saiyan0321
PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST
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Update 1/2
As I explained in my earlier posts, the Kunduz episode was a San Tzu operation by the Afghan establishment to
- Discredit the militias, destroy them and shows that their era is finished
I disagree here... You show their era is over by not losing a main city and nearly losing grounds in the province while also being forced into fights in other provinces.... You show it by eliminating their entire control points in afghanistan and regaining control of the entire country and wiping them out... Like operation zarb e azb after which we van actually say the era is over and they are nearly dead.
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Showed the real face of Taliban to some local sympathizers that Talis are the same old thugs, who only understand theft and chaos.
The rule of taliban and taliban brutality in later years has clearly created a divide between the two. This event won't change the support cycle as the sympathizers and supporters will actually believe that the Taliban are resurging and are strong while the detractors and enemies of taliban will question the govt inability to protect them from the taliban and will be more critical of the current regime which is tbh not a bad move... Many things that went wrong need to be assessed immediately.
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Brought back the interest of the International Community when the Afghan story was waning because of the other priority such as Syria, Iraq, ... this means long term presence of 10K + International forces, long term assistance and training
Without a shadow of a doubt... Infact I won't be surprised if america actually send in more troops and a longer deadline and of course you can also predict greater training and more equipment as well. The way the Afghan forces lost the city was shocking and the american forces will make sure that they won't have another Iraq on their hands and thus you can expect some equipment and training coming your way.
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Most importantly it took the ANSF only 7 hours to clear the whole city and kill 250 + talis, showed the local public and the international community that the ANSF is the only way forward and they can deal with the enemy when they decide to.
The first assault at retaking failed which is a cause of concern while second one being done with NATO was very well done and yes it must commended however the previous assault and losing the city so easily and leaving it into Taliban hands must be investigated and serious reforms in planning and strategy must be made to make sure this is not repeated... Remember their mission objectives were not to hold the city.. Their mission was to capture , loot and showcase the weakness of the ANA and the strength an unity of the taliban... The kinda did all of that... Hopefully it will not he repeated and the ANA revamps and comes back stronger...
The social media outpouring of support from the common public and on the streets has been phenomenal which shows that ANSF is the most respected institution in the country and the Afghans are fully in support.
Well done on it however you mist realize that they must have had some form of public support that they were svole to capture a city from 7000 soldiers with just 500 and if they didn't then it becomes even more questionable... Do not in any care forget the blunders and mess that were made in kubduz as brushing it under the carpet is exactly something that must not be done... Ractify he tactics and evolve to become stronger.... Good luck on your future combats...
Source: Breaking news : Kunduz city retaken