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Theories behind Benazir Bhuttos murder | Aquil Ahmed
Benazir murder has had several ramifications not only in Pakistan but around the world too. There are numerous theories going on. The investigation team has to take up these theories individually and in combination.
The theories are as follows:
Was it like any common suicidal bombing (murder) case going on in Pakistan for a long time now?
- Was it a Government sponsored murder case?
- Was it a PPP sponsored murder case?
- Was it an own family sponsored murder case?
- Was it a rival party sponsored murder case?
- Was it an establishment sponsored murder case?
- Was it an internationally sponsored murder case?
- Was it a combination of the above mentioned theories?
Let us discuss these theories one by one.
Was it like any common suicidal bombing (murder) case going on in Pakistan for a long time now?
Presence of a suicide bomber for hire should be common in Pakistan by now. Although, if the incident didnt involve the point blank range gun fire, right before the explosion then it might have been a common suicide bombing case. Not in this case.
Was it a Government sponsored murder case?
We can say it was a lack of control of the situation. The security provided in the Liaqat Bagh was good enough to protect Benazir. In fact due to Government security the first attempt to fire at Benazir while she was delivering her speech was failed. She was safely out from Liaqat Bagh. However once she on her way back to the car, had she not come out of her car, there was no way to kill her. But the Government activities after the murder like washing the murder scene so quickly, blocking the left side route, ignoring the post mortem, citing the cause of death as hitting the roof lever on her head and pointing fingers at Baitullah Mehsud so quickly shows either Government was involved or some of the Officials were part of the conspiracy too.
Was it a PPP sponsored murder case?
A true loyal PPP worker, a PPP Jiyala, cannot think of murdering partys popular leader. They can sacrifice their own life rather than killing their leader. Although there are some doubts raised on some of the current PPP leadership, everybody is sure they are not the true PPP Leaders or workers. They came in limelight after the accident.
Was it an own family sponsored murder case?
PPP Leaders and workers close to Benazir are outspoken in this regard. In any murder case, the strongest viewpoint for murder investigations is Who is the biggest beneficiary of the murder. Musharraf and his party leaders from the very beginning were the worst looser in this murder. The biggest beneficiary is the Husband. He was forced not to take part in Politics by his wife. After her murder he found her Will from nowhere to gain access to Pakistans top leadership and her huge wealth as well. He is using all his powers to mold the investigations as per his wish. So far he is very successful.
Was it a rival party sponsored murder case?
In the past it was done regularly. But after the Musharraf dictatorship, all political parties realized that they have to combine together and fight against the dictator. They signed the Charter of Democracy (CoD). The political leadership was known to be in touch with each other and directly or indirectly they were supporting each other.
Was it an establishment sponsored murder case?
There is no doubt The Establishment never liked the PPP Government. They always did some efforts to block PPP to come to power but they have never gone so far as killing the PPP leadership especially in considering Musharrafs un-popularity. The Establishment thought Musharraf brought a bad name to their ranks. The Establishment was trying to clean up their reputation. So there was no way they would have wanted to kill her.
Was it an internationally sponsored murder case?
After reaching to Pakistan when Benazir tried to get away from the NRO settled formula and she tried to convince Nawaz Sharif to take part in the election. She also took side for the restoration of the judiciary. The International guarantors were worried on her changed stance. They might be upset about it and could have made plans to murder her with the help of other actors.
Was it a combination of the above mentioned theories?
A single theory would not work out. It has to be a combination of multiple theories.
Investigation Points
The UN Report did not discuss the theories of murder Plans. The report discussed mainly the after effect of murder. The Fact finding mission should start with the events of the murder day.
Benazir could not be murdered if she remained inside the car. The murderer could hit her only when she is exposed to the shooter/bomber combo out of the car.
She was outdoors on stage when she was delivering her speech. Khalid Shahenshas mysterious activities show probably a sniper plan. That plan was not successful due to the crowd around Benazir. She was also moving about excitedly during her speech and due to her movements the target could not achieved. This plan probably failed due governments tight security.
When she moved out of the park on her way back, it was almost impossible to shoot her. But it paved the way for another plan to be executed. Somebody who knows Benazirs psychology, that she cannot resist to wave at her staunch supporters. They knew it would bring her into the open and would give a good and clear shot to the gunman/bomber. The person who needs to be questioned is who was instrumental to assemble group of PPP followers at this spot. He must be a PPP leader. The gunman who shot from left side may be to mislead and divert the attention of the photographers to the wrong direction. A suicide bomber must have been hired again to mislead the investigations and to put blame on someone who can never be captured and later close the file. The real shooter was never positively spotted.
After the murder many things went wrong like washing out the location. Mobile Sims were lost. Post Mortem was not done. These things should be examined thoroughly but how the shooting took place is more important to find the murder theories.
Maybe Benazirs murder is very complicated but investigating Khalid Shahenshas murder just after one month should not be that complicated. The links in Khalids murder and Benazirs murder are visible.
If it was an International Plan mixed with local Plans then I doubt it will ever be disclosed.