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Arming India Exclusive: India Looking At 60 FGFAs As Russia Reduces Price, Final Talks On

Very true.. ya we have to wait now to make head and tail whats going on here really..

The second thing is about Boeing. If you listen to his actual reply, he talks about planes. He does not talk about the F-18. Everybody is assuming its the F-18.
 
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Russia must make its position clear, if FGFA then India must not buy Rafale.
 
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Very true.. ya we have to wait now to make head and tail whats going on here really..

See I am claiming anything, but 3 things have been decided.
1. PMF is India's only long range air superiority 5th gen alternative , of course it will have a very very decent air to ground capability.
2. And India has committed, a significant amount of money for 3 prototypes .
3. The third commitment is a conditional one. Its upon the power Plant, our side has said it very clearly that the PAK FA design, as opposite to many critics can be refined and developed over a period of time. But our side said that they cannot let go the engine, and this is the reason why the Russian side has committed to come up with a promised power Plant by early 2019.

And all this has happened over the expanse of around 4-6 months.

And if I say it, the number 60 is grossly incorrect.
There will be, if everything from now on goes as per planned.
1. 2-4 Single seat prototypes of PAK FA, each with significant improvements. over a period of 5-6 years.
2. Uptoto 2 Squadrons of PAK FA ( with an slightly improved present power plant ) over a period of 6-7 years.
3 .Meanwhile decision will be taken on , if we need to go for two seaters ( somewhere in 2022-24)
If yes
Upto 6 prototypes of the PMF, the Indian variant we all have dream about.
Else
2-3 single seat prototypes with the promised power plants and the sensors.
4. And after the testing, ordering 3 new squadrons and MLU of first 2.
Ofcousre we will order more if the above things happen.

All the above observations , you can rely upon.

Don't go for too many media reports, most of the times they are grossly incoorrect and false. In simple words " PROPAGANDA ".

And one more thing, S400 wasnt linked to PAK FA. There were some other issues, acquisition plans are going very well.
 
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MOD is making everyone chutiya Russia, France, US, Sweden, European Consortium, HAL, IAF and Specially Pakistan!! :DWhen India can't decide, how they will decide what to buy??
 
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MOD is making everyone chutiya Russia, France, US, Sweden, European Consortium, HAL, IAF and Specially Pakistan!! :DWhen India can't decide, how they will decide what to buy??

Rather media.
MoD is quite clear in its plans. You will see a lot more activity in media as some deals progresses.
Wait for the FOC of Tejas, it will be welcomed by a hell lot of articles about what a useless aircraft it is, and you know where the source is. Its just not so straight business.
 
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Rather media.
MoD is quite clear in its plans. You will see a lot more activity in media as some deals progresses.
Wait for the FOC of Tejas, it will be welcomed by a hell lot of articles about what a useless aircraft it is, and you know where the source is. Its just not so straight business.

Arre, I was sarcastic!! BTW, Everyday some sort of news about LCA, Rafale and FGFA is getting on my nerves!!
 
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ArmingIndia-Top.jpg

EXCLUSIVE

India Looking At 60 FGFAs As Russia Reduces Price, Final Talks On


By Arming India Correspondent

NEW DELHI, FEB. 3, 2016:
India and Russia are in final negotiations in New Delhi to settle the contributions for the development of the Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft (FGFA) at a reported $3.7 billion from both sides, Arming India has learnt from diplomatic sources. An early conclusion of the agreement is expected.

Development costs are to be paid in seven years, starting with an initial payment of $1 billion. The breakthrough follows a price reduction by Russia last month.

India's contribution for development costs would entitle it to extensive transfer of technology and include delivery of three prototypes. Subsequently, the entire lot of FGFAs for the Indian Air Force (IAF) are intended to be made at Hindustan Aeronautics Limited's 'Russia complex' in Nasik, Maharashtra.

The cost of each series production FGFA is initially pegged at a $225 million apiece, which is about two-and-a-half times the estimated current price of the Su-30MKI, currently India's frontline fighter.
(thats flyaway i guess without the rest of stuff)

Sources disclosed that a reluctant IAF has finally been made to come around on the FGFA. But it has reduced its requirement to just 60 fighters, or three squadrons. This is being interpreted as a lack of enthusiasm for the proposed fighter, which is yet to prove true fifth generation capability.

The initial numbers were pegged around 220, which were later brought down to 120, and now have dwindled to half of even the reduced numbers.

Indeed, the Russian Air Force itself has committed itself to just 12 of these proposed aircraft, known in Russia as PAK-FA. These 12 aircraft will comprise a trial squadron.

But Russia is hopeful of persuading India to eventually commit to far more than the initial lot of 60 FGFAs.

India will have no major contribution to design and development, and the project is being re-modeled on the Su-30MKI lines, wherein India substantially paid for the development cost, paving the way for assembly line production in India under transfer of technology.

The initial concept of India having a substantial work share in the design and development of the fifth generation fighter in order to boost indigenous capability has been abandoned.

The rapid headway on the under-development FGFA is in stark contrast to the stalemate in price negotiations on the curtailed order for 36 flyaway French Rafale fighters, which are reportedly stalled at a level of over $11 billion, according to top Indian Defense Ministry sources.

The FGFA will very significantly enable Russia's military industrial complex to extend its pre-eminence in India by ensuring a follow-on to the Su-30MKI production line.

Informed observers see this as a shot in the arm for the Russia, which they reckon could impact immediately on French and American interests. A renewal of commitment to Russian aircraft will limit the number of Rafale fighters for India, and also reduce the possibility for Americans to sell a fighter aircraft to India.

Boeing Company Chairman James McNerney in October 2015 announcing in New Delhi that his company was ready to set up a manufacturing facility for its F/A-18 fighters, which also have a naval variant, in India.

Lockheed Martin leadership too had in the second half of 2015 made a pitch for selling its F-16 fighters to India, while Swedish Saab made a counter offer to make its Gripen NG fighters.

The two American aircraft manufacturers and the Swedish firm were competitors in the 2007 Indian tender for 126 medium multi role combat aircraft, which was won by French Dassault Aviation's Rafale fighters. The only close competitor to Rafale was the then Cassidian's Eurofighter Typhoon, which is part of the Airbus Group. Only Eurofighter Typhoon campaign, led by the Germans, has openly stated that it is all over for it in India for the Air Force's need for a combat plane.

Significantly, the latest development in the FGFA talks between Russia and India also signals that the public sector Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) will continue to be Russia's major partner in India, and its engagement with emerging Indian private sector in defense production will be marginal.

Just a month ago, Russia rejected the possibility of trying out an alliance with the private sector Reliance Defence on the production of 200 Ka-226T light utility helicopters for the Indian armed forces by opting for HAL to be the production agency in India.

http://armingindia.com/India Looking At 60 FGFAs As Russia Reduces Price, Final Talks On.htm

@Abingdonboy @anant_s @MilSpec @dadeechi @cerberus @Ind4Ever @Vauban @Taygibay

You remember just few days back (less than a week) i said India will use FGFA as a pressure tactic.
Strangely if what article says true than what exactly are we doing here?

Is that a clear indication that we are looking at Rafales in bigger numbers owing to reducing the FGFA numbers and finally we may pool the learnings of FGFA and Rafale in our domestic program AMCA and use that as a credible option in next 2 decades?

This matter makes me feel a bit odd. If 60 is the number with FGFA Stage 2 actual 5th gen engine, this is a massive climbdown.

Then whats the number we are going to have and what are we going to do for other jets in our fleet?

Or we are moving away from quantity to a limited quality fleet with pure self defense aspect and will increase so much economic clout and trade that threat perception from multiple avenues will come down permanently?
Haha, so just 36 Rafales anod now just 60 FGFAs, the IAF is just shrinking ever smaller, what will be brought into address this? More MKI and LCA! :rofl::rofl::rofl::lol::lol::lol:



The cost of each series production FGFA is initially pegged at a $225 million apiece, which is about two-and-a-half times the estimated current price of the Su-30MKI, currently India's frontline fighter.
How interesting, so now the Indian media is catching on to the true cost of the latest MKIs- around $90-100 million, when the Rafale is of a similar price the "overpriced" Rafale arguement suddenly goes poof.
 
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The cost of each series production FGFA is initially pegged at a $225 million apiece, which is about two-and-a-half times the estimated current price of the Su-30MKI, currently India's frontline fighter.
@Taygibay @MilSpec @PARIKRAMA @anant_s

This indicates the IAF is paying a sticker (upfront/unit) price of around $90-100 million USD per MKI these days, this is with fully localised production- 150+ being produced in India thus far- and a vast amount of in-country expereince for Russia/Sukhoi. When the Rafale is said to be offered to India for $108 USD per plane, it's certainly worth considering is it not? This is a plane that will offer higher sortie rates, go longer between overhauls and conduct on the spot diagnostics at the SQN level itself, there is no need to send it off to the OEM/BRD/MRO centre.
 
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Fifth gen fighters would be always expensive ,very expensive .
Our AMCA that is under development is also a twin engine ,supercruise,stealth aircraft .Similar to that F 22 .F22 has now around 350 million + $ price tag .
In India due to HR it would be around 200 or 220 million $ .
But we are talking about a 2030 .So our economy can handle that .

On topic : Nice move I would say.
And equal play field for both France and Russia .
And it should be our AMCA that is the ultimate winner .
So if the news is correct ,then Americans can say bye bye to fighter segments .
But US still have a good deal around the corner .Supplying of the engines for our AMCA until we get our own indigenous engine.




Face the reality .
HAL and India dont have anything to contribute to fifth gen plane.
Su MKI type deal would be the only possibility.

No there are huge differences with f 22. You can consider F22 an entirely different class from AMCA.
 
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@Taygibay @MilSpec @PARIKRAMA @anant_s

This indicates the IAF is paying a sticker (upfront/unit) price of around $90-100 million USD per MKI these days, this is with fully localised production- 150+ being produced in India thus far- and a vast amount of in-country expereince for Russia/Sukhoi. When the Rafale is said to be offered to India for $108 USD per plane, it's certainly worth considering is it not? This is a plane that will offer higher sortie rates, go longer between overhauls and conduct on the spot diagnostics at the SQN level itself, there is no need to send it off to the OEM/BRD/MRO centre.
nopes 57.65 mill a piece.

"HAL’s overhaul facility chief, S Subrahmanyan, told Business Standard in October 2014 that overhauling the Su-30MKI in India cost roughly one-third the price of a brand new fighter. HAL is currently supplying the fighter to the IAF at Rs 358 crore; HAL sources say overhauling a Su-30MKI costs Rs 110 crore."
 
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nopes 57.65 mill a piece.

"HAL’s overhaul facility chief, S Subrahmanyan, told Business Standard in October 2014 that overhauling the Su-30MKI in India cost roughly one-third the price of a brand new fighter. HAL is currently supplying the fighter to the IAF at Rs 358 crore; HAL sources say overhauling a Su-30MKI costs Rs 110 crore."
Maybe for earlier tranches but the current (and all future) production standard costs close to $90-100 million/bird sir. The MLU'd/Super standards will cost even more and these would be the versions the IAF would have to get (as they would be the production standard at that point) in lieu of the Rafale and would only enter service from 2020 onwards.
 
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I surmise that the 30+M$ difference between MilSpec and Abingdon is that of the program.

Each MKI is sold 60 M to India but the global cost including setting up those local manufactures
is 50% higher at 90 + per bird.

The question is then simple : Does India consider it got its money's worth in tech/abilities transfers?
If the answer is no, AMCA is the only option as it covers all parameters for the Nation. Make It Happen!

At any cost :
pay tuition to your teachers, buy off the loyalty of your partners with all and any incentives,
put all your great minds in that basket ... and all your promising youngsters too, cut the flocking red tape!
[ i.e. fu..orget government supervision up the researchers briefs, families, finances & choices in restaurants // be strict in hiring, Let Them Work, with performance bonuses! ]
Make the selections once and stick to them, for Pete's sake. I'm neither racist nor afraid to be disproved
if I venture that India lost more cash in unnecessary government shuffling around in mili procurements in
the last half century than many small nations spent for defence over that same period! Stop That!
And accordingly, let's end the speculation war?

If every darn rupee spent ended up in the product used on the field as value, Bharat would rule easily!

I wish you no worse. Tay.
 
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A fantastic and pertinent post sir, I would just argue against this:

Make the selections once and stick to them, for Pete's sake. I'm neither racist nor afraid to be disproved
if I venture that India lost more cash in unnecessary government shuffling around in mili procurements in
the last half century than many small nations spent for defence over that same period! Stop That!
And accordingly, let's end the speculation war?
There actually isn't a lot of that. The general way problematic Mil procurements have gone in the past 50+ years is that a deal gets embroiled in some sort of corruption scandal (real or imagined), the deal is scrapped and until recently the foreign OEM would blacklisted. Very rarely is any replacement sought nor consideration given to Mil needs, case in point- not a SINGLE arty gun since the Bofors scandal (that occured well before I was born), AW-101s delivered to India but not being flown and the PM still flying in 25+ year old Mi-8s the list goes on and on.

To further compound issues the Indian Mil has consistently returned billions of USD in unspent funds to the exchequer year in, year out for the past decade or so simply because the pace of the procurement process is so glacial that they are unable to clinch deals within specified time frames.

I'm not saying there isn't any inefficeny but little of it is caused by " government shuffling"- the GoI is prempts this, you see, by consistently shying away from any form of decsion making.
 
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Neither the $5 billion development costs for 60 FGFAs with no Indian participation nor the $10 Billion dollar for 36 RAFALEs make sense.

Indian should either get them in high numbers or cancel these deals, Unless there is some unpublished Tech transfer baked into these deals.

These deals look more like the Mirage 2000 upgrade deal.
 
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Neither the $5 billion development costs for 60 FGFAs with no Indian participation nor the $10 Billion dollar for 36 RAFALEs make sense.

Indian should either get them in high numbers or cancel these deals, Unless there is some unpublished Tech transfer baked into these deals.

These deals look more like the Mirage 2000 upgrade deal.
Exactly, the situation is simply getting murkier and murkier and this, to me, seems to be by design. The MoD (see DM) are trying to be overly clever I beleive by trying some very immature negotiation tactics (as if he has been reading PDF!) and this could easily lead to them/him looking spectacuarly foolish in the end.
 
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