Battlion25
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the subject is interesting but India specfic reasoning is very weak.
If India saw benefit then it wouldve done everything to protect its Afghan investment.
nuclear option is a MAD last option when state of Pakistan existence is at stake
its not a threatening tool to swing on every disagreement and confrontation. its use means end of Pakistan too. you want that for Punjsher? really?
the so called Pakistani red lines mean nothing. India's Curent NSA has boasted helping BLA and TTP in the past and our dossiers have blamed them using Afghan soil too. Chinese citizens and Pakistani soldiers are regularly being attacked through Afghanistan those red lines seem to be shifting and nothing beyond a statement.
you have missed out Turkey and Iran. Turkey backs General Dostom specially.
Panjsher has received supplies recently before its fall. I dont see any nuclear mushroom in Ankara, Tehran or Delhi yet.
This is flawed. It is last resort but fully engaging head on Pakistan armed forces it will always be a consideration. recieving supplies or send someone back etc etc all that is not counted as intervention and done covertly.
If the redlines didn't mean somthing they would have been in Punjab killed every single on of us because that is initially what they want but they can't attain it. It is existentially risky for them.
Some of the logistics part is true but majority of this is wish washy wishful post.
I didn't say threatened the world but that nobody wanted to engage Pakistan over Afghanistan to interfere with her economy and stragetic interests.
1. Example remember when Turkey blocked Russia in Idlib and north Syria this could have turned into major conflict but this was not worth the effort for both to engage over Idlib and north Syria.
2. The same thing happened in Libya when Sisi set a red-line in Sirte the Turks could have taken the city ones but this could have lead to direct Turkish-Egyptian collision it was not worth the effort for Turkey.
3. Also not to forget China once blocked the US in North Korea. They wanted to advance and take all of Korea but once the Chinese entered they did an assesement analysis and saw that it was not worth the risk engaging China for North because of the cost and effort it will come at hence why there is north and south Korea
This is geopolitical abc, 123 you only fight major war when it is absolute necessary and you don't engage and fight a nuclear state over things that is not necessary last resort. Hence nobody wants to cross Pakistan's red-lines because it is not worth the effort to engage Pakistan and create such a major war over their redlines and economic and stragetic interests of that said country hence everyone will just go and mind their bussiness. It is loss-loss scenario and not worth the effort
Couldn't have said it better you nailed it. The US has also blocked many countries in the past such as Taiwan the chinese wanted and still do until today but the Americans have sort of blocked them.
This is how geopolitics works on the micro level only engage when it is absolute neccessary in a major war because Major wars require alot of effort and the greater the war the greater the effort hence strong nations will only engage in it if it was the absolute last resort. The financial side of a major war is also one of the reasons plus loss of equipment and men but the economy also gets major hit not only these 2 countries but around the world hence it is not feasible engaging in major war that easily or taking the decision to do so..
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