Top 30 countries at highest risk for mass killing

[Kailash Kumar]

COUNTRIES AT RISK FOR MASS KILLING 2018–19

Introduction

The Early Warning Project’s Statistical Risk Assessment uses publicly available data and statistical modeling to produce a list of countries ranked by their likelihood of experiencing an onset, or new episode, of mass killing.

By our definition, a mass killing occurs when the deliberate actions of armed groups in a particular country (including but not limited to state security forces, rebel armies, and other militias) result in the deaths of at least 1,000 noncombatant civilians in that country over a period of one year or less.
The civilians must also have been targeted for being part of a specific group.
Mass killing is a subset of “mass atrocities,” which we define more generally as “large-scale, systematic violence against civilian populations.”

Top 30 countries by estimated likelihood of onset of mass killing, 2018–19

Some countries have multiple ongoing episodes.
The probabilities displayed here are associated with the onset of an additional mass killing episode.

Note:
* indicates ongoing state-led mass killings;
° indicates ongoing non-state-led mass killings.

1. Democratic Republic of Congo° (30.9%)
2. Afghanistan° (24.1%)
3. Egypt (24.0%)
4. South Sudan*° (18.3%)
5. Pakistan° (16.7%)
6. Yemen (16.1%)
7. Angola (11.6%)
8. Turkey (11.2%)
9. Sudan** (9.7%)
10. Somalia° (9.5%)
11. Ivory Coast (9.4%)
12. Libya (9.3%)
13. Bangladesh (8.8%)
14. India° (7.8%)
15. Syria*° (7.7%)
16. Burundi (7.5%)
17. Cameroon (7.2%)
18. Iraq*° (6.9%)
19. Chad (6.0%)
20. Nigeria*° (5.9%)
21. Tanzania (5.5%)
22. Burma/Myanmar** (5.4%)
23. Uganda (5.3%)
24. Zimbabwe (5.0%)
25. Kenya (4.9%)
26. Haiti (4.6%)
27. Republic of the Congo (4.3%)
28. North Korea* (4.2%)
29. Rwanda (4.2%)
30. China (4.0%)

For the ranking of all countries by statistical risk:
https://earlywarningproject.ushmm.org/ranking-of-all-countries

For an interactive map of all countries by statistical risk:
https://earlywarningproject.ushmm.org/map

Source:
https://earlywarningproject.ushmm.org/storage/resources/507/Early Warning Project Statistical Risk Assessment_2018_19.pdf

 

[KhalaiMakhlooq]

 

[Hamartia Antidote]

Hey look at which country is not on the list (and which one's are).

@gambit @F-22Raptor @KAL-EL @VCheng

 

[Kailash Kumar]

Explain yourself.

 

[xyxmt]

Hey look at which country is not on the list (and which one's are).

@gambit @F-22Raptor @KAL-EL @VCheng

maybe because list is not counting school shootings and musical concert shootings

 

[Hamartia Antidote]

maybe because list is not counting school shootings and musical concert shootings

Well certain members were saying the US Government was planning to use armed UAV's to slaughter the US population...now their countries are on the list. We can now point the finger at this article.

 

[YeBeWarned]

Mass killing in Pakistan ? Wow can this list be more Dumb ?

 

[ZeEa5KPul]

Hey look at which country is not on the list (and which one's are).

@gambit @F-22Raptor @KAL-EL @VCheng

Wow, some worthless US NGO didn't put the US at #1 where it belongs. Quelle surprise!

A lot of victims of US imperialism on the list though. The US sure does love to spread its "values" (chaos and destruction) around the world.

 

[Kailash Kumar]

Mass killing in Pakistan ? Wow can this list be more Dumb ? no India ? US ? Ukraine ?

India is at nr. 14 (7.8%)
U.S. is at nr. 80 (0.8%)
Ukraine is at nr. 47 (2.1%)

Do not forget:
The probabilities displayed here (which determine the ranking) are associated with the onset of an additional mass killing episode.

Additional.

For the ranking of all countries by statistical risk:
https://earlywarningproject.ushmm.org/ranking-of-all-countries

 

[Hamartia Antidote]

Mass killing in Pakistan ? Wow can this list be more Dumb ? no India ? US ? Ukraine ?

India #14

 

[艹艹艹]

 

[Hamartia Antidote]

Mao...what's a few million of my own people dead...'nuff said

 

[艹艹艹]

'nuff said

China is already on the list, I just want to remind you not to forget what happened to the American indians

 

[Hamartia Antidote]

China is already on the list, I just want to remind you not to forget what happened to the American indian

We are already on the list too at #80. Just reminding you of the history of your government.

 

[艹艹艹]

We are already on the list too at #80. Just reminding you of the history of your government.

And don't forget the bombs America has dropped on other countries