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Indian Rupee hits historic low: Now Rs 67.23 = 1 Dollar

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Indian rupee hits historic low of Rs18.30 vs Dh1, Rs67.23 vs $1

UAE banks lure NRIs with loan offers as rupee hits another record low

By Vicky Kapur
Published Tuesday, August 27, 2013

The Indian rupee plunged dramatically on Tuesday, August 27, slumping 4.66 per cent in a matter of a few hours to yet another historic low, of Rs18.30 against the UAE dirham (Rs67.23 against the US dollar), baring the rout in the currency, which is now down more than 23 per cent since the beginning of the year.

In fact, the rupee has lost more than 25 per cent of its value in less than four months, since May 2, 2013, when it traded at Rs14.61 against the UAE dirham. With this latest slump, the rupee has lost more than half its worth (52.62 per cent) in 25 months. The rupee traded for Rs11.99 against Dh1 on July 29, 2011, and within two years, the emerging market currency has slid to a record Rs18.30 against Dh1 today.

Today's decline came after the Indian Parliament approved a $20-billion food security bill, sending a clear signal to international investors that the country's government is not serious about controlling the ballooning deficit and, ahead of next year's general elections, will continue to take populist measures at the expense of the country's economic health.

Mirroring the global rout in equities this morning, India's benchmark BSE Sensex index slumped by more than 3 per cent today and closed at 17,968 points, a slump of almost 600 points, and down 3.2 per cent.

As the Indian rupee continues to weaken to record levels against the US dollar and dollar-linked currencies such as the UAE dirham, non-resident Indians (NRIs) in the UAE and across the Gulf region are seen binge-borrowing in their host countries to remit record sums of money to their home country.

India currently finds itself in an unenviable situation, caught as it is between the unholy trinity of slowing economic growth, a mounting fiscal deficit, and a plunging currency. Most international analysts believe it is becoming increasingly tough for the emerging market giant to meet its balance of payments obligations, which is leading to a loss of faith in its currency.

After a semblance of recovery late last week, the rupee once again began its southward journey this week, slumping below the Rs17.50-mark vs. Dh1 (Rs64.31 vs. $1) yesterday and breaching the Rs18-mark today as month-end dollar demand weighs heavily on the emerging market currency, besides a fundamentally weak Indian economy.

The rupee breached another significant milestone today on its way down, slumping below the Rs67-mark against the greenback and landing at Rs67.23 vs. $1 (Rs18.30 vs. Dh1) at 4.50pm UAE time (12.50pm GMT).

This continuing decline has led to a surge in remittances by Indians based in the UAE and across the Gulf, with UAE Exchange, one of the largest remittance houses in the world, estimating the surge at 6 per cent just in the past two months.

“The continuous dipping of INR has resulted in a 6 per cent increase in remittances over the past two months,” Y Sudhir Kumar Shetty, COO – Global Operations, UAE Exchange, told Emirates 24|7.

The Indian rupee continues to make and break new records on a daily basis, with the beleaguered currency once again slumping to new lows in early trade today, and banks in the country are luring expats with "low personal loan rates" for remitting and investing in India.

"Avail a personal loan at low rates & invest in NRE Fixed Deposit at our partner banks in India at higher interest rates," reads a text message we received just this morning, encouraging us to leverage the arbitrage opportunity arising out of higher interest rates in India than here in the UAE.

Additionally, a number of Indian expats will be eyeing the real estate opportunity back home, with properties becoming that much cheaper in dirham/dollar terms with a plunging rupee.

India is already the world’s largest recipient of remittances by its overseas nationals, with NRIs remitting $69 billion in 2012.

With the ongoing rupee weakness, that number is set to surge in 2013, says Shetty.

“The first half of 2013 witnessed a growth of 12-15 per cent in remittances, when compared with that of 2012,” he says.

“The further weakening of rupee will make remittance flow grow by 15-20 per cent in the coming months. So the expected remittance flow towards India in 2013 will be around $84-85 billion, of which 60 per cent is expected from the GCC,” he reckons.

As NRIs continue to borrow in dirhams and dinars across the Gulf to remit money home, Shetty has a word of caution for Indian expats.

“The trend of borrowing money is there for the last two to three years. People are using different means to borrow maximum money to send back home – be it bank loans, credit card withdrawals, savings etc. which leads to over leverage of individuals, which is a very disturbing trend,” he says.

The currency’s slide continues even as the central bank, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), has taken a number of fresh measures to pump the country’s banking system with fresh liquidity in order to avoid a cash-crunch crisis.

Importers in the country have been struggling to cope with increased demand for US dollars as they need to spend more rupees per greenback for bringing in oil and other essential goods into the country.

In addition, the heightened probability of the US Federal Reserve withdrawing its bond-buying programme in a phased manner starting next month is also weighing heavily on the rupee as well as other emerging market currencies, some of whom have in the past benefitted from America’s dollar-printing binge.

Indian rupee hits historic low of Rs18.30 vs Dh1, Rs67.23 vs $1 - Emirates 24/7
 
And with this GDP is below $1.5 trillion and per capita income around $1150-1200. Pakistan GDP per capita is around $1300 :omghaha: Funny how Indians used to say crap things about Pakistani economy which is doing horrible because of terrorism and energy crisis, karma is bit***
 
The Rupee was 38 to a dollar, only a few years back.

A week ago, it was 59 to a dollar.

Now it is 67 to a dollar.

That is some massive drop, all just because the US Federal reserve hinted that they might stop their easy-money policy.

The solution is to solve the massive current account deficit, so you are not so desperately reliant on foreign inflows to finance the deficit.
 
And with this GDP is below $1.5 trillion and per capita income around $1150-1200. Pakistan GDP per capita is around $1300 :omghaha: Funny how Indians used to say crap things about Pakistani economy which is doing horrible because of terrorism and energy crisis, karma is bit***
India was never richer than pakistan,look at their disgusting slums and starving childrens.Their wealth is built upon foreign hot money and massive external debts.Now their wet dream is over.The doom day is coming.
 
India was never richer than pakistan,look at their disgusting slums and starving childrens.Their wealth is built upon foreign hot money and massive external debts.Now their wet dream is over.The doom day is coming.

To be fair i wont choose these words, however average life of Pakistani is & was better than Indians average.
 
Well, Nothing can be done. Our Politicians are hell bent on committing Suicide. Economist are covering their face with their palm or twiddling their thumbs (I could not post the picture, my internet speed is slow from morning). To all our neighbors "Rejoice and have a sound sleep".
 
Pakistan had a better per capita than india till 2008..

and now again in 2013 pak beat india with per capita.after the massive shrinking by rupee devalue

Source: http://www.defence.pk/forums/centra...-low-now-rs-67-23-1-dollar.html#ixzz2dBB9AVqd

Nice logic , next year 20 thousand more of ur countrymen die off and wolah u got more per capita income. Congratulations.
Man if i ever start got paid to wasting time on boofons id be a millionare.Pfft

Economically PPP has more significance per capita than what it states in $ terms.The PPP is not so volatile and we still remain on the 4t mark.


On topic, the devaluation is only natural , when $ appreciates, We could stop printing money to keep the valuations high but the INR is a free floating tender ,unlike the yuan that increases liquidity to maintain lower valuations the same principle works the opposite way.

But what is worrying is not the rupee as this is not a disease but a symptom ,the disease lies in the trade deficit that only reforms and proactive trade policy measures can solve..

While the Govt is busy passing the Food security bill, more important legislations and measures need to be pro-actively considered and passed.

what manmohan is doing - thinking-waiting for ? after all he is economist the best one .

Source: http://www.defence.pk/forums/centra...-low-now-rs-67-23-1-dollar.html#ixzz2dBEGmxEX

Who told u hes the best one? lol manmohan is ****. THe feat Manmohan take credit for was NarisimaRao's doing.
 
While the Govt is busy passing the Food security bill, more important legislations and measures need to be pro-actively considered and passed.

How is the Indian government spending so much money on those schemes?

Considering this:

The ironies of India's economic crisis - Financial Times

August 25, 2013 4:15 pm

A not so funny thing happened while the world was watching for an emerging markets crisis to erupt in China. The crisis erupted in India instead.

Contagion typically attacks weak links first, often exposing vulnerabilities hidden in plain sight.

The fall of the rupee exposes India as having the emerging world’s worst fiscal deficit and largest current account deficit in absolute terms.
 
Rupee may recover to 61 in next 6-12 months: report

India’s efforts to curb imports, improve exports and attract greater remittances may help it almost fully fund its current account deficit (CAD) this fiscal, and also help the rupee recover to 61-level against the US dollar in the next 6-12 months, according to a Barclays report.

The projection came on Friday even as the rupee rose marginally to 64.30 in early trade following Thursday’s all-time low of 65.56.

“We expect the INR at 61 per dollar in 6-12 months, which partly reflects the current account improvement,” Barclays said in a research note.

According to the global financial services major, the country’s CAD — the difference betw
een the outflow and inflow of foreign currency — has the potential to “surprise favourably”.

The factors narrowing the current account gap include a lower merchandise trade deficit (gold and non-oil, non-gold trade), a steady uptick in services exports and remittance flows, it said.

On Thursday, finance minister P Chidambaram had said the government would make all efforts to contain fiscal deficit at 4.8% and CAD at 3.7% of GDP or $70 billion this financial year.

The government’s efforts come amid deepening worry over the rupee’s slide.

Hit by the US Federal Reserve’s preparations to wind down monetary stimulus, which is driving up borrowing costs globally, rupee has lost 17% since May and the stock market is close to its lowest in 12 months.

Chidambaram has called for calm and said there is no need to panic. “We believe that rupee is undervalued and has overshot what is generally believed to be a reasonable and appropriate level.”

The finance minister has also stressed there is no need for excessive or unwarranted pessimism. “There is no cause for panic that seems to have gripped the currency market and that is feeding into other markets. We are confident that stability will return to these markets and we can get on with the task of promoting investment and growth.”

A sliding rupee is toxic. For a start, it means that India needs to shell out more cash to import fuel, and this in turn raises the prices of transporting goods, leading to higher inflation.

And high inflation means that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will hesitate to cut interest rates, a step needed to boost economic growth.

So consumers need to keep paying large chunks of their income every month towards repaying housing loans, even as the cost of food and petrol rises and the prospect of decent salary hikes recedes because the economy is struggling.

Amid the slide, the Deutsche Bank had said in a research note on Wednesday the rupee could touch 70 level in a month’s time.

The fall of the rupee is derailing India’s hopes of raising more than $6 billion from the sale of stakes in state-run firms, jeopardising a key plank of Chidambaram’s blueprint to reverse the country’s economic malaise.

Investor confidence has evaporated amid fears over the rising cost of funding India’s CAD, prompting New Delhi to delay plans to raise much-needed funds through partial privatisations, according to finance ministry sources.

Rupee may recover to 61 in next 6-12 months: report - Hindustan Times

How is the Indian government spending so much money on those schemes?

Considering this:

The ironies of India's economic crisis - Financial Times

they will remove the subsidies from oil and add it to the FSB ....
 

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