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As possibility of third world war exists, China needs to be prepared

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As possibility of third world war exists, China needs to be prepared
By Han Xudong

As the Ukrainian crisis deepens, international observers have become more and more concerned about a direct military clash between the US and Russia. Once an armed rivalry erupts, it is likely to extend to the globe. And it is not impossible that a world war could break out.

The world war is a form of war that the whole world should face up to. During human evolution, the world war has entered its third development phase.

The first phase took place between nomadic societies and farming groups. The second phase was featured by colonial wars, with WWI and WWII as its special representatives.

Currently, the world has entered an era of new forms of global war.

Outer space, the Internet and the sea have become the battlefields of rivalry. Technology is the key, and the number of countries involved is unprecedented
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The rivalry on the outer space and the Internet takes place with the rivalry on the sea as the center stage. During WWII, some major powers attached significant importance to the sea.

Alfred Thayer Mahan, a US military strategist who died in 1914, coined the notion of sea power. He advocated valuing the naval forces, commercial fleet and overseas military base, which served for wars on the land.

But nowadays, we stress the importance of power in the sea. Judging from the contention of the global sea space, the Arctic Ocean, the Pacific and the Indian Ocean have seen the fiercest rivalry. It's likely that there will be a third world war to fight for sea rights.

In an era when a third world war may take place, an important topic for the Chinese military is how to develop its power to maintain its national interests.

This should become the basis for its development, because since the founding of the PRC, the development of its military forces has been centered around maintaining its rights on the land. As the rivalry on the sea grows intense, China's military development should shift from maintaining the country's rights on the land to maintaining its rights on the sea.

Meanwhile, China is standing at the focal point of rivalries. This requires China to develop its military power based on a global war. China is in the heartland of the Arctic Ocean, the Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean.

The development of China's sea power touches the nerves of many countries. China needs to develop its military power to avoid being squeezed to a passive position.

China's overseas interests have spread all over the world. As the US has been shifting its attention to the Asia-Pacific region, especially aiming at China, China's overseas interests have been increasingly threatened by the US.

Without large-scale military power, securing China's overseas interests seems like an empty slogan.

The long-range or overseas combat capabilities of China's sea and air forces are quite limited yet. If we don't view the development of sea and air forces with a farsighted view, we will face various restraints when building up the combat capabilities of sea and air forces or maintaining overseas interests. This will lead to the backwardness of China's sea and air forces.

China should not be pushed into a passive position where it is vulnerable to attacks. We must bear a third world war in mind when developing military forces, especially the sea and air forces.

The author is a professor at the PLA National Defense University. opinion@globaltimes.com.cn
 
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I've been of the belief that the third world war started immediately after 9/11. With how wide spread the so called "war on terror" is, and just how destructive it has been to the world, it is hard to argue that we're not already in the midst of the third great war.
 
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I've been of the belief that the third world war started immediately after 9/11. With how wide spread the so called "war on terror" is, and just how destructive it has been to the world, it is hard to argue that we're not already in the midst of the third great war.

If so, it is sort of a silent war in the form of civil conflicts.

I guess what the author points out is an all out war with an unprecedented scale, involving cyber and outer space. Sort of a 3rd World War among the big guys.

I would not deny that a covert war is going on between China and the US.

The war between Russia and the US/West is more overt.
 
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The third world war will be between military alliances, particularly between USA and its Mutual Defense beneficiaries, European Union, NATO and SCO-CSTO and countries aligned to China and Russia and will be more destructive than WWII even if nukes and other WMDs are not used.
 
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What the sea and air forces used for when most war happen on land?Only waste money and to meet some ones's interest.
 
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^Air power is for supporting ground forces while naval power will be only used to counter another naval power.
 
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I've been of the belief that the third world war started immediately after 9/11. With how wide spread the so called "war on terror" is, and just how destructive it has been to the world, it is hard to argue that we're not already in the midst of the third great war.

IMO, while wars are quite frequent in the recent years, it lacks the defining characteristic of the first two great war:

1. Clash of major powers. Right now the wars are mostly small country vs large country and at worst proxy wars.
2. Total Mobilization of major powers. As costly as wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are, they are nowhere near the level of resource drain of the two world wars. We are talking about 50% of the nations' GDP being devoted to military productions.
 
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A third world war will never happen IMO. There are two major reasons for this

1. We live in a globalized connected world. Usually mass propaganda precedes big wars which is impossible today. A connected world overwhelmingly favors diplomacy, dialogue and justice over war.

2. No side (NATO vs China/Russia) will have a clear edge (In a decade from now). In the event of war every side will be reduced to dust. Now who would want to fight a war where it is a given that they would be reduced to dust?

Even if war breaks out every effort will be initiated to bring it under control by various countries/agencies in the world.
 
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I've been of the belief that the third world war started immediately after 9/11. With how wide spread the so called "war on terror" is, and just how destructive it has been to the world, it is hard to argue that we're not already in the midst of the third great war.

true. i think so too. in fact it symbolizes our conflict of old and new... another concept like good and bad.
 
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Sea born invasion should be defeated by strong land forces and the sea routes not so important nowadays.

Absolutely. Land force becomes important to prevent , repel foreign invasion in the event that enemy naval vessels gets through defenses.

Also one thing I forgot to mention; naval blockade. A nation's navy can be used to blockade the ports of another nation. This becomes a game changer in asymmetrical warfare doctrine. In order to prevent the enemy from blockading your port, this requires one to build a large navy to destroy/ neutralize a potential naval force.

A third world war will never happen IMO. There are two major reasons for this

1. We live in a globalized connected world. Usually mass propaganda precedes big wars which is impossible today. A connected world overwhelmingly favors diplomacy, dialogue and justice over war.

2. No side (NATO vs China/Russia) will have a clear edge (In a decade from now). In the event of war every side will be reduced to dust. Now who would want to fight a war where it is a given that they would be reduced to dust?

Even if war breaks out every effort will be initiated to bring it under control by various countries/agencies in the world.

I agree. Considering that the economies of the world are heavily linked, a third world war would benefit no one. Due to nuclear deterrence, this disqualifies any possibility of a war scenario in the magnitude of the last Great World War.
 
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