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China's 'New Silk Road' Picks Up Where Hillary Clinton's Flopped

onebyone

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In 2011, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton announced that the U.S would sponsor a “New Silk Road” that would emerge from Afghanistan to better link the country in with its neighbors to increase its economic potential and help with the rebuilding effort after decades of turmoil and war. Unfortunately, this bold plan appears to have flopped before it even got started.

Now China is making good on this ambition by integrating Afghanistan in with their Belt and Road initiative — a major part of what could be called the real New Silk Road.

As part of this endeavor, a pair of cargo trains departed from two Chinese cities at the end of August bound for Afghanistan, opening up another node on a rapidly expanding new logistics network which now spans across the Eurasian landmass.

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An Afghan policeman patrols alongside a new railway track in Hairatan, on January 2, 2012, close to the northern border of Afghanistan with Uzbekistan. (AFP PHOTO/Qais Usyan)

On August 25, the first Afghanistan-bound train ceremoniously departed from Nantong, in China’s eastern Jiangsu province, carrying 85 containers. The side of the train was draped with a banner that read “Congratulations on the Central Asian trains (Nantong – Afghanistan – Hairaton) launching” and on the front was a similar sign topped off with a bright red pom-pom. This train arrived at its destination in Hairatan on August 7 after a 15-day journey which took it across the whole of China, through eastern Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan. This was the first of what is projected to become a bimonthly route, which also includes feeder lines to Dushanbe, the capital of Tajikistan, as well as the ancient Silk Road centers of Samarkand and Bukhara in Uzbekistan.


A second China-Afghanistan train departed a few days later from the eastern Chinese city of Yiwu, which is perhaps best known as being the place where Christmas ornaments are made. That one is set to arrive in Mazar-I-Sharif today. This train will make the 7,500 kilometer journey laden with over 100 containers carrying over $4 million worth of cargo in 15 days. Mazar-i-Sharif sits on the Uzbekistan border, 75 kilometers down the line from Hairatan, and is Afghanistan’s second most important commercial center and a key logistics hub for the Central Asia/Middle East region. This train is expected to do one run each week.

New direct cargo rail routes connecting cities in China with those across Eurasia have been commencing at an increasing rate since the first lines from Chongqing and Chengdu were launched out of beta in 2013, and there are now in the ballpark of 35 to 40 currently in operation. Yiwu alone has five international rail lines connecting it with cities in Spain, Iran, Russia and four Central Asian nations.
These new international rail routes don’t only provide a much needed middle option between expensive air and slow sea freight and give China a strategic back door to decrease reliance on its eastern sea ports, but are also used to physically establish closer ties between the nations they pass through. These rail lines can be thought of as infrastructural diplomacy, and often lay the groundwork for enhanced political and economic cooperation. They are the first stage of what often becomes complete economic corridors which contain new large-scale industrial zones,logistics centers and even new cities. While China’s long-term plans for Afghanistan are currently not clear, if projects like Khorgos Gateway are any indication these two new rail routes could be followed up by big investments, big projects and big dreams.
 
The fact that China is now linking Afghanistan in within the Belt and Road network is key to the country’s broader ambitions in the region. This is not only an initiative that is about connecting East Asia with Western Europe but also about tying in and bolstering the economies at every stop along the way, as the full economic potential of an emerging Eurasia is maximized — in a similar fashion as it was during the ancient Silk Road.

“The master plan of the New Silk Road has always been much broader than simply connecting Western China and Western Europe,” said Karl Gheysen, the CEO of Khorgos Gateway, the preeminent logistics hub on the Kazakhstan/China border. “Once this east-west corridor matures the next logical step indeed is to link an additional layer, which will be north-south. It all sounds spectacular, but it’s just history repeating itself.”

For Afghanistan, these new rail lines and broader Belt and Road participation are potentially new economic lifelines. With the Spinboldak highway, which links Afghanistan with Pakistan, routinely being shut down — something which is costing Afghan traders millions of dollars — Afghanistan is in dire need of new markets and transportation routes to get their exports there. These newly established rail links, along with other essential Belt and Road transportation infrastructure, will serve as arteries for Afghanistan to ship commodities like spices, marble and fruit to the booming markets of China and Europe.


Chinese business, investment and political support has become of increased importance to Afghanistan as the U.S. continues its retreat. The IMF reported last year that $100 million of Belt and Road investment is slated to go to Afghanistan. While this is a paltry sum compared to the $45 billion going to Pakistan and $31 billion to other Central Asian countries, it’s still a significant amount of capital inflow for a country in the process of rebuilding itself from the ground up.

Trade between China and Afghanistan is also growing. Afghanistan’s trade with the Chinese city of Yiwu alone has risen from next to nothing to $20.2 million in a matter of years. Last year, trade between the two locales increased 2,284.5% year-on-year, while import-export volume so far this year has topped $18.3 million, a rise of 4,683% over the same period last year, according to China.org.cn.

In addition to increased economic and political integration, these new rail links to Afghanistan are also another step in China’s broader plans to combat security concerns in its western regions and their immediate neighborhoods. China is currently pumping billions of dollars into urban and infrastructural development in its restive Xinjiang region, which is being used as a strategy to inhibit extremism while enhancing economic growth. This is key for the general health of the broader Belt and Road initiative, as many of its overland corridors go through Xinjiang and Central Asia. So being proactive about security in Afghanistan is a fundamental part of China’s big plans for the future.

For China, Afghanistan can potentially become a hub for transit, trade and energy — serving as a link to Central, South and West Asia. While being a quiet country economically, its position right in the heart of Eurasia makes it of prime importance to Beijing. Afghanistan may well be the “missing link” in China’s long-term geopolitical and geo-economic strategy. As Washington moves out it is clear that Beijing is more than willing to move in.

I'm the author of Ghost Cities of China. I'm currently traveling the New Silk Road doing research for a new book. Follow by RSS.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/wadeshe...clintons-flopped-in-afghanistan/#2d380a6d4d8a
 
It is an ambitious project, one that will take decades to fully realize. I doubt that the current Chinese leadership will stay in power long enough to see it completed, but what they've done is build a strong enough foundation, so that future Chinese leaders and international stakeholders can see its completion.
 
The fact that China is now linking Afghanistan in within the Belt and Road network is key to the country’s broader ambitions in the region. This is not only an initiative that is about connecting East Asia with Western Europe but also about tying in and bolstering the economies at every stop along the way, as the full economic potential of an emerging Eurasia is maximized — in a similar fashion as it was during the ancient Silk Road.

“The master plan of the New Silk Road has always been much broader than simply connecting Western China and Western Europe,” said Karl Gheysen, the CEO of Khorgos Gateway, the preeminent logistics hub on the Kazakhstan/China border. “Once this east-west corridor matures the next logical step indeed is to link an additional layer, which will be north-south. It all sounds spectacular, but it’s just history repeating itself.”

For Afghanistan, these new rail lines and broader Belt and Road participation are potentially new economic lifelines. With the Spinboldak highway, which links Afghanistan with Pakistan, routinely being shut down — something which is costing Afghan traders millions of dollars — Afghanistan is in dire need of new markets and transportation routes to get their exports there. These newly established rail links, along with other essential Belt and Road transportation infrastructure, will serve as arteries for Afghanistan to ship commodities like spices, marble and fruit to the booming markets of China and Europe.


Chinese business, investment and political support has become of increased importance to Afghanistan as the U.S. continues its retreat. The IMF reported last year that $100 million of Belt and Road investment is slated to go to Afghanistan. While this is a paltry sum compared to the $45 billion going to Pakistan and $31 billion to other Central Asian countries, it’s still a significant amount of capital inflow for a country in the process of rebuilding itself from the ground up.

Trade between China and Afghanistan is also growing. Afghanistan’s trade with the Chinese city of Yiwu alone has risen from next to nothing to $20.2 million in a matter of years. Last year, trade between the two locales increased 2,284.5% year-on-year, while import-export volume so far this year has topped $18.3 million, a rise of 4,683% over the same period last year, according to China.org.cn.

In addition to increased economic and political integration, these new rail links to Afghanistan are also another step in China’s broader plans to combat security concerns in its western regions and their immediate neighborhoods. China is currently pumping billions of dollars into urban and infrastructural development in its restive Xinjiang region, which is being used as a strategy to inhibit extremism while enhancing economic growth. This is key for the general health of the broader Belt and Road initiative, as many of its overland corridors go through Xinjiang and Central Asia. So being proactive about security in Afghanistan is a fundamental part of China’s big plans for the future.

For China, Afghanistan can potentially become a hub for transit, trade and energy — serving as a link to Central, South and West Asia. While being a quiet country economically, its position right in the heart of Eurasia makes it of prime importance to Beijing. Afghanistan may well be the “missing link” in China’s long-term geopolitical and geo-economic strategy. As Washington moves out it is clear that Beijing is more than willing to move in.

I'm the author of Ghost Cities of China. I'm currently traveling the New Silk Road doing research for a new book. Follow by RSS.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/wadeshe...clintons-flopped-in-afghanistan/#2d380a6d4d8a

Great post, thanks for sharing @onebyone .

Nothing would better sum up the rising institutional capacity of China in relation to the US' growing weakness in creating non-militarized doctrines and discourses.

The OBOR has just started. But it won't stop developing well until the mid-century when it achieves maturity.
 
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Great post, thanks for sharing @onebyone .

Nothing would be better sum up the rising institutional capacity of China in relation to the US' growing weakness in creating non-militarized doctrines and discourses.

The OBOR has just started. But it won't stop developing well until the mid-century when it achieves maturity.

Hillary Clinton's Silk Road project failed because the US was never interested in building the regional economy, only seeing how much bloodshed they could cause with cruise missiles, drones, and every other weapon platform under the sun.

They don't understand the concept of not using weapons. Even the Fat Kims have better self control when it comes to using weapons.
 
Hillary Clinton's Silk Road project failed because the US was never interested in building the regional economy, only seeing how much bloodshed they could cause with cruise missiles, drones, and every other weapon platform under the sun.

They don't understand the concept of not using weapons. Even the Fat Kims have better self control when it comes to using weapons.

Indeed, one almost feel sorry for their state of incapacity in peaceful diplomacy-making.

Clinton's Silk Road had neither the required financial backing (how could the US provide finance when it is the largest debtor nation on earth) nor the institutional setting.

It was as if Clinton hoped that she would threw out a name and a workable framework would pop up.

It now seems to me more obvious the US supremacy was partly a historical accident caused by the WWII conditions.
 
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