Body count data

[Flash_Ninja]

And jobless-usless Cnese like u still have to que up for "low value added labor intensive stuff" like med mask in VN border

------

https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/vietnam-declares-the-wuhan-virus-as-class-a-epidemic.651971/


It may happen in EU and CN only cos EU sell many luxury cars-clothes-wine to CN.

VN main export market is US, so we will still be ok .

Doesn't Vietnam source materials and components from China?

 

[JSCh]

Wuhan strives to finish testing of all suspected cases of novel coronavirus infection
Source: Xinhua| 2020-02-11 08:33:25|Editor: huaxia

Medical staff pose for a photo at a temporary hospital converted from "Wuhan Livingroom" in Wuhan, central China's Hubei Province, Feb. 10, 2020. (Xinhua/Xiong Qi)

Wuhan aims to finish testing all suspected cases of novel coronavirus infection in the city by Tuesday.

WUHAN, Feb. 11 (Xinhua) -- Wuhan, the epicenter of the novel coronavirus outbreak, aims to finish testing all suspected cases of novel coronavirus infection in the city by Tuesday, Ma Guoqiang, Wuhan's Party secretary said at a press conference Monday.

All of Wuhan's 1,499 confirmed cases in severe condition had been hospitalized by Monday noon, Ma added.

He noted that the possibility of new suspected cases can not be ruled out since it takes a certain period of time from sampling, detection and second-time testing the next day before diagnoses can be made.

Wuhan will improve detection efficiency, add more hospital beds and speed up admission of patients. Severely ill patients suspected of infection are expected to be arranged to non-designated hospitals for treatment and quarantine.

 

[FairAndUnbiased]

Oh my god. You are really "the word I cannot say otherwise I will get banned"

I am not talking about that reddit prediction curve, I am talking about the actual datam curve provided by National Health (Authority or whatever) of China

This is the curve

View attachment 604464

You do know that follow Benford's law if you mirror it (Which used to predict numerical distribution, also used to catch people faking data), right? And random event of natural occurance in term of probability would never follow Benford's Law. If you present this curve to a forensic accountant, he will tell you this is a fake graph. Yet, it was plotted with actual data from China

And LMFAO for saying I am the one who try to win an argument by making you frustrated. Because from where I am seeing, you are doing that.

lol this is hilarious. You literally just googled Benford's law after reading it in that Reddit post. It's k bro. accountants don't learn this stuff in school per typical US curriculum. unless you aren't an accountant in which case you lied about your background.

in case you didn't, can tell me what is the distribution according to Benford's law and how close is the match?

hmm. seems like you can't.

 

[KungFuLee]

lol this is hilarious. You literally just googled Benford's law after reading it in that Reddit post. It's k bro. accountants don't learn this stuff in school per typical US curriculum. unless you aren't an accountant in which case you lied about your background.

in case you didn't, can tell me what is the distribution according to Benford's law and how close is the match?

hmm. seems like you can't.

lol, yes, I studied account, actuarial and auditing in HKU, and no, they did not teach me Benford's Law in class

Also, if you Benford's they don't tell you how it works. Do you want to know how people use Benford's law to detect fraud?

And to answer your question, first of all, what Base you are working on You want to work with 25? Which is the day of the datum or you want to work with base 10? Which is the first digit rule? You cannot applies Benford's law without a log base. secondly what distribution depends on how many set span on order of magnitude. Unless I am the one that cook the data, I would not know (I can if I do a forensic tracing, but well, obviously I am not going to do that.) And you need to work out Z-Stat yourself. I am not going to do the work for you.

Also, I have made a mistake on the previous post, from the look of it, you did not mention it, mean you did not find it. which mean you know nothing about it. But well, I think you don't know shit about benford's law anyway, so that was a moot point.

I rest my case

 

[FairAndUnbiased]

lol, yes, I studied account, actuarial and auditing in HKU, and no, they did not teach me Benford's Law in class

Also, if you Benford's they don't tell you how it works. Do you want to know how people use Benford's law to detect fraud?

And to answer your question, first of all, what Base you are working on You want to work with 25? Which is the day of the datum or you want to work with base 10? Which is the first digit rule? You cannot applies Benford's law without a log base. secondly what distribution depends on how many set span on order of magnitude. Unless I am the one that cook the data, I would not know (I can if I do a forensic tracing, but well, obviously I am not going to do that.) And you need to work out Z-Stat yourself. I am not going to do the work for you.

Also, I have made a mistake on the previous post, from the look of it, you did not mention it, mean you did not find it. which mean you know nothing about it. But well, I think you don't know shit about benford's law anyway, so that was a moot point.

I rest my case

lol you are just repeating wikipedia. this is hilarious. we are clearly referring to base 10 here and the first digit is clearly the first digit of the dependent variable. everyone here can see that you're a joke that frantically wikipedias things when an unfamiliar term comes up and has no independent, competent thoughts. I don't need to look through for every little mistake, you make enough major ones to sink you.

 

[KungFuLee]

lol you are just repeating wikipedia. this is hilarious. we are clearly referring to base 10 here and the first digit is clearly the first digit of the dependent variable. everyone here can see that you're a joke that frantically wikipedias things when an unfamiliar term comes up and has no independent, competent thoughts. I don't need to look through for every little mistake, you make enough major ones to sink you.

Why base 10? Do you want to pick just a number? 9 Days? If so, how would you want to present a continuous trend? I mean certainly that is more than the first digit. I mean because this time, we aren't talking about digit.

So what? You want to take Log 28, which give you an average of 28 entry, but then your graph will not be accurate on the 29th day.

And also, what order of magnitude are you considering? Death in a province? Infected in a Province? Or You want to break it down to City level or expand it to National level.

So now, would Wikipedia told you all these? I doubt that? But you know what Wikipedia did tell people? First digit Rule with Log base 10. LOL You just exposed yourself there.

LOL

 

[JSCh]

Update: China reports 2,478 new confirmed cases of novel coronavirus infection, 108 new deaths
Source: Xinhua| 2020-02-11 09:09:28|Editor: huaxia

Medical workers help patients infected with the novel coronavirus move into their isolation wards at Huoshenshan (Fire God Mountain) Hospital in Wuhan, central China's Hubei Province, Feb. 4, 2020. (Photo by Fan Xianhai/Xinhua)

Chinese authorities reported 2,478 new confirmed cases of novel coronavirus infection and 108 new deaths as the total confirmed cases on the Chinese mainland had reached 42,638 by the end of Monday, and 1,016 people had died of the disease.

BEIJING, Feb. 11 (Xinhua) -- Chinese health authorities on Tuesday said it received reports of 2,478 new confirmed cases of novel coronavirus infection and 108 deaths on Monday from 31 provincial-level regions and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps.

Among the deaths, 103 were in Hubei Province, and one in Beijing, Tianjin, Heilongjiang, Anhui and Henan respectively, according to China's National Health Commission.

Another 3,536 new suspected cases were reported Monday, said the commission.

Also on Monday, 849 patients became seriously ill, while 716 people were discharged from hospital after recovery.

The overall confirmed cases on the Chinese mainland had reached 42,638 by the end of Monday, and 1,016 people had died of the disease.

The commission added that 7,333 patients remained in severe condition, and 21,675 people were suspected of being infected with the virus.

A total of 3,996 people had been discharged from hospital after recovery.

The commission said 428,438 close contacts had been traced, adding that among them, 26,724 were discharged from medical observation Monday, with 187,728 others still under medical observation.

By the end of Monday, 42 confirmed cases including one death had been reported in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR), 10 confirmed cases in the Macao SAR, and 18 in Taiwan.

One patient in Macao and one in Taiwan have been discharged from hospital after recovery.

 

[JSCh]

MODEL PREDICTS DATE FOR NEAR-END OF NEW, CONFIRMED 2019-NCOV CASES IN CHINA
11 February 2020

Based on publicly available data, a data model on a recently launched website set up by an ad-hoc group of scientists predicts the number of new, confirmed novel coronavirus cases in China to dwindle to almost nothing in under two weeks.

“The current model predicts a rapid decrease in new, confirmed cases in the next week and virtually no new, confirmed cases by February 23,” said Dr Yi Zou, who is based in the Department of Health and Environmental Sciences at Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University.

“While this appears to be a relatively rapid near-end to new, confirmed cases, we must keep in mind that factors could change the trend or that the data on current cases could be underreported, which would change the prediction,” he said.

“However, the current model as of February 10 shows hope for the near future.”

The model is a logistic equation based on standard mathematics.

“According to the data we collected, the virus disease pattern shows a classic sigmoid function curve,” he said.

“The curve looks like a stretched version of the letter 'S.' We appear to be at the top curve of the 'S,' where the top curve indicates the maximum number of cases.

“We will continue to update this model as data comes in to keep the public abreast of the latest prediction.”

Four researchers from universities in China – three from XJTLU and one from Southern University of Science and Technology – created the website to provide scientists, journalists and other researchers open access to data from across China on the novel coronavirus outbreak and daily statistical modeling.

“To my knowledge, this is the only such open-access data website for novel coronavirus data that exists in the world,” said Johannes Knops, head of the Department of Health and Environmental Sciences at XJTLU.

Dr Zou explained that the scientists set up the website to provide a tool for people working around the globe to control the epidemic.

"We hope that through the integration of information, we can provide more people with data sharing and fight the epidemic together,” he said.

The data is both as current as possible and from authoritative sources, Dr Zou said.

“All data and information are automatically captured every 30 minutes through a background program to ensure timeliness,” he said.

“The data and information sources include government websites at all levels and media such as People's Daily and China Central Television to ensure that information is open, transparent and traceable.”

From the data, Dr Zou and the other volunteer collaborators create models to help visualise the data and demonstrate future possibilities.

“Our team uses a logistic regression model, which is widely used in epidemiological analysis, to predict the trend of the outbreak in China as a whole and for each of the country’s provinces from the data,” he said.

“Our volunteer team members then perform the data processing, modeling, visualisation and publishing tasks using R language.

Other researchers can download data packages for their own data modeling and research on the novel coronavirus outbreak.

Besides the data and models available both in Chinese and English, the website also includes, in Chinese-only, information from news agencies and evidence-based answers to myths and rumours.

Besides Dr Zou, other volunteers responsible for development of the website include Dr Peng Zhao and Dr Lei Han, also of XJTLU’s Department of Health and Environmental Sciences, and Dr Xiaoxiang Wang from Southern University of Science and Technology.

The website includes a language toggle from Chinese to English.

By Luyun Shi and Yunji Tao
English version edited by Tamara Kaup


Model predicts date for near-end of new, confirmed 2019-nCoV cases in China | News | Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University (XJTLU)

 

[JSCh]

Real-time update on coronavirus outbreak
Source:Global Times Published: 2020/1/22 21:15:00 Last Updated: 2020/2/12 6:18:11

​

Medical staffs swear in as members of "assault team" in the fight against the novel coronavirus-related pneumonia in a hospital in Wuhan, central China's Hubei Province, Jan. 22, 2020. (Xinhua/Cheng Min)

6:13 am Feb 12

Hubei Province reported 1,638 new cases of novel coronavirus pneumonia on Feb 11, with 94 new deaths and 417 cases of recovery. The total number of infections in the province climbed to 33,366, with 1,068 deaths and 2,639 cases of recovery.

01:32 am Feb 12

Hubei housing authority announced that all the residential areas in the province would restrict people from going in and out amid coronavirus outbreak, all people would have body temperature checked before entry: local media

00:24 am Feb 12

Medical staff from the disease center of Guangzhou, South China’s Guangdong Province was punished for selling masks in violation of rules.

11:27 pm Feb 11

2019nCoV is renamed as COVID-19 by WHO

10:45 pm Feb 11

Wuhan, epicenter of coronavirus outbreak, is still at very difficult moment, although 2019nCoV has lower death rate compared to SARS and MERS, the city has not completely solved the problem of people-to-people transmission: Zhong Nanshan, govt's senior medical adviser NCP

09:41 pm Feb 11

A thorough check found 13,000 patients with fever in Huanggang, a city neighbouring #Wuhan, epicenter of the novel coronavirus outbreak.

09:09 pm Feb 11

The central government group urged Hubei to fight resolutely the coronavirus battle and implement the policy of bringing all ppl who need to be treated to hospital. Vice-Premier Sun Chunlan also visited Fang Cang makeshift hospitals to take a look at living conditions inside.

08:50 pm Feb 11

AirChina continues daily flights between Beijing and LA LAX, SanFranciso, NewYork and Wangshington despite the inconvenience caused by NCP

07:12 pm Feb 11

The Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region is sending 30 million yuan worth ($4.3million) agricultural and livestock products for the Hubei Province to meet the people’s needs. NCP

07:10 pm Feb 11

A defendant surnamed Wang in Renshou county, Southwest China's Sichuan Province was sentenced to 4-month detention Tuesday for obstructing public affairs during the prevention and control of the #NCP outbreak.

07:09 pm Feb 11

Major hospitals fighting coronavirus in Wuhan still face a shortage of supplies due to critical situation & heavy workload & hospitals like Jinyintan & Central Hospital asked for public donations, including supplies like N95 masks, protective suits: Hubei Health Commission.

06:32 pm Feb 11

As of Monday, China's railway service operator has screened a total of 7573 passengers with fever during return travel rush following Spring Festival holidays amid coronavirus outbreak, which raised concerns over more outbreaks outside epicenter Hubei.

06:31 pm Feb 11

Police found a woman on Tuesday who hid in the trunk of a car on the expressway to Shanghai to escape the compulsory 14-day quarantine after traveling to a key coronavirus NCP affected area. Both the woman and the car owner have been quarantined: media.

05:36 pm Feb 11

South Korea, Israel advised citizens to defer travel plans to #Singapore due to the novel coronavirus epidemic: report.

05:19 pm Feb 11

Great news! The first 34 patients with mild symptoms of NCP were discharged from Fang Cang makeshift hospitals in Wuhan on Tue; however, they still need to stay in a self-imposed quarantine for 14 days: reports

05:04 pm Feb 11

The inflection point of the coronavirus outbreak cannot be predicted, but it may peak in mid-or late-February: China's top epidemiologist Zhong Nanshan

04:16 pm Feb 11

Over 83 percent of collective coronavirus infection cases happened in families, and others cases happened in places including hospitals, restaurants, rural villages, supermarkets and shops, companies and public transport: National Health Commission

03:54 pm Feb 11

As the epicenter of NCP, Wuhan saw its number of suspected cases reaching the peak on Feb 5 with 2,071, dropping to Monday's 961 cases, showing that more suspected patients have been treated in an accelerated pace: National Health Commission

03:05 pm Feb 11

3,853 Shanghai hospitals and medical institutions with 77,700 doctors and 97,100 nurses can broadly meet the city's needs of coronavirus prevention and control as well as medical services: Shanghai Municipal Health Commission

02:41 pm Feb 11

As part of enhanced measures in fighting against the novel #coronavirus, #Wuhan has set up checkpoints in residential areas to cut contagious channels starting from Tues. GT reporters saw medical staff in protective suits at some of these checkpoints.

12:52 pm Feb 11

Members of Japan's governing Liberal Democratic Party led by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will each contribute 5,000 yen ($46) to #China to support its fight against the coronavirus outbreak.

12:32 pm Feb 11

Health and epidemic experts suggested that the decreasing numbers of confirmed cases show that the inflection point outside Hubei Province is expected to arrive in about 10 days and might arrive in Hubei in a month.

11:46 am Feb 11

As of Monday midnight, 2,196 people have been put in compulsory quarantine in Hong Kong and 91% of them are locals: HK CE Carrie Lam on coronavirus.

10:37 am Feb 11

As of Monday midnight, 2,196 people have been put in compulsory quarantine in Hong Kong and 91% of them are locals: HK CE Carrie Lam on nCoV2019

9:50 am Feb 11

Beijing orders to close entertainment venue and other public places of non-daily necessities, when the city is facing mounting pressuring to contain coronavirus after people from nationwide went back to work.

9:30 am Feb 11

First novel coronavirus case confirmed at a San Diego UC San Diego Medical Center in Hillcrest, United States: local official

9:24 am Feb 11

Scientists in Shanghai recently have isolated strains of the novel coronavirus, which experts said will boost the development of vaccine and medicine against the virus.

8:54 am Feb 11

Party secretary and head of Hubei Provincial health commission were removed from office on Monday. Wang Hesheng, a veteran health official whose last post was in National Health Commission, is assigned to take the two posts.

8:16 am Feb 11

108 new deaths, 2478 new confirmed cases of coronavirus infection were reported in the Chinese mainland. The total infection number soared to 42,634 with 1016 deaths as of 24:00 Feb 10.

6:06 am Feb 11

Hubei Province reported 2,097 new cases of novel coronavirus pneumonia on Feb 10, with 103 new deaths and 427 recovered. Total infection number in the province increased to 31,728, with 974 dead and 2,222 recovered.

1:50 am Feb 11

Authorities in Hong Kong evacuate all the residents in a residential building in Cheung Hong in Tsing Yi on Monday after a female patient infected with coronavirus was found living there: local media reports

1:30 am Feb 11

As part of enhanced measures in fighting NCP, Wuhan announced to restrict in and out to residential areas by setting up checkpoints in order to cut contagious channel: local authority

00:12 am Feb 11

Hong Kong reported 6 new coronavirus-infected cases, bringing the total number to 42: reports

 

[Viva_Viet]

Doesn't Vietnam source materials and components from China?

Yes. But just bcs CN material had cheaper price before the outbreak. Now, VN will use our domestic material cos its cheaper now

------
The enterprises under Vinatex are ready to produce non-profit antibacterial masks to prevent infection of Corona, selling only 7 thousand VND / unit.

The leader of the Vietnam National Textile and Garment Group (Vinatex) affirmed that the unit could ensure the supply of fabric and supply to the market from 300,000-400,000 products / day, masks made from antibacterial knitted fabric. price only 7 thousand dong / unit. This is the price equivalent to production costs.

Accordingly, the mask of Dong Xuan Knitting Company is made of knitted fabric with 2 layers, including an antibacterial layer, reused about 30 times of washing, retail

Talking to PV Traffic Report, Mr. Tran Duy Dong, Director of the Domestic Market Department said that textile enterprises are preparing resources to prioritize mask production. According to Dong, although the material shortage is mainly imported from China, most businesses have plans to utilize domestic materials to ensure the full mobilization of capacity for the production of masks in the coun
https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/sad-...ng-virus-masks-from-hard-hit-neighbor.652463/

 

[JSCh]

China reports 2,015 new confirmed cases of novel coronavirus infection, 97 new deaths
Xinhua 10:53 UTC+8, 2020-02-12

Chinese health authorities on Wednesday said it received reports of 2,015 new confirmed cases of novel coronavirus infection and 97 deaths on Tuesday from 31 provincial-level regions and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps.

Among the deaths, 94 were in Hubei Province and one in Henan, Hunan and Chongqing respectively, according to China's National Health Commission.

Another 3,342 new suspected cases were reported Tuesday, said the commission.

Also on Tuesday, 871 patients became seriously ill, while 744 people were discharged from hospital after recovery.

The overall confirmed cases on the Chinese mainland had reached 44,653 by the end of Tuesday, and 1,113 people had died of the disease.

The commission added that 8,204 patients remained in severe condition, and 16,067 people were suspected of being infected with the virus.

A total of 4,740 people had been discharged from hospital after recovery.

The commission said 451,462 close contacts had been traced, adding that among them, 30,068 were discharged from medical observation Tuesday, with 185,037 others still under medical observation.

By the end of Tuesday, 49 confirmed cases including one death had been reported in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, 10 confirmed cases in the Macao SAR, and 18 in Taiwan.

One patient in Macao and one in Taiwan have been discharged from hospital after recovery.

 

[JSCh]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1227762589574131712

China's Hubei reports over 14,000 new cases of COVID-19
Source: Xinhua| 2020-02-13 08:51:46|Editor: huaxia

Medical staff receive a patient infected with the novel coronavirus at the temporary hospital converted from Wuhan Sports Center in Wuhan, central China's Hubei Province, Feb. 12, 2020. (Xinhua/Xiao Yijiu)

WUHAN, Feb. 13 (Xinhua) -- China's Hubei Province, center of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, reported 14,840 new confirmed cases on Wednesday, local health authorities said Thursday.

The Hubei Provincial Health Commission said the figure included 13,332 clinically diagnosed cases, which have been seen as confirmed cases from Thursday.

Real-time update on coronavirus outbreak
Source:Global Times Published: 2020/1/22 21:15:00 Last Updated: 2020/2/13 7:49:11

​

Medical staffs swear in as members of "assault team" in the fight against the novel coronavirus-related pneumonia in a hospital in Wuhan, central China's Hubei Province, Jan. 22, 2020. (Xinhua/Cheng Min)

07:42 am Feb 13

Hubei Province reported 14,840 new cases (including 13,332 clinically diagnosed cases) of novel coronavirus pneumonia on Feb 12, with 242 new deaths and 802 cases of recovery. The total number of infections in the province climbed to 48,206, with 1,310 deaths and 3,441 cases of recovery.

00:23 am Feb 13

Party committees and governments at all levels are urged to win the people's war against the epidemic and strive to achieve this year's economic and social development goals and tasks: President Xi Jinping

00:22 am Feb 13

Epidemic prevention and control in China have entered a critical stage that requires stringent efforts: President Xi Jinping

00:20 am Feb 13

Wartime control measures are implemented in Zhangwan district in Shiyan, Hubei Province, starting from Thursday, which means all buildings will be fully closed in the next 14 days. Whether the controls will lift ahead or continue depends on the epidemic prevention effect.

11:37 pm Feb 12

While some cities carrying out large-scale disinfectant work amid coronavirus outbreak, a chief expert on disinfectant from CDC suggested such move do more harm than good.

10:56 pm Feb 12

China's catering sector is among the hardest hit by coronavirus epidemic, with 93% of restaurants have been shut and total loss in revenue reaching 500 billion yuan ($71.74 billion) during the Chinese New Year holiday week: industry body.

10:55 pm Feb 12

Inditex, parent company of Spanish fashion brand Zara, said it is contributing protective medical gear worth $1.09 million to help combat coronavirus outbreak in China, and Tsinghua University Education Foundation will distribute the medical material over the coming weeks.

10:25 pm Feb 12

China-Japan Friendship Hospital said it is now carrying out clinical trial on COVID-19 drug Remdesivir.

09:48 pm Feb 12

Five Hubei officials have been sacked due to violations of work discipline and failure to fulfil duties amid the coronavirus outbreak, including an official from the cultural and tourism bureau of Wuhan.

09:10 pm Feb 12

The F1 ChineseGP, originally scheduled for April 17-19, has been postponed due to the novel coronavirus outbreak.

09:04 pm Feb 12

The Shenzhen Institutes of Advanced Technology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences said they have finished the first-phase of the backup vaccine to treat the coronavirus that has killed over 1,000 in China.

08:56 pm Feb 12

Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the the CPC Central Committee on Wed called for intensifying the macro adjustments to tackle economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak and policies to support employment and small businesses.

08:35 pm Feb 12

China's State Council on Wed called for special attention to employment to prevent large-scale layoffs due to the coronavirus, with measures such as using local unemployment insurance funds to support employers and stabilize the jobs market.

06:28 pm Feb 12

China's Ministry of Agriculture said Wed it will encourage the merger and acquisition of pesticide production enterprises, and weed out less competitive ones.

06:27 pm Feb 12

As of noon of Tuesday, the total credit loans from banking institutions exceeded 349 billion yuan ($50.1 billion) to help prevent and control the novel coronavirus pneumonia outbreak, and promote enterprises to resume work: China Banking Association.

05:50 pm Feb 12

China's environmental monitor said that SO2 levels in Wuhan remained low at 4-8 µg/m3 at one point on Sunday, refuting data published by Windy.com over links to the rising number of cremations caused by coronavirus.

05:47 pm Feb 12

Officials of Wuhan's Wuchang district apologized to patients for the negligence of duty by community committee employees in transferring a batch of coronavirus patients to a designated hospital and instructed those derelict employees to tender an apology to these patients.

05:41 pm Feb 12

China launches an app to help people know if they have come to a close contact with someone who is infected or suspected of being infected by the novel coronavirus. Users only need to enter their name and ID number, which they commonly used for taking public transportations.

05:40 pm Feb 12

WHO chief says first vaccine for novel coronavirus could be available in 18 months

05:31 pm Feb 12

China's Ministry of Education is researching whether to postpone gaokao college entrance examinations amid coronavirus outbreak.

05:28 pm Feb 12

More than 180 drama series, documentaries, and animations made their content royalty-free in China and will be aired on televisions to encourage people nationwide to resolutely fight the battle against the novel coronavirus pneumonia (COVID19) epidemic.

05:13 pm Feb 12

Hubei authority has shipped 180,000 nucleic acid test kits for the diagnosis of coronavirus infection, distributing more than 90,000 kits to relevant laboratories. So far, Wuhan has 40 labs that can conduct 8,000 to 10,000 tests daily.

03:27 pm Feb 12

The recovery rate from coronavirus infection in China rose from 1.3% on Jan 27 to 10.6% on Tuesday, leading to the discharge of more patients from hospitals. Although #China continues to face a tough battle against #NCP, positive signs have also emerged. While the number of newly confirmed patients reached a peak of 3,887 on Feb 4, the number also dropped to 2,015 on Tues, registering a decline of 48.2%: national health authority

02:49 pm Feb 12

Tibet's only confirmed patient infected with coronavirus was discharged Wednesday

11:06 am Feb 12

WHO chief says the first vaccine for Covid-19, coronavirus disease starting in 2019, could be ready in 18 months

10:55 am Feb 12

As of Tue midnight, confirmed cases of COVID-19 outside epicenter Hubei Province have been on a decline for the 8th consecutive day. Daily new confirmed cases also saw a constant fall in Hubei in past two days, and the number came under 2,000 for the first time in 10 days.

10:04 am Feb 12

97 new deaths, 2,015 new confirmed cases were reported on Feb 11 in the Chinese mainland, said China's National Health Commission. The total infection number soared to 44,653, with 1,113 deaths as of Feb 11.

 

[JSCh]

MODEL PREDICTS DATE FOR NEAR-END OF NEW, CONFIRMED 2019-NCOV CASES IN CHINA
11 February 2020

Based on publicly available data, a data model on a recently launched website set up by an ad-hoc group of scientists predicts the number of new, confirmed novel coronavirus cases in China to dwindle to almost nothing in under two weeks.

“The current model predicts a rapid decrease in new, confirmed cases in the next week and virtually no new, confirmed cases by February 23,” said Dr Yi Zou, who is based in the Department of Health and Environmental Sciences at Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University.

“While this appears to be a relatively rapid near-end to new, confirmed cases, we must keep in mind that factors could change the trend or that the data on current cases could be underreported, which would change the prediction,” he said.

“However, the current model as of February 10 shows hope for the near future.”

The model is a logistic equation based on standard mathematics.

“According to the data we collected, the virus disease pattern shows a classic sigmoid function curve,” he said.

“The curve looks like a stretched version of the letter 'S.' We appear to be at the top curve of the 'S,' where the top curve indicates the maximum number of cases.

“We will continue to update this model as data comes in to keep the public abreast of the latest prediction.”

Four researchers from universities in China – three from XJTLU and one from Southern University of Science and Technology – created the website to provide scientists, journalists and other researchers open access to data from across China on the novel coronavirus outbreak and daily statistical modeling.

“To my knowledge, this is the only such open-access data website for novel coronavirus data that exists in the world,” said Johannes Knops, head of the Department of Health and Environmental Sciences at XJTLU.

Dr Zou explained that the scientists set up the website to provide a tool for people working around the globe to control the epidemic.

"We hope that through the integration of information, we can provide more people with data sharing and fight the epidemic together,” he said.

The data is both as current as possible and from authoritative sources, Dr Zou said.

“All data and information are automatically captured every 30 minutes through a background program to ensure timeliness,” he said.

“The data and information sources include government websites at all levels and media such as People's Daily and China Central Television to ensure that information is open, transparent and traceable.”

From the data, Dr Zou and the other volunteer collaborators create models to help visualise the data and demonstrate future possibilities.

“Our team uses a logistic regression model, which is widely used in epidemiological analysis, to predict the trend of the outbreak in China as a whole and for each of the country’s provinces from the data,” he said.

“Our volunteer team members then perform the data processing, modeling, visualisation and publishing tasks using R language.

Other researchers can download data packages for their own data modeling and research on the novel coronavirus outbreak.

Besides the data and models available both in Chinese and English, the website also includes, in Chinese-only, information from news agencies and evidence-based answers to myths and rumours.

Besides Dr Zou, other volunteers responsible for development of the website include Dr Peng Zhao and Dr Lei Han, also of XJTLU’s Department of Health and Environmental Sciences, and Dr Xiaoxiang Wang from Southern University of Science and Technology.

The website includes a language toggle from Chinese to English.

By Luyun Shi and Yunji Tao
English version edited by Tamara Kaup


Model predicts date for near-end of new, confirmed 2019-nCoV cases in China | News | Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University (XJTLU)

2020-02-14: Epidemic Mitigation Time Forecast (Covid-19)
2020-02-14

Time trends and model predictions of confirmed cases across the country

Due to the adding of clinical diagnosis to confirm cases, since February 13, our model will use the “confirmed + suspected” cases instead of the original “confirmed” cases as our variables.

....

2020-02-14: Epidemic Mitigation Time Forecast (Covid-19) - Covid-19: Epidemic Reports

 

[JSCh]

Real-time update on coronavirus outbreak
Source:Global Times Published: 2020/1/22 21:15:00 Last Updated: 2020/2/14 10:39:16

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Medical staffs swear in as members of "assault team" in the fight against the novel coronavirus-related pneumonia in a hospital in Wuhan, central China's Hubei Province, Jan. 22, 2020. (Xinhua/Cheng Min)

10:37 am Feb 14

121 new deaths, 5,090 new confirmed cases were reported on Feb 13 in the Chinese mainland, said China's National Health Commission. The total infection number soared to 63,851, with 1,380 deaths as of Feb 13.

07:40 am Feb 14

Hubei Province reported 4,823 new cases of novel coronavirus pneumonia (including 3,095 clinically diagnosed cases) on Feb 13, with 116 new deaths and 690 cases of recovery. The total number of infections in the province climbed to 51,986.

00:30 am Feb 14

Over 10 patients in serious conditions apparently improved after taking the products made of blood plasma containing antibodies donated by recovered patients. The products prove the most effective way at present to treat COVID-19 as there is no effective drug or vaccine.

10:18 pm Feb 13

Zhang Dingyu, director of Jinyintan Hospital in Wuhan, said COVID-19-infected patients that have recovered have a large number of comprehensive antibodies, which can fight the virus. He called on them to come to donate plasma for patients who are still struggling.

10:09 pm Feb 13

The detection of the live new coronavirus from a patient's feces does not suggest that the primary method of the virus' transmission has changed, which is through respiratory and contact channels: China National Health Commission

9:48 pm Feb 13

Coronavirus infection does more harm to the heart than SARS, and causes cardiac disease more quickly than SARS, says director of Jinyintan Hospital, major designated place to treat COVID-19 patients.

9:40 pm Feb 13

The top CPC discipline authority has urged strict law enforcement in the COVID-19 battle, and officials who fail to fulfill their duties must be held accountable. More efforts should be made to correct bureaucratism and formality for formality's sake in Wuhan and Hubei.

9:13 pm Feb 13

Dawu county of Xiaogan city in Hubei Province launches the wartime control order for better controlling the ongoing COVID-19 outbreak following the country's first wartime control order from Shiyan.

9:05 pm Feb 13

Huanggang, a neighboring city to coronavirus epicenter Wuhan, on Thursday put all residential communities on lockdown to contain the epidemic.

8:42 pm Feb 13

HK police arrested 12 suspects for frauding more than 1 million HK dollar ($128,756) by pretending to sell masks online, taking advantage of mask shortage across China during the novel coronavirus epidemic.

8:30 pm Feb 13

Coronavirus is a headwind for many Chinese industries but not for online giants like Alibaba. Alibaba's revenues rose 38% in Q3 of the current fiscal year. Transaction volume and active users on Taobao live-streaming more than doubled in Dec: Alibaba financial report

8:19 pm Feb 13

Japan announces first death of person infected with COVID19. The victim was a woman in her 80s living in Kanagawa prefecture: report

Total Confirmed Cases in Chinese Mainland

Newly Confirmed and Suspected Cases in Chinese Mainland​

 

[JSCh]

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