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US inflation jumped 7% in December as prices rise at rates unseen in decades

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US inflation jumped 7% in December as prices rise at rates unseen in decades
December is the seventh consecutive month in which inflation topped 5%, a blow to the Biden administration and Federal Reserve
Wed 12 Jan 2022 13.56 GMT

The price of goods and services in the US continue to rise at rates unseen in decades, jumping 7% in December compared to the same month last year – the seventh consecutive month in which inflation has topped 5%.

The news represents a blow to the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve, which until recently have characterized soaring prices as a “transitory” phenomenon brought about by supply chain issues triggered by the pandemic.

On Wednesday, the labor department said the consumer price index (CPI) – which measures what consumers pay for a wide range of goods – rose 0.5% last month compared with November and 7% compared with December 2020.

Price increases in housing and used cars and trucks were the largest contributors to the inflation rate, with 0.4% and 3.5% increases in price compared with November, respectively. Food prices also continued to increase, though the 0.5% jump in prices is not as high as increases seen in previous months.

Disruptions to the global supply chain caused by the pandemic are still causing shortages and driving up the price of goods, from cars to meat and furniture. In November the average price of a used vehicle in the US was $29,011 – 39% more than just 12 months earlier.

The Federal Reserve is now preparing to raise interest rates to curb inflation and has indicated that it may raise rates three times in 2022, perhaps beginning as early as March. The Fed has stopped calling inflation “transitory” and on Tuesday, the Fed chair, Jerome Powell, told Congress that it was time for the central bank to move away from emergency pandemic measures.

“What we have now is a mismatch between demand and supply. We have a very strong demand in areas where supply is constrained,” Powell said.

“If we see inflation persisting at high levels longer than expected [and] we have to raise interest rates more over time, we will.”

At a White House press briefing on Tuesday, press secretary Jen Psaki told reporters that the administration was expecting elevated figures on Wednesday and that it expects month-over-month inflation to be “moderate” in coming months, though forecasters are expecting inflation to head toward more typical figures by the end of the year.

Psaki said the historic price increases emphasize the need for Congress to pass Biden’s climate and social safety net bill, which has hit an impasse.
“We continue to press for steps in working with Congress to … lower costs for the American people,” Psaki said. “That’s why we want to get Build Back Better done.”

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jan/12/key-west-buoy-burning-bartender-tip-arrest
 
Will the Inflation of US equal to/exceed 2021 nominal GDP?

The forecast made during middle of the year for 2021 US GDP was 7%, but the 4Q economy for US is worst than expected. So if the actual nominal GDP is less than 7%, they will be in Negative Real GDP again.
 
US has strong military.

So US can take over other countries and economies any time to survive.

The cost of such adventurism is exorbitant and the world has moved away from a unipolar order where the USA could carry out unilateral actions
 
Prices hit four-decade high in 2021 as inflation lashes US economy

AFP
January 12, 2022


In this file photo, the price of gasoline is displayed at a gas station in New York on December 10, 2021. — AFP

In this file photo, the price of gasoline is displayed at a gas station in New York on December 10, 2021. — AFP

US consumer prices jumped last year at the fastest pace in four decades, the government confirmed on Wednesday, underscoring the potent inflation wave that has sapped public support for President Joe Biden even as the economy recovers from the pandemic.

The seven per cent increase in the Labour Department's consumer price index (CPI) over the 12 months to December was the highest since June 1982, as prices rose for an array of goods especially housing, cars and food.

Since taking office last January, Biden has presided over an economy that has expanded rapidly and seen millions of people who lost their jobs to the Covid-19 pandemic return to work.
But a collision between rebounding demand, labour shortages and global supply chain snarls — especially computer chips for cars — caused prices last year to climb upwards at an ever-faster rate.

The White House echoed the views of some economists in a tweet predicting “the rate of price increases will moderate in the months ahead as we make progress with the pandemic and other challenges.”

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Still, while the data contained signs of a nearing summit, relief may not necessarily come quickly.
“The peak is close, but the speed of the coming downshift is uncertain,” said Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics.

For the Republican opposition, the inflation data underscored their belief that the Democratic president has mishandled the recovery.

“This trend isn't 'transitory,' and it's all happening under Democrats' one-party control,” tweeted Kevin McCarthy, the top Republican in the House of Representatives. His party is seen as the favourites to win control of the lower house of Congress in the November elections.


The White House has attempted to sort out supply chains to relieve shortages and address alleged price fixing in industries like meatpacking to lower prices, but the most potent actor against inflation is the independent Federal Reserve.

Central bankers already have indicated they are ready to raise interest rates from zero in the coming months, and many observers see the first increase as soon as March.

Kathy Bostjancic of Oxford Economics said the Fed now sees getting inflation back towards its 2pc goal as its “top priority,” and could raise rates as many as four times this year.

From cars to food

Prices for shelter, including rental properties, has been one of the main contributors to inflation, rising 4.1pc in the year, while food rose 6.3pc, the Labour Department said.

However, in both cases the December monthly increase was less than in the prior month.
After slumping during the economic crisis in 2020, energy prices rebounded strongly last year with a 29.3pc gain, the report said.

But in December, energy costs contracted, falling 0.4pc from November, indicating Americans may soon see relief at gas stations and on their heating bills.

There was no such respite for used car prices, another of the main drivers of inflation in the year, which jumped 3.5pc in December and 37.3pc over the course of 2021, according to the data.

Food and energy prices can be volatile, but with those items stripped out, consumer prices rose more than expected with a 0.6pc gain compared to November.

For the year, they were up 5.5pc, the highest since February 1991.

Approaching peak?

There were indications in the data that the price surge may be ebbing.

Overall CPI growth slowed to 0.5pc in December, less than the 0.8pc increase in the prior month.
Some of the major drivers of inflation will ease over the course of this year, Shepherdson predicted, including the shortage of real estate that has pushed home prices and rents upwards, and a scarcity of semi-conductors that has crippled automobile assembly lines.
While annualised consumer prices may eventually peak at a level higher than in December “the run of big increases is over, and it will start to fall in March,” he said.


 
They need to cut taxes on imports. So called MAGA Tax. OK, MAGA all the way, but, eventually, US consumers pay for it.
 
Not good for poorer people of the world. Everyone is being hit by inflation. Bilal and Maryam our are only hope😜
 
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