Defence Budget 2015-16: The Bad, the Worse and the Good
Vinay Kaushal
March 02, 2015
The Indian Air Force used to have a very competent, business like and unflappable Deputy Chief who, whenever one went to him for a debrief, would say, “Give me the bad news first, the worse next and anybody can handle the good news”.
Financial Indicators
The Bad news The bad news in this year’s defence budget is that it does not recognise that things are not going in the right direction but only the beaten track. The ratio of defence expenditure to GDP has continued to decline over the last 30 years...
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Conclusion
In an earlier commentary, this author had forecast that “the Budget Estimate for defence is likely to be around Rs. 250,000 crore, with 105,000 crore for Capital Expenditure and 145,000 Crore for Revenue Expenditure.” While the forecast nearly hit the bull’s eye as far as the total is concerned, its projection for Capital expenditure was biased by the hope of ending up at the better end of the continuum of a bad deal.
In his budget speech, the Finance Minister said that “Defence of every square inch of our mother land comes before anything else.” And he stressed on the “Make in India” policy to achieve greater self-sufficiency in the area of “defence equipment, including aircraft”. Adding that the government has been “both transparent and quick” in making defence equipment-related purchase decisions, “thus keeping our defence forces ready for any eventuality”, he stated that he has provided “adequately for the needs of the Armed Forces”. These are good words to hear for a soldier, sailor or air warrior at a lonely desolate outpost. But even as they uphold every word of this speech, they need to draw assurance from the actions and decisions of the political leadership and their military superiors that when the time comes for action, they need not look at the ‘best before date’ on the ammunition or read some special instructions written in fine print on the constraints under which to use the ‘weapon system’.