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China To Automakers: "Make EVs, Or Die."

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Nov 25, 2016 @ 07:28 AM
China To Automakers: "Make EVs, Or Die."
Bertel Schmitt , Contributor

China is putting a gun to the heads of its automakers. “By 2018,” the Wall Street Journal reported today, electric vehicles “must account for 8% of the maker’s production, and the percentage will rise from there.” The Journal is a bit ahead of its times. Currently, the rules are still in draft form, and a lot can change before the final regs are handed down. One thing is clear however: China’s government is forcing the electrification of its own auto industry, and quite literally so, as the bulk of China’s auto manufacturers are state-owned, in one way or the other. Message from Beijing: Make electric cars, or die. “Chinese state media has trumpeted the regulations as essentially barring car makers that don’t have new-energy capabilities,” the Wall Street Journal wrote.

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By 2018, China’s annual automobile production should be around 28.5 million units, if the 8% growth targets set by the country’s planners hold, which they usually do. 8% of that number would amount to some 2.3 million battery-electric, plug-in hybrid and fuel-cell models, cars subsumed in China under the “new electric vehicle,” or NEV, moniker. By 2020, that number would be at around 4 million NEVs. Compare that to half a million plug-in electric vehicles delivered to buyers globally in 2015.

In many large cities of China, such as in its capital Beijing, an electric vehicle already is the only real choice if someone wants to buy a new car. The alternative is to enter a lottery of strictly rationed permits for conventional cars, with odds much worse than when betting on the winning number in roulette.

Read more at http://www.forbes.com/sites/bertels...a-to-automakers-make-evs-or-die/#6627de57622e
 
Before Telsa nobody took EV's seriously other than Toyota...now it's a mad scramble to not be seen as a dinosaur.
 
Tycho De Feijter ,

CONTRIBUTOR

I write about the Chinese car market.

Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own.


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Changan BenBen EV, by Tycho de Feijter

The market for electric cars and all sorts of other electric vehicles keeps booming in China. Subsidies can be as high as 90,000 yuan ($13,000) and more and more consumers and companies are buying in. Local Chinese automakers make up most of the electric car market and are now seriously investing in research & development, leading to better cars with more power and longer range, and thus to more sales.

This year’s Guangzhou Auto Show saw the debut of over 30 new energy vehicles (NEVs). For this article I take a look at the most interesting new cars in five electric vehicle segments:

Mini car segment: Changan BenBen EV

The petrol-powered BenBen is one of the most popular mini cars on the market, and now there is an electric version, simply called the BenBen EV. Most Chinese automakers doe not bother to come up with special names for electric cars. The BenBen is powered by an electric motor with an output of 75hp and 165nm, good for a 125km/h top speed and a range of 200 kilometres. It will hit the market in December for 59,800 yuan ($8600).


Compact sedan segment: Dongfeng Fengxing Jingyi S50 EV

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Dongfeng Fengxing Jingyi S50 EV, by Tycho de Feijter

What is in a name? Dongfeng Motors is the owner of the Fengxing brand, which sells a line of cars called Jingyi, one of those is the S50 sedan, and they now have launched an electric variant. The S50 EV is a compact sedan, a booming electric car sub-segment. The Jingyi EV has an electric motor with 120hp and 280nm, top speed is 150 km/h and range is 250 kilometers. It will go on sale in early 2017 for about 120,000 yuan ($17,360).
 
n most countries the color for new-energy cars is green. In China, however, the color that stands for alternative energy is blue, for a blue sky. Most EVs therefore have a lot of blue touches in the grille, lights, bumpers, and in the interior. Many also come with wild EV stickers. This stuff is standard, if you don’t want it you have to ask specifically. Many consumers like to show off the drive electric, so they like the blue.

SUV segment: Guangzhou Auto Trumpchi GS4 EV

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Guangzhou Auto Trumpchi GS4 EV, by Tycho de Feijter

The Trumchi GS4 has been a massive hit for Guangzhou Auto (the company, not the show), making up for more than half of the company’s total sales. The new EV version has to crank up sales even further. Electric SUVs too are fast becoming more popular as ranges go up and buyers dare to take them outside of the cities at the weekends.

The GS4 EV has 140hp and 250nm, top speed is 120 km/h and range is 240 kilometers. It will be launched on the Chinese car market in the second quarter of 2017 for about 150,000 yuan ($21,700).

Van segment: JAC Sunray i6

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JAC Sunray i6, by Tycho de Feijter

Electric vans are probably the hardest growing EV segment. Vans have the obvious advantage that they usually travel a fixed distance per day, with a fixed load of freight or passengers, and they can be charged at night when they are not needed. No range anxiety!

The i6 is the electric variant of the popular JAC Sunray van series. It has an electric motor with 80hp and 400nm. Top speed is 100 kilometers per hour, not bad for such a large vehicle, and range is 160 kilometer. The i6 on the show was a passenger-transport variant with 12 seats. It will hit the market next year, price yet unknown.

Light truck segment: Jinbei JBC Qiyun EV

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Jinbei JBC Qiyun EV, by Tycho de Feijter

Jinbei is one of the largest commercial vehicle makers in China. JBC is their main truck brand, making a series of light trucks by the name Qiyun. Electric trucks are not as popular as electric vans; they tend to drive longer distances over difficult roads. But again, when range goes, sales go up.

The Qiyun EV has an electric motor with 100 hp and 240nm, which is a little low. Range is 200 kilometers and max payload 3000 kilo. It has been under development for a while and will finally go on sale next year for some 100,000 yuan ($14,500). These light trucks are dirt cheap in China, a diesel powered example goes for just $9200.

Chinese car makers are also working on electric buses, electric super cars, electric taxi’s, and whatnot more. The boom is set to continue for quite a while.

Tycho de Feijter is a Beijing-based China analyst, specialized in cars and tanks. He is the founder of CarNewsChina.com, the largest portal for news and information about the Chinese auto industry.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/tychode...hina-worlds-largest-ev-market/2/#461cf2f7e669
 
Byd has long started making electric car. Even warren buffet take note of it and buys it share.

Yes, it has been long. Tesla had a fully electric car for sale in 2008. Not a hybrid.
Toyota Prius hybrid has been around since 1997 (almost 20 years!). Took a long time for companies to take them seriously.

Remember Top Gear's opinion of Tesla's car in 2008 and their opinion of EV's:
"an astonishing technical achievement...it's just a shame that in the real world, it just doesn't seem to work."

Such was the typical low opinion of EV tech.
 
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This appears to he the rational choice unless China wants to see half of its domestic market is dominated by foreign multinationals. If this plan is successful, we will see the DJI experience will repeat itself in China's auto sector.

It is doable.
 
Combustion engine is 100 year old technology. EV us the future. Perhaps hydrogen also
 
Yes, it has been long. Tesla had a fully electric car for sale in 2008. Not a hybrid.
Toyota Prius hybrid has been around since 1997 (almost 20 years!). Took a long time for companies to take them seriously.

Remember Top Gear's opinion of Tesla's car in 2008 and their opinion of EV's:
"an astonishing technical achievement...it's just a shame that in the real world, it just doesn't seem to work."

Such was the typical low opinion of EV tech.
Tesla?Toyota?
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This appears to he the rational choice unless China wants to see half of its domestic market is dominated by foreign multinationals. If this plan is successful, we will see the DJI experience will repeat itself in China's auto sector.

It is doable.

But 8% by 2018?

I think this year's figure is 2% or thereabout.

I'd be extremely happy if new-energy vehicles account for 8% of all auto production by 2020. :enjoy:
 
How is the price of electric car in China specially BYD?
 
But 8% by 2018?

I think this year's figure is 2% or thereabout.

I'd be extremely happy if new-energy vehicles account for 8% of all auto production by 2020. :enjoy:

Yes that's what the government demands from automakers, 8% by 2018, or die.
I was stunned by such iron fist!
 
But 8% by 2018?

I think this year's figure is 2% or thereabout.

I'd be extremely happy if new-energy vehicles account for 8% of all auto production by 2020. :enjoy:

This also means we may see significant consolidation in the auto manufacturing sector, which would be good. Currently, it appears to be too crowded. Consolidation would reduce destructive competition on low-end products and allow room for more innovative, good quality products.

Many of the small makers would not survive under government's tech-oriented EV push. Maybe some of them should actually dedicate efforts to become leaders in auto-parts manufacturing.
 

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