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Bangladesh second fastest growing economy in the world: IMF

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12:00 AM, April 11, 2019 / LAST MODIFIED: 12:27 AM, April 11, 2019
Bangladesh second fastest growing economy: IMF

Projects less inflationary pressure ahead

https://www.thedailystar.net/business/news/bangladesh-second-fastest-growing-economy-imf-1728289


global_economy_0.jpg


Rejaul Karim Byron

Bangladesh is among the three fastest growing economies in the world, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) -- in yet another thumping endorsement of the country's extraordinary growth momentum.

The economy will grow at 7.3 percent this year, which will be second highest in the world, as per the IMF report 'World Economic Outlook, April 2019: Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery' revealed on Tuesday.

Neighbouring India will also grow at the same pace as Bangladesh but Rwanda will grow the fastest at 7.8 percent.

The three countries would be the only ones in the world to log in more than 7 percent growth this year.

The IMF's projection comes on the heels of the World Bank's and the Asian Development Bank's.

The World Bank, which does not use calendar year in its projections like its counterpart IMF, said Bangladesh would be among the five fastest growing economies in the world this fiscal year with its 7.3 percent growth.

The Asian Development Bank tipped Bangladesh to log in the fastest economic growth in the Asia-Pacific region in fiscal 2019-20. This fiscal year, the economy will grow at 8 percent.

The two multilateral lenders' projections for this fiscal year, however, are lower than the prediction of the government: 8.13 percent.

The IMF projected that Bangladesh will see less inflationary pressure and an improvement in its external position this year.

Inflation will be 5.4 percent this year, which was 5.6 percent last year.

Current account deficit was rising in the last two consecutive years. The negative balance was 2.1 percent of GDP in 2017 and 2.8 percent in 2018. In 2019, the negative balance will narrow to 1.9 percent of the GDP, the IMF report said.

Among other South Asian economies, Bhutan will grow at 4.8 percent, the Maldives 6.3 percent, Nepal 6.5 percent, Sri Lanka 3.5 percent and Pakistan 2.9 percent this year.

The world economy will slow down to 3.3 percent from 3.6 percent last year thanks to a slump in the major economies of China, the US, Germany, Italy and Japan.

Rising trade tension between China and the US is another reason for the slow down in global economy.
 
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Only second fastest and only 7.3%. Not good enough :hitwall:
 
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Not according to the IMF report referenced here:

View attachment 552798

Its pretty funny how few Bangladeshis actually READ before spouting off something.


IMF is always very conservative with BD growth rates and then adjusts upwards later on.
As you can see they have 7.6% for 2017 and 7.7% for 2018.

Infrastructure which has been a much more severe bottleneck on BD infrastructure that rest of S Asia, is being rapidly built now and this will only speed up economic growth. ADB has just reported that BD growth will top 8% this year. BD has replaced India as the fastest growing economy in S Asia.

BD government forecasts 10% by 2021 and while I think this is optimistic, 8-9% a year sustained next decade is very possible.
 
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IMF is always very conservative with BD growth rates and then adjusts upwards later on.
As you can see they have 7.6% for 2017 and 7.7% for 2018.

Infrastructure which has been a much more severe bottleneck on BD infrastructure that rest of S Asia, is being rapidly built now and this will only speed up economic growth. ADB has just reported that BD growth will top 8% this year. BD has replaced India as the fastest growing economy in S Asia.

BD government forecasts 10% by 2021 and while I think this is optimistic, 8-9% a year sustained next decade is very possible.

The forex accumulation rate lag (and inflation accumulation) will catch up with BD this year, so nope....it wont reach 8%...IMF has a reason to project at 7.3% and 7%.....given BD should have gotten a few years of 8 - 9 % growth already (given its low base and what India scored at the similar stage in those years).

BD is just not economically diverse enough to hit any massive sustained growth.

Then when you come to physical consumption (PPP), BD does even worse. So no, BD has not replaced India as the "fastest growing" in South Asia (even as low as your base is). Thats a broad scale metric over parameters and years.

You need much more confirmed 3rd party data behind you and to join the same SDDS standard too (otherwise you can just insert as much inflation as you can get away with).

There is after all a reason you are not even in the MSCI EM index (and hence not featured in the Economist weekly appendix still) that there is talk of dismissing Pakistan from now. Maybe you can replace them with time, since you may be the new 2nd place 1% level from South Asia:

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Wonderful, now use this influence and strength to sort out Rohingya crisis and prevent any more of their deaths.
What an awesome post!

South Asian countries lack R&D, innovation, and a deep industrial manufacturing base. It's just textiles with foreign investment being the cherry on top.
 
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What an awesome post!

South Asian countries lack R&D, innovation, and a deep industrial manufacturing base. It's just textiles with foreign investment being the cherry on top.
It takes time to build up industrial base. BD is on the right course posting double digit industrial growth rate years after year.
 
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Seriously guys why people from different countries start fighting like bunch of chutiyas over some IMF or ADB reports? These are projection anyway and can take up or down turn by various circumstances. Even if country in south asia is progressing faster than the other then it should make other into a jealous moron as even with this rate all countries are living in shithole of poverty for decades to come.
 
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The forex accumulation rate lag (and inflation accumulation) will catch up with BD this year, so nope....it wont reach 8%...IMF has a reason to project at 7.3% and 7%.....given BD should have gotten a few years of 8 - 9 % growth already (given its low base and what India scored at the similar stage in those years).

BD is just not economically diverse enough to hit any massive sustained growth.

Then when you come to physical consumption (PPP), BD does even worse. So no, BD has not replaced India as the "fastest growing" in South Asia (even as low as your base is). Thats a broad scale metric over parameters and years.

You need much more confirmed 3rd party data behind you and to join the same SDDS standard too (otherwise you can just insert as much inflation as you can get away with).

There is after all a reason you are not even in the MSCI EM index (and hence not featured in the Economist weekly appendix still) that there is talk of dismissing Pakistan from now. Maybe you can replace them with time, since you may be the new 2nd place 1% level from South Asia:

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-1x-1.jpg

Butt-hurt. BD growth will smash 8% this year unless something disastrous happens in next few months.
 
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Butt-hurt. BD growth will smash 8% this year unless something disastrous happens in next few months.

Believe me no one even cares for your kind let alone be butt hurt. You people have deluded yourself that you are some sort of super power while being located at the arse end of india literally.
 
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Believe me no one even cares for your kind let alone be butt hurt. You people have deluded yourself that you are some sort of super power while being located at the arse end of india literally.

Why you commenting?
 
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