forcetrip
PDF THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
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My dear friend,You are not understanding what I am saying. I am not denying the problems you mentioned. In fact there are tons of more problems.
But there won't be any direct war.
Reasons:
- to fight a war one country need to be more powerful than other so there is a change of winning. In our case nukes take out that possibility
- to solve the dire problems nobody create bigger problems. Just think if water issue between 2 countries trigger a war there will be more shortage of water than it already was !!! With bigger chances enemy just contaminating the water rendering it useless !!!! And making war senseless.
- not On/for land of Kashmir. If we take in account of PA gen. Opinions during Kargil, they believe IA would have opened a second front if the heights remained occupied. I can't quote the names but yes that was very much possibility and even IN was mobilised.
That was the reason Kargil was tonned down and escalations where kept under control
- The blood for war : the blood for war is the " political power , international relations and economy " India has everything more than Pakistan has or will have in near future. And by going Pak's luck of finding itself on the opposite side of the world opinion will make it more hard.
On other hand evenif India has or will have more than Pak Indian need isn't met. We need more cause we are growing and currently more focused on China than Pakistan. So India will avoid any unnecessary trouble. But India might use China policy and help Afgan to its feet keeping Pak busy on that borders
The worst thing that can and might happen is increase in numbers of proxies.
But still no war. We don't even considered international pressure here. Their investments in India make them part of problems
I have explained the reasons that war is inevitable. You are very optimistic in your approach and deductions. With double the population water will be the first of many problems countries will have with each other. As things are progressing now there is only one logical end to it, unless some major changes happen in the next 10 to 20 years above all educated and loyal rulers appear on both sides. What we can hope and want is completely different to ground realities.