Chinas Economy Finished 2010 Strong With Anti-Inflationary Action Well Underway
Chinas economy accelerated at the end of 2010, but kept inflation in check, showing the worlds second largest economy is still outpacing its Western trading partners by leaps and bounds.
Among the slew of economic data released by National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Chinas GDP showed stable and vigorous growth of 10.3% in 2010 and 9.8% in the fourth quarter of 2010.
Domestic demand contributed to 92% of the GDP growth rate. Chinas retail sales surged 19.1% in December, after increasing 18.8% the month before. The whole year growth reached 18.4% to RMB 15.5 trillion.
The economys strength will drive further increases in household income this year, supporting solid growth in consumer demand, JP Morgan Chase & Co said in a note.
For the first time since 1997, the growth of per capita disposable income among rural residents is higher than that of urban residents. In the countryside, per capita net income rose 10.9% to RMB 5,919 ($898). The annual per capita net income for urban residents was RMB 19,109 ($2,900) in 2010, up 7.8% year-over-year.
Faster rural income growth is largely due to government policies favoring farmers and agriculture production, increased health-care coverage and the removal of taxes and fees in the past few years.
The rural incomes surge will greatly boost domestic consumption. Wang Tao, a Beijing-based economist at UBS AG, who previously worked at the International Monetary Fund, said There is a vast rural market to tap.
This helps confirm our long-held view that China is starting to experience a consumption boom, which should last for many years, Nomura economists Chi Sun and Tomo Kinoshita said in a research note.
Chinas soaring CPI also stepped on the brakes at the end of 2010 finally. The CPI in December grew by 4.6%, slower than in the previous month. The whole years CPI data also ends with a comparatively modest number of 3.3%.
After a 2.4% increase in March, the upward trend of CPI lasted until November when the data climbed to an 18-month high of 5.1%.
the latest figures indicate the countrys measures to curb inflation have been effective.
The latest data came amid an important meeting between President Obama and Chinese President Hu Jintao at the White House. The potential gains for Chinese spending are a draw to Obama, who pressed Hu for greater access for American companies.
We welcome Chinas rise. We want to sell you all kinds of stuff, Obama said to Hu. We want to sell you planes, we want to sell you cars, we want to sell you software.
Chinas vehicle sales rose 32% to 18.1 million in 2010, keeping the auto market ahead of the U.S. for the second year running. Sales are expected to grow about 15% in 2011.
Growth remains very robust in China, said Jay Bryson, global economist with Wells Fargo.
Chinas GDP growth is expected to be above 9% in 2011 as CPI growth holds below 4%.
Chinas coming surge in domestic consumption makes it by far the most desirable major economy in which to invest.
Adam Roseman
Founder & Managing Partner
ARC China
China?s Economy Finished 2010 Strong With Anti-Inflationary Action Well Underway