jhungary
MILITARY PROFESSIONAL
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Services? Note services GDP is largely related to domestic consumption (e.g. retail, F&B services, entertainment, housing, transport, telecom) and not exportable (unless by inbound tourism), and most consumption-driven economies have higher % in services (world average is 63.6%, US 79.7%, Japan 71.4%), so merchandise & commodities will continue to be main trade items.
Service is not just retail service, but things range from education (Overseas student to China), International Banking (Investment and portfolio), Security Trading, even Currency, and transport.
Right now, the only significant investment in Australia by China is the housing market. You don't see much Chinese Retail Chain opening up in Australia, but you have Japanese, US and even Canadian chain opening up the market in Australia. And no, I am not just talking about food...
Most Chinese business in Australia is opened by individual Chinese Migrant foreign capital flow on this field is lacking by China.
Another sector Chinese losing out to Japanese is transport and logistic, the current biggest Transport and Logistic service Toll Group is a Japanese subsidiary (Japan Post Holding Ltd)
Japan as ideal machinery market for Australia? The idea is a bit drastic and mind boggling, could you elaborate this more?
I am not saying japan is an Ideal dumping ground of Aussie Machinery, I said there is a market for Australian Machine in Japan, there are none in China, you may not know, but Australia is the top flight (or one of the top flight) in exporting heavy earth moving and mining machinery. Both of which have a significant customer base worldwide, including Japan.
Get some basics right, FTA is not supposed to favor either side, it is for breaking barriers and merging separated markets into a common one. Why "should" Chinese digest more Australian goods and services? "Should" as compulsory obligations? That sounds socialist planned economy to me, are you a fan of Soviet-style economy? Hey it's a market economy, now better with barriers removed, customer is king, if sellers are competitive then sure, if not then they deserve to fail big time, Chinese or Australian.
FTA is to open the market for both side, by removing trade restriction (usually quota) and tariff.
Problem is, for an open market, brand need to be able to put on shelf before customer can compare their price and quality. In this sense, I see a disadvantage in Australian brand in China, I can see quite a lot of Chinese brand selling in Australia (Haier Applicance, SsangYong Auto, Hinense Electronic and so on), but last time I went back to Hong Kong and then China a few months ago, there are virtually no Australian brand in China, beside Arnotts Tim Tam
Just do a little test, go to your nearest supermarket, and find out how much Australian brand are put in the retail shelf in your local supermarket. Here are 10 Australian brand that sold internationally, you can see how many of those is on the shelf in China.
Ansell (Personal Hygiene)
Arnotts (Food)
Billabong (Clothing)
Bulla or Peters (Dairy Product)
Rip Curl (Clothings)
Victa (Machinary)
Holden (Automotive)
Darrell Lea (Confessionary)
Michel Patisseries (Bakery Fanchaise)
Primo (Food, Farm product)
Things about Market economy is, you have to have a market to have an economy outlook, if there aren't even anyone selling those product, how do Australian brand have any market in China??
And if that is the case, then there is a serious problem, as any trader would look at how is the trading environment in a country before performing any investment, problem is, if the balance slide to one side, that is not a good environment, simply because most trader would want to have it as balance as possible, so you can utilise the infrastructure to deal business both way
I am not saying FTA should be benefit to anyone, or force either party to digest more of the goods, but a hostile trading environment would discourage investment. And from the current outlook, if China simply continue only importing primary resource and primary production, the market will be hostile to Australian investor, an open market should open to all trading, not just a couple category. In my opinion, this is why the Australian-Chinese trade volume is shrinking. Chinese's market to Australian company was not diverse enough.
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