Strengthen Masula Radar station, State urges Centre

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Earth Science
21-August, 2018 14:49 IST
Cyclone Warning Centre to be set up in Thiruvananthapuram within a month

With several incidents of tropical cyclones and severe weather events striking over Kerala and Karnataka coasts in the recent times, the Union Ministry of Earth Sciences is proposing to set up a Cyclone Warning Centre in Thiruvananthapuram. The Ministry is planning to set up the Centre in another one month. At present, IMD has cyclone warning centres only at Chennai, Vishakhapatnam, Bhubaneswar, Kolkata, Ahmedabad and Mumbai.

The Centre will cater to the needs of Kerala and Karnataka states and will be equipped with all state of the art infrastructure including forecasting tools to issue weather warnings and coastal bulletins (for fishermen,etc.).It will further strengthen the present forecasting activity in India Meteorological Department’s existing office in Kerala.

The Ministry is also planning to set up another C-Band Doppler Weather Radar at Mangalore by end of 2019, which will cover the northern parts of Kerala. At present, there are two Doppler Weather Radars in the state, at Kochi and Thiruvananthapuram. With these 3 radars, the entire state will be covered for monitoring of rainfall and severe weather events, and adequately warn the people well in advance. IMD has developed many new models and tools right from nowcasts (2-3 hours) to extended range forecasts (15-20 days’ lead time).

The Department is also planning to organize an awareness and training workshop for the state disaster management authorities of all states and other stakeholders by next month, to brief and train them on the new tools and how to make use of them for effective decision making.

 

[Hindustani78]

Civic body seeks assistance from ISRO for satellite imagery in 29 wards
The Chennai Corporation is planning to shelve the project for drone survey of buildings in 29 wards around the airport owing to security reasons.

Drone images of buildings in 29 wards in areas such as Alandur, Adyar, Teynampet, Valasaravakkam and Perungudi have not been generated because of the delay in issuance of permission from the airport.

After several days of brainstorming, the civic body officials have decided to approach ISRO for completing the project. “We have written to the National Remote Sensing Centre, ISRO, for satellite imagery of the area covering 5 km radius of the Airport. But the satellite images will not have the same resolution. It will not be as clear as the images captured by a drone. This is a challenge,” said an official.

Airport authorities have not been able to give clearance for the project because of the high risk associated with flying drones close to the airport funnel area.

Forest officials have not cleared the proposal to generate drone images of the Guindy National Park and the Pallikaranai marshland. These images could uncover encroachments in these areas. Raj Bhavan officials have not permitted drone images of the premises, citing security reasons.

Currently, the civic body has generated drone images for 319 km of the city.

“The entire Alandur zone will not be able to get drone images for its buildings and utilities,” an official said. Identification of unassessed and underassessed buildings in the zone is likely to be delayed. In other zones of the city, work on identification of underassessed and unassessed buildings will begin this week. Compilation of data on a few wards is likely to be completed this week. Chennai Corporation will revise the property tax of such buildings after verifying the data, comparing the digitised drone images with the data compiled by tax assessors of the Chennai Corporation Revenue Department. Currently, the city has 12 lakh properties.

But the drone images are expected to facilitate the addition of several lakhs of properties in the property tax net. The civic body will also develop an App to check how footpaths have been used by pedestrians.

“We will link LIDAR data on footpaths with the digitised images. Civic officials will monitor how the situation has improved for pedestrians and suggest changes to improve conditions of footpaths,” said an official. The civic body will calculate the total number of floors, creating a unique id for every building in the city.

“Earlier, we did not have data for every building. This data will be used to spot violators. But we will not penalise the people below the poverty line,” an official said.

 

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Earth Science
29-August, 2018 13:09 IST
Umbrella scheme “Ocean Services, Technology, Observations, Resources Modelling and Science (O-SMART)” of Ministry of Earth Sciences

The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs, chaired by the Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi has given its approval for the umbrella scheme “Ocean Services, Technology, Observations, Resources Modelling and Science (O-SMART)”, for implementation during the period from 2017-18 to 2019-20 at an overall cost of Rs.1623 crore. The scheme encompasses a total of 16 sub-projects addressing ocean development activities such as Services, Technology, Resources, Observations and Science.

Impact:

The services rendered under the O-SMART will provide economic benefits to a number of user communities in the coastal and ocean sectors, namely, fisheries, offshore industry, coastal states, Defence, Shipping, Ports etc. Currently, five lakhs fishermen community are receiving this information daily through mobile which includes allocation of fish potential and local weather conditions in the coastal waters. This will help in reducing the search time for fishermen resulting savings in the fuel cost.

Implementation of O-SMART will help in addressing issues relating to Sustainable Development Goal-14, which aims to conserve use of oceans, marine resources for sustainable development. This scheme (O-SMART) also provide necessary scientific and technological background required for implementation of various aspects of Blue Economy.

The State of Art Early Warning Systems established under the O-SMART Scheme will help in effectively dealing with ocean disasters like Tsunami, storm surges.

The technologies being developed under this Scheme will help in harnessing the vast ocean resources of both living and non-living resources from the seas around India.

Details:

Recognizing the importance of implementing schemes of highly multi-disciplinary in the ocean sector of national interests and international commitments, the ministry is proposing to continue the existing schemes in a focused way as a part of umbrella scheme of (O-SMART). As the resources on land are not adequate enough to meet the future demands, India is also embarking on blue economy for effective and efficient use of the vast ocean resources in a sustainable way, which would require a great deal of information on ocean science, development of technology and providing services. Further, the coastal research and marine biodiversity activities are important to be continued also in the context of achieving United Nations Sustainable Development Goal-14 to conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development. This has been envisaged under the (O-SMART)scheme. The ocean advisory services and technologies being rendered and developed under the scheme play a pivotal role in the development activities over dozen sectors, working in the marine environment including the coastal states of India, contributing significantly to the GDP. Besides, the state-of-the art early warning systems setup for oceanic disasters viz., Tsunami, storm surges, are also providing round the clock services for India and countries of the Indian Ocean, which have been recognized by UNESCO.

The important deliverables during the next 2 years envisage include (i) strengthening of Ocean Observations and Modelling (ii) Strengthening of Ocean Services for Fishermen (iii) setting up Marine Coastal Observatories for monitoring marine pollution in 2018 (iv) setting up Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Plant (OTEC) in Kavaratti (v) acquisition of 2 Coastal Research Vessels for Coastal research (vi) Continuation of Ocean Survey and Exploration of Minerals and Living Resources (vii) Technology Development for Deep Ocean Mining- Deep Mining System and Manned Submersibles and (ix) setting up Six Desalination Plants in Lakshadweep

Background:

In accordance of the Ocean Policy Statement enacted in November 1982, the Ministry has been implementing a number of multi-disciplinary projects in the field of ocean development primarily to (i) provide a suite of Ocean Information services, (ii) develop technology for sustainable harnessing the ocean resources, (iii) promote front-ranking research and (iv) conduct ocean scientific ocean surveys. The programs/policies of Ministry of Earth Sciences(MoES) are being pursued through its autonomous institutes, viz. National Institute of Ocean Technology, Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services, National Centre for Antarctic and Ocean Research, and attached offices, Centre for Marine Living Resources and Ecology, National Centre for Coastal Research and other national institutes. A fleet of research vessels viz., Technology Demonstration vessel SagarNidhi, Oceanographic Research Vessel SagarKanya, Fisheries and Oceanographic Research Vessel SagarSampada and Coastal Research Vessel SagarPurvi have been acquired to provide required research support.

During the period, several major milestones under various programs have been accomplished which include according pioneer status on deep-sea mining of Poly-Metallic Nodules [PMN] in an area of 75,000 square kilometers in the Central Indian Ocean [CIO] allotted by International Sea Bed Authority [ISBA] for exploration of PMN, allotment of 10,000 sq.km in the Indian Ocean for exploration of hydrothermal sulphides. The ministry has been providing a number of ocean information services to various coastal stake holders viz., fisherman, coastal states, offshore industry, navy, coast Guard, etc. Some of the services have also been extended to neighbouring countries of the Indian Ocean Region. India’s ocean related activities are now extended from the Arctic to the Antarctic region covering large ocean spaces which have been monitored through a wide spectrum of in situ and satellite-based observations. India has also established a state-of-the art early warning systems for ocean disasters, viz, tsunami, cyclones, storm surges etc., India had also signed the Antarctic Treaty System and joined Commission of Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR) for harnessing the resources. The technologies for harnessing the ocean resources are at various stages. Some of them have been matured and operational like low temperature thermal desalination for islands. Besides, the ministry has been monitoring the health of coastal waters of India including shoreline changes and marine ecosystem. The others like Remotely Operated Submersible and soil tester, both capable of operation upto 6000 m. water depth, shallow bed mining systems are some of the cutting edge technologies developed.

*****

 

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Earth Science
20-September, 2018 18:00 IST
IMD issues Cyclone Alert for south Odisha north Andhra Pradesh coasts

The deep depression over west central Bay of Bengal moved west-northwestwards in past six hours with a speed about 12 kmph. It lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of today, the 20th September, 2018 over west central Bay of Bengal near latitude 17.60N and longitude 86.80E, about 290 km east-southeast of Kalingapatnam (Coastal Andhra Pradesh) and about 270 km southeast of Gopalpur (Odisha).

It is likely to intensify into a cyclonic storm during next 12 hours. It is very likely to move west-northwestwards and cross south Odisha north Andhra Pradesh coasts between Kalingapatnam & Puri (Odisha), close to Gopalpur around mid-night of today, the 20th September as a cyclonic storm with wind speed of 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:


Date/Time(IST)
Position
(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)
Maximum sustained surface
wind speed (Kmph)
Category of cyclonic disturbance
20.09.18/1130
17.6/86.8
55-65 gusting to 75
Deep Depression

20.09.18/1730
18.5/85.5
60-70 gusting to 80
Cyclonic Storm

20.09.18/2330
19.2/84.2
60-70 gusting to 80
Cyclonic Storm

21.09.18/0530
19.8/82.9
55-65 gusting to 75
Deep Depression

21.09.18/1130
20.5/81.4
45-55 gusting to 65
Depression

21.09.18/2330
21.8/78.9
40-50 gusting to 60
Depression

22.09.18/1130
23.1/76.5
30-40 gusting to 50
Depression


Warning

1. Rainfall:

Meteorological Subdivision
Forecast for Day-1 upto 0830 hours IST of 21 Sept
Forecast for Day-2 upto 0830 hours IST of 22 Sept
Forecast for Day-3 upto 0830 hours IST of 23 Sept
Odisha
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places over Odisha with extremely heavy falls at isolated places over south Odisha
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places over north Odisha
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at a few places
Coastal Andhra Pradesh
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls with extremely heavy falls at isolated places over north Coastal Andhra Pradesh
Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at many places
Rainfall at many places
Telangana
Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls with extremely heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at a few places

Gangetic west Bengal
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at a few places
Jharkhand
Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at a few places
Chhattisgarh
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at a few places
Vidarbha
Rainfall at many places
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places
Rayalaseema
Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at many places
Rainfall at a few places
East Madhya Pradesh
Rainfall at a few places
Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at many places

West Madhya Pradesh
Rainfall at isolated places
Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places
East Rajasthan
Rainfall at isolated places
Rainfall at a few places with heavy falls at isolated places
Rainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places

1. Wind Warning:

• Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph is very likely along & off Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh Coasts during next 03 hours. It will gradually increase becoming 60-70 kmph gusting 80 kmph from today evening for subsequent 12 hours.
• Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph is very likely along & off West Bengal during next 24 hours.
• Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph is very likely over central & adjoining north Bay of Bengal around the deep depression centre. It will gradually increase becoming 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph over northwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal from today, the 20th September evening for subsequent 12 hours

1. Sea Condition:

State of sea will be very rough over central and North Bay of Bengal and along & off Odisha, West Bengal and north Andhra Pradesh Coasts during next 06 hours and become high along & off north Andhra Pradesh & south Odisha Coasts from today, the 20th September evening for subsequent 12 hours.

1. Storm Surge Warning:

Storm surge of about 0.5 meter above astronomical tides likely to inundate low lying areas of districts of Vizianagaram & Srikakulam of Andhra Pradesh; Gajapati, Ganjam, Khurda and Puri districts of Odisha at the time of landfall.

1. Damage Expected over districts of Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam of Andhra Pradesh, Gajapati, Ganjam, Khurda, Nayagarh and Puri districts of Odisha :

Damage to thatched huts; Minor damage to power and communication lines due to breaking of branches and Major damage to Kutcha and minor damage to Pucca roads. Some damage to paddy crops, banana, papaya trees and orchards. Sea water inundation in low lying areas after erosion of Kutcha embankments.

1. Action Suggested:

Total suspension of fishing operations, Fishermen are advised not to venture into northwest Bay of Bengal and along & off Odisha, West Bengal and north Andhra Pradesh Coasts during next 24 hours.



***

 

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Earth Science
10-October, 2018 16:51 IST
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over west central Bay of Bengal: Cyclone Warning for districts of north Andhra Pradesh & Odisha coasts. Red Alert Issued

Titli being monitored by the coastal Doppler Weather Radars at Visakhapatnam, Gopalpur and Paradip

A) Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over westcentral Bay of Bengal: Cyclone Warning for districts of north Andhra Pradesh & Odisha coasts: Red Message.

Yesterday’s cyclonic storm over west central Bay of Bengal (BoB) moved west-north-westwards, intensified into a severe cyclonic storm in the early morning and into a very severe cyclonic storm around noon of today, the 10th October, 2018.

The very severe cyclonic storm, Titli is being monitored by the coastal Doppler Weather Radars at Visakhapatnam, Gopalpur and Paradip. The latest observations indicate that the Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over west central Bay of Bengal moved north-westwards with a speed of about 15 kmph during past 06 hours, intensified into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm and lay cantered at 1130 hrs IST of today, the 10th October 2018 over West central Bay of Bengal near latitude 16.8°N and longitude 85.6°E, about 280 km south-southeast of Gopalpur (Odisha) and 230 km southeast of Kalingapatnam (Andhra Pradesh).

It is very likely to intensify further during next 12 hours. It is very likely to move north-north-westwards and cross Odisha & adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts between Gopalpur & Kalingapatnam around morning of 11th October.

Thereafter, it is very likely to re-curve north-eastwards, move towards Gangetic West Bengal across Odisha and weaken gradually.

(B) Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, ‘LUBAN’ over west central & adjoining southwest Arabian Sea:

Yesterday’s Cyclonic Storm “LUBAN” over west central & adjoining southwest Arabian Sea moved west-north-westwards and intensified into a severe cyclonic storm in the same evening. It further intensified into a very severe cyclonic storm over west central Arabian Sea and lay centered at 1130 hrs IST 10th October 2018 near latitude 14.2°N and longitude 58.9°E, about 600 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman), 560 km east-northeast of Socotra Islands (Yemen) and 760 km east-southeast of Al-Ghaidah (Yemen). It is very likely to intensify further and move west-north-westwards towards Yemen & South Oman Coasts during next 4 days.



***

RDS/GK/YK

Ministry of Earth Science
10-October, 2018 13:25 IST
Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over westcentral Bay of Bengal:

Cyclone Warning for districts of north Andhra Pradesh & Odisha coasts Red Message- based on 0830 hrs IST of 10th October 2018

The Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over westcentral Bay of Bengal moved northwards with a speed of about 14 kmph during past 06 hours, and lay centered at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 10th October 2018 over Westcentral Bay of Bengal near latitude 16.5°N and longitude 85.8°E, about 320 km south-southeast of Gopalpur (Odisha) and 270 km southeast of Kalingapatnam (Andhra Pradesh). It is very likely to intensify further into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm.



It is very likely to move north-northwestwards and cross Odisha & adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts between Gopalpur & Kalingapatnam around morning of 11th October. Thereafter, it is very likely to re-curve northeastwards, move towards Gangetic West Bengal across Odisha and weaken gradually.



***

 

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Earth Science
11-October, 2018 16:26 IST
Very severe cyclonic storm ‘Titli’ to move northwestwards for next 12 hours and then re-curve northeastwards towards Gangetic West Bengal across Odisha.

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at Isolated Places over south Odisha.

1. Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over south Odisha & neighbourhood

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Titli moved northwestwards and crossed north Andhra Pradesh - south Odisha coasts, near latitude 18.8°N and longitude 84.5°E (near Palasa, Srikakulam District) to the southwest of Gopalpur, as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm with estimated maximum sustained surface wind speed of 140-150 kmph gusting to 165 kmph between 0430 and 0530 hours IST of today, the 11th October 2018. It further moved west-northwestwards and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 11th October 2018 over south Odisha near latitude 19.0°N and longitude 84.1°E, about 90 km west-southwest of Gopalpur and 60 km south-southeast of Phulbani.

It is very likely to move northwestwards for next 12 hours and then re-curve northeastwards towards Gangetic West Bengal across Odisha. It is very likely to weaken gradually becoming severe cyclonic storm around noon, cyclonic storm around evening and a deep depression by mid-night of today, the 11th October 2018.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:



Date/Time(IST)

Position

(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)

Maximum sustained surface

wind speed (kmph)

Category of cyclonic

disturbance

11.10.18/0830

19.0/84.1

120-130 gusting to 145

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/1130

19.3/84.0

110-120 gusting to 135

Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/1730

19.5/84.0

80-90 gusting to 100

Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/2330

20.1/84.5

55-65 gusting to 75

Deep Depression

12.10.18/0530

20.7/85.1

50-60 gusting to 70

Deep Depression

12.10.18/1730

21.7/86.3

40-50 gusting to 60

Depression

1. 1. Heavy rainfall warnings:

Region

11 Oct. 2018 (Rainfall till

0830 IST of next day)

12 Oct. 2018(Rainfall till

0830 IST of next day)

13 Oct. 2018(Rainfall till

0830 IST of next day)





Odisha

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at Isolated Places

over south Odisha.

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at Isolated Places









Nil

North Coastal Andhra Pradesh

Rainfall at a few places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places



Nil





Nil

Gangetic West Bengal

Rainfall at most places with

heavy to very heavy falls at Isolated Places

Rainfall at most places

with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places

Rainfall at most places with

heavy to very heavy falls at Isolated Places





Assam & Meghalaya

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at Isolated Places

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls and extremely heavy

falls at Isolated Places

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls and extremely heavy falls at

Isolated Places

Mizoram & Tripura

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at

Isolated Places

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy

falls at isolated places

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at

isolated places



Legends: Red-Take Action; Orange- Be prepared; Yellow- be updated; Green: No warning Heavy rain: 64.5-115.5 mm/day; Very heavy rain: 115.6-204.4 mm/day; Extremely heavy rain: more than 204.4 mm/day

• 1. Wind warning
• Gale wind speed reaching 90-100 kmph gusting to 115 kmph very likely over Gajapati, Ganjam, Nayagarh Kandhamal & Raigada districts of Odisha during next six hours and gradually decrease thereafter becoming squally wind speed of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph by evening. Gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph very likely along & off south coastal Odisha during next 06 hours and squally wind speed of 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph likely during subsequent 18 hours.
• Squally wind speed of 40-50 kmph gusting 60 kmph very likely along & off north Odisha and West Bengal coasts during next 24 hours. Squally wind speed of 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph is very likely over adjoining districts of north interior Odisha from today afternoon for subsequent 12 hours.
  1. Sea condition
• The sea condition will be very rough to high over westcentral & north Bay of Bengal and along & off south Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts during next 06 hours. It will become very rough along & off these coasts for subsequent 24 hours and gradually improve thereafter. Sea conditions will be rough to very rough along & off West Bengal and north Odisha Coasts on 11th & 12th October.
  1. Damage Expected over Gajapati, Ganjam, Nayagarh Kandhamal and Raigada districts of Odisha:
• Major damage to thatched houses/ huts. Roof tops may blow off. Unattached metal sheets may fly.
• Major damage to Kutcha and some damage to Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes
• Minor damage to power and communication lines
• Breaking of tree branches, uprooting of large avenue trees. Moderate damage to banana and papaya trees. Large dead limbs blown from trees
• Major damage to standing crops, plantations and orchards.
  1. Action Suggested:
• Total suspension of fishing operations.
• The fishermen are advised not to venture into north Bay of Bengal on 11th & 12th October 2018.
• People advised to remain indoors during next six hours in the around 100 km from the centre of the Very Severe Cyclonic Storm over south Odisha .
• Judicious regulation of rail and road traffic needed.

Verification of Heavy Rainfall Warning issued at 0830 hours IST of 10th September for Day-1 upto 0830 hours IST of 11th September is given at Annexure-I.

1. Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, ‘LUBAN’ over westcentral & adjoining southwest Arabian Sea:

Yesterday’s very severe cyclonic storm ‘LUBAN’ over westcentral Arabian Sea moved initially northwestawards & then westwards and lay centered at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 11th October 2018 over westcentral Arabian Sea, near latitude 14.5°N and longitude 58.0°E, about 500 km east- southeast of Salalah (Oman), 490 km east-northeast of Socotra Islands (Yemen) and 670 km east- southeast of Al-Ghaidah (Yemen). It is very likely to intensify further and move west-northwestwards towards Yemen & South Oman Coasts during next 4 days.



Forecast track & intensity are given in the following table:



Date/Time(IST)

Position

(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)

Maximum sustained surface

wind speed (Kmph)

Category of cyclonic

disturbance

11.10.18/0830

14.5/58.0

125-135 gusting to 150

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/1130

14.6/57.8

125-135 gusting to 150

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/1730

14.7/57.7

135-145 gusting to 160

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11.10.18/2330

14.9/57.3

135-145 gusting to 160

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

12.10.18/0530

15.0/57.0

135-145 gusting to 160

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

12.10.18/1730

15.0/56.5

125-135 gusting to 150

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

13.10.18/0530

15.1/55.4

120-130 gusting to 145

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

13.10.18/1730

15.1/53.5

110-120 gusting to 135

Severe Cyclonic Storm

14.10.18/0530

15.2/51.8

105-115 gusting to 130

Severe Cyclonic Storm

14.10.18/1730

15.2/50.5

80-90 gusting to 100

Cyclonic Storm

15.10.18/0530

15.3/49.1

50-60 gusting to 70

Deep Depression

Warnings:

• 1. Wind warning
• Gale wind speed reaching 120-130 kmph gusting to 145 kmph is prevailing over westcentral Arabian Sea. It is very likely to decrease gradually becoming 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph by 14th October 2018 morning over westcentral Arabian Sea around the system centre.

1. 1. Sea condition

• • The sea condition is phenomenal around the system centre. It is very likely continue to be phenomenal over westcentral Arabian Sea till 13th October 2018 morning and over adjoin areas of Gulf of Aden.

1. 1. Fishermen Warning

• • The fishermen are advised not to venture into deep sea areas of westcentral Arabian Sea & Gulf of Aden till 14th October.

***

Ministry of Earth Science
11-October, 2018 13:10 IST
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ to weaken as cyclonic storm by today evening.

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over north Coastal Andhra Pradesh & adjoining south Odisha moved Westnorth westwards with a speed of about 13kmph during past 06 hours and lay centred at 0830 hours IST of today, 11th October 2018 over south Odisha near Lat 19.0 °N and Long 84.1° E, about 90 km west southwest of Gopalpur and 60 km southsoutheast of Phulbani. It is very likely to move northwestwards for next 12 hours and then recurve northeastwards towards Gangetic West Bengal across Odisha. It is very likely to weaken gradually becoming severe cyclonic storm around noon, cyclonic storm around evening and deep depression by midnight of today, the 11th October 2018.

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (LUBAN) over westcentral Arabian Sea moved westsouthwestwards with a speed of about 07 kmph during past 06 hours and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 11th October 2018 over westcentral Arabian Sea, near Latitude 14.5°N and Longitude 58.0°E, about 500 km eastsoutheast of Salalah (Oman), 490 km eastnortheast of Socotra Islands (Yemen) and 670 km eastsoutheast of AlGhaidah (Yemen). It is very likely to intensify further and move westnorthwestwards towards Yemen & South Oman Coasts during next 4 days.



***

 

[Hindustani78]

SRIKAKULAM , October 12, 2018 09:00 IST
Updated: October 12, 2018 13:20 IST


Relief operations began on war footing on Friday morning in district, where cyclone Titli caused devastation on Thursday.

Road clearance on National Highway was given top priority for the free movement of vehicles.

Power has been restored in town but people continued to face many problems wit the lack of power, who stationed at the district has been directly monitoring the restoration works. With the uprooting of more than 6500 electric poles, power restoration is unlikely for next couple of days.

As many as 2200 personnel has reached district for restoration of power. Evacuation of people living in low lying areas has also begun with flood threat. Officials released 1.26 lakhs cusecs of water from the barrage with the heavy downpour all along catchment area on Thursday, more than 30 cm of rainfall with the impact of cyclone.

It led to heavy inflow of water to the river. Collector and Irrigation Department's Superintendent Engineer said that the situation was under control in spite of heavy inflows. With the directive the entire district administration gave top priority for evacuation of people.

***********
BHUBANESWAR, October 12, 2018 11:39 IST
Updated: October 12, 2018 11:39 IST

The government is yet to confirm reports of at least seven deaths and close to 15,000 people — including over 13,000 in district — were shifted to relief camps.

The cyclonic storm ‘Titli’ has left behind a trail of misery long coastal and southern Odisha which has been battered by heavy rain during the last 24 hours.

The government is yet to confirm reports of at least seven deaths and close to 15,000 people — including over 13,000 in district — were shifted to relief camps. Rescue operations were launched to save people stranded in areas cut-off by swirling floodwater.

Bridges and culverts were washed away in many areas. The government is carrying out restoration work on war-footing with help of 26 units of National Disaster Response Force and Odisha Disaster Rapid Action Forces. Many remote pockets districts could not be accessed.

As many as 10 fire service units have been rushed to district where flood situation is said to be critical.

Seventy eight out 314 blocks of the State received over 100 mm rainfall. The highest (351 mm) rainfall was recorded in district during the 24 hours, ending at 8 a.m. on Friday. It was followed district where the precipitation was measured at 319 mm.

Landslips were reported in district. Three members of a family from block of district were rescued from beneath the soil

“As of now, the cyclone was lying at a distance of 30 km northeast and closer. It is expected the system would move away from the State by evening,” said Special Relief Commissioner of the State.

Under the impact of the cyclone, coastal and interior would receive heavy rainfall during next 24 hours, Special Relief Commissioner of the State added.

Three rivers are flowing above danger level while large areas have been inundated by floodwater. In urban areas, civic authorities are working overtime to clear water-logging.

People had a difficult time in town in district. “In the morning 7 to 8-foot high water was flowing through the town. People were forced to take shelter on rooftops. Inmates of jail were shifted to first floor as main gate of the prison was damaged by the water,” said Special Relief Commissioner of the State.

 

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Earth Science
12-October, 2018 12:05 IST
Deep Depression over Odisha; Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, ‘LUBAN’ over west central Arabian Sea

(a) Deep Depression over Odisha

The Deep Depression over Odisha moved east-northeastwards in past six hours with a speed of 8 kmph, and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 12th October 2018 over Odisha near latitude 20.4°N and longitude 84.6°E, 30 km north-east of Phulbani and 70 km southwest of Angul. It is very likely to move northeastwards towards Gangetic West Bengal and weaken into a depression during next 12 hours.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:



Date/Time(IST)

Position

(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)

Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph)

Category of cyclonic disturbance

12.10.18/0530

20.4/84.6

50-60 gusting to 70

Deep Depression

12.10.18/1130

20.7/85.1

50-60 gusting to 70

Deep Depression

12.10.18/1730

21.0/85.6

45-55 gusting to 65

Depression

12.10.18/2330

21.4/86.3

40-50 gusting to 60

Depression

13.10.18/0530

21.9/87.0

35-45 gusting to 55

Depression

13.10.18/1730

23.0/88.6

25-35 gusting to 45

Well Marked Low



(i) Heavy rainfall warnings:

Region

12 Oct. 2018(Rainfall till 0830 IST of next day)

13 Oct. 2018(Rainfall till 0830 IST of next day)

Odisha

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places over north Odisha.



Nil

Gangetic West Bengal

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places

Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at Isolated Places

Assam & Meghalaya

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at Isolated Places

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at Isolated Places

Mizoram & Tripura

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places





Legends: Red-Take Action; Orange- Be prepared; Yellow- be updated; Green: No warning





(i) Wind warning

Squally wind speed of 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely along & off Odisha and West Bengal and 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph likely over adjoining areas of north interior Odisha during next 12 hours and adjoining areas of south interior Odisha during next 6 hours..



(ii) Sea condition

· The sea condition will be rough to very rough along & off Odisha and West Bengal during next 24 hours. Sea conditions will be rough to very rough along & off West Bengal and north Odisha Coasts during next 24 hours.

(iii) Action Suggested:

· The fishermen are advised not to venture into Sea along and off Odisha and West Bengal coasts and north Bay of Bengal during next 24 hours.





(b) Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, ‘LUBAN’ over westcentral Arabian Sea
The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘LUBAN’ over westcentral Arabian Sea moved slightly northward during past 06 hours with a speed of 02 km/hour and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 12th October 2018 over westcentral Arabian Sea, near latitude 14.7°N and longitude 57.6°E, about 450 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman), 460 km east-northeast of Socotra Islands (Yemen) and 610 km east-southeast of Al-Ghaidah (Yemen). It is very likely to move west-northwestwards towards and cross Yemen & adjoining South Oman Coasts around 15 degree north during noon of 14th October 2018 as a severe cyclonic storm.

Date/Time(IST)

Position

(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)

Maximum sustained surface

wind speed (Kmph)

Category of cyclonic disturbance

12.10.18/0530

14.7/57.6

120-130 gusting to 145

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

12.10.18/1130

14.8/57.2

110-120 gusting to 135

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

12.10.18/1730

14.9/56.8

110-120 gusting to 135

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

12.10.18/2330

14.9/55.9

110-120 gusting to 135

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

13.10.18/0530

14.9/55.2

110-120 gusting to 135

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

13.10.18/1730

15.0/54.1

100-110 gusting to 125

Severe Cyclonic Storm

14.10.18/0530

15.1/52.3

100-110 gusting to 125

Severe Cyclonic Storm

14.10.18/1730

15.3/50.6

80-90 gusting to 100

Cyclonic Storm

15.10.18/0530

15.5/48.9

50-60 gusting to 70

Deep Depression

(i) Wind warning

Gale wind speed reaching 120-130 kmph gusting to 145 kmph is prevailing over westcentral Arabian Sea. It is very likely to decrease gradually becoming 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 during next six hours and 100-110 kmph gusting to 125 kmph by 14th October 2018 morning along and off south Oman and Yemen coasts and over adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea and adjoining Gulf of Aden .



(ii) Sea condition

The sea condition is phenomenal around the system centre. It will become very high ll is very likely become very high over westcentral Arabian Sea and adjoining Gulf of Aden till 14th October 2018 noon.



(iii) Fishermen Warning

The fishermen are advised not to venture into westcentral Arabian Sea & Gulf of Aden till 14th October.



***

RDS/GK

 

[Hindustani78]

Local volunteers in load food packets in to a Naval helicopter at Rangeilunda airstrip for air drooping in the flood affected area at Aska in Ganjam district of Odisha. | Photo Credit: Special Arrangement

https://www.thehindu.com/news/natio...ganjam-dist/article25212247.ece?homepage=true

Odisha government started air-dropping of food packets and other essential items in the flood-hit Ganjam district.

The deathtoll in landslip tragedy in Odisha’s Gajapati district has gone up to 13 with detection of another body in remote village on Saturday.

Twelve persons, including five children, were killed in Barghara village under Gangabada panchayat in Gajapati following a landslip triggered by heavy rain on Friday. They were said to have taken shelter in a cave atop a nearby hill.

“We have received information about deaths in landslip in Gajapati district. Since the village is very remote, no official confirmation has been made. We have sent a team to assess the situation,” said Bishnupada Sethi, Special Relief Commissioner, on Saturday morning.

However, no government official team reached the remote village till Saturday afternoon even as bodies started to decompose. As per government procedures, the ex-gratia will be provided to the next of kin of a person killed in natural calamity only after postmortem of the body. There has been no trace of three villagers who went missing.

“I heard the information about landslide. We are waiting for a detailed report. My deepest condolences are for family members of the deceased who perished in landslide,” said Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik after making an aerial survey of flood-affected Ganjam, Rayagada and Gajapati district on Saturday.

Indian Navy personnel joined National Disaster Response Force and Odisha Disaster Rapid Action Force in rescue of people stranded in flood affected Aska and Purusottampur area of Ganjam.

“Appreciate valiant efforts of @indiannavy divers in high risk operations at Aska, putting their own lives in danger to save the lives of people marooned in their flooded homes post #CycloneTitli. We will take every possible step to reach each affected person with required help,” Mr. Patnaik tweeted.

He noted widespread damages to crops, roads and electrical installations. “Relief operation is going in a top speed as is restoration work,” Mr. Patnaik said.

Odisha government started air-dropping of food packets and other essential items in the flood-hit Ganjam district.

Several places in Balasore, Gajapati, Rayagada and Mayurbhanj have been inundated following heavy rain on Thursday and Friday.

The depression over Gangetic West Bengal moved northeastwards during past six hours and weakened into a well-marked low pressure area over Gangetic West Bengal and neighbourhood on Saturday morning.

The State continued to receive rain under its impact. It sent rivers like Baitarani, Budhabalanga, Vansadhara, Jalaka and Rushikulya into spate. At several river gauging sites, these rivers were flowing above danger level.

 

[Hindustani78]

PTI
New Delhi, October 19, 2018 19:03 IST
Updated: October 19, 2018 19:03 IST


The southwest monsoon officially starts on June 1 and ends on September 30.

The southwest monsoon will most likely withdraw completely from the country on October 20, the India Meteorological Department said on Friday.

The southwest monsoon officially starts on June 1 and ends on September 30. Its withdrawal starts from western Rajasthan from September 1.

The official withdrawal date for the monsoon is September 30. However, monsoon continues to linger on in parts of the country. It takes more than a fortnight for the monsoon to completely withdraw from the country.

What precedes southwest monsoon is the northeast monsoon that gives rain to several parts of Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Puducherry.

“Southwest monsoon has fully not withdrawn from the country. We expect monsoon to withdraw completely from the country on October 20,” Sathi Devi, head of the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the IMD, said.

The southwest monsoon is the lifeline of the country that not only aids agriculture, the prime contributor to the GDP, but has a far reaching impact on the economy.

This year, the country received rainfall 91 per cent of Long Period Average (LPA), which falls under the “below normal” category. The east and northeast India, including Bihar, West Bengal and northeastern states witnessed maximum rainfall deficiency.

On the other hand, Kerala witnessed unprecedented rainfall and subsequent flooding.

 

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Earth Science
13-November, 2018 16:04 IST
Cyclonic storm ‘GAJA’ over West central and adjoining East central & South Bay of Bengal: Cyclone Alert for Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coast: Yellow Message

The Cyclonic storm ‘GAJA’ over Westcentral and adjoining Eastcentral & South Bay of Bengal moved west-northwestwards with a speed of 12 kmph during past 06 hours and lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of today, the 13th November, 2018 over West central and adjoining East central & South Bay of Bengal near latitude 13.5°N and longitude 86.6°E, about 690 km east-northeast of Chennai (Tamil Nadu) and 790 km east-northeast of Nagappattinam (Tamil Nadu). It is likely to move west-southwestwards and intensify further into a Severe Cyclonic Storm during next 24 hours. While moving west-southwestwards further, it is likely to weaken gradually on 15th November and cross Tamil Nadu coast between Pamban and Cuddalore as a Cyclonic Storm during 15th November afternoon.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:


Date/Time(IST) Position(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph) Category of cyclonic disturbance
13.11.18/1130 13.5/86.6 70-80 gusting to 90
Cyclonic Storm

13.11.18/1730 13.1/85.8 70-90 gusting to 100
Cyclonic Storm

13.11.18/2330 12.6/85.3 75-85 gusting to 95
Cyclonic Storm

14.11.18/0530 12.1/84.7 80-90 gusting to 100
Cyclonic Storm

14.11.18/1130 11.7/84.0 90-100 gusting to 115
Severe Cyclonic Storm

14.11.18/2330 11.2/82.5 90-100 gusting to 115
Severe Cyclonic Storm

15.11.18/1130 10.6/80.2 80-90 gusting to 100
Cyclonic Storm

15.11.18/2330 10.3/78.7 50-60 gusting to 70
Deep Depression

16.11.18/1130 10.0/77.1 35-45 gusting to 55
Depression

16.11.18/2330 9.8/75.6 25-35 gusting to 45
Low



Warnings:

1. Heavy rainfall warnings:

Region

14 November 2018*

15 November 2018*

16 November 2018*

Tamilnadu

Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places very likely to commence over north coastal Tamil Nadu & adjoining districts of south coastal Tamil Nadu from 14th Nov. evening.

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy at a few places over Tamilnadu. Extremely heavy falls (≥ 20 cm) at isolated places is also likely over Cuddalore, Nagappattinam, Tiruvarur, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai, Tuticorin and Ramanathapuram districts.

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at a few places and very heavy at isolated places very likely over interior Tamil Nadu.

South Coastal Andhra Pradesh

Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places very likely to commence from 14th November evening.

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places

Nil

Rayalaseema



Nil

Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places

Nil

Kerala

NIL

Rainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places



Legends: Red-Take Action; Orange- Be prepared; Yellow- be updated; Green: No warning

Heavy rain: 64.5-115.5 mm/day; Very heavy rain: 115.6-204.4 mm/day; Extremely heavy rain: more than 204.4 mm/day

Note 1: * Rainfall till 0830 IST of next day.

Note 2: Red color warning means take action. It does not mean red alert..

1. Wind warning

• Gale wind speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph prevails over Westcentral and adjoining Eastcentral & South Bay of Bengal. It is very likely to increase gradually becoming 90-100 kmph gusting to 110 kmph over southwest & adjoining westcentral and southeast Bay of Bengal from 14th November 2018.
• Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely to commence along & off north Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts from 14th November morning. It is very likely to increase gradually becoming Gale wind speed 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coasts from 15th November morning onwards.
• Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely over interior Tamilnadu, south Kerala, southeast Arabian Sea along & off Kerala coast, Comorian area, Gulf of Mannar and Palk Strait on 16th November. Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely to prevail over southeast Arabian Sea and along & off Kerala coast on 17th November.

1. Sea condition

Sea condition is high over Westcentral and adjoining Eastcentral & South Bay of Bengal. It will become ‘very high’ over southwest and adjoining westcentral and southeast Bay of Bengal on 14th and high over the southwest Bay of Bengal on 15th. The sea condition is very likely to be rough to very rough along and off Tamil Nadu-south Andhra Pradesh coasts from 14th November morning and high on along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coast on 15th November morning.

1. Storm Surge Warning

• Storm surge of height of about 1.0 meter above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying areas of Nagappattinam, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai and Ramanathapuram districts of Tamil Nadu and Karaikal district of Puducherry at the time of landfall.

1. Damage Expected over districts of Cuddalore, Nagappattinam, Tiruvarur, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai and Ramanathapuram districts of Tamil Nadu and Karaikal district of Puducherry:

• Major damage to thatched huts/houses, roof tops may blow off and unattached metal sheets may fly. Damage to power and communication lines. Major damage to Kutcha & minor damage to Pucca roads. Breaking of tree branches and uprooting of large avenue trees. Damage to paddy crops, banana, papaya trees and orchards. Sea water inundation in low lying areas after erosion of Kutcha embankments.

1. Action Suggested:

• Total suspension of fishing operations along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts till 15th November.
• The fishermen are advised not to venture into central parts of south & central Bay of Bengal on 13th November and into southwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal till 15th November.
• The fishermen, who are in deep Sea are advised to return to coasts.
• Coastal hutment dwellers are advised to move to safer places. Other people in the affected areas to remain indoors.

***

RDS/GK

 

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Earth Science
14-November, 2018 15:17 IST
Cyclonic storm ‘GAJA’ to intensify into a severe cyclonic storm in next 12 hours.

The Cyclonic storm ‘GAJA’ over Southwest and adjoining southeast & west central Bay of Bengal moved west-southwestwards with a speed of 10 kmph during past 06 hours and lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of 14th November, 2018 over Southwest and adjoining southeast & west central Bay of Bengal near latitude 12.8°N and longitude 84.8°E, about 490 km east of Chennai (Tamil Nadu) and 580 km east-northeast of Nagapattinam (Tamil Nadu). It is very likely to move west-southwestwards and intensify further into a Severe Cyclonic Storm during next 12 hours. While moving west-southwestwards further, it is likely to weaken gradually on 15th November and cross Tamil Nadu coast between Pamban and Cuddalore during 15th November evening as a Cyclonic Storm with a wind speed of 80-90 gusting to 100 kmph.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:





Date/Time(IST) Position(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph) Category of cyclonic disturbance
14.11.18/1130 12.8/84.8 75-85 gusting to 95
Cyclonic Storm

14.11.18/1730 12.5/84.3 80-90 gusting to 100
Cyclonic Storm

14.11.18/2330 12.1/83.6 90-100 gusting to 115
Severe Cyclonic Storm

15.11.18/0530 11.5/82.0 90-100 gusting to 115
Severe Cyclonic Storm

15.11.18/1130 11.2/81.2 85-95 gusting to 110
Cyclonic Storm

15.11.18/2330 10.7/79.7 80-90 gusting to 100
Cyclonic Storm

16.11.18/1130 10.6/78.0 50-60 gusting to 70
Deep Depression

16.11.18/2330 10.5/76.2 40-50 gusting to 60
Depression

17.11.18/1130 10.4/74.4 25-35 gusting to 45
Low


Warnings:

1. Heavy rainfall warnings:

Region

15 November 2018*

16 November 2018*

Tamilnadu & Puducherry

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy at a few places over Tamilnadu & Puducherry. Extremely heavy falls (≥ 20 cm) at isolated places is also likely over Cuddalore, Nagappattinam, Tiruvarur, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai, Tuticorin and Ramanathapuram districts.

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at a few places and very heavy at isolated places very likely over interior Tamil Nadu.

South Coastal Andhra Pradesh

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places

Rayalaseema

Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places

Nil

Kerala

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places

Legends: Red-Take Action; Orange- Be prepared; Yellow- be updated; Green: No warning



Note 1: * Rainfall till 0830 IST of next day.

Note 2: Red colour warning means take action. It does not mean red alert.

1. Wind warning

• Gale wind speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph prevails over Southwest and adjoining southeast & westcentral Bay of Bengal. It is very likely to increase gradually becoming 90-100 kmph gusting to 110 kmph over these areas from today, the 14th November 2018 evening.
• Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely to commence along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts from today, the 14th November 2018 evening. It is very likely to increase gradually becoming Gale wind speed 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph along & off central parts of Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coasts from 15th November morning onwards.
• Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely over interior Tamilnadu, Kerala, southeast Arabian Sea along & off Kerala coast, Comorian area, Gulf of Mannar and Palk Strait on 16th November. Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely to prevail over southeast Arabian Sea and along & off Kerala coast on 17th November.

1. Sea condition

Sea condition is high over Southwest and adjoining southeast & westcentral Bay of Bengal. It will become ‘very high’ from today, the 14th November evening and high over the southwest Bay of Bengal on 15th November. The sea condition is very likely to be rough to very rough along and off Tamil Nadu-south Andhra Pradesh coasts from 14th November evening and high on along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coast on 15th November morning onwards.

1. Storm Surge Warning

• Storm surge of height of about 1.0 meter above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying areas of Nagapattinam, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai and Ramanathapuram districts of Tamil Nadu and Karaikal district of Puducherry at the time of landfall.

1. Damage Expected over districts of Cuddalore, Nagapattinam, Tiruvarur, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai and Ramanathapuram districts of Tamil Nadu and Karaikal district of Puducherry:

• Major damage to thatched huts/houses, roof tops may blow off and unattached metal sheets may fly. Damage to power and communication lines. Major damage to Kutcha & minor damage to Pucca roads. Breaking of tree branches and uprooting of large avenue trees. Damage to paddy crops, banana, papaya trees and orchards. Sea water inundation in low lying areas after erosion of Kutcha embankments.

1. Action Suggested:

• Total suspension of fishing operations along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts till 15th November.
• The fishermen are advised not to venture into central parts of south & central Bay of Bengal on today, the 14th November and into southwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal till 15th November.
• The fishermen, who are in deep Sea are advised to return to coasts.
• Coastal hutment dwellers are advised to move to safer places. Other people in the affected areas to remain indoors.

***

RDS/GK


Ministry of Earth Science
14-November, 2018 11:44 IST
Cyclone ‘GAJA’ to intensify into a severe cyclonic storm during next 24 hours

The Cyclonic storm ‘GAJA’ over West central and adjoining East central & South Bay of Bengal moved west-southwestwards with a speed of 06 kmph during past 06 hours and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of 14th November, 2018 over Westcentral and adjoining East central & South Bay of Bengal near latitude 13.1°N and longitude 85.3°E, about 540 km east of Chennai (Tamil Nadu) and 640 km northeast of Nagapattinam (Tamil Nadu). It is likely to move west-southwestwards and intensify further into a Severe Cyclonic Storm during next 24 hours. While moving west-southwestwards further, it is likely to weaken gradually on 15th November and cross Tamil Nadu coast between Pamban and Cuddalore as a Cyclonic Storm during 15th November evening.



Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:



Date/Time(IST)
Position
(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)
Maximum sustained surface
wind speed (Kmph)
Category of cyclonic disturbance
14.11.18/0530
13.1/85.3
70-80 gusting to 90
Cyclonic Storm

14.11.18/1130
12.8/84.8
80-90 gusting to 100
Cyclonic Storm

14.11.18/1730
12.5/84.3
90-100 gusting to 115
Severe Cyclonic Storm

14.11.18/2330
12.1/83.6
90-100 gusting to 115
Severe Cyclonic Storm

15.11.18/0530
11.4/82.0
90-100 gusting to 115
Severe Cyclonic Storm

15.11.18/1730
10.9/80.5
80-90 gusting to 100
Cyclonic Storm

16.11.18/0530
10.6/78.8
50-60 gusting to 70
Deep Depression

16.11.18/1730
10.5/77.1
40-50 gusting to 60
Depression

17.11.18/0530
10.4/75.3
25-35 gusting to 45
Low



Warnings:

(i) Heavy rainfall warnings:

Region

14 November 2018*

15 November 2018*

16 November 2018*

Tamilnadu & Puducherry

Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places very likely to commence over north coastal Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and adjoining districts of south coastal Tamil Nadu from 14th Nov. evening.

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy at a few places over Tamilnadu & Puducherry. Extremely heavy falls (≥ 20 cm) at isolated places is also likely over Cuddalore, Nagappattinam, Tiruvarur, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai, Tuticorin and Ramanathapuram districts.

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at a few places and very heavy at isolated places very likely over interior Tamil Nadu.

South Coastal Andhra Pradesh

Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places very likely to commence from 14th November evening.

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places

Nil

Rayalaseema



Nil

Rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places

Nil

Kerala

NIL

Rainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places

South Interior Karnataka

Nil

Nil

Rainfall at many places with falls at isolated places

Legends: Red-Take Action; Orange- Be prepared; Yellow- be updated; Green: No warning

Heavy rain: 64.5-115.5 mm/day; Very heavy rain: 115.6-204.4 mm/day; Extremely heavy rain: more than 204.4 mm/day



Note 1: * Rainfall till 0830 IST of next day.

Note 2: Red colour warning means take action. It does not mean red alert.

.



(i) Wind warning

• Gale wind speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph prevails over Westcentral and adjoining Eastcentral & South Bay of Bengal. It is very likely to increase gradually becoming 90-100 kmph gusting to 110 kmph over southwest & adjoining westcentral and southeast Bay of Bengal from 14th November 2018 evening.
• Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely to commence along & off north Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts from 14th November evening. It is very likely to increase gradually becoming Gale wind speed 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coasts from 15th November morning onwards.
• Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely over interior Tamilnadu, Kerala, southeast Arabian Sea along & off Kerala coast, Comorian area, Gulf of Mannar and Palk Strait on 16th November. Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely to prevail over southeast Arabian Sea and along & off Kerala coast on 17th November.

(ii) Sea condition

Sea condition is high over Westcentral and adjoining Eastcentral & South Bay of Bengal. It will become ‘very high’ over southwest and adjoining westcentral and southeast Bay of Bengal on 14th and high over the southwest Bay of Bengal on 15th. The sea condition is very likely to be rough to very rough along and off Tamil Nadu-south Andhra Pradesh coasts from 14th November evening and high on along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coast on 15th November morning onwards.



(iii) Storm Surge Warning

• Storm surge of height of about 1.0 meter above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying areas of Nagapattinam, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai and Ramanathapuram districts of Tamil Nadu and Karaikal district of Puducherry at the time of landfall.

(iv) Damage Expected over districts of Cuddalore, Nagapattinam, Tiruvarur, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai and Ramanathapuram districts of Tamil Nadu and Karaikal district of Puducherry:

• Major damage to thatched huts/houses, roof tops may blow off and unattached metal sheets may fly. Damage to power and communication lines. Major damage to Kutcha & minor damage to Pucca roads. Breaking of tree branches and uprooting of large avenue trees. Damage to paddy crops, banana, papaya trees and orchards. Sea water inundation in low lying areas after erosion of Kutcha embankments.

(v) Action Suggested:

• Total suspension of fishing operations along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts till 15th November.
• The fishermen are advised not to venture into central parts of south & central Bay of Bengal on 14th November and into southwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal till 15th November.
• The fishermen, who are in deep Sea are advised to return to coasts.
• · Coastal hutment dwellers are advised to move to safer places. Other people in the affected areas to remain indoors.

***

RDS/GK

 

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Defence
15-November, 2018 17:08 IST
ICG launches large-scale proactive actions to reduce impact from Cyclone GAJA

Indian Coast Guard (ICG) initiated a large-scale series of pre-emptive and proactive measures to prevent loss of fishermen lives at sea in the wake of alerts on cyclone in Bay of Bengal since November 09, 2018. Lessons from cyclone Ockhi and success in preventing loss of lives during recent cyclones Luban and Titliwere put into practice by the ICG.

Around eight ICG ships and two Dornier aircraft were pressed into action since November 09, 2018 for issuance of advisories and warnings in local languages to fishermen at sea for their safe return to ports. The Coast Guard Remote Operating Stations commenced issuance of warnings for fishermen in local languages. The Indian Coast Guard requested fisheries authorities at Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh to account for all fishing boats. The ICG conducted series of community interaction programmes at Kanyakumari, Mandapam, Rameswaram, Cuddalore, Chennai, Nellore, Nizampatnam, Uppada and Vishakhapatnam to sensitise fishermen and coastal population for taking safety measures for the impending cyclone.

Anticipating the need of relief material and essential items post impact of cyclone in Southern Tamil Nadu areas of Mandapam and Karaikal. One large ICG ship with Helicopter embarked was sailed from Vishakhapatnam with relief items such as potable drinking water, essential medicines, packaged food and life-saving material to southern Tamil Nadu coast. Three other ICG ships were also sailed from Chennai for Mandapam on November15, 2018 for augmenting search and rescue and post cyclone relief operations. Further, merchant vessels transiting at deep seas were requested through International Safety Net by Maritime Rescue and Coordination Centre (Chennai) to alert fishermen at deep seas for early return and shelter at nearest ports. Indian Coast Guard has kept Coast Guard response teams at short notice at Chennai, Mandapam, Karaikal and Puducherry for immediate response. The ICG is closely coordinating with state fisheries authorities, port authorities and civil administration for reducing impact of the impending cyclone.

Similar warnings have also been issued for the westerncoast, as the likelihood of formation of a low pressure exists in the Arabian Sea from November 17, 2018 onwards.



AA/Nampi/DK/Rajib

 

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Earth Science
15-November, 2018 15:24 IST
Severe Cyclonic storm ‘GAJA’ over Southwest Bay of Bengal

Red Warning issued for Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coast.

The Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘GAJA’ over Southwest Bay of Bengal moved further west-southwestwards with a speed of 22 kmph during past 06 hours and lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of 15th November, 2018 over Southwest Bay of Bengal nearlatitude 11.2°N and longitude 82.0°E, about 280 km southeast of Chennai (Tamil Nadu) and 240 km east-northeast of Nagapattinam (Tamil Nadu). It is very likely to move west-southwestwards and cross Tamil Nadu coast between Pamban and Cuddalore, around Nagapattinam during late evening of today, the 15th November, 2018 as a Cyclonic Storm with a wind speed of 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph. The Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘GAJA’ is being tracked by Doppler Weather Radar at Chennai and Karaikal.


Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:


Date/Time(IST)

Position



(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)



Maximum sustained surface



wind speed (Kmph)



Category of cyclonic disturbance



15.11.18/1130



11.2/82.0



90-100 gusting to 115

Severe Cyclonic Storm



15.11.18/1730



10.9/81.0



90-100 gusting to 115

Severe Cyclonic Storm



15.11.18/2330



10.7/79.8



80-90 gusting to 100

Cyclonic Storm



16.11.18/0530



10.6/78.7



55-65 gusting to 75

Deep Depression



16.11.18/1130



10.5/77.6



40-50 gusting to 60

Depression



16.11.18/2330



10.5/75.4



20-30 gusting to 40

Low



color:black">Warnings:
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1. Heavy rainfall warnings:

Region

15 November 2018*

16 November 2018*

Tamilnadu & Puducherry

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy at a few places over Tamilnadu & Puducherry. Extremely heavy falls (= 20 cm) at isolated places is also likely over Cuddalore, Nagappattinam, Karaikal, Tiruvarur, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai, Tuticorin and Ramanathapuram districts.

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at a few places and very heavy at isolated places very likely over south interior Tamil Nadu. Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places very likely over north interior Tamil Nadu.

South Coastal Andhra Pradesh

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places in Nellore & Prakasam districts.

Nil

Rayalaseema

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places Chittoor district

Nil

Kerala

Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places over south Kerala

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places

Legends: Red-Take Action; Orange- Be prepared; Yellow- be updated; Green: No warning



Note 1: * Rainfall till 0830 IST of next day.

Note 2: Red colour warning means take action. It does not mean red alert.

1. Wind warning

• Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely to prevail along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts. It is very likely to increase gradually becoming Gale wind speed 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph along & off central parts of Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coasts from today, the 15th November evening onwards.
• Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely over interior Tamilnadu, Kerala, southeast Arabian Sea along & off Kerala coast, Comorian area, Gulf of Mannar and Palk Strait on 16th November. Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely to prevail over southeast Arabian Sea and along & off Kerala coast on 17th November.

1. Sea condition

Sea condition is high over Southwest Bay of Bengal. The sea condition is very likely to be rough to very rough along and off Tamil Nadu-south Andhra Pradesh coasts and high along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coast from today, the 15th November evening onwards.

1. Storm Surge Warning

Storm surge of height of about 1.0 meter above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying areas of Nagapattinam, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai and Ramanathapuram districts of Tamil Nadu and Karaikal district of Puducherry at the time of landfall.

1. Damage Expected over districts of Cuddalore, Nagapattinam, Tiruvarur, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai and Ramanathapuram districts of Tamil Nadu and Karaikal district of Puducherry:

Major damage to thatched huts/houses, roof tops may blow off and unattached metal sheets may fly. Damage to power and communication lines. Major damage to Kutcha & minor damage to Pucca roads. Breaking of tree branches and uprooting of large avenue trees. Damage to paddy crops, banana, papaya trees and orchards. Sea water inundation in low lying areas after erosion of Kutcha embankments.

1. Action Suggested:

• Total suspension of fishing operations along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts during next 24 hours.
• The fishermen are advised not to venture into Southwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal during next 24 hours.

· Coastal hutment dwellers are advised to move to safer places. Other people in the affected areas to remain indoors.

1. Post landfall outlook:

• After landfall, cyclonic storm likely to retain its intensity of cyclone for about six hours. Hence gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph is likely to prevail over adjoining interior districts of Tamilnadu. Heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places and isolated extremely heavy rainfall is also likely over these interior districts during the same period.

· It is likely to cause damage to thatched huts, minor damage to power & communication lines due to breaking of tree branches, damage to Kutcha roads and some damage to paddy crops, banana, papaya trees & orchards.



***

RDS/GK

 

[Hindustani78]

Ministry of Earth Science
16-November, 2018 14:52 IST
Cyclonic storm ‘GAJA’ over interior Tamil Nadu weakened into a deep depression

The cyclonic storm ‘Gaja’ over interior Tamilnadu moved nearly westwards, weakened into a deep depression and lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of today, the 16th November, 2018 over interior Tamilnadu near latitude 10.5°N and longitude 77.6°E, about 80 km northwest of Madurai. It is very likely to move nearly westwards and weaken further into a depression during next 06 hours and into a well low pressure area during subsequent 12 hours.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:

Date/Time(IST) Position (Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph) Category of cyclonic disturbance
16.11.18/1130 10.5/77.6 50-60 gusting to 70
Deep Depression

16.11.18/1730 10.6/76.5 40-50 gusting to 60
Depression

16.11.18/2330 10.7/75.4 35-45 gusting to 55
Depression

17.11.18/0530 10.8/74.3 20-30 gusting to 40
Well Marked Low

Warnings:

1. Heavy rainfall warnings:

• Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at a few places and very heavy at isolated places over south interior Tamil Nadu and heavy falls at isolated places over north interior Tamil Nadu during next 24 hours. Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Kerala during next 24 hours.
• Rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Lakshadweep on 17th Nov, 2018.

1. Wind warning

• Squally wind speed 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph very likely over interior Tamil Nadu around the centre of deep depression during next 06 hours. It would gradually decrease becoming squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph over same area during subsequent six hours.
• Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely along & off Kerala coast from 16th November evening for subsequent 48 hours.

1. Sea condition

Along with squally weather, sea condition will be rough along & off Kerala coast from 16th November evening for subsequent 48 hours.

1. Action Suggested:

• The fishermen are advised not to venture into Arabian Sea along & off Kerala coast from 16th November evening for subsequent 48 hours.

***

RDS/GK

Ministry of Earth Science
16-November, 2018 12:02 IST
Cyclonic storm ‘GAJA’ over coastal Tamil Nadu

Cyclone Warning for Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coast: Red Message

The severe cyclonic storm ‘Gaja’ over coastal Tamilnadu moved nearly westwards, weakened into a cyclonic storm and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 16th November, 2018 over coastal Tamilnadu near latitude 10.4°N and longitude 79.2°E about 20 km west-northwest of Atirampattinam. It is very likely to move nearly westwards and weakened into a deep depression during next six hours. Nagapattinam reported wind speed of 44 kmph and Karaikal reported 35 kmph at 0530 hours IST of today. Earlier,the severe cyclonic storm ‘Gaja’ over Bay of Bengal crossed Tamilnadu & Puducherry coast between Nagapattinam and Vedaranniyam near latitude 10.5 0N and longitude 79.8 0E with wind speed of 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph during 0030 to 0230 hours IST of today.



Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:



Date/Time(IST) Position (Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph) Category of cyclonic disturbance
16.11.18/0530 10.4/79.2 80-90 gusting to 100
Cyclonic Storm

16.11.18/1130 10.5/78.5 55-65 gusting to 75
Deep Depression

16.11.18/1730 10.5/77.6 40-50 gusting to 60
Depression

16.11.18/2330 10.6/76.7 35-45 gusting to 55
Depression

17.11.18/0530 10.7/75.9 20-30 gusting to 40
Low

Warnings:

1. Heavy rainfall warnings:

Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy at isolated places over south interior Tamil Nadu and with heavy falls at isolated places over north interior Tamil Nadu during next 24 hours. Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Kerala during next 48 hours.

1. Wind warning

• Gale wind speed reaching 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph very likely along & off central parts of Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coasts, adjoining areas of Interior Tamil Nadu and Palk Strait during next 03 hours. It would gradually decrease becoming squally wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph over these areas during subsequent six hours.
• Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely over remaining parts of Tamilnadu, Kerala, southeast Arabian Sea along & off Kerala coast, Comorian area, Gulf of Mannar on 16th November. Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely to prevail over southeast Arabian Sea and along & off Kerala coast on 17th November.

1. Sea condition

Sea condition is high to very rough over Southwest Bay of Bengal and along and off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry coast, Palk Strait during next 9 hours.

1. Damage Expected over districts of Cuddalore, Nagapattinam, Tiruvarur, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai and Ramanathapuram districts of Tamil Nadu and Karaikal district of Puducherry:

It is likely to cause damage to thatched huts, minor damage to power & communication lines due to breaking of tree branches, damage to Kutcha roads and some damage to paddy crops, banana, papaya trees & orchards during next six hours.

1. Action Suggested:

• Total suspension of fishing operations along & off Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coasts during next 09 hours.
• The fishermen are advised not to venture into Southwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal during next 09 hours. The fishermen are advised not to venture into Arabian Sea along & off Kerala coast from 16th November evening.
• People in the affected areas to remain indoors during next six hrs.

***

RDS/GK