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Circular debt soars to Rs2.327tr in 2020-21

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ISLAMABAD: With power sector circular debt touching Rs2.327 trillion as of June 30, 2021, the Cabinet Committee on Energy (CCoE) on Thursday ordered expeditious implementation on oil crisis report including transfer of additional powers to Oil & Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) to regulate oil marketing sector.

Presided over by Planning Minister Asad Umar, the CCoE also desired a final position of all the stakeholders on allocation of pipeline capacity and tie-in mechanism before the next meeting to secure final investment decisions (FIDs) from investors of two additional merchant LNG terminals. It was noted that discouraging signals were going out to the investors who had paid different fees and made other expenditures so far which was not a good omen.

The Power Division presented its monthly circular debt report that reported total power sector circular debt at Rs2.402tr at the end of May 2021,showing an increase of Rs251bn from Rs2.153tr carried forward on July 1, 2020.

The report provisionally projected circular debt at Rs2.327tr as of June 30, 2021 on the basis of Rs90bn payments to independent power producers (IPPs) a few days ago. As such, the power division reported an increase of Rs177bn in circular debt during the entire 2020-21 when compared with Rs541bn surge in fiscal 2019-20.


The report said a major chunk of increase in circular debt of Rs130bn because of unbudgetd subsidies out of Rs177bn total increase and about Rs70bn on account of interest on delayed payments to IPPs. “The committee noted that the circular debt build-up had substantially reduced in comparison to the previous years,” said an official statement, adding the Power Division was directed to continue with its efforts for further reduction.

Sources in the Petroleum Division said Secretary Petroleum Dr Arshad Mahmood submitted a progress report on implementation of decisions of the federal cabinet and the CCoE on 2020 petroleum shortage crisis. He reported that some of the policy, legal and administrative actions had been completed while remaining such steps will take some time to complete while physical implementation could take 3-5 years, for example in upgradation of refineries and storages etc.

Additional powers for Ogra

The report said the stakeholders had reached consensus that a lot of powers currently vested with the Director General of Oil have to be transferred to Ogra for which an agreed draft of revised rules — Pakistan Petroleum (Refining, Blending and Marketing) Rules 1971 — had been pending with Law Division for vetting and then clearance by Cabinet Committee on Legislative Cases (CCLC).

Under the said mutually agreed draft, powers under rules 7, 8, 9, 20, 30, 30B, 31, 39 and 43C would stand transferred to Ogra with the ratification of the cabinet.

Under rule 7, every refinery shall now submit its production programme for next half of fiscal year one month in advance to the regulator as required under the economic interests of the country and its own ability to meet the demands of the market as economically as possible.

Under rule 8, Ogra would now approve the said programme of production which such modifications, if any, as it may indicate in its order of approval keeping in mind the ability of the refinery to make adjustments.

Under rule 9, every refinery shall carry on its production in accordance with the programme of production approved under rule 8 without any change, departure or modification unless with prior approval of the regulator.

Likewise, the rule 20 would empower Ogra that every blending plant, grease plant, reclamation plant and white oils production plants shall submit their bi-annual production plans including any change or alteration in such plans. Under rule 30, no agreement relating to the supply, purchase, sale, storage or export of any imported petroleum products shall be entered into by any person without the prior approval of the regulator.

Under Rule 30B, where the production of petroleum products by the local refineries is found insufficient, the regulator would have powers to impose conditions from time-to-time for a marketing company to import such products. The regulator will have powers under rule 31 to prohibit the sale or disposal of any product in any area.

Under rules 39, every refinery, blending plant, (reclamation plant) and marketing company shall give to the regulator a 7-day prior notice for closure or stoppage of operations along with the reasons and the period for which it is likely to continue.

Under 43C, Ogra will have powers to direct any refinery, marketing company or its agent or dealer or a blending plant (or reclamation plant) to supply such quantity of any petroleum product to such person as may be specified in the order.

The committee directed speedy implementation on above steps and also directed Federal Investigation Agency (FIA) to update the CCoE in its next meeting on the progress of its investigations, assigned to it by the cabinet.

Published in Dawn, July 2nd, 2021

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Debt didn't increase as much this FY.
 
That is a huge improvement over previous years, especially given the background that our capacity payment charges stood at 900b in FY2021.
 
Govt added Rs1201b to power sector circular debt during last three years

Total circular debt will reach Rs2327b in 2020-21, which is Rs177b higher than previous fiscal


This is despite increase in tariff by multiple time and fuel adjustment almost every month.
That is a huge improvement over previous years, especially given the background that our capacity payment charges stood at 900b in FY2021.

How much we earned more by producing more electricity from new plants??
 
Govt added Rs1201b to power sector circular debt during last three years

Total circular debt will reach Rs2327b in 2020-21, which is Rs177b higher than previous fiscal


This is despite increase in tariff by multiple time and fuel adjustment almost every month.


How much we earned more by producing more electricity from new plants??

Fuel adjustment is a normal process, happening for decades 😂

It is remarkable how 900b capacity payment this fisical year due to corruption and incompetence of plmn was mitigated.

To give it some perspective during plmn last year capacity payment was 400b and circular debt was 400b. Now capacity payment is 900b and circular debt is 180b.

Power tariff hike was minimal and way less than expected with a total impact of around 196b overall i think. IMF recent calculation/demand of 4 Rs per unit hike was based on expected 400-500b increase in circular debt.

Lets be honest this is remarkable in many aspects.
 
Fuel adjustment is a normal process, happening for decades 😂

It is remarkable how 900b capacity payment this fisical year due to corruption and incompetence of plmn was mitigated.

To give it some perspective during plmn last year capacity payment was 400b and circular debt was 400b. Now capacity payment is 900b and circular debt is 180b.

Power tariff hike was minimal and way less than expected with a total impact of around 196b overall i think. IMF recent calculation/demand of 4 Rs per unit hike was based on expected 400-500b increase in circular debt.

Lets be honest this is remarkable in many aspects.

In PMLN last two years fuel adjustments were in minus in most months but this government has increased prices in the name of fuel adjustment almost every month.
 

Circular debt showing Rs33bn monthly growth


Pakistan’s energy sector circular debt flow is still soaring with an average growth of about Rs33 billion per month recorded during the first six months (July-December) 2021-22, well-informed sources told Business Recorder.

Total circular debt has reached Rs 2.476 trillion during first six months of current fiscal year as compared to Rs 2.303 trillion in the same period of 2020-21, with total growth of Rs 196 billion as compared to Rs 152 billion during July-December 2020-21.

Of the total amount Rs 1.494 trillion was related to power producers, Rs 79 billion to Gencos payable to fuel suppliers and Rs 904 billion is parked in Power Holding Limited (PHL).

Circular debt, which is a persistent headache for the government and send an unpleasant message to the International Financial Institutions and local banks is a product of incompetence, unbridled theft, high losses, rampant corruption and other factors.

Power sectors’ average T&D losses are 17 per cent against targets of 13.4 per cent. However, Power Division is determined to bring circular debt down to Rs 1.880 trillion at the end of current fiscal year.

Circular debt may hit Rs2.7trn mark

According to sources unpaid subsidies have reduced by Rs 8 billion during the first six months of current fiscal year against growth of Rs 77 billion in the same period last year. The volume of unbudgeted subsidy was Rs 17 billion during this period from negative Rs 5 billion in the same period last fiscal year.

The IPPs interest charges on delayed payments increased to 67 billion July-December 2021-22, against Rs42 billion in the comparable period of the year before, posting a growth of over 60 per cent.

The pending generation cost (QTA+ FCA) has reduced to Rs 100 billion during July-December) 2021-22 against Rs 119 billion during corresponding period of FY 2020-21, showing a decline of 16 percent. The volume of non-payment by K-Electric stood at Rs 67 billion during the first six months of current fiscal year against Rs 40 billion during the same period last year, indicating an increase of Rs 27 billion in non-payment, with an average growth of Rs 11.2 billion per month.

The amount of Discos inefficiency was recorded at Rs 46 billion from Rs 8 billion during this period last year, showing an increase of 475 per cent.

The sources maintained that Discos under recoveries recorded at 66 billion during July-December 2021-22 as compared to negative 37 billion. However, prior year recovery has declined toRs 8 billion from 99 billion. The amount of PHL markup remained unchanged at Rs 26 billion.

The unbudgeted subsidy including AJK and KE is around Rs 75 billion (AJK Rs 46 and KE Rs 29 billion). An amount of Rs 292 billion is receivable from KE as on June 2021 due to subsidy dispute between KE and GoP. The PHL and IPPs stock also reflect projected adjustment/ payment through federal budget: (i) repayment of Rs 130 billion PHL debt; and (ii) the settlement of outstanding arrears of Rs 311 billion to IPPs in FY 22.

 
Givt zara Afghanistan or Srilanka ko $200-$300 milions tu dayday loan
 
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