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Half Iran tanker fleet storing oil at sea

BLACKEAGLE

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It is 1 and a half month old NEWS but it's very important:

r

Iran can't afford to curtail production very much without damaging the reserves.. So that is something to be considered as well.
Exclusive: Half Iran tanker fleet storing oil at sea
Mon, Apr 23 2012
By Luke Pachymuthu

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Iran has been forced to deploy more than half its fleet of supertankers to store oil at anchorage in the Gulf as buyers of its crude cut back because of sanctions, two Iran-based shipping sources said.

The sources, who are familiar with operations at Iran's main export terminal Kharg Island in the north of the Gulf, said 14 of National Iranian Tanker Company's (NITC) fleet of 25 very large crude carriers, each loaded with about 2 million barrels of oil, are now at anchor acting as floating storage.

A further five of Iran's nine Suezmax tankers, with capacity of one million barrels, are also parked offshore with oil aboard.

That means that of Iran's 59-million-barrel fleet of VLCCs and Suezmax sized tankers, 33 million barrels of capacity are being used to store crude at sea in the Gulf, or 56 percent of the fleet.

The shipping data suggests Iran's difficulties in selling its oil are getting more acute. With more than half the NITC fleet at anchorage, Iran's capacity to export oil is severely curtailed.

The Iranian shipping sources said that storage tanks on land at Kharg Island, with capacity of some 23 million barrels, are now full.

"The NITC fleet was deployed to Kharg Island to load cargo to prevent shore tank overflows. This has been going on since March," one of the sources, who is familiar with operations at Kharg Island, said.

"The tankers are fully laden," he said.

Industry estimates for the amount of Iranian oil in floating storage from oil companies and tanker tracking consultancies are much lower, in the range 8-16 million barrels, or 4-8 VLCCs.

However, those estimates are based on satellite data using ship tracking systems like the AIS (Automatic Identification System) that use onboard transponders.

Reuters reported on April 13 that most of the NITC tanker fleet had switched off their transponders to conceal shipping movements. Location data for many of the fleet has not been updated for at least three weeks.

"The ships' transponders have been switched off because they don't want to be detected," one of the Iranian shipping sources said.

"They are lying at anchorage. They do not navigate so they don't need the navigation system to be on."

That so many of Iran's tankers are anchored may explain why much of the fleet felt able to switch off its transponders.

Ships are obliged by international law for safety to have a satellite tracking device on board when travelling at sea. However, a ship's master has the discretion to turn off the device with the permission of the vessel's flag state.

Data made available to Reuters shows that at the end of March, 11 vessels were at anchor holding about 18 million barrels in floating storage. Since then the tally has grown by 8 tankers holding another 15 million barrels for a total of 33 million.

Europe's July 1 oil embargo and U.S. and European financial sanctions prompted by Iran's nuclear program have seen Tehran's oil sales drop to most Western destinations and drawn promises from some Asian buyers that they will cut purchases.

China had been expected to take increased volumes of Iranian crude but that has not happened yet.

China halved its Iranian crude imports in March compared to a year earlier and South Korea cut purchases by 40 percent.

Japan has also made steep cuts.

With half of its own fleet being used as floating storage, Iran would need to hire tankers on the open market or have importers hire their own ships to maintain exports.

But traders said it would seem unlikely Iran would deploy its own tankers for floating storage if it were able to sell the crude instead.

"We are not sure if NITC will be requiring more tankers for storage but commercial tanker arrivals coming into load crude have dropped significantly in the past one month because of sanctions issues," said one of the Iranian shipping sources.

Iran last week conceded that exports had fallen slightly to 2.1 million bpd of crude, from 2.2 million at the end of last year.

Independent estimates are that exports fell to about 1.9 million bpd in March and have fallen further in April.

If it cannot find new buyers for its crude Iran's only option other than floating storage would be to curtail oilfield production.

(additional reporting Daniel Fineren, writing Richard Mably; editing by Jason Neely)
 
Fortuitous easing of Iran crude worries

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Assuming European imports from Iran do stop altogether after July, Iran is likely to be able to export about half of daily capacity. (File photo)


Through a combination of somewhat fortuitous factors, the imminent imposition of Western sanctions on Iran is shaping up as a bit of a non-event for Asian crude buyers.

The U.S. and European measures that start late this month and next aim to halt Iranian shipments of oil to Europe and impact those to the rest of the world by limiting the ability to pay or insure cargoes.

But far from being a major worry for Asia, replacing much of the about 1.5 million barrels day that the region used to buy from Tehran has been fairly easy.

Fortuitous factor number one is Greece, or more specifically the economic woes in Europe caused by the ongoing sovereign debt crisis that is at its worst in the Mediterranean nation.

There is some irony insofar as a weakening economic outlook has actually helped Europe achieve its aim of keeping oil prices under control even as it plans to shut off imports from Iran, which totaled 740,000 barrels a day last year.

It is probably a moot point as to whether Europeans would prefer a stronger economic outlook and Brent crude near the $130 a barrel mark it neared in March, or the current weaker prognosis and Brent at its present level just under $100.

But what is certain is that the fear over the oil supply-demand balance because of the likely loss of much of Iran’s 2.3 million barrel a day export capacity has largely dissipated.

Fortuitous factor number two is the faster-than-forecast slowing in China’s economic growth rate, which is manifesting itself in weaker commodity imports.

Chinese crude imports were robust in the first quarter, with each month above 23 million tons, a level higher than the previous record high in September 2010.

Imports eased in April to 22.26 million tons, and are likely to slip further in the next two to three months on lower refinery runs and softer demand growth.

Again, it’s unlikely that the world economy is better for the slower growth rate in China, but there is little doubt that economic concerns have replaced supply concerns as far as crude markets are concerned.

And herein lies the risk for crude markets. It seems that oil prices have become less reliant on the old supply and demand fundamentals and more linked to the prevailing global economic outlook and sentiment.

And sentiment can swing quite dramatically: look at the swift changes in directions for equity prices based on little more than news headlines following every twist and turn of the Greek debt crisis and its implications for the euro zone.

What this means is that the factors that drove Brent below $100 are purely serendipitous and can easily reverse over the rest of the year.

If one assumes that Europe will, at the least, be able to manage its crisis and that the Chinese authorities can successfully re-ignite growth in the second half of 2012, it’s also reasonable to assume that oil prices will rise as well.

But in the meantime the loss of Iranian cargoes isn’t the problem that many feared it would be, with buyers able to source alternative supplies.

Purchases from South Korea, which bought about 230,000 barrels a day of Iranian crude last year, will probably drop to zero after July, according to industry sources.

Japan has also curbed its purchases and is struggling to arrange insurance cover for cargoes due to the EU ban on reinsurers based in the continent from providing coverage.

China remains the best hope for Iran to maintain a customer in Asia, given Beijing’s opposition to sanctions, but even the Chinese are struggling to arrange insurance and payment for cargoes.

However, assuming European imports from Iran do stop altogether after July, Iran is likely to be able to export about half of daily capacity.

This represents a revenue loss of about $115 million day, or about $20 billion for the second half of 2012.

Whether this is enough to force the Iranians to compromise over their nuclear program remains to be seen.

If Tehran does reach an agreement in talks with the United States, France, Britain, Germany, Russia and China, and Iranian oil flows again in the second half, it would most likely result in an oversupply of crude, perhaps just in time to meet returning Chinese demand.
 
:whistle: :whistle: :whistle:
 
well I guess Iran Oil minister denied the news and called it baseless propagnda
 
And you are happy about this news you bastard ?

My friends the logical thing for your govt to do is make peace with America and Israel. Then you can attack from the east Israel from the west that way it is win win.
 
My friends the logical thing for your govt to do is make peace with America and Israel. Then you can attack from the east Israel from the west that way it is win win.

nice plan ! lets do it
5.gif
 
well I guess Iran Oil minister denied the news and called it baseless propagnda

How long would you keep yourself in denial?! Iran is just paying back for her deeds in Syria. Yes, without Arab countries, sanctions wouldn't be with these stunning effects. FORWARD...
457450.gif


My friends the logical thing for your govt to do is make peace with America and Israel. Then you can attack from the east Israel from the west that way it is win win.

Nice plan...
454755.gif
 
How long would you keep yourself in denial?! Iran is just paying back for her deeds in Syria. Yes, without Arab countries, sanctions wouldn't be with these stunning effects. FORWARD...
457450.gif

well we also sincerely want the armed gangs who do these atrocities in Syria get punished for good.

by the way let look at the fact , this news first emerged 3-4 months ago , don't you think we must have ran out of the tankers to store the oil by now:undecided:
 
How long would you keep yourself in denial?! Iran is just paying back for her deeds in Syria. Yes, without Arab countries, sanctions wouldn't be with these stunning effects. FORWARD...
457450.gif




Nice plan...
454755.gif

where is Mosa !?
we want a Doctor here !!!
onion055.gif


well we also sincerely want the armed gangs who do these atrocities in Syria get punished for good.

by the way let look at the fact , this news first emerged 3-4 months ago , don't you think we must have ran out of the tankers to store the oil by now:undecided:

OOO ! this is a Hard Question !?
23emu.gif



...
onion055.gif
 
well we also sincerely want the armed gangs who do these atrocities in Syria get punished for good.

by the way let look at the fact , this news first emerged 3-4 months ago , don't you think we must have ran out of the tankers to store the oil by now:undecided:

Friday, 08 June 2012

Fortuitous easing of Iran crude worries

Iran will first get stifled economically and financially, then military. She will not go away with her terrorism. Not anymore.
 
well you are now officially parroting yourself in different threads . honestly try to grow up
 
in your wet dreams Arab.
just watching you guys burn from seeing Iran and its actions,gives us the courage to go on.
thank God we are far away from being like a failed artificial puppet state like Jordan.
And about Syria,I don't care if Assad goes down or not,but watching him crushing extremists Salafi terrorists ,gives me joy and happiness.The ones who don't care about civilian and children lives should be treated like animals.There is a special palace reserved for those Saudi funded terrorists in hell.
 
Sell it to us!on low price of course! :) :)
 
in your wet dreams Arab.
just watching you guys burn from seeing Iran and its actions,gives us the courage to go on.
thank God we are far away from being like a failed artificial puppet state like Jordan.
And about Syria,I don't care if Assad goes down or not,but watching him crushing extremists Salafi terrorists ,gives me joy and happiness.The ones who don't care about civilian and children lives should be treated like animals.There is a special palace reserved for those Saudi funded terrorists in hell.

I told you, Iran is going down, but you guys were always laughing. Iran will lose 20 billion dollar in the next 6 months, and 60 billion in the next year. Which means a serious economic crisis. Speaking of joy, we will not rest, but to see your regime members with handcuffs dragged to prisons for their crimes. With granting independence to Arabstan, Azeriz, Turks and others.
 

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