I wonder if you wrote this article by yourself? It's a very well written. I can say I 100% agree.
Actually South Korea and Japan have a huge advantage as being China neighbor and have the same culture.
Today Japan is similar to China during Qing dynasty 18th century.
It's a basically a perfect society, but lack of future dream.
Despite I highly look over Confucianism, but Confucianism have a great disadvantaged. And it's awaken China eyes by European advancement.
Although I'm not sure too whatever China will overcome Japan current problem, which is China will be in the near future. After China reach the level of a perfect society, Chinese people need another dream and a kind of futuristic fantasy like USA with tommorowland and star wars.
Whatever happened to the rest of the world, China will keep advancing and focus and keep aiming higher.
Yes, I write posts with my own insights.
I present my point of view and leave it to the reader to agree/disagree with me.
My posts contain a fundamental question: Am I right?
Japan had an easy time in the 1980s, because mainland China wan't prepared to compete economically internationally at full strength.
It's 2017. China's economic machine is in full swing. China is the world's largest exporter with US$2 trillion in exports.
Now, this is much harder for Japan. Japan is disadvantaged in economic scale. Japan exported only US$644 billion in 2016 (
Japan: Export of goods from 2006 to 2016 (in billion U.S. dollars) | Statista).
China's annual merchandise trade surplus is about US$500 billion. In contrast, Japan's merchandise trade surplus was only US$36 billion in 2016.
China is outgunning Japan in every significant export category, except for cars. With the transition to electric cars in the near future by 2025, Japan's last stronghold in exporting cars may not extend into the future.
Taiwan and China accomplished the difficult task of climbing the technological ladder and prospering economically when they were the weaker parties.
Now, the tables have flipped. Japan has a really difficult problem. How do you fundamentally challenge an economic and technological behemoth like China?
China's technological progress has extended to civilian aircraft. The Chinese COMAC ARJ-21 and C919 are guaranteed successes. China's huge domestic market will buy hundreds or thousands of COMAC's airliners. In contrast, the Japanese Mitsubishi Regional Jet (MRJ) cannot survive on Japanese orders alone. Where will the Japanese find buyers for their MRJ?
Boeing defends its home turf in the United States. Airbus has the majority of European aircraft sales. China's COMAC will depend on the home Chinese market to support future airliner models and upgrades. Where will Japan find the buyers for its MRJ airliner?
The Russians are smart and partnered with China to share in the joint production of COMAC's C929 wide-body passenger jet. "Russia will build the aircraft's composite wings, engine pylons, and main landing gear."
The Japanese have no partners and can't go it alone. This shows the failure of the Japanese government. Japan does not have a viable plan to survive in a world of economic giants (e.g. China, US, and EU).
The core problem goes beyond individual Japanese companies. There is a systemic challenge that will continue to place enormous pressure on Japanese companies' ability to compete.
Japanese companies are too small, don't earn enough profits, and being out-teched by gigantic mainland Chinese competitors. The US subsidizes Boeing (including military contracts), Intel (contracts to build supercomputers), and others through government contracts. Europe directly subsidizes Airbus. China is subsidizing COMAC, which is allowed under WTO rules because China is a developing nation.
Japan can't play the subsidy game, because its home market is too small and the Japanese government is broke.
Trying to fix one or two Japanese companies won't do any good. The problem is systemic. The Russians have looked at this systemic problem and decided their future is partnership with China. The US does not need or want partnerships with Japanese companies. Remember Trump's "America First." Until Japan comes up with a strategy to survive in our currently ultra-competitive world, more Japanese companies will succumb to ferocious Chinese competition.