bloo
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Indias pursuit of BMD
Thursday, June 20, 2013 - Indias willingness to pursue a Ballistic Missile Defence shield was justified by a number of reasons, which could be its desire for global power status, using China as a bogey for this and to counter an imminent threat from Pakistan or all of these. Notwithstanding the above, the USAs intention to extend BMD to her allies elsewhere and India is laden with serious repercussions for Pakistan and China. According to a recent study by South Asia Analysis Group, South Asia has almost one third of the total ballistic missile capability present in the world.
Indian BMD is focused against China and Pakistan. India has a dubious No First Use nuclear doctrine by retaining a right to use it against any perceived threats. A U.S.-sponsored BMD will surely alter the deterrence capability in Indias favour. Indian BMD will also start an arm race in the region and would reduce the chances of negotiation on a fissile materials cut-off treaty (FMCT). If Pakistan need x number of missiles for its targeting strategy, it shall need x+3 missiles for defeating an anti-ballistic missile system. That would in turn incentivise it to produce more fissile material and negotiating a FMCT would not be in Pakistans interest!
Indias pursuit of the BMD and the fact that Pakistan is not safe from the missile threats originating from India compels Pakistan to look for other security options. Is development of BMD a viable option to be considered by Pakistan? If economic challenges are set aside, pursuing a BMD shield appears perfectly legitimate security option. Pakistan has a policy of credible minimum deterrence and may not go in that direction unless it becomes a last option.
A fully operational BMD shield will give India a false sense of security and it may nudge it towards a first strike option. A first strike option would seriously destabilise deterrence in South Asia. It would be pragmatic to start from strengthening the silos which is called point defence and missile sites protection to the defence of corridors against possible attacks. Defending missile sites and their silos against a possible first strike would give Islamabad a capability for second strike. Another option against Indian first strike would be corridor defence, which is defending a territory from a particular direction of missile attack. Though Pakistan may take passive defence measures against Indian first strike options due to false sense of confidence, other powers with greater resources will look for more offensive counter-strategies to penetrate the defensive shield of India. It is better New Delhi does not go down that course.
Indias pursuit of BMD
Is this dude really full of it from the beginning, or is he just making it up as he goes along?
Thursday, June 20, 2013 - Indias willingness to pursue a Ballistic Missile Defence shield was justified by a number of reasons, which could be its desire for global power status, using China as a bogey for this and to counter an imminent threat from Pakistan or all of these. Notwithstanding the above, the USAs intention to extend BMD to her allies elsewhere and India is laden with serious repercussions for Pakistan and China. According to a recent study by South Asia Analysis Group, South Asia has almost one third of the total ballistic missile capability present in the world.
Indian BMD is focused against China and Pakistan. India has a dubious No First Use nuclear doctrine by retaining a right to use it against any perceived threats. A U.S.-sponsored BMD will surely alter the deterrence capability in Indias favour. Indian BMD will also start an arm race in the region and would reduce the chances of negotiation on a fissile materials cut-off treaty (FMCT). If Pakistan need x number of missiles for its targeting strategy, it shall need x+3 missiles for defeating an anti-ballistic missile system. That would in turn incentivise it to produce more fissile material and negotiating a FMCT would not be in Pakistans interest!
Indias pursuit of the BMD and the fact that Pakistan is not safe from the missile threats originating from India compels Pakistan to look for other security options. Is development of BMD a viable option to be considered by Pakistan? If economic challenges are set aside, pursuing a BMD shield appears perfectly legitimate security option. Pakistan has a policy of credible minimum deterrence and may not go in that direction unless it becomes a last option.
A fully operational BMD shield will give India a false sense of security and it may nudge it towards a first strike option. A first strike option would seriously destabilise deterrence in South Asia. It would be pragmatic to start from strengthening the silos which is called point defence and missile sites protection to the defence of corridors against possible attacks. Defending missile sites and their silos against a possible first strike would give Islamabad a capability for second strike. Another option against Indian first strike would be corridor defence, which is defending a territory from a particular direction of missile attack. Though Pakistan may take passive defence measures against Indian first strike options due to false sense of confidence, other powers with greater resources will look for more offensive counter-strategies to penetrate the defensive shield of India. It is better New Delhi does not go down that course.
Indias pursuit of BMD
Is this dude really full of it from the beginning, or is he just making it up as he goes along?
