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Food inflation turns negative; RBI may cut rates

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Food inflation turned negative in late December for the first time in many years as prices of vegetables like onion and potato declined, a development that may prompt the Reserve Bank to go for rate cuts at its next monetary policy review later this month.


Food inflation, measured by the wholesale price index (WPI), plunged to - 3.36 per cent as on December 24. This is the first time in almost six years, for which data with base year 2004-05 is available, that food inflation has shown a decline on an annual basis.

Encouraged by the development, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said, “There has been substantial improvement. Food inflation has turned negative for the first time in the recent memory.”

Food inflation stood at 0.42 per cent in the previous week. It was 21 per cent in the corresponding week of 2010.

According to official data released today, onion became cheaper by 73.74 per cent year-on-year during the week, while potato prices were down by 34.01 per cent. Prices of wheat fell by 3.41 per cent.

Overall, vegetables became 50.22 per cent cheaper during the week ended December 24.

The fall food prices has been substantial since the first week of November, when food inflation stood at double-digit.

“The environment appears to be in favour of the Reserve Bank reversing its monetary policy stance,” Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council Chairman C Rangarajan said.


RBI, which has raised interest rates 13 times since March, 2010 to contain inflation, has already paused rate hike in its December mid-quarter policy review.

The central bank is scheduled to announce next policy review on January 24.

The Hindu : Business / Economy : Food inflation turns negative; RBI may cut rates

This quarter GDP will be around 7% but if RBI eases rates, Indian economy will fire on all cylinders again. :)
 
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I always thought RBI was too aggressive in tackling the inflation. They haven't given enough time for their measures to show results. Had they eased, India would have been cruising along decent 8% growth all along. Better late than never.
 
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Hopefully growth rate should pick up. It is time RBI undid all the damage it inflicted on economy
 
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really great news . :tup:
the prices of food stuff was really high for a few months .:)
 
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The article's conclusion is wrong. Interest rate will not be dropped. See this from RBI just now.

(Bloomberg 1/5/2012) India’s persistently high inflation may prevent an imminent reversal of record interest-rate increases, as a weakening rupee and oil’s rebound reduce the scope for monetary easing, the central bank’s deputy chief said.

“The monetary cycle has peaked,” Subir Gokarn, deputy governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), said at a conference in Singapore today. “That does not necessarily say that a quick reversal is in order because inflation risks are still visible, still high.”
 
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just wait for the full harvest..The inflation will dip even further..
 
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The article's conclusion is wrong. Interest rate will not be dropped. See this from RBI just now.

(Bloomberg 1/5/2012) India’s persistently high inflation may prevent an imminent reversal of record interest-rate increases, as a weakening rupee and oil’s rebound reduce the scope for monetary easing, the central bank’s deputy chief said.

“The monetary cycle has peaked,” Subir Gokarn, deputy governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), said at a conference in Singapore today. “That does not necessarily say that a quick reversal is in order because inflation risks are still visible, still high.”

Nobody is looking for quick reversal. No further rate hikes is all we hope for. Once inflation drops , may be RBI will reverse the lending rates
 
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already posted in INdian economies section....


anyways good news....but i don't see RBI decreasing rates...im starting to think they might increase it again instead.


there trying to deincentivise the Indian overspending mind set and this takes time. MAy take more tht 6 more monts for RBI to reduce rates
 
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already posted in INdian economies section....


anyways good news....but i don't see RBI decreasing rates...im starting to think they might increase it again instead.


there trying to deincentivise the Indian overspending mind set and this takes time. MAy take more tht 6 more monts for RBI to reduce rates

Reduced rates in next Monetary policy review.. The writing on the wall is visible if you watch the increasing value of Money market debt instruments (like debt mutual funds).. An increasing value of the instrument is an indicative of possible downgrade in the yield...
 
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food inflation is problem which poor people directly suffer as most part of income goes to food.

So its good inflation is coming down.
 
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yeah, always ignore the oil price, and later on the whole nation is paying for the higher one.

can't sacrifice inflation for growth, braggart won't work you out.
 
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