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EU, China in Showdown on Tariffs - WSJ.com

LANDAU, Germany—The European Union is expected to raise punitive tariffs on imports of Chinese-made aluminum car wheels in a dispute that shows how China's shift into more sophisticated manufacturing is increasing tensions with some of its most important trading partners.

A special EU trade committee is to vote Tuesday on a measure that would extend antidumping duties in place since May and raise them to 22.3% from 20.6%. People familiar with the committee's thinking say it is likely to approve the move, which then must be ratified by EU governments.

A new round of tariffs could spark an automotive trade war with China—a prospect that could hurt European car makers such as Daimler AG and Volkswagen AG, for which China's booming auto market has become a major source of profits.

"Trade disputes with China used to be about bras, T-shirts, shoes and ironing boards," says Simon Evenett, a professor of trade economics at the University of St. Gallen in Switzerland. "Now they're moving downstream, and increasingly, they're going to be about cars."

But the trade picture on autos is far from black and white. Europe's auto makers and parts companies are deeply divided over the tariff move, with car manufacturers lobbying fiercely against the measure, and producers of components campaigning in favor.

Here in Landau in southern Germany, wheel maker Ronal AG's highly automated factory employs 480 people, who work molding and polishing aluminum wheels for high-end cars. The plant churns out two million wheels annually.

Ronal has pushed hard for the antidumping tariffs. Oliver Schneider, a sales manager at the company, says: "We need these duties if we want to keep growing our business."

Without the tariffs, the company says, jobs for workers in the Landau factory and at other plants across Europe that together produced 10 million wheels last year could be lost. Because of Chinese competition, Ronal says, it hasn't opened a new plant since 2006.

Ronal and other wheel makers are at odds with many of their big customers in Europe. Auto makers say the tariffs risk reprisal by the Chinese, which could hurt car and auto-part exports to China, the world's fastest-growing major automotive market, and also drive up the cost of vehicles in Europe.

"Without China, a car company has no future," says a Brussels-based car-industry lobbyist. China is the world's largest vehicle market, having surpassed Japan and the U.S. in recent years, and is continuing to expand at a rapid pace.

The EU exported $5 billion of auto parts to China in 2009, a market that is expected to continue growing strongly. Exports of vehicles have also increased. German exports of vehicles to China, for example, more than doubled between 2004 and 2009.

In the aluminum-wheels dumping case, China denies exporting unfairly or at a loss. "The price of Chinese wheel exports is much higher than that of domestic sales, which means Chinese wheel exports are not dumped," says Li Xiaoqing, an official at the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers.

When antidumping duties were first levied on wheels in May, China's Ministry of Commerce said the EU was violating World Trade Organization rules. And the Chinese side has said it will retaliate. "Of course, we have our countermeasures to take if the EU insists on extending the duties," says Mr. Li.

There is a precedent. Last year, Beijing immediately raised tariffs on U.S. poultry and auto parts after the Obama administration increased duties on Chinese tires.

That is a troubling prospect. As in the U.S., cars are still at the heart of European manufacturing. EU exports of car parts alone were around $100 billion last year, including trade among EU countries. And the EU is battling Asia for the future of the industry.

Wheels are, of course, a key auto part, although a set of four costs less than $150. They have traditionally been made out of steel, but since the 1970s, car makers have increasingly used aluminum, which costs a bit more but is lighter and can be sculpted into svelte, aerodynamic shapes.

As China has moved steadily into auto manufacturing in the past decade, it has ramped up production of auto parts. By last year, it had become the world's biggest exporter of car wheels, shipping out $2.4 billion of them, almost all to the U.S., Japan and Europe.

European imports of Chinese aluminum wheels increased to 53,000 tons in 2008 from 9,400 tons in 2003, according to EU documents that are part of the tariff case.

China's share of the overall European aluminum-wheel market is 10%, according to the documents, but most of that is wheels sold as replacement parts to car owners.

In the market for supplying car factories, Chinese market share was only 3%. But even in that market, Chinese influence is felt, according to people in the industry, who say that low bids by Chinese suppliers have forced European wheel makers to shrink profit margins sharply.

To prove dumping, complainants in trade cases must show that the product in question is being produced unfairly below reasonable cost, and that it is putting domestic producers out of business, a concept termed "injury."

The price of aluminum makes up roughly 50% of the cost of an aluminum car wheel, according to people in the industry. Wheel producers outside China buy aluminum by paying the price set by the London Metal Exchange.

European wheel makers say Chinese companies benefit from subsidized aluminum. European Commission investigators agreed, concluding that "the Chinese state has a primary role in the setting of prices of primary aluminum and interferes in the market continuously with a number of tools."

Injury is usually argued with data showing soaring market share. Not this time. European wheel producers instead pointed to their own shrinking margins.

Low Chinese prices have pushed margins down to 3.2% from a previous 7% to 10%, European wheel producers say.

Ronal and other European companies have tried to increase automation in an effort to compete. But their factories still lag behind those in China in terms of manufacturing technology.

In the Landau factory, project manager Jurgen Becker watches giant pincers remove a wheel from a polishing machine. "A factory in China is probably the same, but with fewer people and more robots," he says.

It sucks we have to put up with those tariffs for another 6 long years before we're automatically recognized as a market economy.

Good to see China moving up the value chain though, and how Chinese factories use less labor and higher technology than European ones.

The West used to (and still do) complain Chinese companies using 'slave labors', now they're complaining we buy cheaper materials (we sure do because we're the biggest buyer of resources thus have the biggest bargaining power. Is economy of scale now a crime?). Maybe in the next decade they'll complain we're using too much automation and enact robot rights law to stop the Chinese from abusing enslaved robots.
 
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Tibet self-immolations cloud EU-China summit | EurActiv


Human rights organisations have asked the EU's new Special Representative for Human Rights, Stavros Lambrinidis, to raise Tibet with China’s prime minister on the margins of the next EU-China Summit, due to take place in Brussels on 20 September.
Vincent Metten is EU Policy Director in Brussels for the International Campaign for Tibet, a pressure group promoting human rights and democratic freedoms for the people of Tibet.

"The new EU Special Representative for Human Rights, Stavros Lambrinidis, takes office at a time of crisis in Tibet.

A wave of horrifying self-immolations have swept the Tibetan plateau, with more than 50 Tibetans including monks, students, a mother of two setting fire to themselves in response to China’s oppression. They want freedom and for the Dalai Lama to come home.

The time to act on Tibet is now. Sixty years of China's failed colonial policies in Tibet have led to a state of turmoil. A deepening crackdown only intensifies the dangers of more self-immolations. There has been no meeting between Chinese officials and representatives of the Dalai Lama since January 2010, and no prospect of such meetings resuming; indeed the Dalai Lama's envoys recently resigned their posts.

Welcoming Lambrinidis' appointment, the International Tibet Network, a global coalition of more than 185 campaign groups, has written asking him to make Tibet a major and immediate priority, and to fulfil the hopes of Tibetans in Tibet and their supporters in exile at this critical time of a greater level of multi-lateral engagement on the Tibet issue, and a strengthening of the EU's position on Tibet.

Network Member Groups have further requested Lambrinidis to commit to expressing the EU's serious concerns about the self-immolations and degradation in the human rights situation in Tibet with senior Chinese leaders, in Brussels and in China, including meeting Wen Jiabao during the course of his visit for the EU China Summit on 20 September in Brussels.

In addition, the International Campaign for Tibet has requested President Barroso and President Van Rompuy to raise Tibet with Prime Minister Wen in the course of the Summit and has also called on the Special Representative for Human Rights to issue public statements on behalf of the EU when serious violations of human rights occur in China, particularly in Tibet, and request that the Chinese authorities allow him access to Tibetan areas where self-immolations have taken place."

A bit dated but worth reading.
 
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The European Commission launced an anti-dumping probe yesterday targeting Chinese exports of solar glass following a complaint filed earlier this month by European manufacturers.

The probe, the latest move in a long-running dispute between the EU and China over solar panel technology, could last 15 months, the European Commission said in a statement.

Though solar glass is an essential component of solar panels, the investigation has no direct link with a probe on imports of solar panels launched by the European Commission in September.
source:EU launches probe against China
 
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New data on carbon shows that China's emissions per head of population have surpassed the EU for the first time.

The researchers say that India is also forecast to beat Europe's CO2 output in 2019.

Scientists say that global totals are increasing fast and will likely exceed the limit for dangerous climate change within 30 yearsthat we will not be able to burn all this fuel, the scale of action that is required has not sunk in. ”

Prof Corinne Le Quere University of East Anglia
The Global Carbon Project involves researchers from several different institutes around the world and it provides objective details on the scale of annual emissions.

The latest data shows that a record 36 billion tonnes of carbon from all human sources were emitted in 2013.

The biggest emitters were China, which produced 29% of the total, followed by the US at 15%, the EU at 10% and India at 7.1%

But in an interesting development, China's emissions per head of population exceeding those of the European Union for the first time.

While the per capita average for the world as a whole is 5 tonnes of carbon dioxide, China is now producing 7.2 tonnes per person, to the EU's 6.8 tonnes. The US is still far ahead on 16.5 tonnes per person.

"We now see China's per capita emissions surpassing the EU," said Dr Robbie Andrew, from the Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research in Norway, who was involved in the research.

"They are still nowhere near the US or Australia, but the fact that they have surpassed the EU will be quite surprising to a lot of people."

Future beats the past
This development will shine an interesting light on global climate negotiations where China has often used its relatively low per capita emissions to argue that it is on the same page as other developing countries, and that restrictions on its use of carbon were not justified.

China's rapid industrialisation over the past 20 years has seen the construction of huge numbers of mainly coal fired power stations.

This build-up means that the emissions that China is committed to in the future, now exceed the total of everything it has emitted to date.

Prof Corinne Le Quere from the University of East Anglia, who is also involved with Carbon Project, said that a significant proportion of China's emissions were in fact, driven by demand from consumers in Europe and the US.

"In China about 20% of their emissions are for producing clothes, furniture even solar panels that are shipped to Europe and America."

"If you look at the emissions in Europe with that perspective, they would be 30% higher if we accounted for those goods that are produced elsewhere."

The other major emissions growth is seen in India. In 2013 the country's carbon grew by 5.1%, and it is now on track to overtake the EU in 2019.

"India has enormous problems, if the current government could sort out the issues with toilets that would an enormous achievement," said Dr Andrew.

"They have so many things to focus on in that country, to ask them to pull back on emissions, is a big problem."

For 2014, the carbon record is likely to be broken again as emissions are likely to hit 40bn tonnes, 65% above 1990 levels.

The researchers involved say the recent rise is due to the global economic recovery combined with a lower than expected increases in carbon intensity, especially in the developing world.

The scientists have calculated that to have a good chance of keeping global warming below 2 degrees C, total emissions of carbon will have stay under 3,200 billion tonnes.

The world has about 1,200 billion tonnes left, but the latest data shows that there is a now a declining chance of now staying below the 2 degree target.

"The global emissions are continuing to increase at an incredible rate," said Prof Le Quere.

"In about 30 years we will have used up the remaining quota, that's extremely rapidly, that's to have a 66% chance to remain below 2 degrees."

The researchers say that existing reserves of oil, gas and coal exceed the 2 degrees target. Prof Le Quere says that this message has not been understood by politicians.

"We have not accepted that we will not be able to burn all this fuel, the scale of action that is required has not sunk in."

The new research comes as 125 heads of state and government are set to meet at the UN in New York to discuss climate change.

UN Secretary General has asked global leaders to come to the UN next week and to bring commitments with them to tackle the issue.

The meeting is meant to kick start the process to a new global deal that will be agreed in Paris at the end of 2015. According to the scientists, the politicians have a long way to go, if they are to prevent the world breaching the 2 degree target.

"China and India are doing exactly the same as other countries," said Prof Le Quere.

"I really think we need to show leadership in the way we use energy in rich countries so that others can follow different pathways to development. At the moment we don't see any countries that have that leadership."

Details of the studies dealing with the Global Carbon Project have been published in the journals, Nature Climate change, and Nature Geoscience.


BBC News - China's per capita carbon emissions overtake EU's
 
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Oh, it seems like more wind/solar/nuclear power stations to go and more electric/hybrid vehicles to be produced. Those dirty coal should be banned for the environment concerned.
Hey, people please invest our green industry, its a huge market. And an advice to our people, please use more smart controlled furnish/system to reduce electricity waiste.Dont waiste any resources, please.
I believe our environment will be better with economy development.
 
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Greece seeks stronger ties with China as EU debt stand-off nears deadline

Faced with a stand-off over its bailout, Athens seeks further cooperation with Beijing in move seen as an effort to calm investor uncertainty

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras (third from right) on board the Chinese frigate Changbaishan at the port of Piraeus. Photo: Reuters


Greece remained locked in last-minute talks yesterday to reach a bailout compromise - soon after embattled Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras proposed stronger relations between China and Greece.

After days of sharp exchanges, the 19 euro-zone finance ministers met for the third time in a little over a week yesterday to consider a "take it or leave it" proposal by Athens that they extend an EU loan programme which expires this month.

Berlin has been insisting that Athens accepts continued austerity in return for fresh debt aid.

On Thursday, Tsipras appeared at a reception hosted by the 18th escort fleet of the PLA Navy at the port of Piraeus. He called for more cooperation with China and vowed to support its existing investments as well as shipping conglomerate Cosco's investment at Piraeus.

China's Cosco manages two cargo piers at Piraeus. Under a privatisation scheme last year, it had been shortlisted, along with four other suitors, as a potential buyer of a 67 per cent stake in the port.

"We will seek new ways of cooperation between the Greek state and the Chinese side," Tsipras said, adding there was even potential for the two nations to collaborate in fields including transport, railways, tourism and culture.

Shi Yinhong, a professor of international relations at Renmin University of China, said: "Chinese investment faces uncertainty in Greece, and the Greek government is responding to Chinese concerns.

"But the remarks by the prime minister still do not guarantee that the Greek government is fully committed to the earlier agreement reached regarding the port development."

Tsipras' comments at Piraeus came on the same day as a lengthy phone call between the left-wing Greek leader and German Chancellor Dr Angela Merkel, which appeared to calm the waters between the two nations after Germany rejected Greece's earlier proposal out of hand, denting hopes of an agreement.

The Merkel-Tsipras call also came after a Greek government source released a document said to outline Berlin's defiant stance at high-level talks on Thursday.

The Greek proposal "is not clear at all ... It rather represents a Trojan horse, intending to get bridge financing and in substance putting an end to the current programme," the German statement said, according to the source. "On this basis it makes no sense to start drafting a Eurogroup statement on Friday."

Greece, whose new government is vehemently opposed to austerity measures demanded in the bailout deal, denied it had made any U-turns. "We have not abandoned our red lines," government spokesman Gabriel Sakellaridis told Greek television.

Analysts have cautiously downplayed the possibility of a so-called "Grexit", saying the euro zone is much stronger now than at the height of the debt crisis in 2011-12. But the uncertainty weighs heavily at a time when the economy has faltered.

A top European official said the stand-off had come down to a clash of personalities with German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble furious at the negotiating style of his Greek counterpart, the casual and fast-talking Yanis Varoufakis.

In its request on Thursday, Greece offered some major concessions including a return, if not in name, of the hated "troika" mission of creditors that has overseen Athens's finances through two bailouts.

But stung by Schaeuble's rejection, Athens said its request was final and that yesterday's meeting had "just two choices. To accept or reject the Greek request".
 
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China and EU pore over proposals for joint space mission : Nature News & Comment

An array of satellites around the Moon is in the running to become the first mission in a collaboration between the European Union (EU) and China — a telescope to peer back to the Universe’s ‘Dark Ages’, the time before the first stars were formed.

The proposed project, called Discovering the Sky at the Longest Wavelengths (DSL), is one of around 15 submitted for a call by the European Space Agency (ESA) and the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) that closed on 16 March. The final mission will be led by principal investigators affiliated with both European and Chinese institutions, with an aim to launch in 2021.

This will not be the first mission that China and the EU have worked on together, says Luigi Colangeli, who heads the coordination office for ESA’s scientific programme. EU scientists contributed to the payload of China’s Double Star mission, which launched in 2003 to study the near-Earth environment. But it will be the first jointly-run project set up in collaboration from the start, he says.

“A Chinese–American mission would have been impossible.”

The DSL project would use the satellite array to detect radio signals with wavelengths a few hundred metres in length . When passing around the Moon’s dark side, the telescope would be free of interference from Earth’s ionosphere or artificial radio sources, and might be able to spot signatures of hydrogen thought to have existed from 370,000 years to 550 million years after the Big Bang.

Other proposals include an X-ray imager called SMILE that would study Earth's magnetosphere, and SIRIUS, an extreme-ultraviolet telescope that would look at ‘hot objects’, such as stellar coronae, in the Galaxy.

EU–China collaboration
The call is the EU’s first step on the path to more collaboration with China, says Fabio Favata, head of science planning and community coordination at ESA. Whether a bigger joint project follows will depend on how this one fares.

Although proposals can cover any scientific area — bar exploration of the Moon or Mars, which are covered by separate programmes at both agencies — the mission’s scope is limited by its funding. The EU will contribute just more than €50 million (US$53 million) to the project, which China is expected to match.

The call is a “win–win” situation for China and the EU, says Taotao Fang, an astronomer at Xiamen University in China, who is part of the team that proposed the MESSIER orbiter, a telescope studying galaxy formation.

China’s biggest gain will be learning from ESA’s experience in purely scientific missions, which have been rare in China’s space programme, says Linjie Chen, a member of the DSL team and an astrophysicist at the Chinese National Astronomical Observatories in Beijing.

ESA can gain from collaborating with a country with a healthy space programme backed by growing investment, adds Chen. In 2013, China became the first country since the 1970s to put a lander on the Moon. The country is planning a lunar sample-return mission in 2017 and aims to build a space station by 2020. China is also planning to launch four space-science missions, starting with the Dark Matter Particle Explorer (DAMPE) in November.

Collaborations with China face an extra challenge, Favata says. Strict export controls in US law forbid the use of some US-made components in Chinese missions. But at least collaboration is possible, says Heino Falcke, an astrophysicist at Radboud University in Nijmegen, the Netherlands, and principal investigator for the DSL mission. “A Chinese–American mission would have been impossible,” he says.

The proposed missions will now be assessed for their technological feasibility and scientific merit. By the end of this year, the pool will be narrowed down to a winner or a handful of contenders, which will enter a study phase of around two years, with a final go-ahead expected in 2017.
 
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Britain in call for China-EU FTA study
October 23, 2015

China and Britain yesterday called for the swift launch of joint feasibility study on a China-EU Free Trade Agreement.


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Chinese President Xi Jinping (L) and British Prime Minister David Cameron meet media after their talks at 10 Downing Street in London, Britain, Oct. 21, 2015. [Photo/Xinhua]

In a joint declaration issued yesterday during President Xi Jinping's state visit, Britain also said it supported the inclusion of China's currency, the yuan, into the International Monetary Fund's SDR basket subject to meeting existing criteria in the IMF's upcoming review.

The joint declaration covered a wide range of priorities in building a “global comprehensive strategic partnership for the 21st Century.”

The new partnership was announced by Xi at a news conference on Wednesday after talks with British Prime Minister David Cameron. Yesterday's declaration specified the bilateral relations with pledges of joint efforts in fields ranging from yuan internationalization and China-EU free trade to cyber security and climate change.

Xi's visit to Britain, the first by a Chinese president in a decade, has been hailed as opening a “golden era” in China-UK relations. “The two sides recognize the global significance and strategic importance of stronger China-UK relations in promoting global peace, stability and prosperity,” the declaration said.

Both sides support the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the London Stock Exchange to carry out a feasibility study on a stock connect, according to the declaration.

They would also establish a high-level security dialogue, with both sides agreeing not to conduct or support cyber-enabled theft of intellectual property, trade secrets or confidential business information.

China has been pushing its currency to wider use on the global stage, and it has taken a big stride forward during Xi's visit to the UK.

On Wednesday, China's central bank announced it had issued 5-billion yuan-denominated notes in London, in the first offshore issuance of such debts outside China. The interest rate of the one-year notes was set at 3.1 percent.

“The move is an important part of the yuan's globalization strategy to increase its presence in the global bond market,” said Sang Baichuan, director of the Institute of International Business at the University of International Business and Economics.

Yang Tao, assistant director of the Institute of Finance and Banking under the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said the move in the financial hub of London will promote the yuan as an investment currency in international finance.

Previously, China has mainly issued offshore RMB debts in Hong Kong.

Apart from Singapore and Hong Kong, Britain is already the biggest offshore yuan market. More than 50 percent of yuan foreign exchange trading outside China and Hong Kong is done in Britain.

***

As I thought... Britain appears to be a handy bridgehead for China.
 
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New 10Gbps link supercharges long-term EU-China research and education partnership

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October 28, 2015 --

DMN Newswire - 2015-10-28
GÉANT and CERNET sign MoU to strengthen ICT collaboration at EU-China Summit in the presence of Chinese Vice Premier Liu Yandong and EC Commissioner Tibor Navracsics


28 October 2015, Brussels, Belgium and Beijing, China: Over 80 million researchers, academics and students across Europe and China are set to benefit from a new 10Gbps research and education (R&E) internet link, formally inaugurated last month at the EU-China High Level People-to-People Dialogue (HPPD) Summit held in Brussels and presided by Chinese Vice Premier Liu Yandong and EC Education Commissioner Tibor Navracsics.

Jointly funded and operated by European R&E networking organisation, GÉANT and its Chinese counterpart CERNET, the link provides long-term direct and super-fast connectivity between the two regions, enabling innovative EU-China R&E collaborations to flourish. Operational since the end of July, the circuit is contracted for a 10 year term and, with costs of less than 4 cents per user over its lifespan, represents a substantial cost saving compared to the current connectivity.

This cost-effective, long-term connectivity solution is a clear reflection of the increasingly close relationship between GÉANT and CERNET which they further underpinned by signing a Memorandum of Understanding to formalise and further strengthen ICT collaboration between the European and Chinese research and education communities. The signatories agreed to monitor and review link utilisation and plan for higher capacity to meet user needs with the aim of achieving 100Gbps+ as soon as required and affordable. In addition to connectivity provision, the parties committed to supporting the deployment of advanced network services (e.g. eduroam and perfSONAR) as well as of Future Internet testbeds and to jointly undertaking outreach and user support activities within the R&E communities.

"CERNET has been closely linked to the GÉANT community for over 10 years", said Professor Jianping Wu, Director of CERNET Center. "From starting out together in 2005 to building a regional R&E network across Asia-Pacific, we quickly established the first direct connection between GÉANT and China through the ORIENT and ORIENTplus projects, which were jointly funded by the European Commission, the Chinese government as well as the Chinese and European NRENs until the end of 2014. With the new link, which is based on equal cost sharing, we have guaranteed seamless continuity of network connectivity to support millions of users. We at CERNET look forward to continuing our fruitful working relationship with GÉANT over the next decade and beyond".

Running between Beijing and London, the circuit connects the Chinese national research and education networks (NRENs) CERNET and CSTNET to the 50 million users of the pan-European GÉANT network. It underpins a wide range of data-intensive and/or time-critical scientific collaborations between Europe and China including participation in the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) experiments, cosmic ray observation, radio-astronomy, agriculture, severe weather forecasting and life sciences projects. The high-capacity link also opens new possibilities for students and academics, supporting interactive knowledge transfer through innovative e-learning tools and stable videoconferencing, thus overcoming the complexities of multi-cultural and interdisciplinary learning.

"The growing number of research programmes and academic collaborations between Europe and China clearly highlighted the need for high-capacity connectivity to continue post ORIENTplus", commented Pierre Bruyère, Chair of GÉANT Board of Directors. "For many applications with significant economic impact in the long term, such as the ITER global energy fusion programme, this new link will be the only viable solution. We are proud to be able to provide this solution jointly with our Chinese partners".

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China’s MES tests EU independence

By George N. Tzogopoulos Source:Global Times Published: 2016-1-11 19:43:01


Last year was a significant one for China and Europe as it marked the 40th anniversary of the establishment of their diplomatic relations. Along with this symbolism both sides made specific steps to boost their cooperation including the participation of several powerful European countries in the newly founded Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. This might be an even more important year for Sino-European relations. But that depends on whether the EU will grant China Market Economy Status (MES).

According to the Chinese WTO Accession Protocol of 2001, the Non-Market Economy (NME) status of the country will expire on December 11th. This will possibly result in a legal obligation to give the country MES in the aftermath of this date. The issue remains controversial in the US and EU.

Washington is highly critical while the majority of European states are positive predisposed. Within this framework, as is often happened in recent decades, the US is exerting pressure on the EU to avoid granting China MES. The Financial Times, for instance, recently published an article describing this pressure as a warning message.

Washington traditionally views Beijing's ambitions suspiciously. Taking into account that the achievement of MES has been a core strategic interest of the latter for years, the former is rather hesitant, especially in a period when the critical deadline is approaching. Further to this, the US presidential election of this November leads some politicians to exaggerate and expand their criticism on "hot issues" such as China. Some of them believe they can be more vocal and gain public support by emphasizing their view against the country's potential MES.

The flagship of US opposition to the matter is a study conducted by the Economic Policy Institute. This report associates Beijing acquiring MES after December 11 with economic catastrophe for Europe. In particular, it concludes that between 1.7 and 3.5 million EU jobs will be at risk. The argumentation is principally based on the concern of some industries about serious repercussions. Europe, they fear, might be unable to impose tariffs on cheap products coming from China while already existing cases at the WTO level will be settled in favor of Chinese companies. Italy is one of the European countries agreeing with US skepticism and actively lobbying in Brussels to deny Beijing MES.

But an in-depth study published by the European Parliament last month downplays catastrophic scenarios for Europe. Specifically, it asserts that "the economic implications of granting China MES may be positive for certain sectors of the economy and negative for others [and that] no full-fledged impact assessment has yet been carried out." In other words, the study denotes that the EU has to elaborate more on how it could benefit by China's MES in the future. Additionally, there are some European researchers such as David Kleimann and Sophia Müller who not only consider "bad politics" denying Beijing MES but also employ alternative models for Brussels to enhance its trade policy when abandoning anti-dumping measures.

Within this framework, the general political temper in the EU is to back China's MES in spite of the disagreement of a few member states. A few months ago the European Commission had informally briefed the media that "it would be unwise not to grant market-economy treatment to China." On the same wavelength, German Chancellor Angela Merkel favors such a development in principle. Britain holds the same opinion. France is not prepared to express any objection.

For the EU to back China's MES does not mean that it ignores technical parameters of the ongoing process. Brussels is in regular contact with Beijing for it to fulfill the necessary criteria and continue its reform policy. The European approach, however, is shaped by political realism.

The EU counts on its strategic partnership with China in a period which sees many Chinese companies participate in ongoing privatizations and Chinese banks contribute to Jean Claude Juncker's new investment plan. The number of jobs that can be created through this deep cooperation cannot be ignored. Europe faces the challenge of defying US guidance and show to the outside world that it is able to make important decisions alone.

The author is a lecturer at the European Institute in Nice, France.

@Shotgunner51 , @Chinese-Dragon, @Raphael et al
 
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Europe is getting closer to China recently. Especially Britain and Germany, with Britain's PM even claiming that they were "China's best partner in the West".

Of course America is not happy. Especially when all their allies flocked to join the AIIB, despite America's warnings. :lol:

And not just Europe either:

Japan and Australia are ignoring warnings from the US not to join China's new bank - Business Insider

China’s new ‘World Bank’ gains support despite warnings from US - CNBC News

European countries are a powerful force in the world, on their own merits and their own power. If America doesn't respect that, and "warns" them into following American interests, they're going to just feel more and more like they want to ignore it.
 
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EU proposal on China's MES likely to come this year

The proposal on the European Union (EU) whether to grant China the Market Economy Status (MES) will only be likely to come at the second half of this year, according to the European Commission (EC) on Wednesday.

"We will come back to the issue later, it will be discussed...over the next few months," said EC Vice President Frans Timmermans at a press conference on the commission's College meeting attended by its chief officials.

EC's President Jean-Claude Juncker "very clearly concluded that this issue has to be looked at from all important angles, given the subject is important for international trade but also for the EU's economy," Timmermans told reporters.

The commission is set to offer a proposal to European Council and European Parliament on whether to grant China MES, a move for the bloc to change the method to calculate its dumping rates imposed on imported Chinese product after December.

The current rules the EU adopted to calculate dumping margins on Chinese product, which based on that China was not considered a market economy in anti-dumping proceedings, will expire in December according to rules of the World Trade Organization (WTO), in which China and the EU are both major members.

The EU has not yet granted China MES although China has been a WTO member for 15 years.

An impact assessment of changing market economy status for China was under way, the commission said.
 
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The European Union (EU) will recognise China’s market economy status at the World Trade Organisation (WTO) before the end of 2016, according to geopolitical intelligence firm Stratfor.

A Stratfor report published on Monday says that the EU will most likely make the decision, which will affect thousands of jobs in Europe, during the summer months.

China joined the WTO in 2001 as a non-market economy and is now on the verge of becoming a market economy, a change that would help protect it against anti-dumping charges from trading partners.

China believes it should be automatically recognised as market economy in December when it has been a WTO member for 15 years, but this view is contested by the United States.

While Washington holds China as a non-market economy andopposes any automatic recognition, the EU – China’s biggest trading partner – in January postponed its decision about China’s status to an unspecified date in the summer, due to pressure from the European steel lobby.

On Saturday, ministers from seven steel-producing EU member states — Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, France, Poland, Belgium and Luxembourg – reportedly urged Brussels to fight against cheap steel from Russia and China, just two days after China had announced plans to cut overcapacity in its steel industry.

Key countries
According to Stratfor, the EU’s decision about China’s WTO status later this year will likely require a majority rather than unanimity among the EU member states, and will ultimately depend on Germany and France, both of which may end up voting in favour of recognising China as a market economy.

Stratfor says Italy is likely to oppose the change in China’s status as it would have the most jobs to loose, mainly in the steel sector. Spain, which shares many of Italy’s economic concerns, may also vote against the change.

On the other end of the spectrum, the United Kingdom will very likely be supportive of recognising China as a market economy. London believes that developing closer ties with Beijing will in the long run bring commercial opportunities, especially in the financial sector, which will offset any lost jobs in the steel industry.

As Scandinavian EU countries would not suffer any job losses if China becomes a market economy they are likely to side with the UK.

Stratfor says this will lead Germany and France as the “key swing nations”. Both countries may ultimately lean towards a yes vote, as Germany is protected by its superior domestic steel and demand from car makers, and France will not be severely hurt by the change in China’s status, the report concludes.
 
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