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U.S.-India Deal Said to 'Increase Nuclear Danger'

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UNITED NATIONS, Aug 1 (OneWorld) - The Bush administration's decision to let India obtain nuclear technology from the United States is renewing long-held fears that it could result in further proliferation of nuclear weapons around the world.
''It will allow India to increase its capacity to make nuclear weapons material,'' Zia Mian, professor of global security and environment at Princeton University, told OneWorld. ''[It] will increase the nuclear danger in South Asia.''

Last week, senior U.S. officials announced they finalized a deal with India over the supply of nuclear technology. In reaching the agreement, India assured the U.S. government that it would use the imported technology for civilian, not military purposes.

But critics of the accord say it's hard for them to believe that India, which possesses a significant amount of nuclear warheads, would live up to its promise.

''[It] may promote not only a possible arms race between India and Pakistan, but also [between] India and China, as well,'' said John Boroughs of the New York-based Lawyers Committee for Nuclear Policy, reflecting on the deal between Washington and New Delhi.

Like many others, both Mian and Boroughs also think the agreement would undermine prospects for global treaties on nuclear restraint and disarmament.

''This is in clear violation of UN Security Council Resolution 1172,'' said Mian.

The resolution calls upon all states to ''prevent the export of equipment, materials or technology that could in any way assist programs in India or Pakistan for nuclear weapons.''

The resolution was adopted in 1998 with consensus soon after both India and Pakistan tested their nuclear devices in defiance of international opinion against the spread of nuclear weapons.

Since India's partition in 1947 when the British ended their colonial rule of the country, India and Pakistan have gone to war with each other three times.

According to the Uranium Resource Center, India has 14 nuclear energy reactors in commercial operation and 9 under construction. Currently, its nuclear power supplies are estimated to account for about 3 percent of total electricity production.

For its part, India strongly denies that it intends to use the deal with the United States to expand its nuclear weapons program.

''We are not using it as an excuse to enhance our strategic capabilities,'' said MK Narayan, India's national security advisor, in a recent statement.

However, the deal, as it has been interpreted by Indian officials, does not cover the question of whether it has a right to carry out further nuclear tests.

Critics have described the U.S. acceptance of India's nuclear weapons program as amounting to ''a major concession'' for a country that has refused to join the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).

In justifying the deal, U.S. officials have defended India's assertions that it will only use the technology transferred from Washington for ''peaceful'' nuclear purposes.

The agreement sends a message that ''if you behave responsibly and play by the rules you will not be penalized. You will be invited to participate [in the international system],'' said U.S. Under Secretary of State R. Nicholas Burns.

''India will be able to tap into clean nuclear power and make it more energy independent,'' he added in a recent statement.

But many of those among the international civil society movement who support global efforts for increased reliance on clean energy refuse to accept the notion that nuclear energy is a safe alternative.

''It is perhaps the least talked about and most worrying irony of our time,'' David Krieger of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation told OneWorld. ''The United States has a massive defense budget, but spends relatively little addressing the most immediate danger to humanity.''

Krieger's group, Greenpeace International, and many other environmental groups have repeatedly called for the United Nations, the United States, and other powerful nations to stop promoting nuclear technology as an alternative to fossil fuels.

Recently, some leading European politicians also raised serious questions about the UN's role in encouraging countries to acquire nuclear energy for non-military purposes.

Last year in April, former environment ministers from European countries, including Russia, sent a letter to the former UN chief urging him to reform the mandate of the International Atomic Energy Agency, which is charged with overseeing the development of nuclear energy capabilities worldwide.

''Nuclear power is no longer necessary,'' they said in the letter. ''We have now numerous renewable technologies available to guarantee the right to safe, clean, and cheap energy.''

But this line of reasoning has failed to win over many of the world's most powerful nations. In July last year, when leaders of the most industrialized countries, known as the Group of Eight, gathered in St. Petersburg, Russia, they signed a joint statement saying that nuclear energy is one way to address climate change.

Many environmentalists rejected that statement and repeated calls for restraints on the use of nuclear technology, arguing that nuclear reactors are vulnerable to catastrophic mishaps related to natural disasters and unintentional human error. They also say it is hard to separate weapons manufacturing processes from those meant for generating energy for civilian purposes.

There are currently some 27,000 nuclear weapons in the world, and 12,000 of these are deployed. Of those, 3,500 nuclear weapons are on hair-trigger alert, ready to be fired in moments.

Nine countries currently possess nuclear weapons: China, France, India, Israel, North Korea, Pakistan, Russia, the United States, and the United Kingdom. More than 95 percent of the nuclear weapons in the world are in the arsenals of the United States and Russia. The UK, France, China, and Israel are estimated to have arsenals numbering a few hundred each.

India and Pakistan are thought to have arsenals under 100, and North Korea is believed to have up to 12 nuclear weapons. As many as 35 other countries have the technological capability to become nuclear weapons states, including Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, Iran, and Egypt.

Nearly all countries in the world are parties to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Only three countries have not signed the treaty: Israel, India, and Pakistan. A fourth country, North Korea, withdrew from the NPT in 2003. All of these countries have developed nuclear arsenals.

The NPT obligates the nuclear weapons states that are parties to the treaty to engage in good-faith negotiations for nuclear disarmament. The International Court of Justice has interpreted this to mean that negotiations must be concluded ''leading to nuclear disarmament in all its aspects.''

''As the world's only remaining superpower, the United States can lead the way in fulfilling this obligation,'' Krieger told OneWorld. ''[But] It has failed to do so.''

In his view, the U.S. missile defense program is largely responsible for provoking Russia and China, and has resulted in these countries improving their offensive nuclear capabilities. In addition, the United States has failed to provide legally binding security assurances that it will not use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear-weapons states.

''U.S. nuclear policy undermines the security of its people,'' Krieger said. ''The more the U.S. relies on nuclear weapons, the more other countries will do so.''

Mian appears to be in full agreement with Krieger, particularly in regards to South Asia and the Bush administration's deal with New Delhi.

''The U.S. sees strategic and economic benefits in the nuclear deal with India,'' he told OneWorld. ''But the people of India and Pakistan will pay the price. This means nuclear establishments in both countries will become more powerful and drain even greater resources away from social development.''
http://news.yahoo.com/s/oneworld/20070801/wl_oneworld/45361518691186007173
 
this will definately increase the threat in the region and all become a cause of unstability in the region. Giving them f-35 or f-18 and for us there is only old f-16s will really cause a great problem, actually USA themselves burning a candle for the war of weapons in the region. By this definately Pakistan will go to China and then what happens there will be the great war and unstability in the region.

Isn't that what you want soldier? Or is "instablilty" only justified when Pakistan has the upper hand?
 
Isn't that what you want soldier? Or is "instablilty" only justified when Pakistan has the upper hand?

I don't think you can make a case that Pakistan has had the upper hand militarily for quite some time now. Arguably instability has existed primarily when India has had the upper hand. The past few years of relative calm and stability have occurred while Pakistan has maintained an equality, or arguably even an edge, with India in the nuclear weapons and missile sphere.
 
I thought it was kargil

What kind of parity are you looking at, Conventional or nuclear. Nuclear Yes, Conventional India has moved away leaps and bounds.

Kargil when it happened was never Indo-Pak conflict, but rather Indo-Terrorist conflict.
 
What kind of parity are you looking at, Conventional or nuclear. Nuclear Yes, Conventional India has moved away leaps and bounds.

Kargil when it happened was never Indo-Pak conflict, but rather Indo-Terrorist conflict.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lalak_Jan

Only Lalak Jan and three other men remained. The onslaught of the Indians was continuing and they were rapidly advancing towards capturing the hill. Lalak Jan, who was now the senior most person around, placed his men in strategic positions, at least two to three per person, and told them to fire without staying in one position. These four men, pitted against an enemy much superior in number and weaponry, managed to repulse the Indian onslaught by sheer courage and determination.

From there on, in one of the most stunning demonstrations of determination, Lalak Jan held up the two units of the Indian Army for four complete hours. The Indian offensive finally slowed down and they descended Tiger Hills. The reason for this is not known, perhaps they thought that they could shell the bunker in which Lalak Jan was positioned.

The Indian Military was so impressed by his courage and valour that they personally conveyed a message to the Pakistan Military to award Jan a medal for his actions

Looks like it was more then a indo-terrorist conflict.
 
Scorpious,

What i meant, during Kargil conflict Pakistan maintained it has nothing to do with Kargil and it was Kashmiri "freedom" fighters.
 
When has Pakistan *EVER* had the upper hand?? Please remind me.

I don't see why you guys are pissing your pants. India isn't interested in open war with Pakistan.
Heck...the last couple of wars, Pakistan attacked India, even though India had a slight military advantage.
 
I don't think you can make a case that Pakistan has had the upper hand militarily for quite some time now. Arguably instability has existed primarily when India has had the upper hand. The past few years of relative calm and stability have occurred while Pakistan has maintained an equality, or arguably even an edge, with India in the nuclear weapons and missile sphere.

Thats really funny. Last I remember, its the Pakistanis who infiltrated into Kashmir, got bashed, claimed that its "mujahideens" who were fighting.
Then onwards Musharraf has finally realized that war is futile,has been fighting domestic battles and pleasing Bush. Hence the peace.

I never said that Pakistan had an upper hand. All I'm saying, is that theoretically if Pakistan happened to have the upper hand, it would be for "greater stability" and if India has the upper hand, it will lead to "instability".

Thats pretty skewed thinking imo.
 
Kargil was a really super show of the Mujahideen and the NLI soldiers infront of +45000 Indian Army and the Airforce onslaught.
 
Kargil was a really super show of the Mujahideen and the NLI soldiers infront of +45000 Indian Army and the Airforce onslaught.

Yeah a super show of dead bodies, the entire NLi was wiped off and was written off as non regulars.
 
Thats really funny. Last I remember, its the Pakistanis who infiltrated into Kashmir, got bashed, claimed that its "mujahideens" who were fighting.
Then onwards Musharraf has finally realized that war is futile,has been fighting domestic battles and pleasing Bush. Hence the peace.

I never said that Pakistan had an upper hand. All I'm saying, is that theoretically if Pakistan happened to have the upper hand, it would be for "greater stability" and if India has the upper hand, it will lead to "instability".

Thats pretty skewed thinking imo.

Pakistan got bashed and then why was india shouthing so much and going to US to put pressure on pakistan to stop this? Anyhow arguing on this will leave us nowhere.
Pakistan having the upper hand u must be kidding me, When did pakistan had the upper hand and that it wanted to dominate the region unlike india? You guys take weapons from everywere and building a huge stockpile of weapons and when pakistan, 1st of all we are always probe to sactions if some how we get those old f-16s, india starts shouting kah pata nahi kon si qamayat ah gai ha.
Indias upper hand has always let the region into instability in the past coz india has problems with almost every naughbour of hers Pakistan, BD, China, Srilanka and in this so called threat she throws the reigion in an arms race and now after the deal there will be a new nuclear arms race in the region. God save us all
 
I don't see why you guys are pissing your pants. India isn't interested in open war with Pakistan.
Heck...the last couple of wars, Pakistan attacked India, even though India had a slight military advantage.

LoL...Please dont make me laugh with statements like "pissing our pants". The point is about the concern that the US supply of Nuclear energy/components would be used on the weaponization program leading to a bigger arms race.

As far as your term "slight", lets not go there. Its something that you guys keep on saying to make yourselves feel better. Any which way you look at it, Indian capability is at least 2-4 times greater than Pakistan's. In any case, such is life and Pakistan is used to it. No worries if someone points out a valid issue.
 

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