China expected to invade Taiwan by 2030 - In depth analysis || 12 mins video

[Titanium100]

Very solid analysis

 

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

Not by 2030 by I think by 2050 to 2060 time frame. By then China will have at least 10 aircraft carrier strike groups and dozens of H-20 and hundreds of J-20 and 6th generation J-40.

Keep in mind they want minimal collateral damage considering China considers Taiwanese civilians are Chinese citizens.

The first step will be air superiority and SEAD / DEAD of Taiwanese airspace and Taiwanese air defense.

Second step is destruction of coastal defenses by J-16 fighter bombers.

Third step is amphibious assault by Type 071 / 075 / 076 supported by several carriers and dozens of Type 055 destroyers.

The whole operation will make Normandy landing look like a walk in the park.

 

[Titanium100]

Not by 2030 by I think by 2050 to 2060 time frame. By then China will have at least 10 aircraft carrier strike groups and dozens of H-20 and hundreds of J-20 and 6th generation J-40.

Keep in mind they want minimal collateral damage considering China considers Taiwanese civilians are Chinese citizens.

The first step will be air superiority and SEAD / DEAD of Taiwanese airspace and Taiwanese air defense.

Second step is destruction of coastal defenses by J-16 fighter bombers.

Third step is amphibious assault by Type 071 / 075 / 076 supported by several carriers and dozens of Type 055 destroyers.

The reasoon why it is pushed to 2030 is due to President Xi's desire to cement his legacy.. He wants to go down as second Mao to become immortalized.. He will likely step down in mid 2035.. So he will get the job down in 2030-2031

 

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

The reasoon why it is pushed to 2030 is due to President Xi's desire to cement his legacy.. He wants to go down as second Mao to become immortalized.. He will likely step down in mid 2035.. So he will get the job down in 2030-2031

Legacy will come for the party, but not in Xi's time. China has existed for thousands of years continuously while all the others have fallen. The reason is patience.

 

[mike2000 is back]

The reasoon why it is pushed to 2030 is due to President Xi's desire to cement his legacy.. He wants to go down as second Mao to become immortalized.. He will likely step down in mid 2035.. So he will get the job down in 2030-2031

If he goes for another term after his two term limit, then he will stay in power until death or except there is a political turmoil from within the party to remove him(which is highly unlikely since he has already created some sort of personality cult, unlike his predecessors who avoided focusing everything on themselves but relied on the party as a collective whole).
History has proven that : Power corrupts. Absolute power corrupts absolutely.

 

[Titanium100]

Legacy will come for the party, but not in Xi's time. China has existed for thousands of years continuously while all the others have fallen. The reason is patience.

Taking Taiwan becomes possible during Xi's era and the 2030s sound like a time it could happen. Logisitically it could happen

 

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

If he goes for another term after his two term limit, then he will stay in power until death or except there is a political turmoil from within the party to remove him(which is highly unlikely since he has already created some sort of personality cult, unlike his predecessors who avoided focusing everything on themselves but relied on the party as a collective whole).
History has proven that : Power corrupts. Absolute power corrupts absolutely.

Isn't Boris Johnson the dictator in Britain? I'm not so familiar with British politics. Would appreciate it if someone can fill me in.

 

[Song Hong]

I expect CPC to make USA sell Taiwan again. USA sold Taiwan in 1979 to China, withdrawing all troops there, closing all bases.

This is one important step towards unification.

In return China agree join USA against USSR, and to support USD hegemon. Many credited Paul Volcker for saving USD, and no one will ever tell you China plays a important part.

 

[zhxy]

The longer the time, the greater China's win rate. For a perfect win with minimal loss, they can wait until 2100 or so if that's necessary.

 

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

I expect CPC to make USA sell Taiwan again. USA sold Taiwan in 1979 to China, withdrawing all troops there, closing all bases.

This is one important step towards unification.

In return China agree join USA against USSR, and to support USD hegemon. Many credited Paul Volcker for saving USD, and no one will ever tell you China plays a important part.

By 2050 or 2060 US would be only a third White. By then US economy will be heavily strained by welfare economy. US will have trouble defending Taiwan by that time.

 

[Mohamed Bin Tughlaq]

they can wait until 2100 or so if that's necessary.

The world might not even be around at that time

 

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

The longer the time, the greater China's win rate. For a perfect win with minimal loss, they can wait until 2100 or so if that's necessary.

By 2100 Chinese bio project creates super human soldier. Like Batman. 1 Chinese soldier will kick entire US army asses.

 

[mike2000 is back]

Isn't Boris Johnson the dictator in Britain? I'm not so familiar with British politics. Would appreciate it if someone can fill me in.

LOL Austin powers, you are funny. Boris Johnson a dictator in Britain? lol Dude we change prime ministers frequently. Even David Cameron resigned just for his own personal reasons(not because we even wanted him to go). Whenever there is a need for him to go, he will go like the many others before him(Theresa May went the same way). Our system doesn't rely on one person or the worshipping of one person, and it shouldn't be the case either, since human beings come and go but the country always remains. So no need of one man politics/cult personality or focus all the system on a single person.

 

[Song Hong]

UK sold HK to China. Remember HK Island, Kowloon were freehold while just only New Territory is 99 years lease.

Deng Xiaoping told Margaret Thatcher that PLA will match in tonight if he like.

The lost of HK made all hawks in UK military angry. Then someone asked, if anyone would volunteer to fight PLA if they were so patriotic. NO ONE volunteer.

 

[mike2000 is back]

By 2100 Chinese bio project creates super human soldier. Like Batman. 1 Chinese soldier will kick entire US army asses.

ahahaha i'm always thankful there is someone like you on this forum. You crack me up.