Mujahid
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New Delhi: Expressing a possibility of future conventional wars along India's northern borders, a US think-tank has warned India to 'plan and prepare accordingly'.
Meanwhile, Pakistani Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar, who is in US, hinted at India for stoking unrest within Pak. "We will not be able to see peace within if we do not find peace on our boundaries, on our borders with our neighbors," she said.
According to a 70-page report titled, "Airpower at 18,000: The IAF in the Kargil war", in the Carnegie Endownment for International peace: "the Kargil War vividly demonstrated that a stable bilateral nuclear deterrence relationship can markedly inhibit such regional conflicts in intensity and scaleif not preclude them altogether." READ: Full report on Airpower at 18,000: The IAF in the Kargil war
"In the absence of the nuclear stabilizing factor, those flash points could erupt into open-ended conventional showdowns for the highest stakes. But the Kargil War also demonstrated that nuclear deterrence is not a panacea. The possibility of future conventional wars of major consequence along Indias northern borders with Pakistan and China persists, and the Indian defense establishment must plan and prepare accordingly," the US report said.
Referring to a retired IAF air marshal, Carnegie also underlined: "In a thoughtful enumeration of the diverse conflict possibilities that could confront Indian security planners in the next decade, a retired IAF air marshal in 2007 listed as being among the most plausible of those possibilities an extended border war with China, with little likelihood of nuclear weapons use; a shorter and more intense war with Pakistan entailing a very real chance of nuclear useunlike India, Pakistan has never proclaimed a nuclear no-first-use policy; a simultaneous war with China and Pakistan operating in collusion; and a prolonged lower-intensity war in Kashmir against both Pakistani regular forces and indigenous Kashmiri insurgents."
The study also highlighted some of India's military shortcomings including the 'poor test of Indias air warfare capability' during Kargil war.
"The covert Pakistani intrusion into Indian-controlled Kashmir that was the casus belli laid bare a gaping hole in Indias nationwide real-time intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capability that had allowed the incursion to go undetected for many days. It further brought to light the initial near-total lack of transparency and open communication between the Indian Armys top leaders and the IAF with respect to the gathering crisis," it said.
The report also pointed: "Despite the happy ending of the Kargil experience for India, IAF's fighter pilots were restricted in their operations due to myriad challenges specific to this campaign. They were thus consigned to do what they could rather than what they might have done if they had more room for manoeuvre."
US warns India to 'plan and prepare for war' with Pakistan, China - daily.bhaskar.com
Meanwhile, Pakistani Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar, who is in US, hinted at India for stoking unrest within Pak. "We will not be able to see peace within if we do not find peace on our boundaries, on our borders with our neighbors," she said.
According to a 70-page report titled, "Airpower at 18,000: The IAF in the Kargil war", in the Carnegie Endownment for International peace: "the Kargil War vividly demonstrated that a stable bilateral nuclear deterrence relationship can markedly inhibit such regional conflicts in intensity and scaleif not preclude them altogether." READ: Full report on Airpower at 18,000: The IAF in the Kargil war
"In the absence of the nuclear stabilizing factor, those flash points could erupt into open-ended conventional showdowns for the highest stakes. But the Kargil War also demonstrated that nuclear deterrence is not a panacea. The possibility of future conventional wars of major consequence along Indias northern borders with Pakistan and China persists, and the Indian defense establishment must plan and prepare accordingly," the US report said.
Referring to a retired IAF air marshal, Carnegie also underlined: "In a thoughtful enumeration of the diverse conflict possibilities that could confront Indian security planners in the next decade, a retired IAF air marshal in 2007 listed as being among the most plausible of those possibilities an extended border war with China, with little likelihood of nuclear weapons use; a shorter and more intense war with Pakistan entailing a very real chance of nuclear useunlike India, Pakistan has never proclaimed a nuclear no-first-use policy; a simultaneous war with China and Pakistan operating in collusion; and a prolonged lower-intensity war in Kashmir against both Pakistani regular forces and indigenous Kashmiri insurgents."
The study also highlighted some of India's military shortcomings including the 'poor test of Indias air warfare capability' during Kargil war.
"The covert Pakistani intrusion into Indian-controlled Kashmir that was the casus belli laid bare a gaping hole in Indias nationwide real-time intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capability that had allowed the incursion to go undetected for many days. It further brought to light the initial near-total lack of transparency and open communication between the Indian Armys top leaders and the IAF with respect to the gathering crisis," it said.
The report also pointed: "Despite the happy ending of the Kargil experience for India, IAF's fighter pilots were restricted in their operations due to myriad challenges specific to this campaign. They were thus consigned to do what they could rather than what they might have done if they had more room for manoeuvre."
US warns India to 'plan and prepare for war' with Pakistan, China - daily.bhaskar.com
