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India’s outsourcing industry sets $50bn revenue target

BANGALORE: India’s outsourcing industry on Tuesday set itself the goal of lifting revenue almost five-fold to 50 billion dollars by the end of 2012 by tapping new markets and a booming local economy. The target set by the National Association of Software and Service Companies (Nasscom) was based on a study that said the industry could accelerate growth by an annual 50 percent in the next five years from 35 percent in the last five. The study sponsored by Nasscom and conducted by consulting company Everest Group estimated the size of the untapped outsourcing market at about $280 billion. “Accelerated growth to capture the addressable spend in the international and domestic market could take the industry to $50 billion by 2012,” the study added.

The targeted growth can create two million direct jobs in India and add up to 2.5 percent to the nation’s economic output, said the study. India’s outsourcing industry, excluding large software makers, has grown to $11 billion in annual revenue and 700,000 people by head count by doing work for global companies at a fifth of the cost in the US or Europe. “We have barely scratched the surface so far,” Nasscom president Som Mittal told a news conference in this southern Indian city where he released the findings of the study. “The industry is now at an inflection point, ready to take off.” afp

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
Engaging India: Road to progress
By Jo Johnson, South Asia bureau chief
Financial Times, UK
January 31 2008 01:43

Engaging India is an online column analysing the issues, trends and forces behind the business and politics shaping India and its impact on the world. Engaging India appears Thursday mornings exclusively on FT.com India, a dedicated online section on India, and is written by Jo Johnson, the Financial Times’ South Asia bureau chief; Amy Yee, New Delhi correspondent; and Joe Leahy, Mumbai correspondent.

Many had come to believe that they would never see this day. More than two years behind schedule, the expressway linking New Delhi to its airport and to Gurgaon, a fast-growing satellite city teeming with malls and call centres, has opened at last. The 27.7km highway, the busiest inter-city route in India, will halve the journey time to the airport and slash perhaps 40 minutes off the nightmarish ride out to Gurgaon. A modest achievement by east Asian standards, it is real progress for India.

For years, the failure to attend to the chronic congestion on this critical artery suggested a disregard for the negative first impression that the road, like the dismal airport itself, left in the minds of overseas visitors.

Many first-timers to India, finding themselves trapped in truck-choked traffic on their way into town, would rub their heads in bemusement at the suggested coupling of India with China and fight off an urge to head straight back to the airport. The new road, which completes a crucial part of the New Delhi-Mumbai leg of the Golden Quadrilateral highway, is far from perfect. There are no pedestrian footbridges or underpasses, for example, an oversight that has prompted a hunger strike by locals; and teething problems with the concessionaire’s tollgates have this week been causing self-defeating 40-minute tailbacks. But it remains the best thing to have happened to the capital’s infrastructure since the opening of the Delhi metro in 2002.

The airport itself will also soon be transformed. A consortium led by GMR Group, an Indian infrastructure company, and Fraport, owner-operator of Frankfurt airport, is overhauling a structure that has become a national embarrassment. Indira Gandhi International’s leaky ceilings, flickering neon lights and worn-out linoleum will soon fade from memory. GMR is promising a state-of-the-art new terminal by 2010, by which time the airport should have its own metro line to the city centre.

The buzz surrounding these incremental improvements to the capital’s infrastructure is part of a bigger change now under way as India starts to make up for decades of under-investment. It is becoming possible to see snatches of a future in which India’s infrastructure is not wholly dysfunctional, a day when visiting Chinese businessmen do not split their sides laughing at the idea that a country many still write off as a large, exotic basket-case might soon emerge as a potent manufacturing rival.

The government is alive to the urgency of the infrastructure challenge. Its latest five-year plan, which calls for infrastructure spending of $492bn by 2012, up from $200bn in the prior 60-month period, is ambitious. But it remains more of an aspiration than a promise. The government plans to contribute just 30 per cent of the total, some $149bn, leaving the rest to the private sector, a tall order in the absence of a developed corporate bond market and a stable regulatory environment.

The electoral cycle is unlikely to help the government harness its available resources for infrastructure. In the run-up to a general election that must be held by May 2009, technocrats in the government will come under intense pressure to prioritise populist projects with an immediate pay-off, a trend already evident in the policymaking paralysis over whether to pass on rising fuel prices to heavily subsidised consumers, rather than ones with distant – but more lasting – returns to the economy.

The Congress party, which leads the United Progressive Alliance coalition, is showing signs of electoral nerves. It performed poorly in all five state assembly elections held last year. It lost power in two states (Punjab and Uttarakhand), clung on in one small state (Goa), was humiliated in India’s most populous and politically most important state (Uttar Pradesh) and failed to oust the Bharatiya Janata party from power in December’s closely watched two-way fight in Gujarat.

There is mounting pressure on Palaniappan Chidambaram, who as finance minister has made progress in reducing the fiscal deficit, to deliver an electioneering “people’s budget” on February 29. Combined with a looming public sector pay review, this could unravel much of his good work. Some Congress leaders see the budget as a last chance to buy votes with handouts aimed at softening the sting of widening inequalities between rich and poor, urban and rural areas and upper and lower castes.

The government is aware that even though overall poverty levels are falling, in a country in which up to 800m still survive on under $2 a day, there are large numbers who, in relative terms, feel poorer and angrier than ever. Manmohan Singh, India’s thoughtful prime minister, warned in a speech to a business group last year that if the wealthy did not behave in a more “socially responsible” manner, the country’s growth process could be at risk. “Our polity may become anarchic and our society may get further divided,” he said.

While Mr Singh knows that investment in physical and social infrastructure would be the best way to promote inclusive growth, it is unlikely that he will be able to stop the Congress party – hardly immune to the appeal of a return to the politics of envy – from squandering resources on redistributive measures with more immediate political payoffs ahead of the election. New Delhi, then, will not be built in a day. But the changes afoot in the capital may herald the beginning of the end of India’s long infrastructural nightmare.
 
Economy to expand 9.1% in FY08: NCAER
Reuters
January 30, 2008

New Delhi, January 30: The Indian Economy is expected to grow 9.1 percent during 2007/08, slightly slower than 9.4 percent last year, mainly due to a moderation in industrial growth, an economic think-tank said on Wednesday.

The growth projection is higher than the 8.9 percent that the National Council for Applied Economic Research (NCAER) forecast in October, and also from the 8.5 percent pegged by the central bank.

The NCAER said industry is expected to expand by 9.1 percent during 2007/08, compared with 11 percent a year earlier, while services sector will grow by 10.9 percent, compared with 11 percent last year.

High capital inflows supported investment, while a favourable monsoon boosted farm output, the NCAER said. Farm output will be higher by 3.8 percent during 2007/08, compared with 2.7 percent in the previous year, it said.

NCAER expects inflation to be around 4.5 percent by the end of this fiscal year, lower than central bank's forecast of 5 percent.

It also retained its forecast of fiscal deficit at 3.3 percent of gross domestic product for 2007/08.
 
India to spend US$800mn on rail network expansion
India Infoline News Service / Mumbai Jan 30, 2008 14:59

The investment will include plans to double the existing rail tracks in cities on critical routes, traversing Maharashtra, Karnataka, AP, Orissa, and Chhattisgarh

India's railway network, already one of the world's largest, is expected to become even larger with the South Asian nation considering an ambitious project that could cost more than US$800mn and include the doubling of existing rail tracks along some of the country's busiest transport corridors.

To combat inadequate infrastructure that has constrained economic growth, the Government of India and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) are preparing an investment program designed to increase the capacity and enhance the efficiency of India's railway sector.

The Japan Special Fund is providing a grant of up to US$1mn for the preparation of the Railway Sector Investment Program, and India will provide US$250,000 in logistical support. The Government of India asked the Asian Development Bank (ADB) to prepare the Railway Sector Investment Program for possible ADB financing of the railway expansion project, which could involve an ADB loan of US$500mn and a total project cost of more than US$800mn.

The Investment Program will include plans to double the existing rail tracks in cities on critical routes traversing the states of Maharashtra, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Orissa, and Chhattisgarh, and to enhance the capacity and efficiency of state-owned Indian Railways, which operates the nation's rail network. The Program also will include electrifying other lines passing through the states of Maharashtra, Karnataka, and Andhra Pradesh.

Railways are a significant component of India's transport sector. In 2006, railways carried 5.73bn passengers and 666.51mn metric tons of freight, up 6.5% and 10.7%, respectively, from a year earlier.

"Doubling rail tracks on critical routes would increase the physical infrastructure, while the use of modern signaling systems that can raise the capacity of the existing tracks would improve efficiency," said Prodyut Dutt, Senior Transport Specialist of ADB's India Resident Mission.

The Indian economy has become a leading global performer in recent years. However, poverty remains high, and faster economic development to promote broad-based economic growth and reduce poverty is needed. Transport infrastructure development programs are high priorities for the government, making ADB's strategy of reducing poverty through infrastructure-led growth especially relevant.
 
Economy to expand 9.1% in FY08: NCAER

January 30, 2008

New Delhi, January 30: The Indian Economy is expected to grow 9.1 percent during 2007/08, slightly slower than 9.4 percent last year, mainly due to a moderation in industrial growth, an economic think-tank said on Wednesday.

The growth projection is higher than the 8.9 percent that the National Council for Applied Economic Research (NCAER) forecast in October, and also from the 8.5 percent pegged by the central bank.

The NCAER said industry is expected to expand by 9.1 percent during 2007/08, compared with 11 percent a year earlier, while services sector will grow by 10.9 percent, compared with 11 percent last year.

High capital inflows supported investment, while a favourable monsoon boosted farm output, the NCAER said. Farm output will be higher by 3.8 percent during 2007/08, compared with 2.7 percent in the previous year, it said.

NCAER expects inflation to be around 4.5 percent by the end of this fiscal year, lower than central bank's forecast of 5 percent.

It also retained its forecast of fiscal deficit at 3.3 percent of gross domestic product for 2007/08.

Economy to expand 9.1% in FY08: NCAER
 
Continued from the old thread
http://www.defence.pk/forums/economy-development/1418-indian-economy-watch.html

GDP records 18-year-high growth rate of 9.6 per cent in 2006-07
31 January 2008

Mumbai: The Indian economy grew 9.6 per cent during fiscal 2006-07, up from 9.4 per cent in the previous year, the highest in 18 years, according to revised estimates released by the finance ministry.

"Gross domestic product (GDP) at factor costs at constant prices in 2006-07 is estimated at Rs28,64,309 crore as against Rs26,12,847 crore in 2005-06 registering a growth of 9.6 per cent during the year as against the growth rate of 9.4 per cent during the previous year," an official statement said today.

This prompted comments from finance minister P Chidambaram that the economy is poised to grow at around 9 per cent in the current fiscal as well.

"I still maintain that in the fiscal year '07-08 growth will be close to 9 per cent," he said.

Per capita income at current prices grew to an estimated 14.2 per cent to Rs29,642 in 2006-07 from Rs25,956 in the previous year.

The 9.6 per cent GDP growth during 2006-07 has been achieved due to high growth in mining and quarrying (5.7 per cent), manufacturing (12 per cent), electricity, gas and water supply (6 per cent) and construction (12 per cent), according to quick estimates released by the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO).

The all around improvement in the mining, manufacturing and services sectors also helped offset the slower growth in agriculture sector, the release said.

While the agriculture sector grew at 3.8 per cent, down from 6.1 per cent, manufacturing sector recorded 12 per cent growth against the 9 per cent growth recorded in the previous year.

At constant prices (1999-00), the share of agriculture, forestry and fishing in the GDP stood at 18.5 per cent in 2006-07, down from 19.6 per cent in the previous year.

The share of manufacturing sector in GDP rose to 15.4 per cent from 15.1 per cent during the previous year. Likewise, mining and quarrying sector growth also improved from 4.9 per cent to 5.7 per cent.

Construction sector growth has been revised upward to 12 per cent, against 10.7 per cent estimated earlier.

The share of financing, insurance and real estate in the GDP also increased to 14.3 per cent in 2006-07, against 13.8 per cent in the previous year.

The share of food items in final consumption expenditure at current prices stood at 36.4 per cent in 2006-07, marginally up from 36.3 per cent in 2005-06.

The share of transport and communication went up to 17.5 per cent from 17.3 per cent during the previous year, while the share of gross rent, fuel and power consumption declined from 12.6 per cent in 2005-06 to 12 per cent in 2006-07.

In the current financial year (2007-08), the economy grew at 9.3 per cent in the first quarter and at 8.9 per cent in the second quarter.
 
Economic growth will top 9%: Chidambaram
Thursday, 31 January , 2008

New Delhi: Riding on an investment boom and swift policy action, the Indian economy will grow at 9 per cent during the current fiscal despite the global financial turbulence, Finance Minister P. Chidambaram said here Friday.

"We are confident that if we keep firm hands on the wheel, the Indian economy will sail through turbulent waters," the finance minister told reporters here, even as the estimate of India's growth last fiscal was raised to 9.6 per cent.

"I will still maintain that in the fiscal year 2007-08, growth will be close to 9 per cent," he said, adding that his government would also make quick decisions as the global situation may evolve and warrant.

"We are not making policies and we are not taking our administrative steps in a vacuum. We are doing so where there is heightened uncertainty and we are making rapid adjustments," the finance minister added.

Asked if he saw the current turmoil in the global financial system, especially the situation in the US, impacting the Indian economy, Chidambaram said: "It is too early. Let us wait for a day or two."

The finance minister's remarks came soon after the state-run Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) revised the growth estimate in India's gross domestic product (GDP) for 2006-07 to 9.6 per cent from 9.4 per cent earlier.

"It is a matter of considerable satisfaction that despite the turbulences and heightened global uncertainties, our economy grew by 9.6 per cent and estimated to grow close to 9 per cent this year," Chidambaram said.
 
Economy to grow 9% on investment boom
1 Feb, 2008, 0305 hrs IST

NEW DELHI: Buoyed by revision in growth estimates for 2006-07, finance minister P Chidambaram on Thursday exuded confidence that the country would grow close to 9% this fiscal on the back of an investment boom.

The economy grew faster in 2006-07 than previously estimated and clocked 9.6%, highest in 18 years. Earlier estimates had pegged the growth rate in 2006-07 at 9.4%. Mr Chidambaram emphasised the government could make rapid policy adjustments to sustain the high growth in the wake of heightened global uncertainties.

“It is a matter of considerable satisfaction that despite turbulence and heightened global uncertainties, our economy grew 9.6% in 2006-07 and is estimated to grow close to 9% this year. It is difficult to say which side of 9% it would be. However, if it falls on the right side, I’ll be doubly happy,” he said. He added that economic think-tank NCAER had forecast a GDP growth rate of 9.1% for 2007-08.

The new revisions put the country’s average growth over the past three years at 8.8%. “This shows that since the United Progressive Alliance came to power, there has been an investment boom, people are investing and they have confidence in future,” Mr Chidambaram said.

According to the revised figures released by the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) on Thursday, the country’s per capita income growth rate stood at 8.1% in the last fiscal. It also revised upwards economic growth rate in 2005-06 to 9.4% from the earlier 9.0%.

“My goal is to maintain the same level of growth but, at the same time, the government reserves the right to make rapid adjustments depending upon evolving global economic situation. Despite turbulence and heightened uncertainty, our economy is growing at 9.4% (2005-06), 9.6% (2006-07) and is estimated to grow at close to 9% (2007-08),” Mr Chidambaram said.

“We are not making policies and we are not taking administrative steps in a vacuum. We are doing so where there is heightened uncertainty and we are making rapid adjustments. We are confident that if we keep firm hands on the wheel, the Indian economy will sail through turbulent waters. We are maintaining a balance between growth and inflation,” he said, adding that inflation is still below 4% and growth is well above 8%.

In response to a question, Mr Chidambaram said that it is too early to draw any clear conclusion on the impact of the recent US federal reserve’s interest rate cut by 75 basis points. “Let us wait for a day or two,” he said.

The improved growth in the GDP during 2006-07 has been achieved due to all-round improvement in mining, manufacturing and services sectors, which helped to offset the slower growth in agriculture sector.

While agriculture sector grew by 3.8%, down from 6.1%, manufacturing sector recorded 12% growth, which is substantially higher than 9.0% growth recorded in the previous year. The economy expanded by 9.3% in the first quarter and 8.9% in the second quarter of this fiscal.

The rising interest rates have apparently taken a toll on industrial production which nose-dived to 5.3% in November 2007 against a whopping 15.8% a year ago. During the first eight months of this fiscal, the index of industrial production slid to 9.2% from 10.9% during the corresponding period a year ago.
 
Business Books: Weaving parallels between China and India
By Tom Miles
Guardian, UK
Thursday January 31 2008

HONG KONG, Jan 31 (Reuters) - Whoever first thought of boiling investment decisions down to a simple trade-off between "risk and reward" should try fathoming the world's two most populous markets.

Many an investor has been lured by the the siren songs of a billion consumers in China or the world's largest democracy in India, only to drown in oceans of bureaucracy or be stranded by an unreliable partner.

In "Billions of Entrepreneurs" (Harvard Business School Press, $29.95), Tarun Khanna seek to reassure potential investors with tales of how others have steered their businesses in these difficult waters.

Khanna, a Harvard Business School professor, writes that colleagues and friends frequently ask "Can I really make money in China and India?" The answer is a resounding "yes," qualified by the need to know what you are getting into and to prepare for the long haul.

"Landing on foreign soil to make a quick buck virtually never works," he writes. Khanna, a Harvard Business School professor, contrasts the two countries in areas as diverse as technology, healthcare, movie-making, oil, banking and agriculture, but rarely, if ever, pronouncing one to be better than the other.

SO MUCH TO BE DONE

Khanna chides such black-and-white thinking. "The pundit's favourite issue, of 'who wins,' China or India, misses the point."

Aside from size and rapid economic growth, the two countries are very different: communist versus democratic, an planned economy with an iron will versus a muddled and arbitrary bureaucracy, a unitary state versus the most diverse nation on earth.

To illustrate the pitfalls of comparisons, he unpicks data on foreign direct investment. At first, it seems heavily in China's favour, but after he strips out anomalies, a more balanced picture emerges.

The temptation to take such data at face value is not confined to foreigners.

"Even managers of the Asian companies I visited were sure that their Indian operations outperformed their Chinese operations but were convinced that the Chinese operations mattered more to headquarters," he writes.

He suggests that businesses should recognise the depth and complexity of both markets -- and the opportunities within.

"My thesis is that entrepreneurship in developing countries occurs in far more encompassing and far-reaching ways than in more developed settings -- for the simple reason that there is so much more to be done."

Khanna's optimism leads him to glass-half-full assessments, such as an appreciative view of the Chinese Communist Party.

"Competition and factionalism within the party in fact propel a meritocracy in which the best and the brightest people percolate to the top," he writes.
Khanna highlights one multinational that he says has successfully put a foot in both India and China: General Electric Co .

Unlike Unilever and Procter & Gamble , which focused on India and China respectively, GE neglected neither.

"General Electric is one of the few multinationals that has understood the value of getting its Chinese and Indian operations tightly aligned, with each other and with the rest of the global corporation," he says.

To replicate this rare success, a company needs humility, adaptability and "largesse," which he describes as "giving back handsomely to the countries in which it operates."

"The crucial lesson of companies like General Electric," he concludes, "is that enlightened self-interest need not be a zero sum game."
 
Indian Asset Management Industry has Tremendous Expansion Opportunities
FoxBusinessWire
Thursday, Jan. 31 2008

PALO ALTO, Calif., Jan 31, 2008 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Mutual funds have become the preferred investment option for Indian investors as improved regulations lead to better transparency in stock markets and asset management companies. An expanding range of products catering to different needs as well as emerging opportunities such as global and real estate funds will keep the industry buoyant in the coming years.

New analysis from Frost & Sullivan (Frost & Sullivan's global team of industry experts, consultants, market analysts, and research executives offer business consulting, market analysis, market research.), Indian Asset Management Industry - Investment Analysis, expects the Indian asset management industry to grow at more than 20.0 percent for the period 2006-2013.

If you are interested in a virtual brochure, which provides manufacturers, end users, and other industry participants an overview of the latest analysis of the Indian Asset Management Industry - Investment Analysis, then send an e-mail to Sara Villarruel - Corporate Communications at sara.villarruel@frost.com with the following information: your full name, company name, title, telephone number, e-mail address, city, state, and country. We will send you the information via e-mail upon receipt of the above information.

"The Indian asset management industry is witnessing rapid growth as a result of an economic boom, increase in personal financial assets, entry of foreign asset management companies, favorable stock markets and aggressive marketing by mutual funds," notes Frost & Sullivan Research Manager Kirti Timmanagoudar. "Even though the value of assets under management (AUM) has risen by 48.22 percent between June 2006 and June 2007, the relatively low penetration rate of mutual funds greatly contributes to industry opportunities."

The Indian asset management industry is still in the nascent stages of growth when compared to developed countries. For example, in the United States, assets managed by mutual funds represented 78.6 percent of GDP at the end of 2006, whereas in India they accounted for a meager 6.6 percent. This notable difference indicates the enormous market potential in India.

Furthermore, retail investors continue to deposit household savings in banks. The huge amount of bank deposits strengthens growth potential, given that they present the opportunity to convert cash and deposits into mutual funds. In the United States, mutual funds manage about 20 percent of total household financial assets whereas Indian mutual funds only managed 3.6 percent between 2005 and 2006.

Despite the huge potential, the rural sector's limited participation greatly restrains the industry's growth. Mutual funds remain out of reach for a majority of the rural population due to poor distribution, lack of investor awareness and limited banking facilities. Moreover, asset management companies reluctantly invest in infrastructure for smaller towns due to the lower margins from rural businesses.

"The technological innovations and conveniences offered by the asset management industry cater largely to the urban investors," says Timmanagoudar. "Due to the poor penetration of the Internet, mobile phones and ATMs in rural areas, mutual fund investments are not within the easy reach of the rural investor."

Considering these restraints, banks and asset management companies should share the responsibility of reaching out to the rural economy. The introduction of Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs), which allow investments as low as Rs. 100 ($2.5) per month, represent one of the first steps toward tapping the rural economy.

Indian Asset Management Industry - Investment Analysis is part of the Financial Services Asset Management Growth Partnership Services. It provides an analysis of the key market drivers, market restraints, investment themes, merger and acquisition history, potential initial public offerings, and the Frost & Sullivan Growth Monitor. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the following segments: debt, equity, Equity Linked Savings Schemes (ELSS), liquid/money market, and GILT funds. Interviews with the press are available.

Frost & Sullivan, the Global Growth Consulting Company, partners with clients to accelerate their growth. The company's Growth Partnership Services, Growth Consulting and Career Best Practices empower clients to create a growth focused culture that generates, evaluates and implements effective growth strategies. Frost & Sullivan employs over 45 years of experience in partnering with Global 1000 companies, emerging businesses and the investment community from more than 30 offices on six continents.
 
12 Indian firms join $1bn profit club
Asian Age

Hyderabad, Jan. 31: Riding on a resurgent economy and a stronger rupee, ranks of billion dollar Indian companies — those which have a net profit of over $1 billion — are set to swell, if the third quarter numbers are anything to go by.

A few short years back, only a handful of Indian companies, largely from the public sector had a net profit of over a billion dollars. This included three oil companies — ONGC, Indian Oil and Reliance along with the State Bank of India.

Public sector majors SAIL and NTPC had also crossed a $1 billion a year in profit in the interim. With the exception of Reliance, it was an exclusive public sector affair. After five years of India’s biggest bull market and near double digit GDP growth, they are now getting company.

Going by the results of the third quarter, a number of new entrants from the IT, telecom, real estate and commodity sectors will take up the total to a dozen. Some of these, such as DLF and NTPC are newly listed companies.

Tata Steel, which had acquired British company Corus has recently reported its consolidated results — a net profit of Rs 9,703 crore — a little under $2.5 billion for the first six months of FY08. DLF, which came out with its initial public offering in 2007, will also make the grade.

Bharti Airtel, which came out with its numbers on Wednesday has recorded a profit of Rs 4,848 crore over the last nine months, which translates to a profit of $1.23 billion for the period.

Anil Ambani’s Reliance Communication, which declared Q3 numbers on Thursday, has recorded a profit of $977 million for the first three quarters.

Despite their woes stemming from the combined weakness of the dollar and the US economy, IT companies too are moving up. Infosys and TCS have clocked profits of $820 million and $957 million respectively for the first three quarters.

Unless the fourth quarter goes drastically wrong, these too should see a net of over a billion dollars.
 
RENT ON THE RISE
Indian cities part of increasing property prices in Asian market

BY CHRIS NELSON

India may be a developing economy, yet it is home to some of the most expensive cities in the world, according to a pair of surveys issued in recent months by Employment Conditions Abroad Ltd., an international human-resources membership organization.

The group, which has corporate offices in London, New York, Sydney and Hong Kong, ranked Mumbai the seventh-costliest city for rental accommodations in a survey released last May. The findings mirror a general upward trend in the cost of living in Asian cities, as the continent accounts for five of the world’s top-10 most expensive municipalities. Employment Conditions Abroad – better known as ECA International – ranked Hong Kong and Tokyo at the top of the list, Seoul at five, Mumbai in the seventh spot, and Shanghai at eight. New York City (three), Moscow (four), London (six), Caracas (nine) and Paris (10) make up the rest of the list.

“Comparing the cost of renting an unfurnished three bedroom apartment, ECA’s data shows that Hong Kong is by far the most expensive city, with an apartment in a popular expatriate area costing approximately $8,592 per month on average," Lee Quane, general manager of ECA in Hong Kong, said. “That’s 17 percent more expensive than the average rental price in Tokyo, which ranked second in the survey, and 150 percent more expensive than 15th-placed Singapore."

Quane attributed the runaway cost of renting an apartment or home in Asia to a number of factors, such as the lack of developable land, which has put a premium on open space and necessitated government intervention in many cities; as well as rising demand for high-end developments, as many global financial firms are strengthening their presence in Asia’s largest cities.

Undertaken annually, ECA International’s Accommodation Survey compares rental costs in 92 cities around the world. The data is incorporated into the organization’s Accommodation Reports, which ECA International member companies use to calculate housing policy and allowances for their internationally mobile staff.

Separately, Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj – the Indian operation of Chicago-based real-estate and money-management-services firm Jones Lang LaSalle – identified five major obstacles that threaten the long-term growth of the Indian real-estate sector. Those bottlenecks, published in a report in early January, are:

* An absence of title insurance against defective titles
* Difficulty for foreign investors in finding suitable Indian partners for foreign direct investment
* Varying rules regarding land in different states
* Difficulty in executing projects due to a shortage of skilled workers
* Overheated land prices and inflated land valuations

The Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India predicts that foreign direct investment in India’s real-estate market will reach $30 billion within a decade, pushing the sector’s total value to $102 billion.

Over the last decade, rental prices have increased an average of 22 percent in 57 cities, according to ECA International. Yet in other large Asian cities, such as Hong Kong, average rental prices for a three-bedroom apartment actually declined some 10 percent between 1996 and 2006. Quane attributes this trend to the Hong Kong government’s attempts to cool the local housing market during its height in the late 1990s by increasing the supply of dwellings.

This is not the case in India, where torrid economic growth has pushed up the cost of many goods and services. When coupled with the appreciation of the rupee against most major currencies, Indian cities have become substantially more expensive in recent years for expatriates, according to ECA International. The organization issued its Cost of Living 2007 survey of 300 locations worldwide last November, ranking four Indian cities in the top-200 most expensive places to live. In the rankings, Mumbai came in at number 177, up 14 spots from the year before; New Delhi rose 16 places to 178, Chennai settled at the 186th spot, followed by Hyderabad, which climbed 21 spots to number 189 on the survey. The survey ranked Bangalore the 205th most expensive city in the world – an increase of 15 places and the first time the city has fallen out of the bottom five spots in the survey.

Despite the higher cost of living for expatriate workers in Asia, ECA International projects that salaries continent-wide will outpace the global average by several percentage points, with India and Vietnam leading the way. According to ECA International’s Salary Trends Survey for 2007 and 2008, average salaries across Asia will rise approximately 7.5 percent – well above the expected global average of 5.9 percent.

India and Vietnam are expected to register the largest increases over 2006-2007 figures. ECA International projects that Indian workers will take home an average 14 percent more pay this year than in 2007, when salaries rose 12.6 percent, while in Vietnam, salaries should climb a solid 10 percent between 2007 and 2008. By contrast, salary creep among Vietnamese workers was 8.5 percent last year.

“These high increments are mainly the result of fast economic growth and widespread skills shortages, which are prompting companies to pay more for talent while keeping pace with the inevitable inflation that comes with economic development,” Quane said in the report.
 
India manufacturing solid, but PMI dips 1.2 points to 60.7
NTC Economics, UK

The seasonally adjusted ABN AMRO India Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the India manufacturing sector posted 60.7 in January, edging down from December’s high of 61.9, but nonetheless remaining at a level indicative of a marked improvement in operating conditions.

“The January PMI reading of 60.7 points toward continuation of elevated levels of activity in the manufacturing sector now seen since October 2007,” said ABN AMRO Bank senior economist Gaurav Kapur. “New incoming business continues to grow, though the pace of expansion was the slowest in January over the last four-month period. While domestic demand remains strong, external demand has been slowing. Export orders index has been sliding, after registering its highest reading in the 34-month survey history in October last year. This is related to a slowdown in the economy of one of India’s biggest exports market, the U.S. Overall, a strong order book position suggests that output levels could continue to witness marked expansion going forward. Operating profitability, however, could be squeezed, as the sector seems to be facing some margin pressures. Though both input as well as output price indices have been declining for the last three months now, signaling lower inflation, the output price index is coming off faster than the input price index.”

Marked output growth was maintained in January, although the rate of increase eased to a four-month low. Strong market demand, mainly from the domestic market, and the successful acquisition of new customers bolstered levels of incoming new business in January.

Staffing levels in the Indian manufacturing economy rose at the fastest rate for twenty-five months in January, as firms recruited additional staff in anticipation of further growth of incoming new business.

Backlogs of work rose for the 10th consecutive month in January, albeit only weakly. Those firms that reported a rise in unfinished work linked the increase to sharp growth of incoming new business.

Indian manufacturers continued to increase their purchasing activity at a marked rate in January. Increased quantities of purchases contributed to higher pre-production inventory levels. Stocks of finished goods also increased, albeit only modestly.

Average charge inflation was the slowest for five months in January, with firms indicating that competition had restricted their ability to raise factory gate prices.

Input price inflation eased to a six-month low in January and was only moderate.
 
India : GDP figures reveal strong performance in all sectors
February 1, 2008

The latest CSO figure, raising GDP growth estimates to 9.6% during 2006-07, reflected the remarkable resilience and robustness the Indian economy has acquired over the years, said Mr Habil Khorakiwala, President, FICCI.

The detailed GDP figures reveal strong performance in all sectors of economy from manufacturing to construction, logistics and insurance and financial sector.

“We are hopeful that this trend will continue during the current fiscal year as well”, Mr Khorakiwala added.

It is important to notice that during the current year the economy is facing multiple challenges from rising oil prices, global credit crisis to threat of impending recession in the US economy.

“Careful fine tuning of policy parameters – like interest rates - may be needed from time to time”, Mr Khorakiwala believed.

Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry
 
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