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China gears up for leadership change and avoid Soviet-style collapse

EjazR

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Red alert: China gears up to avoid Soviet-style collapse - The Times of India

JINGGANGSHAN: Bracing for key leadership changes, China's 80-million strong Communist Party is getting ready for yet another long-haul with an ideological makeover to avert a Soviet Union-style collapse which spelled doom for communism worldwide.

Celebrating its 90th anniversary this year, the Chinese Communist Party (CPC) is going through the phase of "nervous sixties" as it completed 62 years in power, according to some party officials.

"The Soviet Communist Party collapsed in 1991, after 74 years in power. It is a wake-up call for the CPC and a very good lesson to be learnt," Zhou Jintang, vice president of the China Executive Leadership Academy, told a group of visiting foreign journalists.

One key factor for CPC in the years ahead was how quickly the growing disparities between rich and poor were bridged and how the party would remain in touch with people at the grass roots with steps to firmly put down corruption, Zhou said.

Also the CPC is gearing up for a major leadership changes next year, when President Hu Jintao and Prime Minister Wen Jiabao and a host of leaders at different levels are scheduled to quit after two terms to pave the way for new leadership.

Vice president Xi Jinping, who has been made the vice chairman of the powerful military commission, is widely expected to succeed Hu in December next year.

Though CPC was expected to continue economic reforms advocated by Mao's successor Deng Xiaoping, the party is divided over opening up on political reform fearing it would open floodgates for dissent and unrest.

While CPC ideologically equipped cadre, the government geared up to meet any internal trouble by allocating $95 billion budget this year to beef up police, state security, armed civil militia, courts and jails.

Incidentally, this year's internal security budget for China was higher than the $91 billion defence budget.

The Soviet collapse, besides the major changes introduced by CPC, shedding its founder Mao's hardline policies after his death, were part of the curriculum for the short term courses and the lessons were dinned into CPC officials so that mistakes can be avoided.

Senior officials of the CPC say moving away from Mao's era were timely decision aimed at moving ahead with changing times.
 
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Wow, what a headline. :lol:

This is one of those cases, where the actual headline, is more exaggerated than the thread title. This Indian media headline seems to be implying that a Chinese collapse is imminent.

Anyway, people have been predicting the collapse of China, every year, for the past few decades. China will collapse during the credit crunch, China will collapse during the "jasmine revolution", etc.

Anything to help you guys sleep at night.
 
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actually, anyone who's following china knows that the new leadership stepping in next year will be even more conservative then the current administration.
 
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We should stop quoting TOI-let for its jignoism and sensessionalism in international forum!!
 
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I've heard both good and bad things about Xi Jinping. Let's wait and see how things turn out.
 
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In 2026, we will finally be able to say, with complete truth, that the Soviet Union was closer to what Marx meant the PRC is.
Why? Because the PRC will be 75. In the Soviet case, the state withered away before that.
 
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In 2026, we will finally be able to say, with complete truth, that the Soviet Union was closer to what Marx meant the PRC is.
Why? Because the PRC will be 75. In the Soviet case, the state withered away before that.

Mao era's PRC was indeed much more lefty than USSR, but today's PRC is more leaning towards the center.
 
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In 2026, we will finally be able to say, with complete truth, that the Soviet Union was closer to what Marx meant the PRC is.
Why? Because the PRC will be 75. In the Soviet case, the state withered away before that.

Humans haven't achieved the type of technology for the state to wither away yet. We probably will get there in a couple thousand years or so.
 
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Ridiculous headline. USSR collapsed because they spent huge resources on defence and related infrastructure without developing the domestic sectors. Their economy virtually came to a stand still. During the streamlining of the government, the control over the media was lost leading to embarassing reports of the states condition. This led to a break down in the political structure across the country culminating with several states declaring themselves sovereign nations.
China right now has a thriving economy. It holds $1.3 bn in US treasury bonds alone and has one of the largest gold reserves in the world. It is the world's manufacturing hub. Media is well under control and apart from the Uighur Muslims, there isn't a major anti-government movement which could lead to breakdown of the state.
The new leaders would have to be incredibly stupid and make some glaring mistakes to even reach a stage from which China could go the USSR way.
 
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Humans haven't achieved the type of technology for the state to wither away yet. We probably will get there in a couple thousand years or so.

Buckminster Fuller might have disagreed. He thought in 1970 that we had the capability to give everyone on earth the life style of a millionaire. Of course, we had 4 billion fewer of us to feed, clothe, and entertain, and we were well before peak oil, and etc.
I think the biggest roadblock to "the withering of the state" is not technology, but psychology. We are still dominated by cultural systems that evolved out of the ignorance of apes grown clumsy at climbing trees and skillful at dreaming up excuses for what they want. How long will it take for a culture of rational anarchism to emerge?
 
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