.

Creating growth

“Bigger fiscal space could come from two sources — one from optimizing the revenue, from tax especially, and secondly of course we need to reallocate our spending from consumptive or non-productive to the productive,” Bambang said. “If we have more productive spending, it will create growth by itself, especially if we focus on infrastructure.”

Among the administration’s challenges will be weaning the country off fuel subsidies that cost more than $20 billion a year, consuming more than a 10th of government spending in the 2015 budget. It also strains the trade balance by boosting demand for energy imports. Dismantling the decades-old program is a political hot potato — protests accompanied past price increases and riots spurred by soaring living costs helped oust dictator Suharto in 1998.

Jokowi has also pledged to improve the bureaucracy and curb corruption, all while he lacks a majority in parliament. The opposition built around losing presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto holds the speaker positions in both houses of the legislature. Indonesia ranked 114th among 177 countries and territories in a 2013 Transparency International corruption perceptions report.

Tax challenge

Boosting tax collection will be a challenge, said David Sumual, chief economist at Bank Central Asia in Jakarta.

“It’s quite hard, we have declining economic growth,” David said. “It depends on the political will of the government. It depends on the resources at the ministry of finance. Sometimes the bureaucracy doesn’t want to do it.”

Bambang said this week his priority is to retain the country’s resilience ahead of any possible US Federal Reserve interest-rate increase next year, which could spur outflows from emerging markets.

The rupiah and benchmark Jakarta Composite Index climbed yesterday after he signaled a change in the fuel subsidy would probably happen in the coming weeks.

The minister said a fixed subsidy system will be his main recommendation to the president, reiterating a strategy he laid out in August while he was a vice-finance minister in the previous administration.

Urban planning

“He is definitely a man with a vision,” Santitarn Sathirathai, a Singapore-based economist at Credit Suisse Group, said before the interview. “But how those visions play out is something to see as some of the economic objectives require things beyond the ministry of finance.”

Bambang has a doctorate in urban and regional planning from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign in the US, where he also acquired a Master of Urban Planning. He’s edited books on decentralization and regional development in Indonesia, and written articles on regional inflation, avenues for reform in the Indonesian pension plan.

His Ph.D dissertation focused on a model for calculating the impact of various inputs on the economy of the Jakarta metropolitan area. He has a Bachelor in Economics degree from the University of Indonesia.

China demand risk

Indonesia needs to prepare for the possible normalization of monetary policy in the US next year, he said. Slowing growth in China is another challenge for the country, a commodities exporter, he said in an interview with Bloomberg TV.

Before being made vice finance minister in former president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s government, Bambang was head of fiscal policy at the ministry, overseeing revenue policy, fiscal risk and the budget.

He is a former dean of the economics faculty at the University of Indonesia — whose graduates have helped shape the country’s economic policy for decades. Still listed as a professor on the university website, he has taught regional and urban economics, economics of regulation, mathematical economics, economics of development and economic modeling.

Bambang comes from a family of academics. His grandfather was also a university professor, and his father, Soemantri Brodjonegoro, was a rector at the University of Indonesia who served in President Suharto’s cabinet as a minister for mining, as well as minister for education.

Near poor

Jokowi needs funds to ensure every Indonesian, especially the “poor or near poor,” has access to basic health and education services, Bambang said. The president plans to start a smart-card program for health and education next year, he said.

The government will improve profiling of tax payers and will hire more account representatives and tax officers, the minister said. The comments back up a pledge this week by the tax office chief, Fuad Rahmany, to go directly to chief executives and “request they pay and if necessary, we will threaten them.”

Jokowi has targeted a tax-to-gross domestic product ratio of 16 percent within his first term.

“Now, we only have tax ratio of around 12 percent,” Bambang said. “Basically our target next year is to increase that, but more importantly, to meet the target first. Because usually we have the target, but we never achieve the target.”

Bloomberg

Tax Man Cometh in Indonesia in Jokowi’s Quest for Cash - The Jakarta Globe
 
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