Genesis
SENIOR MEMBER
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- Mar 26, 2013
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A lot has been written about China, India, and US, and the future of the world.
But what's really the best for India right now. I will only talk about India.
Strong China, weak China, victorious China, defeated China. That is the question.
To me the answer is obvious, but it's apparently not so to everyone else. A strong China is advantageous to India in the long run.
Most Indians and observers looks to our border conflict and close proximity, and the battle for economic domination, but that is short sighted and for economics, it's not even looking at the right place.
I'm not dissing the Indians, but China and India isn't competing in economics, we are not at the same place, India is trying to break into the low end manufacturing market while China is only now gearing to battle America for high end manufacturing and service supremacy.
India does have some good companies, but India also has 1.2 billion and soon to be way more. Those companies are not even close enough to help 10% of the population, much less all of them. India needs low end, low tech manufacturing to pull its poor out of poverty like China has done. That's not what I think, that's just a fact. Unless India can come up with a plan of creating a job that requires little to no technical know how and little to no investment needed.
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Now let's get to the heart of the problem, for China and India, the key is the US. China is at a stage where US and China can no longer avoid each other anymore, so our conflicts will become more and more apparent, but India threatens US in no way right now, so the response is mute at best.
If China loses this battle, India will one day be at China's position, would India fare better than China did today? The chances are not good.
On the other hand if China wins, US will not disappear, there would be a divide East vs West. America will no longer be the SOLE dominate power in the world.
If India is lucky this would give India a relative easy entry into the super power stage if you ever get there for we both would want another power on our side and no one will dare to move against a third power for fear of forcing an alliance against the former.
If this were to happen.
All India would "lose," is almost nothing, China would control the China seas, and will continue to go at America in the Indian ocean and beyond, but this time it is different. China won't be the only super power in there, there is also the US, which gives India the chance to keep this balance to advance it's own interests, until it can assert it's dominance in the region if it ever comes to that.
For India to become a great nation, it is far more likely IF, China is at a point where we can balance the states, than if US is the only power.
But what's really the best for India right now. I will only talk about India.
Strong China, weak China, victorious China, defeated China. That is the question.
To me the answer is obvious, but it's apparently not so to everyone else. A strong China is advantageous to India in the long run.
Most Indians and observers looks to our border conflict and close proximity, and the battle for economic domination, but that is short sighted and for economics, it's not even looking at the right place.
I'm not dissing the Indians, but China and India isn't competing in economics, we are not at the same place, India is trying to break into the low end manufacturing market while China is only now gearing to battle America for high end manufacturing and service supremacy.
India does have some good companies, but India also has 1.2 billion and soon to be way more. Those companies are not even close enough to help 10% of the population, much less all of them. India needs low end, low tech manufacturing to pull its poor out of poverty like China has done. That's not what I think, that's just a fact. Unless India can come up with a plan of creating a job that requires little to no technical know how and little to no investment needed.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Now let's get to the heart of the problem, for China and India, the key is the US. China is at a stage where US and China can no longer avoid each other anymore, so our conflicts will become more and more apparent, but India threatens US in no way right now, so the response is mute at best.
If China loses this battle, India will one day be at China's position, would India fare better than China did today? The chances are not good.
On the other hand if China wins, US will not disappear, there would be a divide East vs West. America will no longer be the SOLE dominate power in the world.
If India is lucky this would give India a relative easy entry into the super power stage if you ever get there for we both would want another power on our side and no one will dare to move against a third power for fear of forcing an alliance against the former.
If this were to happen.
All India would "lose," is almost nothing, China would control the China seas, and will continue to go at America in the Indian ocean and beyond, but this time it is different. China won't be the only super power in there, there is also the US, which gives India the chance to keep this balance to advance it's own interests, until it can assert it's dominance in the region if it ever comes to that.
For India to become a great nation, it is far more likely IF, China is at a point where we can balance the states, than if US is the only power.