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Economy to grow by 7.4pc: Muhith

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Economy to grow by 7.4pc: Muhith
September 27, 2017 21:12:36

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Bangladesh will achieve 7.4 per cent GDP growth in the current fiscal year (2017-2018), says the finance minister.

“Every year, the World Bank estimates GDP growth lower than what happens. I think, the growth will be what I said earlier,” AMA Muhith told reporters after the meeting of the Cabinet Committee on Government Purchase (CCGP) at the Cabinet Division on Wednesday.

In the update the World Bank forecast that Bangladesh’s GDP to grow by 6.4 per cent in the 2017-18 financial year (FY18)
 
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Economy to grow by 7.4pc: Muhith
September 27, 2017 21:12:36

1506525156.jpg


Bangladesh will achieve 7.4 per cent GDP growth in the current fiscal year (2017-2018), says the finance minister.

“Every year, the World Bank estimates GDP growth lower than what happens. I think, the growth will be what I said earlier,” AMA Muhith told reporters after the meeting of the Cabinet Committee on Government Purchase (CCGP) at the Cabinet Division on Wednesday.

In the update the World Bank forecast that Bangladesh’s GDP to grow by 6.4 per cent in the 2017-18 financial year (FY18)
World Bank's prediction is too conservative and out of line with other institute's forecast. IMF predicted 7.1 percent and ADB 6.9 percent.Let's see what happen.
 
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World Bank's prediction is too conservative and out of line with other institute's forecast. IMF predicted 7.1 percent and ADB 6.9 percent.Let's see what happen.
Usually IMF predicts the lowest growth for BD. But this time their prediction is the highest...thats strange.
 
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Why does it matter anyway when nominal USD is what matters the most for BD egos here?

You lot are mostly fine with growing even 2% in real taka terms if it gives say 10% USD nominal growth right? (After all BD trades sooooo extensively as part of its GDP and is even thinking of making USD legal tender for its domestic masses)
 
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Why does it matter anyway when nominal USD is what matters the most for BD egos here?

You lot are mostly fine with growing even 2% in real taka terms if it gives say 10% USD nominal growth right? (After all BD trades sooooo extensively as part of its GDP and is even thinking of making USD legal tender for its domestic masses)
Do not talk like our @idune with your superficial knowledge of economy and what really is GDP growth. It is not export growth, you should know. It is not also the growth in value of local currency. Stop writing bulls*it.
 
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12:00 AM, October 18, 2017 / LAST MODIFIED: 01:02 AM, October 18, 2017
Rich become richer, poor get poorer
rohingya_map.jpg

Reaz Ahmad and Rejaul Karim Byron
The poor's share in the national income eroded further in the past six years, with the richer segment of the population having bigger stakes.

A government survey report, released yesterday, shows that the rich-poor inequality in terms of wealth accumulation has been widening in the country.

The poorest five percent had 0.78 percent of the national income in their possession back in 2010, and now their share is only 0.23 percent.

In contrast, the richest five percent, who had 24.61 percent of the national income six years back, now has a higher share -- 27.89 percent to be precise.

"It shows the extent of concentration of household income by the higher household income group," noted the report titled “Household Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES) 2016” published by Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).

With a big sample size, HIES is the most exhaustive nationwide survey carried out by the BBS usually once in five years.
rohingya_info_0.jpg

The HIES 2016 also captured income shares of the bottom half (on economic scale) of the population to show that they used to command 20.33 percent of the national income in 2010 but it has now fallen further to 19.24 percent.

In other words, income of the people on higher economic scale has increased over the past six years since the last HIES was conducted in 2010.

Particularly, the top 10 percent of the population (in terms of economic standing) is now having more income share (38.16 percent) compared to what they had (35.84 percent) in 2010.

On the contrary, the lower echelon (bottom 10 percent of the population) now has half (just 1.01 percent) the income share it had (2 percent) in 2010.

According to the HIES 2016, the number of people in poverty has dropped to 24.3 percent from 31.5 percent in 2010, while the proportion of ultra poor also fell to 12.9 percent from 17.6 percent in six years.

However, the rate of poverty reduction (1.2 percent a year) actually slowed down in 2010-16 compared to that (1.7 percent a year) in the preceding five years.

Experts have stressed the need for accelerating farm sector growth that has been somewhat stagnant.

They also pointed out that the government must take measures to create jobs to take the benefits of the growth to all segments of the population.

AB Mirza Azizul Islam, former finance adviser to a caretaker government, thinks that the level of inequality is not that high.

He, however, noted that unlike the growth in the farm sector, that in manufacturing and service sectors cannot often equally distribute the benefits to all.

Azizul explained that the growth in the manufacturing sector is more capital-intensive, technology-driven and labour-displacing. The service sector growth also benefits the skilled and IT-savvy people more than the others.

He suggested expanding the social safety net programmes for the benefit of the poor.

Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), however, expressed concern over the increasing inequality since the '90s.

He said it is necessary to put in place a “distributive justice” so that everyone gets the benefits of the growth." He reminded that one of the 17 SDG goals emphasised reduction of inequality.

Mustafizur suggested adopting fiscal and monetary policies that would ensure job creation and quality education.

World Bank Lead Economist Zahid Hussain said, "One major reason may be the composition of growth. It was largely driven by manufacturing and services. The contribution of agriculture, which employs over 42 percent of the labour force, to growth has been on the decline."

"While incomes from manufacturing and services have grown, employment growth has been weak. Thus labour income growth may have been weaker than the growth of GDP. As a result, the incomes of the poor, who have only their labour to live on, grew far slower than income growth of non-poor, leading to increase in income inequality."

He also identified the decline in remittance as another reason. "This could have slowed employment and wage growth in the rural non-farm sector, which uses a lot of poor workers."

Dr Akhter Ahmed, who leads the operation of Washington-based think tank International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) in Bangladesh, said the 2016 HIES reflected that "the growth that we achieved was not pro-poor enough."

He emphasised accelerating farm sector growth and shifting the "pure tenants" (the landless people) to more skilled areas of production, while investing more in farm research and development so that more crops are grown on less land.

Expansion of safety net programmes is not good enough. The beneficiaries of the safety net programmes have to be chosen carefully, he mentioned.

Besides, the state has to invest in human capital development and put emphasis on the quality of education rather than quantity, said Akhter.

Among other things, the HIES 2016 report reflected that household income, on average, has now risen to Tk 15,945 a month from Tk 11,479 in 2010. There has been an increase in percentage of safety net beneficiaries to 28.7 percent from 24.6 percent in 2010.

It also showed how some of the livelihood indicators got positive push with more people getting access to pure drinking water, sanitary latrines and pucca houses.

In the last six years, households with electricity increased to 75.9 percent from 55.3 percent, while mobile phone users rose to 92.5 percent from 63.7 percent.

The HIES 2016 also reflected on regional variations in distribution of poverty incidence.

In 31of the 64 districts in the country, percentage of ultra poor is higher than the current national average (12.9 percent), it said.
http://www.thedailystar.net/frontpage/rich-become-richer-poor-get-poorer-1477921
 
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Rich-poor income gap widens
Staff Correspondent
Published: 00:05, Oct 18,2017
Updated: 00:26, Oct 18,2017
Income gap between the rich and the poor widened in the last six years though per capita income increased significantly in the period in the country, according to the preliminary report of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey-2016.

The report shows that Gini co-efficient, which is used to measure income inequality, increased to 0.483 at national level in 2016 from 0.458 in 2010 meaning that the rich became richer while the poor poorer during the period.

The top 10 per cent households of the country held 38.16 per cent of national income in 2016, up from 35.84 per cent in 2010, the report shows.


On the other hand, only 1.01 per cent of the income went to the bottom 10 per cent of households in 2016 against 2 per cent six years ago, it says.

Income inequality in both rural and urban areas also widened during the period.
Consumption inequality, however, remained almost stable during the period.

Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics on Tuesday released the preliminary report of the survey known as HIES at a dissemination seminar held at BBS auditorium at Agargaon in Dhaka.

Planning minister AHM Mostafa Kamal attended the programme as chief guest.

According to the report, the country made significant achievement in poverty reduction in the years though the pace of poverty reduction slowed down.

The rate of extreme poverty declined to 12.9 per cent from 17.6 per cent in the six years while upper poverty line also dropped to 24.3 per cent from 31.5 per cent.

The report also shows that the patterns of food intake also changed during the period as consumption of rice, wheat and milk and milk products declined while intake of pulses, vegetables, fish, meat and egg increased.

Rice intake dropped to 367.19 gram per capita per day in 2016 from that of 416.01 gram in 2010.
BBS conducted the survey on 46,080 households across the country from April, 2016 to March 2017 to measure the income, consumption, expenditure, poverty, inequality and other basic indicators of socio-economic conditions of people.

This year the survey provided quarterly estimates of poverty and poverty rates at the district level along with annual estimation.

In previous years, the BBS estimated the poverty level at divisional level only.
The HIES is conducted usually every 5 years but the previous HIES was conducted in 2010 on 12,240 households.

According to the report, income per capita per month stood at Tk 3,936 in 2016,
up from Tk 2,553 in 2010.


Income per household at national level also increased to Tk 15,945 from Tk 11,479.
Total expenditure per household per month stood at Tk 15,715 in 2016, up from Tk 11,200 six years ago, the report said.

Consumption per household also increased to Tk 15,420 which was Tk 11,003.

Per capita income per month for rural and urban areas was Tk 3,256 and Tk 5,748 in 2016 against Tk 2,130 and Tk 3,741 respectively in 2010.

Experts and economists have said that the inequality widened as the bigger portion of income went to the richer groups of people while the poor got a minor share.

Lack of good governance, corruption, slower growth in employment and real wage also contributed to the widening income gap, they pointed out.


Former adviser to a caretaker government Mirza Azizul Islam finds the extent of inequality increased in the period insignificant as inequality generally increases along with economic growth.

The reason behind the widening inequality is slower growth in agricultural production along with higher growth in manufacturing and services sectors, he says, adding that wealthier people and skilled manpower people get the big portion of income from the sector.

World Bank lead economist in Dhaka Zahid Hossain also echoed Mirza Aziz.

Zahid said that the poor got small share of income as the share of agriculture in GDP growth declined.
Lack of good governance, quality employment, investment and problems in banking sectors and infrastructure also affected income distribution, he explained.

Dhaka University professor of economics MA Taslim said that the survey results proved that the economic development during the period was not poor-friendly.


At the report unveiling programme, planning minister AHM Mustafa Kamal said that the government would take various programme including imposition of higher tax on the rich and expansion of the social safety net to address the income inequality.

World Bank acting country director Rajashree S Paralkar, World Bank lead economist Zahid Hossain, Statistics and Informatics Division secretary KM Mozammel Hoq, BBS director general Amir Hossain, HIES project director Dipankar Roy, among others, spoke at the programme.
http://www.newagebd.net/article/26387/rich-poor-income-gap-widens
 
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Do not talk like our @idune with your superficial knowledge of economy and what really is GDP growth. It is not export growth, you should know. It is not also the growth in value of local currency. Stop writing bulls*it.

I asked a simple question and you are incapable of answering it. The evidence is all there when you look at an conversation of BD economy, only nominal per capita (USD) matters because every other standard (that actually tries to measure realised consumption) makes BD look bad....and the truth hurts and thus must be avoided.

The butthurt from your lack of knowledge runs deep. Poverty in mind, soul and body is the eternal fate of BD. Keep sucking up to BBS and BAL and whichever floozy set of useless staunchly corrupt crooks take over in the next iteration.
 
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Give it a rest with your unceasing and pointless anti-Bangladesh posts. You have 6000 plus posts and not a single one is original or credible - do you trawl the Internet for any bad news re BD?

OT Bd's condition is better than ever, is it not? We've been a basket case, a third world country, an LDC country but despite this you have the foolishness to say growth is not happening?

Genius, cherry picking bs Bangladeshi newspaper articles with bad news only. Let me show u how it's done:

http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2017/05/14/bangladesh-development-update-breaking-barriers

https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2017/02/28/sp02272017-Building-Economic-Progress-in-Bangladesh

https://qz.com/964114/the-happiest-economic-story-in-the-world-right-now/

http://www.dhakatribune.com/banglad...h-will-among-top-3-fastest-growing-economies/






Rich-poor income gap widens
Staff Correspondent
Published: 00:05, Oct 18,2017
Updated: 00:26, Oct 18,2017
Income gap between the rich and the poor widened in the last six years though per capita income increased significantly in the period in the country, according to the preliminary report of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey-2016.

The report shows that Gini co-efficient, which is used to measure income inequality, increased to 0.483 at national level in 2016 from 0.458 in 2010 meaning that the rich became richer while the poor poorer during the period.

The top 10 per cent households of the country held 38.16 per cent of national income in 2016, up from 35.84 per cent in 2010, the report shows.

On the other hand, only 1.01 per cent of the income went to the bottom 10 per cent of households in 2016 against 2 per cent six years ago, it says.

Income inequality in both rural and urban areas also widened during the period.
Consumption inequality, however, remained almost stable during the period.

Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics on Tuesday released the preliminary report of the survey known as HIES at a dissemination seminar held at BBS auditorium at Agargaon in Dhaka.

Planning minister AHM Mostafa Kamal attended the programme as chief guest.

According to the report, the country made significant achievement in poverty reduction in the years though the pace of poverty reduction slowed down.

The rate of extreme poverty declined to 12.9 per cent from 17.6 per cent in the six years while upper poverty line also dropped to 24.3 per cent from 31.5 per cent.

The report also shows that the patterns of food intake also changed during the period as consumption of rice, wheat and milk and milk products declined while intake of pulses, vegetables, fish, meat and egg increased.

Rice intake dropped to 367.19 gram per capita per day in 2016 from that of 416.01 gram in 2010.
BBS conducted the survey on 46,080 households across the country from April, 2016 to March 2017 to measure the income, consumption, expenditure, poverty, inequality and other basic indicators of socio-economic conditions of people.

This year the survey provided quarterly estimates of poverty and poverty rates at the district level along with annual estimation.

In previous years, the BBS estimated the poverty level at divisional level only.
The HIES is conducted usually every 5 years but the previous HIES was conducted in 2010 on 12,240 households.

According to the report, income per capita per month stood at Tk 3,936 in 2016,
up from Tk 2,553 in 2010.


Income per household at national level also increased to Tk 15,945 from Tk 11,479.
Total expenditure per household per month stood at Tk 15,715 in 2016, up from Tk 11,200 six years ago, the report said.

Consumption per household also increased to Tk 15,420 which was Tk 11,003.

Per capita income per month for rural and urban areas was Tk 3,256 and Tk 5,748 in 2016 against Tk 2,130 and Tk 3,741 respectively in 2010.

Experts and economists have said that the inequality widened as the bigger portion of income went to the richer groups of people while the poor got a minor share.

Lack of good governance, corruption, slower growth in employment and real wage also contributed to the widening income gap, they pointed out.


Former adviser to a caretaker government Mirza Azizul Islam finds the extent of inequality increased in the period insignificant as inequality generally increases along with economic growth.

The reason behind the widening inequality is slower growth in agricultural production along with higher growth in manufacturing and services sectors, he says, adding that wealthier people and skilled manpower people get the big portion of income from the sector.

World Bank lead economist in Dhaka Zahid Hossain also echoed Mirza Aziz.

Zahid said that the poor got small share of income as the share of agriculture in GDP growth declined.
Lack of good governance, quality employment, investment and problems in banking sectors and infrastructure also affected income distribution, he explained.

Dhaka University professor of economics MA Taslim said that the survey results proved that the economic development during the period was not poor-friendly.


At the report unveiling programme, planning minister AHM Mustafa Kamal said that the government would take various programme including imposition of higher tax on the rich and expansion of the social safety net to address the income inequality.

World Bank acting country director Rajashree S Paralkar, World Bank lead economist Zahid Hossain, Statistics and Informatics Division secretary KM Mozammel Hoq, BBS director general Amir Hossain, HIES project director Dipankar Roy, among others, spoke at the programme.
http://www.newagebd.net/article/26387/rich-poor-income-gap-widens
 
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Give it a rest with your unceasing and pointless anti-Bangladesh posts. You have 6000 plus posts and not a single one is original or credible - do you trawl the Internet for any bad news re BD?

OT Bd's condition is better than ever, is it not? We've been a basket case, a third world country, an LDC country but despite this you have the foolishness to say growth is not happening?

Genius, cherry picking bs Bangladeshi newspaper articles with bad news only. Let me show u how it's done:

http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2017/05/14/bangladesh-development-update-breaking-barriers

https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2017/02/28/sp02272017-Building-Economic-Progress-in-Bangladesh

https://qz.com/964114/the-happiest-economic-story-in-the-world-right-now/

http://www.dhakatribune.com/banglad...h-will-among-top-3-fastest-growing-economies/



I suppose you are talking about the "rubbish" comment.

It was a joke vis-a-vis muhith and his propensity to say the word rubbish a lot. Banglar Bir was not being critical dude.... you misunderstood.
 
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Give it a rest with your unceasing and pointless anti-Bangladesh posts. You have 6000 plus posts and not a single one is original or credible - do you trawl the Internet for any bad news re BD?

OT Bd's condition is better than ever, is it not? We've been a basket case, a third world country, an LDC country but despite this you have the foolishness to say growth is not happening?

Genius, cherry picking bs Bangladeshi newspaper articles with bad news only. Let me show u how it's done:

http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2017/05/14/bangladesh-development-update-breaking-barriers

https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2017/02/28/sp02272017-Building-Economic-Progress-in-Bangladesh

https://qz.com/964114/the-happiest-economic-story-in-the-world-right-now/

http://www.dhakatribune.com/banglad...h-will-among-top-3-fastest-growing-economies/

In fact there is always pretty much a need for inequality to rise for a few decades after crux moments in a developing economy...it is not indicative on its own of lack of growth or bad growth etc....simply put only a % of total people can immediately (and mid term) make most benefit of a more open, free market/more-market economy given their pre-disposition (existing elite and middle class with better access to the resources, know how etc)....that long term (with better reforms and focusing and delivery of govt only where its needed as well) will pull up the larger base of society by creating more capital buffers for their own opportunities to take hold.

Socialist concept of base driven growth through massive intervention to enforce absolute income equality is an abject failure given the basic need for pooling of resources and basic human attitudes regarding economic performance/ownership.
 
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I suppose you are talking about the "rubbish" comment.

It was a joke vis-a-vis muhith and his propensity to say the word rubbish a lot. Banglar Bir was not being critical dude.... you misunderstood.

No it's the haste with which he went to inequality of income, he has a habit of posting spitefully about BD. At least others like idune and alzakir are open about their political bias, this man opens dozens of threads like he is providing impartial news, although he's anything but.

Yes there's inequality, majority were poor before, now some are less poor - thats normal and it will evolve. Its also true that thousands are employed in industry now, and we have a minimum wage too. Cherry picking a news article to undermine all that is mischievous and misleading.

In fact there is always pretty much a need for inequality to rise for a few decades after crux moments in a developing economy...it is not indicative on its own of lack of growth or bad growth etc....simply put only a % of total people can immediately (and mid term) make most benefit of a more open, free market/more-market economy given their pre-disposition (existing elite and middle class with better access to the resources, know how etc)....that long term (with better reforms and focusing and delivery of govt only where its needed as well) will pull up the larger base of society by creating more capital buffers for their own opportunities to take hold.

Socialist concept of base driven growth through massive intervention to enforce absolute income equality is an abject failure given the basic need for pooling of resources and basic human attitudes regarding economic performance/ownership.

Agreed.
 
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No it's the haste with which he went to inequality of income, he has a habit of posting spitefully about BD. At least others like idune and alzakir are open about their political bias, this man opens dozens of threads like he is providing impartial news, although he's anything but.

Yes there's inequality, majority were poor before, now some are less poor - thats normal and it will evolve. Its also true that thousands are employed in industry now, and we have a minimum wage too. Cherry picking a news article to undermine all that is mischievous and misleading.



Agreed.


Well BD is following the capitalist model and coupled with endemic corruption there is going to be concentration of wealth.

These are valid observation.

On a bright side BD growth is private sector lead and the NGO sector have spearheaded grass root economic and social development.

I do not follow any poster in the forum and your observation i can not disprove. Only thing I have noticed is Bangler Bir posts a lot of posts following a scatter gun approach.
 
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