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Indian strategy and our response

Kashmir’s illegal annexation: policy options for Pakistan
By Sherry Rehman
Published: August 23, 2019
TWEET EMAIL
2039808-image-1566531621-566-640x480.jpg

Photo: REUTERS

2039808-image-1566531621-566-160x120.jpg
2039808-SherryRehman-1566492542-892-160x120.JPG

New Delhi’s unilateral annexation of Kashmir is being celebrated in India as a major constitutional and political coup. In fact, many Indian analysts are selling the abrogation of Article 370 as a fait accompli, while failing to recognise that India’s undemocratic and illegal action will have serious repercussions for regional stability and directly compromise its democratic credentials. Moreover, the gross human rights violations in Kashmir and the BJP government’s plans to change the demographic Muslim majority character of the region are being seen as ethnic cleansing in India’s only Muslim-majority state.

Pakistan has already called for seeking redress from the ICJ on the egregious human rights violations by India, and moved the UNSC for a discussion on Kashmir; a first since 1971. To send a message of unstinting support to the people of Kashmir, and resoluteness to the international community in the wake of India’s attempt at annexing IoK, some options can be considered.

Kashmir is a national issue and evokes widespread sentiment in Pakistan. All political parties stand against India’s forcible annexation of Kashmir against the will of its people. The resolution passed by the joint session of Parliament reflects this consensus. The government should form a multi-party committee with members who have foreign policy experience to activate the Kashmiri diaspora, meet legislators in P5 countries and international human rights organisations, to highlight the plight of Kashmiris and their right to self-determination under UNSC resolutions. Pakistan should appoint a special envoy for Kashmir — someone who commands the confidence of all political parties and institutions in the country and abroad. They should work in close coordination with Pakistan’s Foreign Office and ambassadors in major world capitals and the UN.

Pakistan should also approach the UNSC under Chapter VII Article 39 that deals with “Threats to International Peace and Security”. The three conditions triggering UNSC Article 39 are – the existence of any threat to peace, breach of peace, or act of aggression. Pakistan can make a case in the first two instances. In recent times, UNSC Article 39 has been triggered in terrorism and humanitarian crises. Pakistan has a strong case since Indian actions are a contravention of – UNSC Resolution 38 that calls on governments to inform the Council of any change and consult the Council in this regard; UNSC Resolution 47 that states that the dispute of J&K be settled by a free and fair plebiscite, as the continuation of the dispute endangers international peace and security; and the Simla Agreement which states that Indo-Pak relations will be governed by the UN Charter.

As a member of the UNHRC, Pakistan should raise the issue of human rights violations, including the right to self-determination, enshrined in the UN Charter. It should highlight UNHCHR reports documenting abuses and arbitrary arrests of Kashmiris by Indian forces. A UN peacekeeping mission should be immediately sent to Kashmir to protect civilians. Moreover, the Red Cross and Red Crescent (ICRC) and international media should be allowed access to IoK. Pakistan’s missions abroad should share fact files with international human rights organisations such as Amnesty International and HRW to create public awareness of Indian violations of human rights.

An emergency motion should be moved in the General Assembly of the Inter-Parliamentary Union being held in Belgrade in October, to sensitise participants about the violations of fundamental rights in IoK. Parliament should also call for a meeting of the Commonwealth Parliamentary Association and the Asian Parliamentary Association.

The annexation of Kashmir is illegal under international law. India has “occupied” J&K according to Article 42 of the Hague Regulations 1907, which state that “territory is considered occupied when it is placed under the authority of the hostile army”. This applies to contested territory like Kashmir. India has imposed authority in occupied Kashmir with the presence of 900,000 troops, puppet governments and draconian laws like AFPSPA that allow security forces powers to arrest, kill on suspicion, and search and destroy property suspected of belonging to insurgents. They also allow security forces to preventively detain individuals without trial and charge (approximately 20,000 individuals have been detained). This has frustrated the Kashmiris right to self-determination.

Furthermore, SC Resolution 47 passed in 1948 called for a free and fair plebiscite in the region. This referendum has never been executed and without it, India has no legal claim — the territory remains contested. Even if the occupation meets no resistance, its existence means there is an international armed conflict. India is bound by rules applicable to an international armed conflict under international humanitarian law, including the Geneva Conventions and the laws of occupation under the Hague Regulations 1907.

India has routinely breached these laws, in some cases so gravely they potentially constitute war crimes. Civilians have been intentionally targeted by security forces, murdered in reprisal attacks, and summarily executed in custody. Reports of torture by international observers revealed systematic coercion of detainees to reveal information. Cordon and search operations have involved sexual violence as retribution, or collective punishment and humiliation of communities. Indiscriminate weapons like pellet guns and cluster munitions have been used resulting in deaths, blinding and impairment. Failing to prosecute those accused of war crimes is a breach of the Geneva Conventions.

Article 35A of the Indian Constitution is not relevant to Pakistan. But its provisions bar non-Kashmiris from settling or buying property in IoK, complying with Article 49 of GCIV, which prohibits the transfer or deportation of persons in occupied territory. Its revocation means that Indian citizens can permanently settle, buy land, and hold local government jobs in the area. It is a breach of GCIV and it is feared India may be attempting to change the demographics of the state. Splitting the state into two suggests a West Bank settler arrangement.

For a political solution, Pakistan should work closely with the US and political factions in Afghanistan to find a peaceful solution in Afghanistan and highlight the timing of India’s move as a means to disrupt the reconciliation process. Pakistan should work closely with China to address Chinese concerns vis-à-vis Ladakh and Pakistan’s concerns in IoK. Pakistan must leverage Chinese diplomatic weight at multilateral forums to highlight the plight of Kashmiri people.

With violence in IoK likely to rise as curfew restrictions ease, India might divert the world’s attention from the indigenous freedom struggle by increasing ceasefire violations along LoC; undertaking a false flag operation in Kashmir; resorting to allegations of cross-border terrorism against Pakistan. To preempt Indian actions, Pakistan must increase intelligence gathering in IoK, especially along the LoC; inform diplomatic missions, including those of the P5, of Indian intentions; highlight the indigenous nature of the freedom movement in Kashmir; and focus on how Indian aggression against the Kashmiri people is the cause of violence in Kashmir.

Pakistan should amplify the differences in the condition of people in GB/AJK and that of people living under the Indian occupation. It should take all possible measures to ensure that a new international narrative on Indian oppression in Kashmir is brought forward.


Published in The Express Tribune, August 23rd, 2019.
 
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I feel shame on it we are having everything to dive in a war but still waiting for our sisters to be raped.

Living like cowards...??? It's better to die. Pakistan can make Kashmir free by just 10000 soldiers because there are millions of Muslims in Kashmir to go with us.

Your sister is being raped in front of you and instead of taking any action you are checking your pockets, friends and relationships. If it is so(it is) then you are THE SHIT GUY ON PLANET.
 
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Right after Prime Minister Imran Khan's visit to the United States, Indian government removed article 370 from Indian constitution in an effort to change the demography of occupied Kashmir region. Preparations for this change started many years back.

In the last 15 years, India kept us busy in our financial matters, developed relations with Afghanistan and Iran and surrounded us from all sides except from a small northern corridor that connects us with China. Not just India kept us busy with real terrorism by supporting elements thriving outside of Pakistan, it provided funds to the politicians and helped them stash money abroad, develop policies that proved harmful for Pakistan's economy in the long run and defame Kashmir struggle by forcing the world to believe that Kashmiris' demand to get the right of self determination is in fact terrorism. Unfortunately, Pakistan's poor performance in foreign affairs department gave our cunning neighbor a free hand when our state turned its eyes away from our traditional friends and let India develop diplomatic, social and economic ties.

So What's the Current Situation for Pakistan?

1 - India enjoys a preferential treatment when it comes to diplomatic and economic relations even among Muslim countries (including our time tested friends in GCC, and our western neighbors Iran and Afghanistan). There are a couple of exceptions though, i.e. China and Turkey. With China, India has some unsolved disputes and it is one major reason we have China still on our side. Turkey, one the other hand, is not a very powerful country and situated faraway, and thus India doesn't feel threatened by Turkey's actions. Be very clear, it wasn't Pakistan's excellent performance on diplomatic front that kept China and Turkey on our side. Pakistan has lost most of its traditional friends due to our worst diplomatic performance over the past 10-15 years.

2 - India is financially very strong with huge purchasing power and this inclines most of the countries to its side. Pakistan on the other hand has to take measures to reduce our imports further and this is not liked by many countries in the world. No one in the world cares about the innocent people being murdered all over the world, unless they are directly affected by the consequences. Kashmir is a faraway region and no one cares about it. In fact, the economic ties with India are more lucrative and give more dividends in the short and long run. Occasional demonstrations to remind the world about its moral obligations are not enough to get the much needed support.

3 - India is militarily much more stronger than Pakistan. With its current inventory and already signed contracts in all three branches of security forces, the gap is increasing rapidly. Moreover, India has access to more conventional weapon systems than Pakistan without exceptions. The whole world wants to sell its weapons and India has the cushion of choosing the better (if not the best) available weapons from any country, be it a S-400 air Defense system or fifth Generation fighter jets. Pakistan on the other hand has access to only Chinese weapons without restrictions. Other countries put caveats on the usage of weapons. This access to additional weapons is more favorable to India in case it decides to invade us and the conventional war extends to more than six months.

The above three situations provided extra ordinary confidence to India when it abolished Article 370 from its constitution. Many believe that while Pakistan was busy in negotiating a deal between US and Taliban, India received a go ahead from its western friends (including the United States) to play its final card on Kashmir.

What's the current situation for Kashmiris in Indian Occupied Kashmir

Because of India's strong position on diplomatic and economic fronts, we have not seen a strong response from the world condemning the human rights situation in IoK. The countries and international media outlets, which continued to report on Uighur Muslims multiple times a day due to their vested interests against China, have given less than 10% of the coverage of Kashmir in comparison. For them, Hong Kong is a bigger issue than Kashmir currently.

Kashmiris are being murdered, women are being raped and children are being abducted, and the whole world is just.. watching.

What are Indian Plans

Many of us are of the view that India is soon going to attack Pakistan. I respectfully do not share this standpoint and in my honest opinion, India will continue with its Genocide in Kashmir. Why I say this, following points may provide some merit to my opinion:

1 - Going to a war wiith Pakistan will internationalize this issue further and UNSC will have to, although unhappily, take up the issue and pass another resolution. It is in India's favor to continue with the genocide for the next several years and keep Pakistan on its toes on western and eastern borders.

2 - India has an extremely difficult to tackle unconventional weapon. Here I am not referring to nuclear option that even Pakistan has and can use that on India preemptively in case of war. The unconventional weapon I am talking about here is water. With article 370 gone, India believes that it is under no obligation to provide Pakistan's share of water as inked in Indus Water Treaty. India can easily destroy 1000s of hectres of ready crops in summers and block our rightful share of water in winter. In addition, the socio-economic impact of Indian water terrorism is so huge that Pakistan might post negative growth in the coming years if India fully takes control of the water. When a country has all the time and this type of unconventional weapon, it will be extremely unwise for it to go to war to defeat its enemy.

3 - Some people believe that India wants to capture AJK and GB and that's one of the reason of imminent Indian attack. I disagree with this point of view as well because Indian intention from the beginning is to convert LoC into international border. Indian plan is to keep the world unaware of the situation in IoK (even if there's free media in Kashmir, world will only focus on Hong Kong though) and push the refugees towards LoC so that Pakistani people pressurize Pakistan to accept and settle them in Pakistan. The recent statements from Indian terrorist politicians about kidnapping Kashmiri girls is part of this dirty plan because at one point, Kashmiris will prefer saving the dignity of their daughters and move to Pakistan rather than staying there and keep giving their innocent Kashmiri girls and children to Hindu terrorists. India may, however, apply the same tactics in other states which are protected till now under its constitution.

What are Pakistani options?

While the recent diplomatic offensive of Pakistan on India is great (although extremely late), it is simply not enough to stop India from implementation of its plans. At one point, world will stop reading Prime Minister Imran Khan's tweets and UN/ SC will start ignoring Pakistani requests of intervening in the region. Pakistani options are extremely limited:

1 - For the sake of Kashmiris, try to convince them to accept India constitution and live like other Muslims of India. On the surface, this option seems quite reasonable and beneficial for Kashmiris. However, given the nature of Hindu terrorists, it might give them a false indication that Pakistan can now be subjugated further. In my opinion, if Pakistan takes this route, it will be disintegrated.

2 - Strike a deal in Afghanistan quickly and form an alliance with Taliban. The only Muslims who have the will to help and support Muslims of other parts of the world are Taliban. However, we will have to support them in return whenever they need our support in future in return. As a Pakistani, I believe that when we require help, everything becomes halal.. All the support that comes from our friends is welcomed. However, when others expect something from us, we become neutral. Anyway, Pakistan and Taliban have an excellent working relationship as we can see Pakistani influence in the peace talks, we can safely assume that they will be willing to fight alongside Pakistanis in the gorilla war. It will take some time, but will eventually get us results. There's, however, a downside of this strategy. We will become financially extremely weak in the process. FATF will blacklist us on Indian demand and we will not be able to trade with a lot of countries freely.

3 - Consider water terrorism as an attack on Pakistan. Tell the world that Pakistan has lost a lot of people, livestock, crops and whatnot due to Indian unconventional attack on Pakistan using water and it is an attack on Pakistan's sovereignty. Allah swt has given Pakistan yet another reason to launch a counter attack. World will not condemn Pakistan fully if Pakistan attacks on dams and completely destroys them in the process as there is an ample evidence of Indian water terrorism. In response, Indian will either attack Pakistan or increase its genocide. If India attacks Pakistan, Pakistan's objective will be achieved. If not, Pakistan should do a false flag attack on Pakistani soil.. and attack India again.

Remember guys, India fear the war more than Pakistan.. The recent progress they achieved in the last decade will reverse. Foreign investment will reduce, tourism sector will destroy, and the loss to India will be at least 50 times more than Pakistan. We know that in the process, we Pakistanis may go instinct, but the world will remember Pakistan as a dignified nation rather than a hapless coward nation. Other countries will also learn a thing or two of how to prefer a dignified death. We are a nation of Muhammad Sallallahu Alaihe Wasallam, and our ancestors include Abu Bakr Siddiq, Umar Bin Khattab, Uthman Ghani, Ali bin Abi Talib, Khalid Bin Walid, Hassan and Hussain and many other Sahaba (Radiallahu Ta'ala Anhum) and people like Muhammad Bin Qasim, Nooruddin Zangi, Sultan Salahuddin Ayubi, Sultan Mehmood Ghaznavi, Tipu Sultan, and many more.. and our recent example is Muhammad Ali Jinnah, who attacked Kashmir without thinking about the consequences and snatched a large part of Kashmir during his lifetime.

Just remember: A coward dies hundred times a day, the brave meets death but once


@Mangus Ortus Novem @Shane @Khafee @Dubious @Signalian @I.R.A @Areesh @war&peace @Farah Sohail @Zibago @Arsalan @waz and others
actually they have reached a deal with india on kashmir, in that deal laddak and jammu were supposed to be annexed by india srinagar and AJK to be formed a independent country GB to be annexed by Pakistan.

This is a whole drama......Trump had praised the decision to arrest Hafiz Saeed just prior to IK's visit there was part of this program and so is his offer/talk abt mediation on Kashmir.

Ye awam ko sahe bewakuf bana rahy hain, bajwa has got his extension, he has also got what he wanted, institutions can go to hell......This whole thing is a big drama show!
 
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actually they have reached a deal with india on kashmir, in that deal laddak and jammu were supposed to be annexed by india srinagar and AJK to be formed a independent country GB to be annexed by Pakistan.

This is a whole drama......Trump had praised the decision to arrest Hafiz Saeed just prior to IK's visit there was part of this program and so is his offer/talk abt mediation on Kashmir.

Ye awam ko sahe bewakuf bana rahy hain, bajwa has got his extension, he has also got what he wanted, institutions can go to hell......This is whole a big drama show!
this is bulshit ... if it was so Imran Khan wouldn't have termed Modi has Hitler, fascist and fanatic..
 
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Play rough and stay proactive, not reactive.


actually they have reached a deal with india on kashmir, in that deal laddak and jammu were supposed to be annexed by india srinagar and AJK to be formed a independent country GB to be annexed by Pakistan.

This is a whole drama......Trump had praised the decision to arrest Hafiz Saeed just prior to IK's visit there was part of this program and so is his offer/talk abt mediation on Kashmir.

Ye awam ko sahe bewakuf bana rahy hain, bajwa has got his extension, he has also got what he wanted, institutions can go to hell......This is whole a big drama show!

Bhai, What medicine are you on?
 
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this is bulshit ... if it was so Imran Khan wouldn't have termed Modi has Hitler, fascist and fanatic..
drama, all drama........think abt it, despite being on higher position after 27 feb. why havnt they done something abt this indian action?

Play rough and stay proactive, not reactive.




Bhai, What medicine are you on?
sahe kah raha hun lalay! ye sub drama kar rahy hain!
 
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drama, all drama........think abt it, despite being on higher position after 27 feb. why havnt they done something abt this indian action?


sahe kah raha hun lalay! ye sub drama kar rahy hain!

You know the country financial and security situation.... Imran Khan can’t do everything and opposition is not helping. They are all trying save their asses.
 
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You know the country financial and security situation.... Imran Khan can’t do everything and opposition is not helping. They are all trying save their asses.
i know lekin ye baat kuch orr ha, even shahbaz sharif ny b quomi assembly main kaha tha k ye kashmir ka soda kar gye hain.........

orr awal ye ha k jub pehle sy pta tha k article 370 or 35A india khatam karny ja raha ha or yaha tak k india puri dunya main apne diplomats sy unnki governments ko bta b raha tha iss bary main to humne uss waqt uss roka q nai? Abb q ye drama kar rahy hain k inn k sath dhooka ho gya ha?

Mery bhai! daal main zaroor kuch kala ha!
 
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It's the slow knife that cuts the deep as is the saying. We made some errors in approach to this issue.
We should've showed force before going UNSC. If we would've conducted airstrikes or some other serious measures right away forcing India towards war. World community would've gotten involved and no further escalation and only then we should've gone full diplomatic. We usually do things opposite way ugh. Imagine UNSC having a meeting a day or two after serious escalation. That was one way to force UNSC to intervene and take it seriously. Anyways what's done is done.
What to do now?
1. Wait until curfew is over until then bleed Indian army slowly especially target those specialized mountain troops. Gather intelligence where those special mountain troops are located and se snipers to nuterlize them one by one.They can be serious hassle for any internal movement of Kashmir too.
2. Have a wide plan for supporting Kashmiri movement and try to secure logistic lines to support them both from ceasefire line and within India itself.
3. Keep inching inwards towards Kashmir post by post. Ask Chinese for more ammo and artillery and keep Indians busy with artillery game.
4. As soon curfew is taken off there will be protest on streets of Kashmir and as soon Kashmiri movement by arms is at its peak apply pressure squeezing Indian army between internal security of Kashmir, confronting freedom fighters and Pakistan army simultaneously. Maybe Chinese can move couple of armored division closer to India.
6. Keep India in state of anxiety state of mind that there could be a war any day. It will keep the investment in India insecure it won't be as much. Maintaining army in active state across three fronts will hit Indian economy.
7. Keep telling the world we wanna talk and will talk while not talking at all keeping foreign relations at low.
8. Keep the airspace closed even for those ummah brothers whose airlines fly to India while they give awards to the one who wants to destroy us. India will loose more than us. Also will help Pakistan airlines securing some western routes.
9. Stay fully focused on closing Afghanistan deal so we can totally focus on Kashmir.
10. Quickly raise another armoured division and have all three commands on east have a full armored division at their disposal.
11. Double down taxes on those traders who do business with India wether directly from within Pakistan or via third country eg rice being sent to UAE from Pakistan and sold to international market as Indian. So Indian take credit for our quality products.
12. Ban all Bollywood movies and Indian media should be banned in Pakistan.
13. Every single day someone should make a statement about Kashmir while army destroy them post by post until we are in advantage.
14. Support every freedom movement in India wether Khalistan Asam Nagaland or human rights. We can use our left wing liberal loving lafafa khors to our use by diverting their attention to human rights violations in India. **** it pay Dawn some $$ to adopt pro Pak agenda because their religion is money and money is what they worship so why not set up a sepreate propaganda fund and let media houses prove their loyalty to tap into that fund.
Now that India talking nukes it means they have blinked now keep applying the slow pressure cutting deeper. Make Indian economy Indian forces and Indian RSS bleed from outside and inside. Let them scream and shout they cried wolf too many times and after this episode not many are going to take a heed. Especially as long as trump is president and we can balance Russia as well by keeping engaged.
Totally agree with you. Great plan
 
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there is NO indian strategy except that they are under a misconception that the world will put pressure on Pakistan to accept the status quo. BIG MISTAKE. Pakistan never accepted the status quo in afghanistan and was instrumental in wrestling control away from both nato & the u.s. and bringing the Afg Taliban back into a winning position...india kia baych ta hay? on top of that, Pakistan has an economy that is coming OUT of crisis while india has an economy that taking a nose dive...I mean people can't even afford a Rs. 5 parle's biscuits for cryin' out loud. yeh "yudh" larrain gey...chootiyay!
 
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Khalistan can be dangerous for us as Sikhs want parts of Pakistan to be part of it. Areas of importance to sikhs are Lahore (Ranjit Singh's tomb) and Katarpur. Can we give up some of our land for it?

Water issue is overblown - it's not easy to divert water.

Pakistani Punjab is near enough 100% Muslim, how is it dangerous for us?????:coffee:
 
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there is NO indian strategy except that they are under a misconception that the world will put pressure on Pakistan to accept the status quo. BIG MISTAKE. Pakistan never accepted the status quo in afghanistan and was instrumental in wrestling control away from both nato & the u.s. and bringing the Afg Taliban back into a winning position...india kia baych ta hay? on top of that, Pakistan has an economy that is coming OUT of crisis while india has an economy that taking a nose dive...I mean people can't even afford a Rs. 5 parle's biscuits for cryin' out loud. yeh "yudh" larrain gey...chootiyay!

Indian are not buying Rs. 5 Parle biscuits, yet Smartphone sale is going through the roof. Double digit growth each year. Something not adding up perhaps ?

As far as Pakistani response is concerned, did Pakistan not support India for UN Security Council seat just a while back ? Just shows how fine tuned Pakistani establishment is wrt India.

upload_2019-8-27_11-48-39.png


Kashmir’s illegal annexation: policy options for Pakistan
By Sherry Rehman
Published: August 23, 2019
TWEET EMAIL
2039808-image-1566531621-566-640x480.jpg

Photo: REUTERS

2039808-image-1566531621-566-160x120.jpg
2039808-SherryRehman-1566492542-892-160x120.JPG

New Delhi’s unilateral annexation of Kashmir is being celebrated in India as a major constitutional and political coup. In fact, many Indian analysts are selling the abrogation of Article 370 as a fait accompli, while failing to recognise that India’s undemocratic and illegal action will have serious repercussions for regional stability and directly compromise its democratic credentials. Moreover, the gross human rights violations in Kashmir and the BJP government’s plans to change the demographic Muslim majority character of the region are being seen as ethnic cleansing in India’s only Muslim-majority state.

Pakistan has already called for seeking redress from the ICJ on the egregious human rights violations by India, and moved the UNSC for a discussion on Kashmir; a first since 1971. To send a message of unstinting support to the people of Kashmir, and resoluteness to the international community in the wake of India’s attempt at annexing IoK, some options can be considered.

Kashmir is a national issue and evokes widespread sentiment in Pakistan. All political parties stand against India’s forcible annexation of Kashmir against the will of its people. The resolution passed by the joint session of Parliament reflects this consensus. The government should form a multi-party committee with members who have foreign policy experience to activate the Kashmiri diaspora, meet legislators in P5 countries and international human rights organisations, to highlight the plight of Kashmiris and their right to self-determination under UNSC resolutions. Pakistan should appoint a special envoy for Kashmir — someone who commands the confidence of all political parties and institutions in the country and abroad. They should work in close coordination with Pakistan’s Foreign Office and ambassadors in major world capitals and the UN.

Pakistan should also approach the UNSC under Chapter VII Article 39 that deals with “Threats to International Peace and Security”. The three conditions triggering UNSC Article 39 are – the existence of any threat to peace, breach of peace, or act of aggression. Pakistan can make a case in the first two instances. In recent times, UNSC Article 39 has been triggered in terrorism and humanitarian crises. Pakistan has a strong case since Indian actions are a contravention of – UNSC Resolution 38 that calls on governments to inform the Council of any change and consult the Council in this regard; UNSC Resolution 47 that states that the dispute of J&K be settled by a free and fair plebiscite, as the continuation of the dispute endangers international peace and security; and the Simla Agreement which states that Indo-Pak relations will be governed by the UN Charter.

As a member of the UNHRC, Pakistan should raise the issue of human rights violations, including the right to self-determination, enshrined in the UN Charter. It should highlight UNHCHR reports documenting abuses and arbitrary arrests of Kashmiris by Indian forces. A UN peacekeeping mission should be immediately sent to Kashmir to protect civilians. Moreover, the Red Cross and Red Crescent (ICRC) and international media should be allowed access to IoK. Pakistan’s missions abroad should share fact files with international human rights organisations such as Amnesty International and HRW to create public awareness of Indian violations of human rights.

An emergency motion should be moved in the General Assembly of the Inter-Parliamentary Union being held in Belgrade in October, to sensitise participants about the violations of fundamental rights in IoK. Parliament should also call for a meeting of the Commonwealth Parliamentary Association and the Asian Parliamentary Association.

The annexation of Kashmir is illegal under international law. India has “occupied” J&K according to Article 42 of the Hague Regulations 1907, which state that “territory is considered occupied when it is placed under the authority of the hostile army”. This applies to contested territory like Kashmir. India has imposed authority in occupied Kashmir with the presence of 900,000 troops, puppet governments and draconian laws like AFPSPA that allow security forces powers to arrest, kill on suspicion, and search and destroy property suspected of belonging to insurgents. They also allow security forces to preventively detain individuals without trial and charge (approximately 20,000 individuals have been detained). This has frustrated the Kashmiris right to self-determination.

Furthermore, SC Resolution 47 passed in 1948 called for a free and fair plebiscite in the region. This referendum has never been executed and without it, India has no legal claim — the territory remains contested. Even if the occupation meets no resistance, its existence means there is an international armed conflict. India is bound by rules applicable to an international armed conflict under international humanitarian law, including the Geneva Conventions and the laws of occupation under the Hague Regulations 1907.

India has routinely breached these laws, in some cases so gravely they potentially constitute war crimes. Civilians have been intentionally targeted by security forces, murdered in reprisal attacks, and summarily executed in custody. Reports of torture by international observers revealed systematic coercion of detainees to reveal information. Cordon and search operations have involved sexual violence as retribution, or collective punishment and humiliation of communities. Indiscriminate weapons like pellet guns and cluster munitions have been used resulting in deaths, blinding and impairment. Failing to prosecute those accused of war crimes is a breach of the Geneva Conventions.

Article 35A of the Indian Constitution is not relevant to Pakistan. But its provisions bar non-Kashmiris from settling or buying property in IoK, complying with Article 49 of GCIV, which prohibits the transfer or deportation of persons in occupied territory. Its revocation means that Indian citizens can permanently settle, buy land, and hold local government jobs in the area. It is a breach of GCIV and it is feared India may be attempting to change the demographics of the state. Splitting the state into two suggests a West Bank settler arrangement.

For a political solution, Pakistan should work closely with the US and political factions in Afghanistan to find a peaceful solution in Afghanistan and highlight the timing of India’s move as a means to disrupt the reconciliation process. Pakistan should work closely with China to address Chinese concerns vis-à-vis Ladakh and Pakistan’s concerns in IoK. Pakistan must leverage Chinese diplomatic weight at multilateral forums to highlight the plight of Kashmiri people.

With violence in IoK likely to rise as curfew restrictions ease, India might divert the world’s attention from the indigenous freedom struggle by increasing ceasefire violations along LoC; undertaking a false flag operation in Kashmir; resorting to allegations of cross-border terrorism against Pakistan. To preempt Indian actions, Pakistan must increase intelligence gathering in IoK, especially along the LoC; inform diplomatic missions, including those of the P5, of Indian intentions; highlight the indigenous nature of the freedom movement in Kashmir; and focus on how Indian aggression against the Kashmiri people is the cause of violence in Kashmir.

Pakistan should amplify the differences in the condition of people in GB/AJK and that of people living under the Indian occupation. It should take all possible measures to ensure that a new international narrative on Indian oppression in Kashmir is brought forward.


Published in The Express Tribune, August 23rd, 2019.

No wonder Pakistan's record in fighting cases in international arena is so dismal. This is the kind of useless advise establishment gets from "intelligentsia".
 
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