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Back to Israel: Hezbollah (and Iran) reconsider their priorities

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tony--badran
T O N Y B A D R A N
May 4, 2013


Back to Israel
Hezbollah (and Iran) reconsider their priorities


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A screen shot of a recent speech by Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah. (AFP photo)

When Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah made his televised address on Tuesday, he was reportedly in Tehran – his second trip there in the last two weeks. During his first visit to Iran, Nasrallah met with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani. Nasrallah apparently received strategic guidance on how to present Hezbollah’s escalating – and increasingly unpopular – involvement in Syria.

Hezbollah has been having trouble messaging its involvement in Syria. Consequently, Nasrallah devoted much of his speech to the war there. In laying out the rationale for his group’s participation in the fight alongside the Syrian regime, Nasrallah repeated the old excuse that Hezbollah was merely lending support to the Lebanese Shia residents of towns across the border in Syria. Then, he relayed the second argument—that his fighters have been protecting Shiite shrines, such as the Zaynab shrine in Damascus. This particular argument also has been on display especially in the various death notices and funerals of Hezbollah fighters believed to have been killed in action in Syria.

The nature of this argument is overtly sectarian – as further evidenced by the charged names chosen for the fighting formations around Sayyida Zaynab, such as the Abu al-Fadl al-Abbas brigade. Hezbollah needs such a mobilizing call to justify the increasing number of dead fighters in Syria. Conjuring up the specter of hostile Sunnis coming after Shiite villages and religious places serves that purpose. In addition, according to an unnamed Hezbollah commander cited in the Kuwaiti newspaper al-Rai, the Iranian leadership agreed with Nasrallah on the continued use of the “protection of sacred sites” line. It does, furthermore, serve as a cover for other Shiite fighters from Iraq and elsewhere who are also on the ground in Sayyida Zaynab, from where Hezbollah is directing operations.

However, Hezbollah has long sought to avoid the perception that it was merely a sectarian Shiite militia. Instead, it has tried to enhance its own legitimacy, and expand Iran’s reach, in the Sunni Arab world by cultivating an image of a non-sectarian, pan-Islamic resistance movement against Israel.

It’s possible that a decision was taken on how to message Hezbollah’s involvement during Nasrallah’s meetings with the Iranian leadership two weeks ago. For around the same time, Hezbollah began marketing a new line in its statements and in the media. For example, Nabil Qaouq, the deputy head of the group’s executive council, declared at the memorial service of a Hezbollah fighter killed in action in Syria that Hezbollah does not “change the direction of the resistance’s rockets nor do we change its priorities no matter how bad the domestic and regional crises get… our priority is to increase military capabilities… any position [Hezbollah takes] regarding what is happening in Syria and Lebanon has to do, first and foremost, with protecting this equation [of the resistance].”

These talking points were then picked up in the pro-Hezbollah media. An article in the Lebanese newspaper As-Safir criticized how Hezbollah’s detractors were portraying “Israel’s tormenter as a sectarian party.” The author then echoed Qaouq’s language, asserting that Hezbollah’s “priority today, tomorrow and the day after, will remain Palestine.”

Hezbollah’s effort to link its role in Syria with the struggle against Israel explains the decision to send the drone over Israel last week. Although Nasrallah reiterated his party’s denial that it was behind the drone he, and the group more broadly, were clearly taking credit for it and boasting about it as an achievement, while refraining from claiming responsibility. For example, in its news editorial on the day of the drone incident, Al-Manar TV gloated by using language that evoked Nasrallah’s old threats of being able to reach “beyond Haifa.”

Nasrallah summarized the message behind the drone in his speech on Tuesday when he warned “anyone in Lebanon or the region” against thinking “that the resistance, as a result of what’s happening in Syria or the pressures on Iran, is in a moment of weakness, exhaustion, or confusion.” Rather, he added, “the resistance is vigilant, with its finger on the trigger.”

In other words, the drone was Hezbollah’s attempt to focus the narrative back on Israel. However, there are limits to how far Hezbollah can run with that narrative, hence its denial of responsibility. The Iranians can ill afford a devastating Israeli attack on Lebanon at this time as they prefer to safeguard Hezbollah’s retaliatory capabilities in case of a strike on their nuclear program.

That the drone was launched after Nasrallah’s first visit to Tehran two weeks ago suggests that the decision ultimately had to receive the blessing of Khamenei and Soleimani. In fact, some in the Israeli military believe that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard contingent in Lebanon took charge of operating the drone. This shouldn’t come as a surprise, as the presence of IRGC personnel in Lebanon is well known.

Last year, Qassem Soleimani confidently proclaimed that Iran controlled south Lebanon. Soleimani's claim is hard to dispute. Nasrallah’s April visit to Iran, with the ensuing drone operation and adjustment to Hezbollah’s Syria narrative, only serves to underscore that the Party of God’s ultimate command center is in Tehran.

Tony Badran is a research fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. He tweets @AcrossTheBay.
 
I hope Israel can deal with that i hate religious extremists like that keep it classy israel.
 
Last year, Qassem Soleimani confidently proclaimed that Iran controlled south Lebanon. Soleimani's claim is hard to dispute. Nasrallah’s April visit to Iran, with the ensuing drone operation and adjustment to Hezbollah’s Syria narrative, only serves to underscore that the Party of God’s ultimate command center is in Tehran.
Soleimani is famous to be very talkative... but i think Al Arabiya for this matter is not a source to trust.
 
Soleimani is famous to be very talkative... but i think Al Arabiya for this matter is not a source to trust.

I have never read his threads :D except for the title, and I think many are like me considering the "likes" he has gotten.
 
I have never read his threads :D except for the title, and I think many are like me considering the "likes" he has gotten.
I respect him because he is smart and i don't discuss about it.
You know blackeagle in all these events there are many fantasms...

what is happening now ... before the elections... people shut up about kind of message about Syria to send troops there

In the link it was written 150 000 troops. really these people should understand how it works in sepah.
how can Iran select 150 000 al Quds force able to fight in Syria and how to move all these people through Iraq?
Soleimani is very talkative... everyone now waits his speech to use it lol this guy is a joke
 
The world will be better off without Hezbollah and AlQedea ..
 
Well considering that Israel bombed their scientists and issues military threats I'd say there's been much restraint on Iran's part. If I were the Jews I would not antagonize Iran.
 
The world will be better off without Hezbollah and AlQedea ..

Do you remember prince Faisal's response to a reporter who told him that most Arabs were pro-HZ in 2006, and yet said if he considers Arabs deluded people or not because of that. His response was if Arabs really think what HZ achieved in 2006 war was heroism and victory, they need to get their brains checked. Frankly, I considered it rudeness and didn't understand why he said that. I got it few years ago, after then I started looking closely into Saudi policy in the past century and found out that they were right most of the time. Our problem as Arabs is that we are shallow and sentimental and would sway over sweet words.
 
Al-Fisal is a legend (; .. He drafted our 21st century FP.
Do you remember prince Faisal's response to a reporter who told him that most Arabs were pro-HZ in 2006, and yet said if he considers Arabs deluded people or not because of that. His response was if Arabs really think what HZ achieved in 2006 war was heroism and victory, they need to get their brains checked. Frankly, I considered it rudeness and didn't understand why he said that. I got it few years ago, after then I started looking closely into Saudi policy in the past century and found out that they were right most of the time. Our problem as Arabs is that we are shallow and sentimental and would sway over sweet words.
 
they fought their hearts out defending Lebanon; I know people are mixed on this, but they have my respect at least.

the challenge will be to market themselves as a purely Lebanese nationalist force and not as a proxy....but whether you like it or not, they are a political force in Lebanon and they cant be side-lined

by the way, comparing Al qaeda to Hezbollah is pretty intellectually lazy -- in my very humble opinion. To juxtapose them is pretty nonsensical and ignores ground realities.
 
Don't believe everything in the media. Al-Qedea was very strong while it was on its heels. They have had labs and everything. No, We consider both -In KSA- to be terrorists.
One man's terrorist is another man's freedom fighter.
Yeah I'm stupid ,thanks for pointing that out for me. Without you I wouldn't have known about it.
they fought their hearts out defending Lebanon; I know people are mixed on this, but they have my respect at least.

the challenge will be to market themselves as a purely Lebanese nationalist force and not as a proxy....but whether you like it or not, they are a political force in Lebanon and they cant be side-lined

by the way, comparing Al qaeda to Hezbollah is pretty intellectually lazy -- in my very humble opinion. To juxtapose them is pretty nonsensical and ignores ground realities.
 
Don't believe everything in the media. Al-Qedea was very strong while it was on its heels. They have had labs and everything. No, We consider both -In KSA- to be terrorists.
One man's terrorist is another man's freedom fighter.
Yeah I'm stupid ,thanks for pointing that out for me. Without you I wouldn't have known about it.

In the wise words of the late Tupac Shakur:

thug life baby! dont believe everything you read...


 
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Well considering that Israel bombed their scientists and issues military threats I'd say there's been much restraint on Iran's part. If I were the Jews I would not antagonize Iran.

Considering Iran is financing arming and training proxies which attack Israel daily, considering Iran sent out their proxies and intelligence forces to bomb civilian Jewish and Israeli targets around the world, considering the threats Iran made against Israel I wouldn't say Iran is showing great restraint.
Like it or not Israel and Iran are waging a covert/proxy war for a couple of decades, which got intensified in the last few years. it's a bit late for "antagonizing" anyone.
 
Considering Iran is financing arming and training proxies which attack Israel daily, considering Iran sent out their proxies and intelligence forces to bomb civilian Jewish and Israeli targets around the world, considering the threats Iran made against Israel I wouldn't say Iran is showing great restraint.
Like it or not Israel and Iran are waging a covert/proxy war for a couple of decades, which got intensified in the last few years. it's a bit late for "antagonizing" anyone.

well, cant really dispute that.

It's best if all the regional countries work to defuse rather than exacerbate the problem. The west should resist the temptation to take sides. Good cop bad cop, etc
 

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