Power generation hits all-time high in Bangladesh

[Homo Sapiens]

Power generation hits all-time high in Bangladesh​

The power generation capacity of Bangladesh is more than 26,000MW

Representational photo Bigstock
Tribune Desk
Published: April 13, 2023 11:09 PM | Last updated: April 13, 2023 11:14 PM

Power plants in Bangladesh generated record 15,304 megawatts (MW) of electricity on Thursday — a new record, according to the Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB).

The highest electricity generation in the history of Bangladesh was recorded at 9pm.

The production broke the previous record of 14,932MW generated on Wednesday, said BPDB.

The previous record of single-day power generation was on Tuesday when a 14,800MW of electricity was produced.

According to the PDB, this new production record is the result of maximum effort to maintain the normal power generation and supply during Ramadan and summer.

Currently, the power generation capacity of the country is more than 26,000MW

 

[SoulSpokesman]

Great work by BD and SHW. What is the total generation in MUs in the last fiscal?

Regards

 

[Homo Sapiens]

Great work by BD and SHW. What is the total generation in MUs in the last fiscal?

Regards

No latest data is available I think. BP statistical review of world energy gave figure for BD in 2020.
But we can calculate-
Assume 14,000MW for average for whole year. Currently it is around 15,000MW, but during 3 months in winter, will come down to 11-12000MW.

So, production in 2023-
14,000 x 24 x 365 = 122,640,000/1000=122,640 Gwh.

If we want to find electricity consumption, then we have to take into account of domestic grid production, import, and non-grid production. It would be around 17,000 MW on average(around 1600 MW is coming from India).

So, consumption in 2023-
(17,000 x 24 x 365)/1000= 148,920 Gwh

Per capita consumption= (148,920 Gwh x 1000)/ 170 m = 876 Kwh.

 

[SoulSpokesman]

@Homo Sapiens

Thanks, dada. But doesnt the GoB maintain statistics? Fairly extensive statistics are avaiable for power and energy consumption in the Ministry of Power and Ministry of Petroleum and Gases websites in India.

Regards

 

[Bilal9]

@Homo Sapiens

Thanks, dada. But doesnt the GoB maintain statistics? Fairly extensive statistics are avaiable for power and energy consumption in the Ministry of Power and Ministry of Petroleum and Gases websites in India.

Regards

You may find some relevant stats here besides what @Homo Sapiens bhai has provided.

Bangladesh Power Development Boar

119.40.95.168

Bangladesh Power Development Board

ক্রমিক প্রকাশনার তারিখ বিবরণ ডাউনলোড 1 27/11/2022 Annual Report 2021-2022 (Revised) Download 2 15/10/2022 Annual Report 2021-2022 Download 3 14/10/2021 Annual Report 2020-2021 Download 4 15/10/2020 Annual Report 2019-2020 Download 5 09/10/2019 Annual Report 2018-2019 Download 6 18/11/2018 Annual Re

www.bpdb.gov.bd

 

[El Sidd]

Is it true that in Bangladesh they measure electricity in Kilowatt Hasina instead of Kilowatt Hour.

 

[Chute]

Assume 14,000MW for average for whole year.

A terrible assumption to make. There is no way anything close to peak load carries over for a whole month (much less a year).

It can clearly be seen in the links Bilal9 has given:

https://bpdb.portal.gov.bd/sites/default/files/files/bpdb.portal.gov.bd/annual_reports/7b792f67_bf50_4b3d_9bef_8f9b568005c9/2022-11-29-05-22-0dea17e09d8a84e72a63312df6b5bdc6.pdf

(page 9):

Total production was around 85.6 TWh in the recent fiscal 22, about a 6.4% growth over the previous one.

We can maybe expect around 91 TWh production for current one.

i.e Far lower than your estimate which does not take into account the proper realised load factors (about 2/3 rds) seen by the BD grid over a year.

Availability using the bottom row will look to be about 535 KWh per capita this year and consumption maybe around 480 KWh.

You can bump these up a bit from what is supplied/consumed by importing from India/Bhutan but it will maybe be a 10% on top of that.

 

[Shorisrip]

Is it true that in Bangladesh they measure electricity in Kilowatt Hasina instead of Kilowatt Hour.

No, but prosperity is measured in reduction of poverty rate, literacy, life expectancy etc and not how powerful and rich our army generals are.

 

[SoulSpokesman]

@Chute bhai,

Availability using the bottom row will look to be about 535 KWh per capita this year and consumption maybe around 480 KWh. You can bump these up a bit from what is supplied/consumed by importing from India/Bhutan but it will maybe be a 10% on top of that.

Thanks for the link as well. I am an energy analyst and this is of some professional interest to me. It would seem that the per capita energy availability is just about half of India, which is surprising considering that the per capita GDP (nominal) of BD is quite a bit higher than India's.

Maybe some of the other learned members of this forum like @bluesky @Cheepek or @Imran Khan sb would shed some light on this.

Regards

 

[Homo Sapiens]

Total production was around 85.6 TWh in the recent fiscal 22, about a 6.4% growth over the previous one.

We can maybe expect around 91 TWh production for current one.

BP statistical review of World Energy gave figure for 2020, is 89.1 Twh production, how come it reduced to 85.6 Twh after two years? When available data suggest that, in 2021, highest generation was around 13,000 Mwh, which now increased to more than 15,000Mwh. So if we conbine these piece togather, than it should be more than 100Twh for this year. May not be 122 Twh in my previous calculation, by not certainly 91 Twh.

Availability using the bottom row will look to be about 535 KWh per capita this year and consumption maybe around 480 KWh.

Even back in 2014, we had per capita electricity consumption 317 Kwh according to World Bank, when our electricity production was half of current value and household grid connection was 62 percent compared to 99 percent now. Then there was no electricty import and non grid electricity production was much lower than today. So even by these considerations, per capita consumption should be at least 600 Kwh now.

 

[Homo Sapiens]

It would seem that the per capita energy availability is just about half of India, which is surprising considering that the per capita GDP (nominal) of BD is quite a bit higher than India's.

Not half around two-thirds now I guess. You should provide Indian figures.

Per capita electricity consumption has relation with GDP per capita, but it is not always linear. France and Finland have comparable per capita GDP, yet Finland's per capita electricity consumption is 2.2 times higher than France.

World Bank Open Data

Free and open access to global development data

data.worldbank.org

Bangladesh for a brief period, surpassed India in nominal GDP per capita, but this is no longer true after a massive 25% depreciation of Taka against US Dollar in the last year. According to IMF world economic outlook April, 2023 which taken into account of massive devaluation of Taka-

Report for Selected Countries and Subjects

www.imf.org

Last year, IMF calculated Bangladesh's nominal GDP $460 billion, this year, instead of rising, it decreased to $420 billion due Taka devaluation. Overall it is a good thing, now it gives a truer picture of Bangladesh's economy, Taka was overvalued in the past which got corrected now.

 

[Chute]

@Chute bhai,

Availability using the bottom row will look to be about 535 KWh per capita this year and consumption maybe around 480 KWh. You can bump these up a bit from what is supplied/consumed by importing from India/Bhutan but it will maybe be a 10% on top of that.

Thanks for the link as well. I am an energy analyst and this is of some professional interest to me. It would seem that the per capita energy availability is just about half of India, which is surprising considering that the per capita GDP (nominal) of BD is quite a bit higher than India's.

Maybe some of the other learned members of this forum like @bluesky @Cheepek or @Imran Khan sb would shed some light on this.

Regards

Its a different industrial profile in the end. India has lot more heavy industries that consume lot of power.

BD (esp forex generating industries like RMG) are low power consumers relatively speaking, so BD goes some way in getting more "bang for its buck" so to speak.

Expansion in RMG (capital transfer from say China) will also just scale as it does now.

BD will however have to broaden and deepen its industry and manufacturing this decade so we will likely see more intense power capacity addition going forward.

Household consumers will also see more power consumption as they slowly become more wealthier + add more assets to their household over time.

 

[Destranator]

...It would seem that the per capita energy availability is just about half of India, which is surprising considering that the per capita GDP (nominal) of BD is quite a bit higher than India's....

Three main reasons:
1. Past overvaluation of Taka, as Homo Sapiens explained.
2. India is a lot more industrialised than Bangladesh
3. BBS GDP stats are inflated.
IMF and WB have to rely on BBS stats as they do not have capacity to field survey industrial data and calculate GDP for every country. https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/questionable-bbs-gdp-statistics.696632/

 

[Chute]

BP statistical review of World Energy gave figure for 2020, is 89.1 Twh production, how come it reduced to 85.6 Twh after two years? When available data suggest that, in 2021, highest generation was around 13,000 Mwh, which now increased to more than 15,000Mwh. So if we conbine these piece togather, than it should be more than 100Twh for this year. May not be 122 Twh in my previous calculation, by not certainly 91 Twh.

Yah its quite possible theirs is different (and higher) due to including off-grid generation. Captive gen sets etc...and also direct renewables (from solar panels etc).

Basically adding anything that doesnt need the grid.

So we can bump up another amount by that for sure....good point.

Even back in 2014, we had per capita electricity consumption 317 Kwh according to World Bank, when our electricity production was half of current value and household grid connection was 62 percent compared to 99 percent now. Then there was no electricty import and non grid electricity production was much lower than today. So even by these considerations, per capita consumption should be at least 600 Kwh now.

Yah I guess World Bank uses the complete total as well like BP estimate (i.e grid and off grid combined).

It is compounding at the 6% level even if we use only grid generation, so more or less everything correlates and you can use same growth figure whatever reference you use to extrapolate.

Just depends what definition is used.

 

[Bilal9]

Three main reasons:
1. Past overvaluation of Taka, as Homo Sapiens explained.
2. India is a lot more industrialised than Bangladesh
3. BBS GDP stats are inflated.
IMF and WB have to rely on BBS stats as they do not have capacity to field survey industrial data and calculate GDP for every country. https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/questionable-bbs-gdp-statistics.696632/

India uses a lot of electricity in older tech industries like steel smelting etc.

The older the industrial tech, the more power consumption per capita.