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Waziristan: Pak Army forgets lessons of the Raj

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Waziristan: Pak Army forgets lessons of the Raj

By By Indranil Banerjie
Oct 21 2009
“From the time of our earliest dealings with the Wazirs and Mahsuds these tribes have presented a most difficult problem and one which still awaits a satisfactory solution.” This was the conclusion of a confidential report compiled by the British Indian Army headquarters in 1921 after approximately 69 years of intermittent warfare in Waziristan.

Curiously, the same conclusion could well have been penned by the Pakistani Army top brass as it commenced its latest offensive in that very area last week. Approximately two divisions worth of Pakistani troops supported by artillery, air power and tactical information provided by American military drones pummelled into the heart of Mehsud country in South Waziristan from three axes beginning last Saturday. This was perhaps the 11th attempt by the Pakistani Army to subdue the South Waziristan Agency (SWA) since 2001.

The aim is to destroy the core of the Tehrik-e-Taliban-Pakistan (TTP), a radical Islamist organisation that seeks to cleanse Pakistan of the American presence and impose Sharia in the country. The TTP is spread across several of Pakistan’s tribal agencies and some districts of the North-West Frontier Province. The outfit has demonstrated a capacity to carry out terrorist strikes in Punjab and attack the Pakistani Army, which is viewed as collaborating with the infidel Americans.

The core of the TTP is made up of members of the Mehsud tribesmen who live in the mountains and valleys of South Waziristan. The Mehsud heartland comprises the towns of Makin, Kanigoram and the lands around these two settlements. The undisputed chief of the TTP, Baitullah Mehsud, was killed near a place called Laddah in this area by a missile fired from a US drone on August 5 this year. He had, however, groomed a second-tier leadership comprising, among others, of Hakimullah Mehsud, the present leader of the TTP, and commanders Qari Hussein Mehsud (suicide squad chief), Wali-ur-Rehman Mehsud (local commander) and Maulvi Azmatullah. These men have vowed to fight on.

The Mehsuds, the British had learnt over almost a century of fighting, never quite give up. “Relying on the inaccessibility of their country, the Waziristan tribes have for centuries defied the power of the rulers of India and Afghanistan, and on more than one occasion in the past they engaged and defeated the invading armies of the Moghuls. Their character, organisation and instincts have made them independent and strongly democratic, so much so that even their own maliks (elders) have little real control over the unruly spirits”, observed one British officer almost a century ago.

Not much has changed with the Mehsuds. South Waziristan remains the poorest and most backward in all of Pakistan. The valleys are in the most part stony and barren, while the higher reaches are mostly fit only for pasture. Their men have been fighting since Americans, Saudis and the Pakistanis launched the Afghan jihad in the early 1980s. Waziristan was the main area from where the Mujahideen were launched into neighbouring Afghanistan. The Soviets have long gone but the Mehsuds still send their men to fight in Afghanistan and in recent times against Pakistani security forces.

The Pakistani Army is faced with the unenviable task on tasking on the Mehsud in his own country. After a string of defeats that entailed fearsome casualties, the Pakistani Army has now launched what it calls the final offensive. Some commentators in the Pakistani media have dubbed it the “mother of battles” of the Frontier. The question is whether the Pakistani Army can do what the British Indian Army could not achieve after a hundred years of intermittent warfare in Waziristan?

British India’s involvement with Waziristan began in 1849 with the absorption of the Sikh Empire. The Waziris had hated the Sikhs who had collected taxes from them and had no intention of succumbing to the British. Trouble began in 1850 when several Waziri tribes got together and began raiding British-controlled towns in the plains.

Faced with these annoying attacks on their authority, the British did not know quite what to do. Initially the British employed what they called a “closed border” policy which was basically one of non-interference. The British maintained their forces in the towns of Bannu and Tank in the plains, and from time to time led what was called “butcher and bolt” operations against the Waziris. The second most successful was the “modified closed border” policy, which avoided establishing permanent military garrisons in the agency by raising local Lashkars headed by British officers to manage the tribes. The least successful was the “forward” policy, used first during 1895-1901 and then during 1923-47, which entailed the permanent posting of British forces in the tribal lands.

The first phase of the “forward” policy in Waziristan was prompted by the tribal jihad launched against the British for demarcating the Durand Line, which effectively divided Pashtun lands. This was when British troops learnt that “the Wazirs and Mahsuds operating in their own country, can be classed among the finest fighters in the world... they seldom allow a tactical error to go unpunished.” The second phase of the “forward” policy was instituted after the third Anglo-Afghan War, and the constant revolts by the Waziri tribesmen. Permanent military garrisons were established in the towns of Ramzak, Jandola and Wana. These are the same garrisons from where the Pakistani Army is now launching its latest anti-Mehsud offensive.

The problem, as scholars like Dr Stephen Cohen and others have observed, is that the Pakistani military does not understand the concept of counter-insurgency and simply calls it “low-intensity conflict”. In its Waziristan operations between 2004 and 2006, some analysts believe the Army lost as many as 3,000 men. Even then they were eventually forced to retreat.

Col. Yahya Effendi (Retd) of the Pakistan Army, scion of a distinguished martial family, pointed out in a widely-read paper: “The Pakistan Army over the years has been trained conventionally against India, and it is clueless about unconventional frontier warfare. The lessons learnt from the British in Waziristan, and elsewhere in FATA, have been erased from the Army’s institutional memory... and Waziristan perforce is serving as the new instructional campus for the Pakistan Army.” The latest offensive is clearly going to prove a very costly refresher course.

Indranil Banerjie is a defence and security analyst based in New Delhi

Waziristan: Pak Army forgets lessons of the Raj
 
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blah blah blah pakistan army doesnt understand counter insugency blah blahh ( yet it beat the crap out of the indian-backed terrorists in swat )

Like I said before , tales of the past are all that the terrorists will have to comfort them and their indian allies.

South Waziristan will be swept clean one way or another.
 
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Army is part of COIN effort but not the whole...even if Army succeeds in its objectives, the government has to ensure a lot of other things for COIN effort to be successful.

Regarding the military ops, things are not the same as the first half of 20th Century, the capability of modern air forces in terms of reconnaissance and night fighting has improved a lot and the use of Gunship helicopters has proven to be a big success in such terrain...
Modern Air power has changed the dimension of war since the days of British and if we all examine the Afghan-Russian War, till the Mujahideen were given stingers and anti aircraft training, they were suffering heavily at the hands of Russian air power especially the gunships.
This of course does not mean that PA will have this sorted out in 3 months, this shall be a long operation but we need to sacrifice here in order to reduce the capability of these scoundrels to deal out death and destruction to innocents all over the country...the severe backlash of TTP is perhaps indicative of the fact that they are not as comfortable in being attacked in SWA as they want us to believe...

The terrorists are well equipped and have strength in numbers as well...they pose a great threat to any army no matter how well equipped...the British could leave Waziristan alone since it meant nothing to them...as a conqueror nobody had anything to gain from occupying this undulating terrain except to satisfy their pride...this mindset was bound to fail in face of the harsh realities which manifest themselves over a long period of time till the pride takes a backseat...I would not want to compare this to the action of PA.
With Pakistan the case is quite different, it is part of Pakistan and we cannot surrender it to the hordes of foreign terrorists and their criminal local supporters...the mindset of the soldier fighting this war is quite different and they are not seen as an enemy by many of the locals who are Patriot Pakistani...

In this fight for survival Pakistan Army poses a genuine threat to those who seemed untouchable in the tough terrain of SWA
 
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It seems people do not remember that pakistan army had effectively controlled the East Pakistan situation in 1971. According to the book by General Qureshi, and others, most of the areas had been brought back under Pakistan Army control in a few months even though, civil administration etc were not really reestablished, security situation was much better. It is said that this was the reason that the Indians were forced to use their own troops (BSF) in direct confrontation with the Pakistan Army, many times allegedly posing as the Mukti Bahini. Without direct intervention by India, the separation might not have occurred at this instance.

A second case is that of the Baluch situation in the 1970's. this was, to the best of my knowledge, controlled between the early eighties until India etc regained access to Afghanistan and their Shomali clients and were able to reignite the disturbances.

Similarly, the Sindh disturbances were also contained in the 1980s.

In either case, much injustice and cruelty must have been exercised but, the point I am trying to make is that the security situation was under the control of the Army.

So, the Army was able to control situations given reasonable environment.

The issue remains, however, whether these were enduring solutions. Most analysis suggest that they were not and - political problems need political solutions.

But, one should not blame the institution i.e. the Army; rather one needs to hold the people controlling the institution to account. Just because certain people in control misused their authority, one should not seek to destroy the army as an institution.

The problem is one of injustice. If people are given a decent chance of earning a honest living, most people would not support such actions regardless of their religion or race. Insurgencies cannot survive without local support.
 
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