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China to hold grand Belt and Road Forum meet next week: Will India skip biggest diplomatic event of

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http://www.firstpost.com/world/chin...est-diplomatic-event-of-the-year-3432194.html

China to hold grand Belt and Road Forum meet next week: Will India skip biggest diplomatic event of the year?

China’s Belt and Road Forum, the meeting to flag off its 'One Belt, One Road' proposal, titled 'Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation' on 14 May in Beijing is billed as the biggest diplomatic event of the year. Enormous efforts have gone into making the two-day event a grand success.

The ambitious initiative to connect China through transport corridors to Asia, Central Asia, Europe and maritime routes to Africa and the Pacific has some economic objectives, but to many it signals a massive expansion of China’s political, economic and strategic influence. The Belt-Road Initiative has become the centerpiece of China’s foreign engagements. China has been keen to include India in its Belt-Road Initiative.

But Union Finance and Defence Minister Arun Jaitley expressed Indian reservations at the proposals in the first official Indian comment on China’s ambitious infrastructure initiative. Speaking at an Asian Development Bank organised round-table discussion in Yokohama, Japan, Jaitley said that although India supported the concept of regional connectivity, it has "serious reservations" about the Chinese OBOR project because of sovereignty issues.

India has opposed the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), one of the projects of the Belt-Road Initiative as it passes through Pakistan occupied Kashmir. The CPEC is one of the important components of the OBOR, linking China’s Xinjiang province to the Chinese-built Gwadar port on Pakistan’s Arabian Sea coast.

China is making efforts to ensure a high attendance of world leaders that would be a grand endorsement of Chinese president Xi Jinping’s economic vision. A senior Chinese official has warned that India risks being isolated if it decides not to attend the Belt-Road Forum. India has not responded to the Chinese invitation as yet and staying away from the event would reinforce India’s objections to the Chinese corridor through disputed territory. China has not held any serious discussion with India on the issue. Unless Beijing makes an overture to New Delhi before the meeting, India has no reason to send a minister to attend the event.

Beijing’s plans will have implications for New Delhi as they would bring large infrastructural change in South Asia, even as China deepens its economic ties with Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Maldives and especially Pakistan. All of India’s neighbours with the exception of Bhutan, have shown interest or signed up on infrastructure projects with Chinese companies.

In South Asia, China has offered to build ports, airports and special economic zones in Sri Lanka, the Airport Link Bridge, road links in the atolls and upgradation of the international airport in the Maldives. Bangladesh signed agreements with China for 25 projects worth more than $20 billion during Xi’s visit to Dhaka in October 2016. China is funding infrastructure and energy projects in Nepal; these include the airport at Pokhara, a hydropower project, and a proposal to build a rail link from the border to Pokhara through Kathmandu.

China is heavily engaged in Southeast Asia in the construction of ports and pipeline projects in Myanmar, a high-speed rail project in Thailand, Malaysia’s East Coast Rail link, and a high-speed rail from Jakarta to Bandung in Indonesia.

When the ambitious Belt and Road initiative was first announced by Xi in late 2013, there was some scepticism about the Chinese proposal. The proposal has been added to and tweaked, and four years later, the 'Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation' is taking shape with leaders from across regions attending the meeting. Around 110 countries are to be represented at the two-day event, with 28 of them to have top-level representation.

The leaders will include Russian president Vladimir Putin, Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Indonesian president Joko Widodo, Malaysian prime minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak, Myanmar leader Aung San Suu Kyi as well as national leaders from Vietnam, Kazakhstan, Pakistan and the Philippines along with others from Africa and Europe. UN secretary-general Antonio Guterres, World Bank president Jim Yong Kim and International Monetary Fund managing director Christine Lagarde and about 100 ministerial level delegates will be in attendance.

According to Foreign Minister Wang Yi, China expects to sign agreements with around 20 countries and 20 organisations at the meeting and give an added thrust to projects for which MoUs have already be signed. In the past two years, Chinese construction companies have signed agreements for large-scale infrastructure projects in several countries. Countries as far away as New Zealand have signed up for cooperation on OBOR projects.

China’s Belt-Road projects are expected to utilise its capacity in construction and manufacturing sectors, provide the means to give Chinese enterprises a global footprint and increase development activity in its own relatively backward border provinces. It also positions China in a central role in creating a transnational network connecting and integrating the economies of Asia, Europe and Africa. In contrast, the US, especially under President Donald Trump, does not have a global economic vision that can match China’s Belt-Road Initiative vision and offer any substantial benefits to developing countries.
 
The world will take note of Hindustan's diplomatic pettiness lolz.
Stop whining . We will attend if we see any benefit to India.
But chinas hostile attitude towards us and support to terrorists acting against us does not encourage a Indian attendance.
Other countries in the region should go and pay obseciance to China .
If massaging chinas ego gets them goid investment , why look the gift horse in the mouth.
If neighbouring countries benefit , its goid for us as illegal migration from Nepal, Bangladesh and Pakistan will reduce if hey can earn in their own countries.
 
Stop whining . We will attend if we see any benefit to India.
But chinas hostile attitude towards us and support to terrorists acting against us does not encourage a Indian attendance.
Other countries in the region should go and pay obseciance to China .
If massaging chinas ego gets them goid investment , why look the gift horse in the mouth.
If neighbouring countries benefit , its goid for us as illegal migration from Nepal, Bangladesh and Pakistan will reduce if hey can earn in their own countries.

that's why the whole world will take note of India's diplomatic pettiness.
 
Most western leaders are not attending either.

They aren't sending their prime ministers or presidents because OBOR doesn't go through their countries. And frankly, they don't need the infrastructure; but India badly needs it though. So what's stopping India from joining?
 
They aren't sending their prime ministers or presidents because OBOR doesn't go through their countries. And frankly, they don't need the infrastructure; but India badly needs it though. So what's stopping India from joining?
We dont like you.
 
Well without India one of the asia's biggest economic country project is good as useless. Only russia is the saving grace.
 
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One Road One Belt (OBOR) - Economic Belt and Maritime Road

Within a week after Indian finance and defence minister Arun Jaitley expressed ‘serious reservation’ on One-Belt-One-Road project, China requested India to join the mega connectivity project.

In last week, Mr Jaitley was in Yokohama, a port city of Japan, to attend the 50th annual meeting of the board of governors of the Asian Development Bank.

At that time, at a sideline event, he told that India has serious reservation on OBOR due to ‘sovereignty issues,’ according to Indian news media.

In the same meeting, his Pakistani counterpart Mr Mohammad Ishaq Dar said that his country has strongly support the project.

On Friday last, Chinese Ambassador on New Delhi Mr Luo Zhaohui called on India to join the OBOR project, according to a report released by Dawn.

He also assured that the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) would not impinge on anyone’s sovereign rights.

Beijing is organising the OBOR summit on May 14-15 where at least 28 head of the countries will join and many other countries will send high level delegates.

http://www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com/2017/05/10/69847/Join-OBOR:-China-to-India
 
For the fast few months,China has been very vocal about wanting India to join OBOR and CPEC.Maybe they fear the security of CPEC without getting India on board
 
India is surrounded by sea on three sides, it's really unnecessary for India to connect to other countries since India is already connected with Pakistan, Bangladesh on land. It's understandable that India is not interested in OBOR.

Indian's concern over Kashmir also make sense, however it's very easy to work around, in the worst case by postpone the 1 or 2 projects in Kashmir or simply develop these projects by Pakistan's own money, no more than 1 billion dollars I estimate. Then how India argue over CPEC again? I don't know how this argue would end.

CPEC is primarily for domestic economy development of Pakistan, rapid growth economy can help to resolve lots of internal issue, e.g. stability of Baluchistan. Lots of analysts emphasize on connection to western part of China, Xinjiang, however, this is most likely impractical, I'm not saying it does not work, Karakoram Highway was initially built on military purpose at the cost of 1 worker sacrificed per kilometer, you can image how tough was the penetration into the convergence of Hindu Kush, Himalaya and Pamirs back then. Along with service of Y20, this road has few meaning for military purpose. In 2010, an earthquake blocked the road for 5 years. This road basically only work smoothly in summer. Railway ? Forget it. The following are some picture of Karakoram Highway:

timg (1).jpg


timg (3).jpg


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8288d62a6059252d730661d3329b033b5ab5b941.jpg


The following picture is transporting by boat after the earthquake in 2010, Gilgit Baltistan.

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The following picture is the road fixed in 2015 to work around the lake formed in earthquake in 2010.

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Before earthquake, there was roughly 3000 trucks cargo enter Pakistan thru this road per year, between 2010 - 2015, the number reduced to 600-700 trucks per year.

I spend so much to address the following issue or concern:
1) Transport oil and gas via this road? it's impossible.
2) Large volume cargos from Xinjiang? it's impossible, not to mention southern Xinjiang has few induestries and only 10 million residents. You can image the price of these goods.
this road does help people in Gilgit Baltistan to make them have job and business opportunity in some extent.

Pakistan and China signed FTA in 2006, effectively kicked off in 2007, there's no issue of Chinese goods flooding into Pakistan for reason of CPEC, it's already there before CPEC by sea route.

Energy and goods transportation through this routine is not core of CPEC. Many projects are invested in Baluchistan where is one of the core direction. The economy development of Baluchistan is ignored or postponed for a long time due to political issue. The economy development of this region require an infrastructure like Gwadar port. I still don't fully understand how Gwadar port is used. An obvious fact is, Baluchistan is rich in mineral resource, and near Persian Gulf, the oil and gas region. Pakistan probably develop mineral and refined oil and chemical industry in Baluchistan, fishing and fruit agriculture is also a good direction.

Most industries of Pakistan exist in Sindh and Punjab which are traditionally wealthy provinces, these projects will help resolve electricity shortage and boost its industrialization.

If we examine the map, take Pakistan as the center, the left side is Iran, 80 million population, 85% literate rate, has a relatively decent industry compared with countries of this region, already has an upper hand. The right side is India, 1.3 billion people roughly same GDP per capita as Pakistan, India has better industry compare with Pakistan however India is still a service orientated economy, India has to speed up industry development to achieve higher and faster growth. BD, a nation with 160 million people, lots of infrastructure projects are ongoing and its economy is doing pretty good in the past few years. The south side is East Africa, China is investing in Ethiopia to build infrastructure and industrial park, the far east side is SEA which is also attracting investment from all over the world. In short, Pakistan need shift focus on domestic economy development to boost its industrialization otherwise, Pakistan would have to face fierce competition in the future, this is also same for India. From East Africa to SEA, this region is the area subcontinent can directly trade either by land or by sea, any country fall behind will have to pay a much higher price to catch up.
 
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