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Current account deficit falls to $0.4bn in Dec: SBP

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The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) said on Wednesday the current account deficit (CAD) fell to $0.4 billion in December 2022 from $1.9bn a year earlier, as the cash-strapped government slashed imports in a bid to avert an external payments crisis.

Foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank stand at $4.3bn — enough cover for just three weeks of imports — and the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) bailout programme has been stalled for months.

December’s figures mean Pakistan has brought its CAD for the first half of the financial year that began in July 2022 down to $3.7bn from over $9bn in the corresponding period in the previous financial year, the SBP said.

Pakistan has looked to curb imports to reduce external financing needs. The economy has witnessed a sharp slowdown in the face of a financial crisis, compounded by devastating floods last year that inflicted billions of dollars of damage.

Expected external financing inflows have slowed as the country struggles to implement economic reforms under the IMF programme it entered in 2019. The World Bank has also delayed the approval of two loans worth $1.1bn.

“Machinery imports are low due to a slowdown in overall economic activities, curbs by SBP on the import of plant and machinery, higher interest rates, and uncertainty with respect to the IMF programme,” Tahir Abbas from brokerage firm Arif Habib Limited told Reuters.

He said the trade balance had improved but there was a drop in remittances that meant the CAD had increased from November 2022, while interest payments and dividend repatriation also played a role.

Fahad Rauf at Ismail Iqbal Securities played down the improving trade deficit.

“There is no choice and no one can take credit for this. We are not shopping because we don’t have money. And no one is lending,” he said.
 
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If you can't import anything, then obviously your CAD will go down. Look at all other metrics in the graph you have posted Fool...
Exports down 22% YoY, Remittances down 20%. This will have a bad impact. How much of that decrease in import will hit critical industries vs luxury items?

In this case, it is not a good sign.
 
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If you can't import anything, then obviously your CAD will go down. Look at all other metrics in the graph you have posted Fool...
Exports down 22% YoY, Remittances down 20%. This will have a bad impact. How much of that decrease in import will hit critical industries vs luxury items?

In this case, it is not a good sign.

Ruppee should be left to market actions and free floated. Will help increase remittance via legal channels and make exports more competitive. Though will have a inflationary impact short term.
 
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If you can't import anything, then obviously your CAD will go down. Look at all other metrics in the graph you have posted Fool...
Exports down 22% YoY, Remittances down 20%. This will have a bad impact. How much of that decrease in import will hit critical industries vs luxury items?

In this case, it is not a good sign.

Besides the industry's economic impact, the healthcare and pharmacy slowdown of life-saving equipment can devastate the nation's overall health. At this point, we can't even import life-saving drugs.

Family friends owns a private health group and hospital in Faisalabad. He stated they barely had two weeks' worth of medications left. To the point, regular pregnancies aren't provided any medications and epidural shots and only C-Section are provided what's needed. Electric shortages caused damage to generators. They lost the stored blood supply, and patients had to run and find their donors.

This is just one glimpse of what this country can be facing.
 
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Stop importing .

If you cannot make live without it.
 
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Ruppee should be left to market actions and free floated. Will help increase remittance via legal channels and make exports more competitive. Though will have a inflationary impact short term.
That is what was being done under IK. You had record increase in Large Scale Manufacturing , exports and remittances. They had also increased tax collection 3x.
But our media just zeroed in on inflation. In the long run (next 5 years), we would have started to see the export flywheel take off along with digital (IT) services increase.

But powers to be really screwed the pooch. Dar has reverted to his usual voodoo policies of artificial rupee valuation. Even started taxing IT services and here we are 9 months later teetering at the precipice.
 
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The government didn't slash imports, they simply can't afford to buy them.

That's like going to the store to buy tomatoes, and when you don't have enough money to buy them, you try and calm your own embarrassment by saying that you're trying to save money by cutting back on buying tomatoes.

You are by far one of the biggest sources of misinformation on PDF.
 
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