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India has overtaken China’s growth, but may have signed up for the wrong marathon event

Dungeness

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An interesting blog article was published on 2/21 The Economic Times by an Indian blogger. The mentality towards "Mr. Sharma's Perfect Son" may partially explain the irrationality and hatred that many Chinese members encountered here but failed to understand. Worth reading.

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India has overtaken China’s growth, but may have signed up for the wrong marathon event
February 21, 2017, 12:42 AM IST Economic Times in ET Commentary | Economy, Edit Page, India |ET
By Aurodeep Nandi

Let’s admit it. China is the country-equivalent of ‘Sharmaji ka beta’ for India. Regardless of how much you studied, or miracles you prayed for, there was always that prodigious child of the neighbourhood Mr Sharma who happened to be a shining example of the student you could never become. And while it is true that recently India’s GDP growth seems somewhat comparable to China’s, the statistical high jump comes on the back of a broad-based slowdown in the Chinese economy.

Only a few years ago, when the Chinese economy was growing at full steam, it was hauling with it commodity prices and the fortunes of dozens of economies around the globe. While China has become a global manufacturing powerhouse, the share of manufacturing in India’s GDP has remained static at 15-17 per cent levels for the last 40 years.

China has not just emerged as the world’s factory, but has changed the definition of what factories around the world make. Globally, manufacturing no longer happens in one country or workshop, but small bits of everything get added by companies in different countries, in effect, creating a mega global assembly line: global value chains.

Countries that manage to align their export strategy such that they sit snugly within such chains are generally more successful in manufacturing in the new globalised world. 60 per cent of China’s exports link into existing global value chains. Only 36 per cent of Indian exports manage this feat. Indian manufacturing, naturally, is far from capturing the global imagination the way China has managed to do.

The common narrative has been that China has beaten India in its government’s ability to aggressively invest in infrastructure, encourage more foreign direct investment, build city-like special economic zones, increase access to credit and promote trade with a vengeance.

Most of these, India hasn’t perfected. Thus the common notion that India needs to piously build a glitzy skyline of reforms and initiate big-ticket investment projects to get anywhere close to the economic heft of China.

China’s actual economic liberalisation didn’t start with constructing grand cities or producing everything from ink pens to iPhones. It began with reforming the farm sector and, in the process, improving human development indicators like health, nutrition and education.

When China decided to reform in the 1980s, it realised that 80 per cent of its citizens were agricultural peasants. Widespread land and agriculture reforms were first introduced to unlock prosperity in the farm and, consequently, in the non-farm sector. China’s agricultural productivity saw a dramatic improvement as these reforms continued. Rural-based private enterprises were strongly incentivised by the government that, in turn, had a multiplier effect on employment.

In the case of India, 50 per cent of the workforce is involved in agriculture. However, India’s flirtation with agrarian reforms ended with the Green Revolution several decades back. Since then, India’s strategy — or, rather, the lack of strategy — has been to prop up the sector with subsidies and minimum support prices.

Aggressive reform of farm infrastructure, land leasing, productivity and freeing up the market from the clutches of self-serving traders remain a pipe dream in India. To give a sense of how unreformed markets in India are, seasoned middlemen in Delhi’s Azadpur mandi, Asia’s largest wholesale fruit and vegetable market, are known to negotiate by touching each other’s hands under a handkerchief and communicating with gestures. So much for transparent pricing for farmers.

To that extent, it is a welcome move that finance minister Arun Jaitley in his Budget speech unveiled ambitious plans for the government’s new electronic national agriculture market (e-NAM) that is intended to get buyers and sellers on a platform without geographical boundaries.

The other ace up China’s sleeve has been human development. India ranks 130 out of 188 countries in the Human Development Index, even lower than war-torn parts of the world like Iraq and Palestine. China ranks 50 notches higher at 90, and is in the top 10 in Asia. China spends 2 per cent of its GDP on health, double of what India manages to do. Deep caste and gender inequality here further exacerbate health, education and nutritional outcomes.

China’s female-to-male labour force ratio is almost double that of India’s. Over 96 per cent of China’s adults are literate compared to around 71 per cent for India.

Half a million stillbirths happen in India every year, the highest in the world. Over 600 million Indians defecate in the open.

So, while it’s impressive that India has recently overtaken China’s growth, we may have signed up for the wrong marathon event. As Sharmaji ka beta would have said with irritating self-efficacy when pestered about how he managed to seamlessly ace exam after exam: don’t study thinking about the marks. First get the basics right.

DISCLAIMER : Views expressed above are the author's own.

http://blogs.economictimes.indiatim...-have-signed-up-for-the-wrong-marathon-event/
 
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The current GDP of India is just over $2 trillion with the growth rate above 7% last year. Ten or so years ago when the economy of China was at that size, the growth rate was nearing 12%. That difference there alone is clear indication of the gap between these two countries in terms of the pace for economic progress.
 
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Basically India is now the best country in the world which has achieved every possible achievement.
 
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China’s actual economic liberalisation didn’t start with constructing grand cities or producing everything from ink pens to iPhones. It began with reforming the farm sector and, in the process, improving human development indicators like health, nutrition and education.

Whoever had realized this important point is at the higher level of understanding of China.
 
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Whoever had realized this important point is at the higher level of understanding of China.
Any piece praising China is lapped up like milk. Hope same deference is paid to write ups criticizing China ?
Also our 7 % growth is irrelevant as the base on which its calculated is far smaller , so props to China if their growth figures are correct.
Also these self flagetting write ups are useless if the changes on the ground dont take place.
Our biggest challange is our politicians who are still stuck in the eighties while every other Indian sector has completely transformed.
 
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I think a greater challenge is actually the lack of transformation for the public sector and the organised private sector of India. For example, the country back in 1991 had 36.76 million jobs in those important sectors, but that number only increased to 44.79 million jobs twenty years later in 2011. Considering how valuable those jobs are to creating a stable middle class, the slow progress of transformation there might be the root problem.

I would directly link the source for that data, but I do not have enough posts here on this forum to do so just yet. In any case, it came from the website for the Reserve Bank of India and was titled as "Table 14 : Employment in Public and Organised Private Sectors" within the "Handbook of Statistics on Indian Economy".
 
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