If India-China go to war tomorrow, 1962 will be repeated: Expert

[GURU DUTT]

New Delhi, March 13 (IANS) If China attacks India tomorrow, the situation would be something similar to the 1962 war, a strategy expert said on Friday.

Sam Roggeveen, a well known strategy expert and founding editor of Australia's Lowy Institute of International Policy's blog, however, said there were little chances of this happening.

"The situation will be much like 1962 if a war happened tomorrow (between India and China). But the chances of a war are very low," Roggeveen said at a dialogue organised by think-tank Ananta Centre.

The expert said development of an anti-ship ballistic missile by China was "novel" and can be a concern to the US.

"The anti-ship ballistic missile, if China can make it work, would be worrying, especially for the US Navy," he said.

According to reports, China has inducted the world's first operational anti-ship ballistic missile, known as the DF-21D.

In 2010, it was reported that China had inducted the DF-21D into its early operational stage for deployment.

The potential threat from the DF-21D against US aircraft carriers has reportedly caused major changes in US strategy.

Asked about Taiwan, while stating that chances of a military attack by China were little, Roggeveen said that in case it happened there were little chances that the US will support Taiwan.

If India-China go to war tomorrow, 1962 will be repeated: Expert

 

[Alphacharlie]

This Expert needs a Mental Check up and Rehab from Hallucinating Drugs.

Now start Singing- Deeper than seas Higher than Mountains................

 

[longewala]

The real questions are
If India had used their air force in 1962
If India had even half a dozen mountain divisions
If India had not been naive enough to believe the Chinese are not an aggressive, belligerent race and prepared for war

Would the outcome for 1962 been anywhere close to what haphappened?

And as for today, the ground realities remain the same - as long as the iaf disperses it's aircraft to avoid losses in a preemptive strike, India would have air superiority.
And would face an enemy with a tenuous supply chain across Tibet.

Let's be honest. If either china or pakistan had even some confidence of winning a war against India, they would have started one.

 

[FairAndUnbiased]

The real questions are
If India had used their air force in 1962
If India had even half a dozen mountain divisions
If India had not been naive enough to believe the Chinese are not an aggressive, belligerent race and prepared for war

Would the outcome for 1962 been anywhere close to what haphappened?

And as for today, the ground realities remain the same - as long as the iaf disperses it's aircraft to avoid losses in a preemptive strike, India would have air superiority.
And would face an enemy with a tenuous supply chain across Tibet.

Let's be honest. If either china or pakistan had even some confidence of winning a war against India, they would have started one.

lol do not mistake not wanting for unable, because thats the prime cause of ppl wrecking themselves like in 1962.

 

[SelfServeFive]

It will be a thermonuclear 1962

 

[NKVD]

It will be a thermonuclear 1962

for both

 

[SelfServeFive]

for both

Yes like 1962 was an a$$ kicking "for both." India only has WW2 style atomic iron bombs

 

[jmacmac]

why would India and china go to war, there is no benefit for both country's. it just seem like these western block country's are very afraid of a united Asia.

 

[SipahSalar]

I think the Indians know it very well.

 

[WAR-rior]

Everyone in the world knows it except some delusional Indians

Tu to bol hi mat. Tune muh khola aur gand fail gayi is thread mein. Let the sanity prevail.

I think the Indians know it very well.

No. We know that Chinese will not mistaken to try attack India. there is a difference between winning a war and doing enuf damage to the opposition. India might not do the 1st thing but will definitely do the second.

Dont fuget, China is yet in its process of growing and not completely grown. India might be less in GDP and Defence budget but we have state of art technology from the developed west which are no where less than the chinese.

 

[Didact]

I think the Indians know it very well.

What saved the war from escalating last time was a host of factors, all of them manipulated brilliantly by the Chinese, to force the disaster in 1962.

1. The invasion occurred precisely at the moment the US and USSR were deadlocked in a massive eyeball to eyeball confrontation over Cuba: The Cuba crisis. This ensured neither the US nor the USSR could move in support of India. Interestingly, the Chinese withdrew unilaterally just after the resolution of the Cuban Missile crisis.

2. China did not withdraw out of some goodwill. Indians, with the support of US, had begun preparations for a massive escalation of the conflict. According to plans drawn up, 45 Indian divisions were to launch a theater wide counter attack against the Chinese, with airforce providing close air support.

if such a force went into action, the Chinese with their 80,000 odd soldiers would be steamrolled back to Lhasa, and the PLA knew this. Thus the withdrawal without any major territorial annexation.

3. In almost all battles where the Indian soldiers and the PLA squared off in roughly comparable numbers, the Indians forces gave a very good account of themselves. this shows that the PLA never outclassed the Indians, and with equal forces, were evenly matched.

But of course, who'll try explaining that to the 9999 IQ Chinese.

 

[Sanchez]

Tu to bol hi mat. Tune muh khola aur gand fail gayi is thread mein. Let the sanity prevail.


No. We know that Chinese will not mistaken to try attack India. there is a difference between winning a war and doing enuf damage to the opposition. India might not do the 1st thing but will definitely do the second.

Dont fuget, China is yet in its process of growing and not completely grown. India might be less in GDP and Defence budget but we have state of art technology from the developed west which are no where less than the chinese.

Don't make people laugh! India is a lot backward in terms of military technology.

What saved the war from escalating last time was a host of factors, all of them manipulated brilliantly by the Chinese, to force the disaster in 1962.

1. The invasion occurred precisely at the moment the US and USSR were deadlocked in a massive eyeball to eyeball confrontation over Cuba: The Cuba crisis. This ensured neither the US nor the USSR could move in support of India. Interestingly, the Chinese withdrew unilaterally just after the resolution of the Cuban Missile crisis.

2. China did not withdraw out of some goodwill. Indians, with the support of US, had begun preparations for a massive escalation of the conflict. According to plans drawn up, 45 Indian divisions were to launch a theater wide counter attack against the Chinese, with airforce providing close air support.

if such a force went into action, the Chinese with their 80,000 odd soldiers would be steamrolled back to Lhasa, and the PLA knew this. Thus the withdrawal without any major territorial annexation.

3. In almost all battles where the Indian soldiers and the PLA squared off in roughly comparable numbers, the Indians forces gave a very good account of themselves. this shows that the PLA never outclassed the Indians, and with equal forces, were evenly matched.

But of course, who'll try explaining that to the 9999 IQ Chinese.

Indian genius...

 

[WAR-rior]

Don't make people laugh! India is a lot backward in terms of military technology.



Indian genius...

Really? Can u give some references and comparisions? And dont get into this indegenious bullshit. We have money. We buy and buy stuff better than locally made chinese stuff. World knows what does Chinese stuff mean.

 

[Vaishnu]

Don't make people laugh! India is a lot backward in terms of military technology.

In our country if any newly product break we say "Bakwasss China maaal". This would be true around the world mostly . Cheap chinese products . Do know that 1 good quality product could be equal to 100 cheap quality .

Yea Keep on boasting 10,000 missile per year , Technology , HGV , Stealth Fighter .

If India and China would go on war there would be like 40% chance of india winning while chinese have the upperhand . ( Due to lack of modernisation in the NE .Not even proper roads.)

But war Ain't gonna happen .It is the true that USA is pissed over United Asia.
Imagine what Russia , China and India could do when USA plans for a massive Invasion ?

 

[Sanchez]

Really? Can u give some references and comparisions? And dont get into this indegenious bullshit. We have money. We buy and buy stuff better than locally made chinese stuff. World knows what does Chinese stuff mean.

You have no money compared to China. You can't even make bullets for your guns, so spare me on any comparison...lol

In our country if any newly product break we say "Bakwasss China maaal". This would be true around the world mostly . Cheap chinese products . Do know that 1 good quality product could be equal to 100 cheap quality .

Yea Keep on boasting 10,000 missile per year , Technology , HGV , Stealth Fighter .

If India and China would go on war there would be like 40% chance of india winning while chinese have the upperhand . ( Due to lack of modernisation in the NE .Not even proper roads.)

But war Ain't gonna happen .It is the true that USA is pissed over United Asia.
Imagine what Russia , China and India could do when USA plans for a massive Invasion ?

We are your biggest trader, you know. We sell goods globally with different qualitties and prices. If Indians can only afford to import cheap stuff, it's not our fault.