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The value of money decreased further

bluesky

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The value of money decreased further
Economic Reporter
(12 hours ago) April 26, 2022, Thursday, 6:26 p.m.
Last updated: 10:20 p.m.

The value of money is declining. In a single day, the Bangladeshi currency lost 25 paise against the US dollar. In the interbank currency market, one had to spend Tk 86.45 per dollar on Wednesday. Earlier on Tuesday, one dollar had to be spent at Tk 86.20 in the interbank money market.

Banks are selling dollars at five-six Taka more. The dollar is being sold at 93 Taka in the open market. State-owned Sonali, Janata and Agrani-three banks sold cash dollars at Tk 92 on Wednesday. Private Eastern Bank has sold at 92.50 taka.

According to Bangladesh Bank, on August 5 last year, the dollar was sold at Tk 84.80 per dollar in the interbank money market. The dollar has been 'stable' for more than a year. Since then, the dollar has been rising. It has been observed that in the last nine months, the US dollar, the world's largest economy, has appreciated by about 2 percent against the Bangladeshi currency.

Economists and bankers say the dollar is valued more as demand picks up as imports rise abnormally as epidemics return to normal.

Even selling dollars from the reserve is not going to control the price. Bangladesh Bank has been selling dollars to keep the money market normal.

In all, the central bank has sold 4.6 billion dollars in about ten months (July 1 to April 26, 2021) till Wednesday of the current 2021-22 fiscal year. Even then the market volatility is not cutting. The US dollar continues to appreciate.

Due to the Corona epidemic, imports fell sharply during the last fiscal year 2020-21. But remittances and export earnings sent by expatriates jumped. That is why the supply of dollars in the market has increased. In that scenario, the central bank bought a record about 8,000 million (800 crore) in the last fiscal year to keep the Taka price stable. In its continuation, in the first month of the current 2021-22 fiscal year, in July, 250 million dollars were bought.

But since August, the picture is reversed. As the Corona situation began to normalize, imports began to increase by leaps and bounds. Although exports increased, remittances continued to decline. Foreign exchange reserves are also declining. The demand for dollars in the market increases; Prices continue to rise. Bangladesh Bank started selling dollars from August to keep the market stable, which is still continuing.

Ahsan H. Mansoor, executive director of the Policy Research Institute (PRI), said imports have risen sharply as the Corona situation has returned to normal; About 50 percent. But instead of increasing remittances, it has decreased by 20 percent. Exports are increasing. In any case, imports must be reduced. And if that doesn't happen, it will cause more pressure on the reserves.

Due to the increase in imports, Bangladesh's foreign exchange reserves have come down to 44 billion dollars. At the end of the day on Sunday, the reserves stood at 44.30 billion.
 
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The value of money decreased further
Economic Reporter
(12 hours ago) April 26, 2022, Thursday, 6:26 p.m.
Last updated: 10:20 p.m.

The value of money is declining. In a single day, the Bangladeshi currency lost 25 paise against the US dollar. In the interbank currency market, one had to spend Tk 86.45 per dollar on Wednesday. Earlier on Tuesday, one dollar had to be spent at Tk 86.20 in the interbank money market.

Banks are selling dollars at five-six Taka more. The dollar is being sold at 93 Taka in the open market. State-owned Sonali, Janata and Agrani-three banks sold cash dollars at Tk 92 on Wednesday. Private Eastern Bank has sold at 92.50 taka.

According to Bangladesh Bank, on August 5 last year, the dollar was sold at Tk 84.80 per dollar in the interbank money market. The dollar has been 'stable' for more than a year. Since then, the dollar has been rising. It has been observed that in the last nine months, the US dollar, the world's largest economy, has appreciated by about 2 percent against the Bangladeshi currency.

Economists and bankers say the dollar is valued more as demand picks up as imports rise abnormally as epidemics return to normal.

Even selling dollars from the reserve is not going to control the price. Bangladesh Bank has been selling dollars to keep the money market normal.

In all, the central bank has sold 4.6 billion dollars in about ten months (July 1 to April 26, 2021) till Wednesday of the current 2021-22 fiscal year. Even then the market volatility is not cutting. The US dollar continues to appreciate.

Due to the Corona epidemic, imports fell sharply during the last fiscal year 2020-21. But remittances and export earnings sent by expatriates jumped. That is why the supply of dollars in the market has increased. In that scenario, the central bank bought a record about 8,000 million (800 crore) in the last fiscal year to keep the Taka price stable. In its continuation, in the first month of the current 2021-22 fiscal year, in July, 250 million dollars were bought.

But since August, the picture is reversed. As the Corona situation began to normalize, imports began to increase by leaps and bounds. Although exports increased, remittances continued to decline. Foreign exchange reserves are also declining. The demand for dollars in the market increases; Prices continue to rise. Bangladesh Bank started selling dollars from August to keep the market stable, which is still continuing.

Ahsan H. Mansoor, executive director of the Policy Research Institute (PRI), said imports have risen sharply as the Corona situation has returned to normal; About 50 percent. But instead of increasing remittances, it has decreased by 20 percent. Exports are increasing. In any case, imports must be reduced. And if that doesn't happen, it will cause more pressure on the reserves.

Due to the increase in imports, Bangladesh's foreign exchange reserves have come down to 44 billion dollars. At the end of the day on Sunday, the reserves stood at 44.30 billion.

Well the whole world is reeling from inflation. Bangladesh is subject to this global trend.

Gas is selling at $6 a gallon in California. Energy price fluctuations affect the price of everything including food.

Biden and his stupid moves pushing Russia to a corner.
 
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"Inflation" is as artificial as the concept of money and should not exist.
 
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Well the whole world is reeling from inflation. Bangladesh is subject to this global trend.

Gas is selling at $6 a gallon in California. Energy price fluctuations affect the price of everything including food.

Biden and his stupid moves pushing Russia to a corner.
I think the value of Taka has been kept stronger artificially for many years. Now, with a big import bill of $80 billion, pressure is mounting on the dollar. So, Taka (at 92 for a dollar) has become weak.

On the positive side, this will make our products cheaper in the world market and import expensive. It will give BD a competitive edge for the export goods and the imports will be more expensive in terms of Taka.
 
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I think the value of Taka has been kept stronger artificially for many years. Now, with a big import bill of $80 billion, pressure is mounting on the dollar. So, Taka (at 92 for a dollar) has become weak.

On the positive side, this will make our products cheaper in the world market and import expensive. It will give BD a competitive edge for the export goods and the imports will be more expensive in terms of Taka.

We needed a correction for a long time. This will make our exports cheaper and possibly invite more local export-based investments which we need anyway. Will also hopefully encourage setting up more value addition auxiliary industries (for example motorcycle and cellphone parts) rather than importing them.
 
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We needed a correction for a long time. This will make our exports cheaper and possibly invite more local export-based investments which we need anyway. Will also hopefully encourage setting up more value addition auxiliary industries (for example motorcycle and cellphone parts) rather than importing them.
The Japanese and Korean companies will find a weaker Taka lucrative and will be encouraged to set up factories in BD. The Japanese want to compete China in the African market with cheaper products produced in their factories in BD.

A little weaker Taka is appreciated.
 
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We are importing too much unnecessary luxury products. Govt should devalue taka against dollar...
 
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We are importing too much unnecessary luxury products. Govt should devalue taka against dollar...
You are right to say that BD is importing too much of luxury goods as if the country belongs to the rich.

But, there is an other side of the story. The country's personal and corporate tax systems lack ingenuity and the direct tax collection is very low.

However, the govt needs money. So, it supports importing luxury goods at the detriment of the economic future, and this is how the govt collects duties, sales taxes etc. from the rich consumers.

This is how the govt earns money and the country loses its precious foreign currency.
 
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You are right to say that BD is importing too much of luxury goods as if the country belongs to the rich.

But, there is an other side of the story. The country's personal and corporate tax systems lack ingenuity and the direct tax collection is very low.

However, the govt needs money. So, it supports importing luxury goods at the detriment of the economic future, and this is how the govt collects duties, sales taxes etc. from the rich consumers.

This is how the govt earns money and the country loses its precious foreign currency.
Yah, I also believe so...
 
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I am no expert - but these inflationary pressures will not subside until,

a) COVID itself subsides (Shanghai lockdown) and
b) the global supply-chain problems sort themselves out and normalize (which is connected to number one above largely), and above all,
c) the Russia- Ukraine situation (including petroleum blackmail) gets settled.

This is connected with Bangladesh fall of the Taka against the US dollar. Large economy vs. small economy effect. The former can weather these economic storms better than the latter.

As always take my opinion with a grain of salt....
 
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