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ASEAN Affairs Forum

Could you introduce some detailed results when you are so close? or just like this summit, sitting together and then going home.

One of the most important agreements were to establish a cartel of rice and rubber producers. Further as strategic partners Vietnam and Thailand will coordinate their interests on regional and international forums.

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http://www.defence.pk/forums/china-far-east/215289-vietnam-thailand-hold-joint-cabinet-meeting.html
 
ASEAN chief says China plan on disputed seas escalates tension


(Reuters) - China's plan to board and search ships that illegally enter what Beijing considers its territory in the disputed South China Sea is a very serious turn of events, the head of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) said on Friday.

"My reaction is (this is) certainly an escalation of the tension that has already been building. And it is a very serious turn of events," ASEAN Secretary-General Surin Pitsuwan told Reuters in a telephone interview.

"It is extremely important to exercise restraint and to try to approach this development with a level head and be open to listen to concerns of all parties, all sides," he said.

The South China Sea is Asia's biggest potential military trouble spot with several Asian countries claiming sovereignty over waters believed to be rich in oil and gas.

China claims virtually the entire sea. The Philippines, Taiwan, Vietnam, Brunei and Malaysia claim various parts.

The shortest route between the Pacific and Indian Oceans, the South China Sea has some of the world's busiest shipping lanes. More than half the globe's oil tanker traffic passes through it.

New rules, which come into effect on January 1, will allow police in the southern Chinese province of Hainan to board and seize control of foreign ships which "illegally enter" Chinese waters and order them to change course or stop sailing, the official China Daily reported.

"It certainly has increased a level of concern and a level of great anxiety among all parties, particularly parties that would need the access, the passage and the freedom to go through," said Surin, speaking from Thailand.

"The problem is that you can stake the claim, you can initiate measures and policies but there is that potential of misunderstanding, miscalculation that could lead to major tension and major incidents," he said.

The move, if mishandled, could undermine confidence in East Asia as a locomotive of global economic growth, he said, adding that whether or not it was legal depended on the positions of the parties involved.

ASEAN chief says China plan on disputed seas escalates tension | Reuters


Even though it's going to be non naval operations but it has serious implications, more so than the visa matter.
 
The New War on Drugs: ASEAN Style
November 30, 2012
By Tom Fawthrop

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ASEAN nations are stepping up their fight against illegal drugs as other parts of the world are taking a much different approach.

The pledge by ASEAN leaders to intensify campaigns to create a drug-free ASEAN by 2015 is increasingly out of step with international trends which, according to the recent findings of The Global Commission on Drug Policy, increasingly favor drug policy reforms like decriminalization and treating addiction as a public health issue.

Dr. Michel Kazatchkine, a member of the Global Commission on Drug Policy told a Bangkok forum that the war on drugs is a failure. Citing the commission’s recent report, Kazatchkine said, “We recommend immediate major reforms of the global prohibition regime to halt the spread of HIV infection…” and other health problems.

Many countries around the world seem to agree. In Latin America, for instance, many governments have declared that the war on drugs has failed and are instead searching for a new, more common sense approach to the problem.

In Argentina and Mexico the possession of small quantities of certain drugs has recently been decriminalized. This followed Brazil partially decriminalizing drugs through a series of laws in the middle part of last decade.

Similarly, a majority of voters in the U.S. states of Colorado and Washington recently approved referendums legalizing the personal use of marijuana (marijuana is still illegal under federal statutes, which technically takes precedence over state laws). Many other states have legalized the use of marijuana for medicinal purposes, while others, like New York State, are considering decriminalization. Meanwhile, many European countries– including the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain have also decriminalized drugs

Doing so has often proved remarkably successful, resulting in lower HIV rates and even, in some cases, a decline in drug usage. For example, a 2009 CATO Institute study of Portugal's decision to decriminalize drugs in 2001 concluded: "In virtually every category of any significance, Portugal, since decriminalization, has outperformed the vast majority of other states that continue to adhere to a criminalization regime."

ASEAN stands in stark contrast to these examples as member nations are clinging to tough anti-drug laws that champion aggressive law enforcement measures and the detention of 300,000 drug users and sex-workers outside the normal court system in compulsory rehabilitation centers.

Most shockingly, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Singapore still impose the death penalty for narcotic offenses. In some cases, narcotic crimes require mandatory death sentences. Not surprisingly, many drug-addicts are afraid to seek treatment for fear of being jailed… or worse.

Nor does change appear to be imminent. In Thailand last year the government of Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra (sister of ousted PM Thaksin) declared a new “war on drugs” in the name of a “zero tolerance” policy. Gen. Adul Saengsingkaew deputy national police chief was quoted by the Bangkok Post as stating, “The war on drugs now is going much better than it was under the previous government. Actually, it is even better than under the Thaksin Shinawatra administration which initiated this policy in 2001.”

The fact that the police chief cited Thaksin’s harsh crackdown on drugs in 2002 that led to as many as 2,700 deaths as a benchmark of success, is emblematic of the issue. Amnesty International and other human rights groups condemned the policy that encouraged this spate of extra-judicial killings, and undermined basic legal principles of bringing suspects before a court.

Thai police statistics show that arrests for drug related charges have risen by 14% this year, while drug-related prosecutions have increased by 8%. Already drug offenders constitute 65% of Thailand’s incarcerated population. With prisons overflowing in the country, it’s unsustainable to continue increasing the number of imprisoned drug offenders.

Read more: http://thediplomat.com/2012/11/30/the-new-war-on-drugs-in-southeast-asia/


Legalize the damn things! :angry: If you can't stop it, control it by slapping tax on them. Then sit back and watch as the economy soar:smokin:
 
Vietnam Airlines launches direct route to Indonesia
Updated : Mon, December 3, 2012,9:39 AM (GMT+0700) | Tuoi Tre News

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The national flag carrier, Vietnam Airlines, has launched a direct route linking Ho Chi Minh City and Jakarta in Indonesia. Flights are scheduled for every Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday and Sunday.



VietJetAir to launch air route to Bangkok
Updated : Mon, December 3, 2012,10:24 PM (GMT+0700) | | Tuoi Tre News

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The budget carrier VietJetAir has announced it will open its first international route linking Ho Chi Minh City and Thailand’s capital city of Bangkok in the first quarter of 2013.

With the new service, VietJetAir will become Vietnam’s first holdings airlines joining the international aviation market.

The HCM City-Bangkok route will start on February 10, 2013 with a daily fight in the first stage. The 90-minute flight will depart from HCM City at 11:00 am and from Bangkok at 13:30 pm.
 
Vietnam Airlines launches direct route to Indonesia
Updated : Mon, December 3, 2012,9:39 AM (GMT+0700) | Tuoi Tre News

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The national flag carrier, Vietnam Airlines, has launched a direct route linking Ho Chi Minh City and Jakarta in Indonesia. Flights are scheduled for every Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday and Sunday.



VietJetAir to launch air route to Bangkok
Updated : Mon, December 3, 2012,10:24 PM (GMT+0700) | | Tuoi Tre News

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The budget carrier VietJetAir has announced it will open its first international route linking Ho Chi Minh City and Thailand’s capital city of Bangkok in the first quarter of 2013.

With the new service, VietJetAir will become Vietnam’s first holdings airlines joining the international aviation market.

The HCM City-Bangkok route will start on February 10, 2013 with a daily fight in the first stage. The 90-minute flight will depart from HCM City at 11:00 am and from Bangkok at 13:30 pm.

good then keep up with the good work and screw chinese Investments ASEAN should invest in its own bloc and non arrogant countries to screw the chinese over!

Meanwhile

FAA level 2 lifted, PAL-Canada routes restored after 15 years; US, Europe Flight Aimed | Rebuilding for the Better Philippines
Philippine economy shines in third quarter, highlights Southeast Asia resilience | Rebuilding for the Better Philippines
3rd Quarter 2012 Philippine Economy Growth 7.1% higher than expected - $17 billion of investment in roads and airports | Rebuilding for the Better Philippines
Philippines top 4th Best Market in FORBES Top countries to do business: ahead of China, India | Rebuilding for the Better Philippines
 
Yes, good to see the Philippines well developing :tup:


"The Philippines is going to rock," said Trinh Nguyen, a Hong Kong-based economist at HSBC Holdings Plc. "The central bank and the government have made timely policy adjustments that are boosting trend growth. With momentum so strong, we think BSP will hold rates and mark the end of the easing cycle."
 
New export markets too small
Linda Yulisman, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | Headlines | Wed, December 05 2012, 9:52 AM

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Despite significant growth, exports to new markets are still unable to offset demand for Indonesia’s goods and commodities from the country’s existing major trading partners.

From January to October this year, non-oil and gas exports to 10 non-traditional and emerging markets, such as South Africa and Colombia, expanded by 115 percent on average to US$3.7 billion, according to statistics from the Trade Ministry. This compared to a 6.2 percent in exports growth, to $86.6 billion, to 10 key export markets.

Indonesia saw its largest export growth of 337.62 percent to $58.58 million to Libya during the period, followed by a 264.50 percent growth to $57.76 million to Mauritania, and a 200.16 percent growth to $82.12 million to Ivory Coast.

Exports mainly comprised coal, books and printed materials, pharmaceutical products, paper, rubber, palm oil, soap, automobiles and parts, and processed meat and fish.

Ahmad Erani Yustika, an economist at the Indonesian Institute for the Development of Economics and Finance (INDEF), said on Tuesday that although exports to several new markets had increased by more than 100 percent, the result was not significant enough to counter weakening sales to traditional markets because in terms of volume as well as value, they were still very small.

“The government’s claims of a successful export diversification push are too early. Expansion to non-traditional markets goes beyond changing destinations and it takes a lot of time, as exporters should fit their products with the needs of consumers in new markets,” he told The Jakarta Post.

“We must be consistent in executing our measures to push up exports to new markets and for this goal, we need a road map,” he added.

Deputy Trade Minister Bayu Krisnamurthi earlier said that the government had already considered designing a road map for export diversification, but it was not clear whether the plan has progressed.

In previous years, the government has tried to shift its focus from major trade partners, such as Japan and the US, to new markets, particularly in the Middle East, South America and Africa. Those efforts increased last year as exports to traditional markets slumped.

Indonesian Institute of Sciences (LIPI) economist Latif Adam echoed Erani’s argument, saying that one of the main indicators of successful diversification would be a noticeable absorption of exports in new markets that had previously sold well in existing markets.

“The $3.76 billion figure is not comparable to $86.6 billion. Real success will happen only if non-traditional markets can replace the role of traditional markets in terms of volume or value,” he said.

The government should be more proactive in disseminating information about export-related regulations, non-tariff barriers and consumer interests in new markets, he added.

Exports plunged by 7.61 percent to $15.67 billion in October from a year earlier, worse than market expectations of only 4 percent, particularly due to a drop in palm oil prices, while imports grew steadily by 10.82 percent to $17.21 billion from the past year, resulting in a record monthly deficit of $1.55 billion.

Cumulatively from January to October, exports dropped by 6.22 percent to $158.66 billion from the past year, while imports surged by 9.35 percent to $159.18 billion, generating a deficit of $516.1 million.


RI to expand ICT-based education
by Wasti Atmodjo on 2012-12-05

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Underprivileged: School children play with their friends in this rural, isolated village in east Bali. Seeing their school equipped with information and communication technology is a vague dream for these children, who are still struggling to get decent uniforms and shoes. BD/Anggara MahendraUnderprivileged: School children play with their friends in this rural, isolated village in east Bali. Seeing their school equipped with information and communication technology is a vague dream for these children, who are still struggling to get decent uniforms and shoes. BD/Anggara Mahendra Indonesia has pledged to strengthen its education networks by utilizing information and communication technology (ICT) in 100,000 schools across the country by 2014.

Taufik Hanafi, a professor of education and expert on social and economic issues at the Education and Culture Ministry, said when opening the International Symposium on Open, Distance and E-Learning (ISODEL) 2012 in Kuta on Tuesday that Indonesia would benefit from using ICT-based education in its school curriculums, especially when reaching schools in remote regions.

“Indonesia is an archipelagic country with 13,000 islands, but we are optimistic that we can provide the best education to all school-age students despite any geographical obstacles,” the professor said.

This year’s ISODEL meeting, taking place from Dec. 4 through Dec. 6, will bear the theme “Enhancing Lifelong Learning for All: Achieving Global Welfare.”

The three-day gathering, bringing together no less than 500 education experts from around the world, will be aiming at sharing knowledge, experiences and thoughts in the field of open, distance and e-learning worldwide.

It is also a forum in which all participating countries will learn and disseminate best practices, breakthroughs and innovations in the field of open, distance and e-learning methods.

Taufik went further that Indonesia currently had 54.8 million school students, 44 million of whom were elementary and junior high school students. “Indonesia ranks third in Asia and fourth in the world in terms of the number of school-age students,” Taufik said.

According to a report released by UNESCO in 2012, Indonesia is categorized as middle-income country based on its gross domestic product (GDP).

The report also says that Indonesia’s school-life expectancy (the length of time children should be in education) is between 13-16 years.

There are several countries with higher GDPs, such as Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Greece, Poland and Mexico, which have similar levels of school-life expectancy. Some countries, including Turkey and Oman, which have high GDPs, have a lower level of school-life expectancy compared to Indonesia’s.

“Reaching out to faraway places will be our main focus. We will expand the use of information and communication technology when disseminating lessons in every subject,” Taufik added.

To implement the ICT-expansion program, the central government has gradually increased the education budget from Rp 2.98 trillion (US$309.6 million) in 2012 to Rp 3.36 trillion in 2013.

Around Rp 162 billion will be allocated to develop the national education network (Jardiknas) as part of the National School Net program.

Ari Santoso, head of the ministry’s center for information, communication and technology, said that currently the ministry had developed Internet connections in 23,000 out of 254,000 elementary schools under the ministry, including those in Bali.

In 2013, the ministry will again develop its Internet connections in 40,000 to 100,000 schools.

“Training for teachers to apply ICT-based education methods will be our main priority,” Santoso said.

The ministry has plans to develop solar or wind energy systems to provide electricity for schools located in remote areas.

“Instead of providing desktop computers, we prefer to give them laptop computers to save energy,” Ari added.

Distinguished speakers from the World Bank, China, Russia and other countries will present their papers today (Wednesday) at the symposium.


This is the one I wanted to see succeed the most
:)
 
Thai group buys $9.4 billion Ping An (15.6%) stake from HSBC


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Reuters) - A conglomerate controlled by Thailand's richest man has bought a minority stake in China's Ping An Insurance (2318.HK) for $9.38 billion from global bank HSBC, a bold move that ranks as Asia's second-largest deal this year.

Dhanin Chearavanont's Charoen Pokphand Group (CP Group) bought the 15.6 percent stake in a deal that marks a departure from its core food businesses, such as poultry and animal feed, but appears to strengthen the 73-year-old's ties to Beijing.

HSBC (HSBA.L) (0005.HK), which announced the transaction on Wednesday under its recovery plan to sell non-core assets, said CP Group's purchase was being partly financed by state-run China Development Bank.

Dhanin - worth $9 billion according to Forbes magazine - already has major business interests in China ranging from agriculture to retail to auto manufacturing.

"This is phenomenal for HSBC shareholders because the bank is now sitting on at least $8 billion in profit," said Jim Antos, an analyst at Mizuho Securities in Hong Kong.

"I'm not sure what CP Group would do with the stake though. I was joking earlier that every Ping An shareholder will now get a
bucket of fried chicken for their insurance policy."


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Dhanin Chearavanont's Charoen Pokphand Group (CP Group)


HSBC said it will make a post-tax gain of $2.6 billion on the deal.

CP Group has a long history in China: it was the first multinational to invest in China's agri-business in 1979 and, under Beijing's latest five-year plan, it was tasked with helping to modernize China's farm sector. It also operates Lotus supermarkets in Shanghai, according to the company's website.

Also on Wednesday, China's biggest carmaker, SAIC Motor Corp, said it would start making cars in Thailand with CP Group.

CP Group has only limited experience in insurance, though. In May this year, it sold out of a Thai joint venture with German insurer Allianz (ALVG.DE) for about $9.8 million.

CP Group could not be reached for comment on Wednesday, a public holiday in Thailand to mark the Thai king's birthday.

The Ping An deal is Asia's second-biggest acquisition so far this year, behind Chinese oil company CNOOC's planned $15.1 billion purchase of Canada's Nexen.

Founded in 1988 as China's first joint-stock insurer, Ping An has grown into one of the world's largest, with 74 million clients, more than 175,000 employees, and about 500,000 agents.

SENSITIVE SALE FOR HSBC

HSBC's global strategy is to divest holdings to improve its profitability, exiting the decade-old Ping An investment as it looks to sell non-core assets.

"The investment in a Chinese insurer branching into pan-financial services has looked at odds with management's focus ever since the new strategy was launched in 2011," said Chirantan Barua, analyst at BernsteinResearch in London.

The bank earned $946 million from its Ping An stake last year, but analysts said the capital boost was more important and should underpin dividend prospects and offer greater flexibility at a time when UK regulators are taking a hard line on capital. The sale will add 0.5 percentage points to HSBC's core Tier 1 capital ratio, which was 11.7 percent at the end of September.

Ahead of the Ping An sale, HSBC had already sold about $6.7 billion worth of assets, according to Thomson Reuters data, including its non-life insurance operations and retail banking branches in places such as Thailand and the United States.

Thailand's outbound acquisitions have soared this year, fuelled by a hot local stock market - up nearly 30 percent year to date - and cash rich Thai tycoons. Thai M&A deals have hit a record $18.7 billion so far this year, more than 2010 and 2011 combined, Thomson Reuters data shows.

HSBC sold its stake for HK$59 per Ping An (2318.HK) share, for a total of HK$72.74 billion ($9.4 billion). Ping An's Hong Kong shares closed up 4.9 percent, beating the Hang Seng Index's .HSI 2.2 percent rise.

By 7:15 a.m. EDT HSBC's London shares were up 0.6 percent, in line with a firmer European bank index .SX7P.

The bank said the sale would complete in stages, with a fifth of the stake transferred to the Thai buyer on December 7. The remainder will be transferred upon approval by the China Insurance Regulatory Commission.

"CDB is a state-owned policy bank with a certain chemistry with Beijing, so it's reasonable to conclude that this Ping An deal has received the go-ahead by regulators," said Olive Xia, an analyst at Core Pacific-Yamaichi Securities in Shanghai.

The Ping An stake, given its size, was an important and sensitive sale for HSBC - one that was rumored to be up for grabs ever since the 2008 financial crisis.

HSBC had spent $1.7 billion building its stake in Ping An, China's second-largest insurer, between 2002 and 2005. It confirmed it was in talks to sell the stake on November 19.

The deal was personally overseen by a three-man team headed by HSBC CEO Stuart Gulliver. The bank's group M&A chief, Stephen Moss, and strategy head John Flint were the principal deal-makers, said a source with direct knowledge of the matter. UBS advised CP Group, the source said. UBS declined to comment.

Some analysts expect HSBC's stake in Bank of Communications (3328.HK), China's fifth-largest lender, to be next on the list, although the bank has said that is core to its Chinese plans, and other analysts expect it to increase the holding if allowed. That stake stands at 19.9 percent and is worth about HK$79 billion, according to Thomson Reuters data.

HSBC also still owns 8 percent of unlisted Bank of Shanghai and 62 percent of Hong Kong's Hang Seng Bank (0011.HK), which in turn owns 13 percent of China's Industrial Bank (601166.SS).

As part of its Ping An investment, CP Group agreed to hold any shares it buys for at least six months, HSBC said.

Thai group buys $9.4 billion Ping An stake from HSBC | Reuters


Good buy, Ping On is a cash cow!
 
the Philippines economy is just leading the growth race in past quarters, for the latest news.

anyone has any insight on that?
 
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Despite the rosy output and sterling performance shown by the Philippine economy this year marked by “record highs, increase in equities, and outstanding GDP (gross domestic product) growth,” President Benigno S. Aquino III called on the Filipino people not to rest on one’s laurels and bask in the glory of this global achievement but continue working even harder in order to “build even greater things on top of the foundations we have already laid down.”

Speaking at the 20th anniversary of the Philippine Stock Exchange, Incorporated (PSEi) held at the Makati Shangri-la on Monday, the President said that the Philippines has come a long way since he assumed the reins of government two and half years ago.

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He said that as of July 2012, the PSEi has recorded 56 record highs (closing at an all-time high of 5,672.70, up by 32.25 points or 0.57%, largely led by property and banking issues) with the average daily turnover pegged at P7.61-billion. This, the President said, coupled with the 7.1 percent GDP growth for the third quarter of 2012, has “surpassed all expectations” and showed that the Philippines has come a long way since then.

“While we certainly have much to be thankful for, I have always believed that every achievement must not only be cause for celebration, but must also motivate us to work even harder. After all, the record highs, increase in equities, and outstanding GDP growth are symbols of the potential we have to create a broader and more dynamic Philippine economy,” the President stressed.

He noted that other countries have started to take notice at the remarkable performance of what has been dubbed, the “sick man of Asia” and has begun to show interest at investing here.

“The entire world has begun to train their spotlight on us. Let us prove to them: we are not yet done, we have more to show, and we will build even greater things on top of the foundations we have already laid down. It is up to all of us to harness our potential and steer the economy towards inclusive growth that satisfies the pursuit of profit, promotes equal opportunity, and elevates the standard of living of every Filipino,” the President said.

The President lauded the Philippine Stock Exchange for partnering with the government in coming up and implementing various anti-corruption programs “to show prospective and active investors alike that the Philippines is open for business under new management ---management that is putting an end to backroom deals and suspect transactions, so that business, trade, and investment can flourish in an honest and level playing field.”

He pointed out that the PSEi has taken the initiative to reciprocate government programs to end graft and corruption such as the Investor Protection and Surveillance Department of the Securities and Exchange Commission to guard against insider trading and other illegal investment schemes and a Capital Market Development Blueprint to improve and expand the Philippine capital market, including proposals to strengthen investor education, through an integration of various programs already offered by the SEC, PSEi and other similar entities, and to improve the equity market by promoting online trading, among others.

These PSEi initiatives include extending trading hours significantly to expand opportunities for the Philippine market and launching the PSEi trade which will open up direct access to our stock exchange; thus speeding up the execution of trades.

The Capital Markets Integrity Corporation, or CMIC, which was incorporated as a wholly owned subsidiary and tasked with monitoring the activities of trading participants; and the PSEi Bell Awards for Corporate Governance, which contributes to the promotion of integrity by recognizing outstanding listed companies and trading participants are two other PSEi-led initiatives “to uphold the integrity of operations in your sector.”

“Measures like these are important because investors need to know we are serious about protecting their interests, especially now that confidence in the Philippines is growing by leaps and bounds,” the President said.

“In a sense, your efforts mirror the reforms we are undertaking in government. You are demonstrating that good governance is a winning strategy, and that by fostering it in your industry, we are able to level the playing field; we are able to establish an atmosphere where outcomes are predictable, where uncertainty is minimized, and where stability allows business to function smoothly,” he added.

“This makes our country a more attractive destination for investments, which creates jobs, empowers consumers, and sustains the virtuous cycle that we are determined to institute—a virtuous cycle whose results we have seen in your achievements,” the President said.

Joining the President during the event were Vice President Jejomar Binay, Trade Secretary Gregory Domingo and Finance Secretary Cesar Purisima.

(Presidential Communication Operations Office)

PNoy urges Filipinos to continue working harder to build greater economic progress for the country
 
PHL sees 2013 exports growing 7-8% on credit rating upgrade

As the economy continues to grow and the Philippines stands to get an investment grade status from credit rating agencies, the Department of Trade and Industry on Wednesday said it expects exports to to expand by 7 to 8 percent next year.

Such developments serve to lure more foreign investments that would eventually result in higher exports, said executive director Senen Perlada of the department's Bureau of Export Trade Promotion.

Credit rating agencies Fitch Rating, Standard & Poor's, and Moody's Investor Service have upgraded the Philippines to one notch below investment grade.

"Because most sectors are investment-led, the investment grade status will make easier for us to convince the higher-value existing activities here to expand or invest more," Perlada said at the sidelines of the National Export Congress at Philippine Trade Training Center in Pasay City.

"We can even surpass the highest level posted in 2010," he said, noting that even if electronics exports fell this year, "there is no other way but to go up next year."

Merchandise exports in 2010 breached the $50-billion mark, largely lifted by electronics exports –up 33.7 percent to $51.39 billion from $38.43 billion in 2009.

Despite a decline in shipments to China, banana exports would continue to grow, Perlada noted, saying that while exports to China fell, shipments to the Special Administrative Region Hong Kong actually increased.

"But we really have to find nearby markets for bananas," he added, urging exporters to take advantage of the existing free trade agreements to expand their shipments.

PHL sees 2013 exports growing 7-8% on credit rating upgrade | Economy | GMA News Online | The Go-To Site for Filipinos Everywhere
 
Cheap loans, market surge fuel record year for Thai M&A


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(Reuters) - Thai corporates armed with cheap debt and record stock prices have spent a record $27 billion shopping for overseas assets this year, putting the Southeast Asian nation firmly on the region's M&A map for the first time.

The land of exotic beaches has emerged as an unexpected fee pool for deal-starved bankers in the region, with the nation ranking No. 3 in Asian outbound deal volumes this year, behind Japan and Greater China.

The second-half surge in Thai purchases this year has been fuelled by a steady stream of loans, which carries an added layer of risk compared with all-cash acquisitions.

Thailand's M&A spree has catapulted some of the country's reclusive tycoons into the media spotlight and made them formidable competitors in auctions for overseas assets.

Gutsy bids for London's Cove Energy and Singapore conglomerate Fraser & Neave Ltd (F&N) (FRNM.SI) underscore the ambition of these tycoons, who have been bolstered by a surging stock market and the first period of relative political stability in more than six years.

With the latest transaction, total Thai M&A volumes could exceed the combined total of the previous four years, with more action in the country this year than Australia, Malaysia and South Korea combined.

"This could be the best time for Thai companies to get capital or funding cheaply and pursue growth where they are good at," said Daphne Roth, head of Asia equities research at ABN AMRO Private Banking.

Some analysts and bankers say the flurry of deal activity in Thailand is a one-off event, with little chance of matching its M&A volumes next year.

Still, after three domestic insurance auctions launched this year, plus several major cross-border deals, yet another major Thai deal emerged with just a few weeks left in the year.

On Wednesday, a group linked to Thailand's wealthiest businessman, Dhanin Chearavanont, agreed to buy HSBC's (HSBA.L) entire stake in China's Ping An Insurance (601318.SS) for $9.38 billion.

"Myriad Thai corporates across industry segments are seeing greater opportunities to expand their footprint, both across the region as well as on a global basis," said David Aronovitch, co-head of Southeast Asia investment banking at Morgan Stanley, which is advising the Thai group involved in the F&N bid.

"Whilst Asia-Pacific is the natural focus for many of these businesses, there is an increasing appetite to identify and pursue opportunities beyond the region, and in particular in Europe."

CHEAP FUNDING

In addition to an equity boom that is helping fuel the activity, the ambition for Thai corporates to grow outside their saturated home market is another major factor behind the money.

Many of these deals are backed by cheap bank loans.

Companies linked to beer mogul Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi lined up S$11.8 billion ($9.7 billion) to buy a 34 percent stake in F&N and bid for shares they do not already own. China Development Bank is financing CP Group's purchase of Ping An.

"After a decade-long slumber, Thailand's M&A scene has burst into life over the last 12 to 18 months and is now one of the most vibrant and interesting M&A markets in the Asia-Pacific region," said Citigroup's Asia-Pacific M&A head Colin Banfield.

"Personally, I am spending more time in Thailand now with our local clients than at any time since the Asian Crisis back in 1997-98," said Banfield, who expects the M&A trend to continue next year, given the pipeline of deal activity.

Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra's Puea Thai Party swept to victory in a general election in July 2011 and Thailand has since enjoyed a period of relative calm after the convulsions that followed the ousting of her brother, Thaksin Shinawatra, from the premiership in a 2006 coup.

But the country remains politically fractured between the pro- and anti-Thaksin camps, and Thai billionaires may be moving money overseas to reduce their dependence on their home market.

"Usually when you see tycoons do this, they try to move money overseas," said an investment banker who asked not to be named. "They want to de-risk themselves from any one geography."

The banker said he does not expect the same pace of dealmaking next year, but identified Thailand's Central Group as one of the groups which could still seek retail assets abroad.

Last year, the group's Central Retail Corp bought Italian department store chain La Rinascente SpA.

The banker said Malaysian companies have also been pursuing a similar strategy, buying real estate and other assets to reduce their reliance on one market.

SURPLUS

Mark Matthews, head of Asia research at Bank Julius Baer, said Thai offshore deals had accelerated in the last two years as prior to the fourth quarter of 2010 Thai companies were heavily restricted in their overseas investments by the Bank of Thailand.

"Thailand runs a current account surplus so if the central bank didn't let the private sector re-cycle some of the inflow, it might create unhealthy distortions in the domestic economy," he said.

Thailand had a current account surplus of $11.9 billion by the end of last year, IMF data shows.

Acquisitions can bring growth, but also risks.

ABN AMRO's Roth pointed to Thai coal producer Banpu Pcl's BANP.BK acquisitions in China and Australia over the last few years, some of which have not gone smoothly.

"We have seen that when the tide turns and when coal prices started to fall, then we don't get the visibility from both demand and supply, then that could also cause the stocks to underperform," she said.

Roth said weakened valuations in Europe might throw up a lot of opportunities for Thai companies, but she would take a cautious view on firms making acquisitions outside their core area of business.

Thai equities have been among the best performers in Asia and globally, with the benchmark index .SETI trading at a 16-1/2 year high on Tuesday. The index has surged 30 percent so far this year.

Last month, HSBC strategists retained their overweight call on Thai equities and said the country was on "cruise control". A tight labor market and low household leverage supported resilient domestic consumption, the brokerage said.

"If I talk to ASEAN companies, in general, many of these Thai companies are more proactively thinking of entering their hinterland - Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, but also thinking about the business implications of the ASEAN (economic plan) whereby some of the trade restrictions go away," said Herald van der Linde, head of Asia Pacific equity strategy at HSBC.

Cheap loans, market surge fuel record year for Thai M&A | Reuters
 
Great news for Burma and Vietnam. Hope more to come.




Myanmar licenses US$300 mil Vietnam project
12/7/2012 11:22:52 | VOV Online


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(VOV) - The Myanmar Investment Commission has granted an investment license to a US$300 million housing project to Hoang Anh Housing Development and Construction Joint Stock Company (HAGL Land).

The company will build a trade centre-hotel-apartment complex called Hoang Anh Gia Lai Myanmar Centre on an area of 8 hectares in the former capital city of Yangon.

HAGL Land leaders said that after a long time for negotiations, legal procedures have been completed and land clearance has been carried out.

The project is divided into two phases, with the first to be implemented within three years, focusing on building a trade centre, offices for lease and a five-star hotel. In the second phase, a residential area and the second office block will take shape in three to four years.
 
Analysis: SE Asian governments gamble on making cheap labor less cheap


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Auto spare part workers in Ayutthaya Province, Thailand


(Reuters) - After years of profiting from cheap labor, Southeast Asian businesses paying wages low enough to undercut China are being forced to accept it is time they paid people a bit more.

In Thailand, minimum wages will jump by 35 percent in some regions from January, on top of a nationwide increase of 40 percent last April. Big percentages that add up to just a few dollars more in pay packets each month.

The country's finance minister says it will be good for workers and industry.

"People getting higher wages will not want to lose their jobs and employers will not want to increase wages for nothing. They will have to work together to boost efficiency and productivity," Kittirat Na Ranong told Reuters this week.

Economists also point out that if you pay people more they'll buy more. But the nagging worry is that everyone could eventually lose out if wages rise too fast, resulting in higher inflation and job losses as firms lose competitive edge.

While the political benefits are easy to see in a region where a vast majority of people are clamoring for a better life, the economic calculation is a harder sell to a business community whose margins depend on cheap labor.

The chairman of the Federation of Thai Industries was ousted last month for failing to lobby hard enough to convince the government to go back on a promise to voters, and the surrender to higher wages left the federation riven with factions.

Similar social and economic tensions are evident elsewhere in Southeast Asia, a region that has otherwise come through the global slowdown better than most.

DYNAMIC ECONOMIES, CHANGING SOCIETIES

The emerging market boom that characterized the first decade of the millennium saw growth rates surge and profits multiply, but now countries such as Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia face pressure from workers for a bigger share of the wealth.

The World Bank designated Thailand an upper-middle-income country in 2011 after national income per capita almost doubled in a decade but it has fretted about wealth inequality.

After years of political turmoil, broadly pitting the lower classes against Bangkok's middle class and "old money" elite, Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra's government was elected in July 2011 with a promise to bring in a nationwide minimum wage of 300 baht a day.

At $9.80, it is hardly a princely sum, but it equates to an increase of up to 90 percent, in two stages, by January for workers in the poorer provinces.

Similar trends are evident elsewhere in Southeast Asia.

In Indonesia, trade unions have rallied in several cities in recent weeks to protest at employers using contract labor to circumvent employment regulations.

And in the capital, Jakarta, a newly elected mayor has announced a 44 percent increase in the monthly minimum wage to 1.5 million rupiah ($160).

Apindo, the employers' association, has warned it will cause "waves of layoffs".

"This is a populist decision that doesn't take account of reality," said Apindo official Hariyadi Sukamdani.

MALAYSIA'S NEW MINIMUM

Malaysia plans to bring in a minimum wage in January of up to $300 a month, which will give some 3 million workers an increase averaging 5 percent.

The change comes in the run-up to an election that should be held in the first half of next year.

Singapore, wealthier, tightly controlled and more capitalist-oriented than most of the region's states, doesn't have a minimum wage and has no plans to introduce one.

But pay strains are showing there, too.

Bus drivers from China went on strike last month over pay and working conditions, complaining they were less well paid than drivers from Singapore and Malaysia.

Singaporeans, in turn, have complained about the competition for jobs and the government has made it harder for low-skilled foreigners to get jobs, which could exert upward pressure on wages.

In Vietnam, the prime minister signed a decree on December 4 raising the minimum wage for laborers by 16 to 18 percent, lifting laborers' wages to anywhere between 1.65 million to 2.35 million dong ($79-$113) per month.

That was a compromise figure after business associations kicked back against plans for a 20 to 35 percent rise.

Cao Sy Kiem, head of the Vietnam Association of Small and Medium Enterprises, acknowledged workers were struggling to make ends meet but said companies, too, would have struggled with the original proposal after rises in fuel, power and other prices.

Vu Tien Loc, chairman of the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry, said nearly 100,000 businesses folded in 2011 and 2012, half of the total business failures in the past 20 years.

Vietnam's annual inflation was still running over 7 percent in November, having been reduced from double digits in 2011.

PRICE PRESSURES

Inflation elsewhere in ASEAN, the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations, has been fairly well contained, allowing central banks to loosen monetary policy to support their economies as global weakness hit export markets.

Any general increase in wages could complicate coming policy decisions.

Credit Suisse forecast this week that wages in Thailand would rise 10 percent in 2013 after 12 percent this year, pushing average inflation up to 3.7 percent next year from 3.0 percent.

In Indonesia, it forecast wages would rise 10 percent next year after 6 percent this year. Credit Suisse saw inflation averaging 5.7 percent in 2013 after 4.3 percent in 2012.

It noted in a quarterly report that many districts in Indonesia were being granted big rises in minimum pay for next year. "With the minimum wage already roughly two-thirds of the national average wage, we see a good chance that upcoming increases will impact wages higher up the spectrum as well."

CHINA COMPARISON

The other big worry is that a rise in wages could hurt ASEAN's exports, especially in markets where it competes with China.

But China's wages are higher, and rising. And demographics work in ASEAN's favor, said Citigroup economist Wei Zheng Kit, with China's working-age population likely to decline as a proportion of the overall population from 2015.

The cost of industrial land, utilities and transport in ASEAN also compare favorably with China.

Thai Finance Minister Kittirat highlighted the boost to domestic consumption from higher wages.

"It's a shame that we produce many good products but our people don't have purchasing power ... If our people are able to buy those goods, they will want to do that. It will be good for producers, better business and sales," Kittirat said.

The argument is all the more valid for Indonesia, by far the most populous ASEAN country.

"Foreign direct investment is drawn to Indonesia for reasons beyond cheap labor," said HSBC economist Su Sian Lim.

"Its population of 240 million represents not just a resource but also a significant market," she wrote in a report.

"Rising incomes -- helped along by minimum wage hikes -- only raise its allure."

Analysis: SE Asian governments gamble on making cheap labor less cheap | Reuters
 
ASEAN to send aid to typhoon-struck southern Philippines


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Relief items being loaded into a Hercules C130 at Subang military air base to be sent to southern Philippines.


SUBANG: ASEAN's Coordinating Centre for Humanitarian Assistance has sent relief items to southern Philippines through its logistics hub at Subang military air base.

This includes three generators deployed to southern Philippines to serve hospitals after strong winds brought down power lines and cut off roads and bridges.

Other relief items are also on their way to Davao City in Mindanao.

Subang military air base in Malaysia is being used by ASEAN countries as a regional logistics hub.

The hub will give member states quick access to emergency relief items such as tents, body bags and utensils when disasters strike.

The facility was activated after Typhoon Bopha hit southern Philippines on Tuesday.

Relief goods will be dropped off at Davao airport in the Philippines then brought to disaster hit areas.

"Right now the most important thing is to provide body bags… For those who are living, the need is for them to be placed in secured centres so that they have access to food," said Deputy Secretary-General of ASEAN's Socio-Cultural Community Alicia Dela Rosa Bala.

Malaysia will send more than 9000 kg of relief items including mats, towels and blankets as well as food items like rice, biscuits, and milk powder.

Japan has also sponsored thousands of family kits that were handed over to the ASEAN Coordinating Centre for Humanitarian Assistance on Disaster Management.

Referring to Japan's experience with the earthquake and tsunami of 2011, its ambassador to ASEAN said aid given in times of disaster helps to draw nations closer.

"This is what we felt at the time of disaster, we felt much closer to the people of the global communities and the people of ASEAN when we have this kind of cooperative effort among ASEAN countries. I think this will be a good basis for ASEAN to move forward in community building," said Kimihiro Ishikane, ambassador of Japan to ASEAN.

Based in Jakarta, the ASEAN Coordinating Centre for Humanitarian Assistance was set up in 2011 to improve the region's disaster preparedness and response capacity.

The centre monitors disaster risks daily and can deploy its team within hours to conduct rapid assessment and deliver aid to affected ASEAN countries quickly upon request.

"We believe (there are) a lot of challenges ahead but... when we are together as ASEAN we are stronger," said Said Faisal, executive director of the ASEAN Coordinating Centre for Humanitarian Assistance on Disaster Management.

Almost 40 million of ASEAN's 600 million population are exposed to risks of typhoons and landslides, which cost the region billions of dollars in losses each year.

ASEAN to send aid to typhoon-struck southern Philippines - Channel NewsAsia
 

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