China birth rate up after one-child rule change

[AndrewJin]

The coming robotic revolution is going to change the way things work. A higher working population will not necessary give you a huge advantage 20 years from now. China just need to maintain 1 billion+ high wage individuals beyond 2100 for a huge market.

U r absolutely right.

Population is increasingly becoming a burden on both developing and developed countries, especially in the former ones. The chance of massive job creation is slim in most countries in the context of the ongoing technological revolution, except for very few ones such as China, Germany and Japan which embrace the new revolution like NO TOMORROW.

@Shotgunner51 @TaiShang @cirr @Chinese-Dragon

 

[TaiShang]

U r absolutely right.

Population is increasingly becoming a burden on both developing and developed countries, especially in the former ones. The chance of massive job creation is slim in most countries in the context of the ongoing technological revolution, except for very few ones such as China, Germany and Japan which embrace the new revolution like NO TOMORROW.

@Shotgunner51 @TaiShang @cirr @Chinese-Dragon

As two-child policy matures, the total number of newborns per year will reach to 20 million. This means, Mainland adds about one Taiwan province per year.

I believe , at this stage, this is healthy demographic ratio. I was unhappy about declining rates more than the sustained population growth levels; and this new policy will ensure continued, mild growth until China's population stabilizes at 1.45 billion.

By that time (mid-2020s), China will become an upper income country with a nominal GDP largest in the world, best one of the infrastructure and logistics, as well as universal healthcare, quality advanced education, housing and plenty food.

China will remain an manufacturing country, but with higher concentration on advanced-industries, high-automation, and high-end exports.

Population (1.4+ billion) will increasingly become a blessing and advantage.

That's the entire reason why the government eventually scrapped the 1-child policy.

As @long_ and @ahojunk data shows, the advanced and scientific governance of China is producing results in a better and more controlled fashion than that which would be incomprehensible in an inefficient polity such (you know who and who). Hence, the number of newborns (who will live in a 80+yrs/average lifespan country) is increasing. Gender balance is correcting (although I would prefer it to stay in favor of boys for variety of reasons, not least, because women is more empowered in such societies, and half of the China Miracle is thanks to women's empowerment and secularism).

In the end, the Western media has as much foresight about China as they do with respect to the 2008 crisis, migrant crisis, rigidifying of neo-fascism, crumbling social morals and unity etc. in their own miserable lands.

 

[LA se Karachi]

I believe , at this stage, this is healthy demographic ratio. I was unhappy about declining rates more than the sustained population growth levels; and this new policy will ensure continued, mild growth until China's population stabilizes at 1.45 billion.

The population cannot stabilize if the total fertility rate remains below 2.0-2.1. All countries will eventually face this problem, including India:

While China's decline in population will not be rapid, it will continue indefinitely. Unless, fertility rates go up to around 2.1 again (unlikely).

 

[Nan Yang]

U r absolutely right.

Population is increasingly becoming a burden on both developing and developed countries, especially in the former ones. The chance of massive job creation is slim in most countries in the context of the ongoing technological revolution, except for very few ones such as China, Germany and Japan which embrace the new revolution like NO TOMORROW.

@Shotgunner51 @TaiShang @cirr @Chinese-Dragon

Its already happening.

A protest over bull fighting ban becomes a riot even though MODI already cancelled the ban.

QUOTE
Tamil Nadu-based observers said the protests have become a lightning rod for wider discontent among the state’s youth amid anxiety about its political stability and long-term economic prospects.

India's demographic dividend...

 

[ahojunk]

China's population to reach 1.42 billion by 2020
Editor: Zhangrui 丨Xinhua
02-07-2017 07:44 BJT

BEIJING, Feb. 6 (Xinhua) -- China's population is expected to reach about 1.42 billion by 2020, according to the National Health and Family Planning Commission.

As of the end of 2015, China had a population of about 1.37 billion.

The annual natural population growth rate will be around six per thousand while China's gender ratio at birth is expected to be reduced to 112 boys for every 100 girls by 2020.

China's primary goals on family planning were accomplished during the 12th five year period from 2011 to 2015. The natural population growth rate stayed at five per thousand, while the male-to-female ratio among newborns fell from 117.94 to 113.51.

The commission called for more support for women returning to work after giving birth and encouraged employers to support a balance between work and family relations among employees.

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[TaiShang]

Baby born from 16-year-old frozen embryo in S. China
Xinhua, February 6, 2017

A healthy baby boy has been born from an embryo frozen 16 years ago, a hospital in south China announced on Monday.

A 46-year-old woman gave birth to a son at the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University in Guangdong Province in early February. Her other first son, already 16 years old, was from the same batch of embryos frozen in 2000.

"I'm just really ecstatic to have another child," said the woman. She gave birth to her first child through IVF in 2000, when the hospital froze her 18 other embryos.

Last year, the mother came to the hospital asking to get pregnant again, after China lifted the one-child policy.

"There were a few issues to handle when she asked to unfreeze her embryos," said Xu Yanwen, director with the reproductive center of the hospital. "It was not easy to awaken the frozen embryos because of freezing techniques and there were also problems with her womb." Xu added that risks were also high for women of advanced maternal age.

Both the baby and mother are doing well and will be discharged from hospital soon.

Xu Yanwen said that embryos frozen in the hospital date back as early as 1994.

"As more mothers come to have their embryos unfrozen, the record may probably be broken any time," Xu said.

With the end of the one-child policy, an increasing number of woman of advanced maternal age have visited the hospital to conceive with the help of Assisted Reproductive Technology, Xu said.

"In 2016, we received about 1,000 woman above 40 years old seeking to have more babies, and the average age of women to have their eggs retrieved rose from 32.7 years to 33.7 years," Xu said.

 

[TaiShang]

More second-child assistance sought
China Daily, February 8, 2017

A senior health official has called on governments at all levels to help relieve the burden on families wanting to have a second child.

Cui Li, vice-minister of the National Health and Family Planning Commission, said on Tuesday that an array of departments need to introduce measures to help resolve issues that have arisen with the introduction of the second-child policy in January 2016.

Health authorities have been rolling out policies nationwide since family planning rules were relaxed, including improvements to maternal care facilities.

However, Cui warned that families will need help from other government departments to handle some problems, including increased expenses, maternity leave and a shortage of kindergartens.

"We hope through the efforts of governments at all levels ... some tangible policies can be made in areas such as taxation and social security to promote the implementation of the policy so that those who want to have a second child can realize their dream," she said.

"We will focus on problems that emerge as a result of the policy and work to solve them with other departments," she said, adding that the second-child policy has already yielded positive results.

Cui said 18.7 million babies were born in China last year, up by 11 percent on 2015, with 45 percent born to women who already had a child.

Over the same period, the maternal mortality rate fell from 201 per 1 million births to 199, according to data released by the commission last month, despite the fact half of the 90 million women who became eligible to have a second child are over 40－putting them at a higher risk of complications during pregnancy.

A report released in December by the All China Women's Federation and Beijing Normal University also called for more investment in public services to make having two children easier and more affordable.

The report included a survey of 10,155 couples in 21 cities who already have a child that found 53 percent did not want a larger family. The biggest concerns were education resources, healthcare services, the environment and the financial burden.

Cui added that the commission has received a lot of advice from the National People's Congress, the top legislature, and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, the top advisory body, on implementation of the second-child policy, including measures to improve pediatric services.

The commission received 1,512 suggestions on various healthcare issues from the two bodies last year, she said.

Xi Yanchun, a spokeswoman for the State Council Information Office, added that ministries and departments under the nation's Cabinet responded to 7,873 suggestions from the NPC and 3,862 from the CPPCC last year.

They included economic development, poverty alleviation and environmental protection proposals, Xi said.

 

[AndrewJin]

Its already happening.

A protest over bull fighting ban becomes a riot even though MODI already cancelled the ban.

QUOTE
Tamil Nadu-based observers said the protests have become a lightning rod for wider discontent among the state’s youth amid anxiety about its political stability and long-term economic prospects.

India's demographic dividend...

In this coming era, new traditional jobs are rare....
Those useless young people with little formal education are wandering around and posing extreme danger to the public security.