Lightningbolt
BANNED
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- Aug 15, 2013
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No, I did not avoid you, I answered your question with Spanish, no es me equivo que no hables espanol
And yes Chinese economic will collaspe if QE3 fail, when 1.3 trillion worth of US bond suddenly become toilet paper. For those who don't know, that's 4 times the Chinese surplus.
Lol if china were not affected by the bond, would Chinese government sold out all the bond already and get rid of the control by the USD? Use your brain for once, won't kill ya
You can't answer me using economics and finance because you don't understand economics and finance to debate with me. That's why you have to refer to Spanish insults to weasel your way out of this hole you've dug yourself
You do your best to avoid me after getting spanked again. End of the road for you goober, your pea brain cannot hang with a guy like me in economics and finance. I've forgotten more about economics and finance than you will ever know
Use your brain goober, the $1.3 trillion bonds is an investment. The $1.3 trillion bonds contributes nothing to the functioning of the Chinese economy. If China loses all the forex reserves, it doesn't hurt the Chinese economy because those reserves contribute nothing to the progress of Chinese individuals and companies. The bonds are the accumulation of dollar reserves from the currency peg and is a government investment.
The fact that you think the change in the forex reserves will collapse the Chinese economy proves you have utterly zero understanding of basic economics and finance and how those reserves became so large and why China buys US bonds.
Let me explain to a noob boob like you.
China has to print RMB to absorb up those dollars to keep the currency peg fixed at the desired level. Then those excess dollars are used to buy US bonds because of the deep and liquid nature of the US bond market compared to other USD denominated assets.
The increasing of the Chinese money supply to buy the excess dollars means the PBOC is forced to have high RRR because the PBOC wants to keep the velocity of money low. Having a high RRR is a massive burden for China because banks are restricted in how much money they have to loan to SMEs than they would have if the RRR was low.
The forex reserves are accumulated as a result of the currency peg. Learn this fact before you lecture others about economics or finance. Let it swirl around your airhead. Go outside so that your head can get rid of the hot air and replace it with fresh air.
Every time the Chinese reserves increase, that's an indication of the PBOC buying up dollars to stop the currency from appreciation.
Do you even understand this basic concept? This is high school economics, not even Econ 101.
If the value of those bonds collapse, then that's a loss on that INVESTMENT. That is an investment by the Chinese government.
The currency peg is the main reason for the problems in China. It causes high RRR, high input costs (energy, raw materials, etc) and reduces purchasing power of Chinese people as the RMB is artificially held low.
If the currency was allowed to appreciate, then the costs of imports would decrease and the real wages in China would increase. This has a double affect where prices of goods and services come down and the purchasing power of each RMB increases which leads to higher domestic consumption.
The currency peg is also why the deposit rates in China are still controlled. It's to keep the interest rate margin to help the banks make a profit to keep the bank dominated financial system in China stable. By keeping the deposit rate low and the lending rate high, the banks have to pay less for bank deposits and can charge borrowers higher rates.
Of course you don't understand any of these things. Instead of pretending to be a smart arse, listen and learn from me.
If you don't understand, ask me. I'll be glad to help a noob like you to better understand economics and finance.
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