Semi finals before 2019

[pothead]

Major elections happening in India before 2019 in 5 states.

CG - Elections finished, BJP comfortably getting a majority in here. There are no surprises, no feel good take away for Cong from CG.

MP - Contrary to all the hype in media, BJP is going to win this easily. They are not going to as good as they did in 2013 but anyone thinking Cong has a chance in hell in MP need to know 2 basic facts.
1. MP has 96 Urban and Semi-Urban seats. In all these 96 seats BJP vote share over Cong is hovering around 10%.
2. Defeating BJP in MP is much more difficult than defeating them in Guj.

Rajasthan - BJP will do better than projected in the media. Will that be enough or will Cong walk away with the state depend on 3 factors.
1. How pissed is RSS at Raje?
2. Will Modi decide to save Raje's becon?
3. Will Cong implode?
There is a lot of grumbling in Rajasthan BJP and all is not well. Raje must go and will most probably go irrespective of the result. Even if she does not go, her wings will be severely clipped.
For Congress, it's like watching a slow suicide. whether they will finish themselves before they finish BJP is the main theme of this election.

TG - KCR started strong, very strong but Cong + TDP really surprised him. This alliance will hurt him very bad in few seats in Hyd.
There is absolutely no doubt KCR is banking on BJP to cut a lot of opposition votes and probably has a tacit understanding as well.
The election is still for KCR to take. not ruling out Cong coming back to power but would be surprised. The joker in the pack is truly the TDP which is making any prediction difficult.
For BJP, they will end up getting a higher vote share but may not really translate into more seats.
Their aim seems to be hurt Cong and make life easy for KCR.

Mizoram - It looks like Cong is having a tough time in this state.

What this means for 2019?

TDP has truly emerged as Joker in the pack. If Cong + TDP wind TG, then the alliance in AP will happen, else, Naidu will truly become a joker.

For BJP losing Rajasthan will be a bad. So, will RSS and Modi play ball to ensure Raje's win?
Losing would mean BJP will have to truly fight it out to win the same number from Rajasthan in 2019 and it won't be easy.

If Cong loses all 5 states, well, nothing will happen.
They are already used to it.
Rahul will go on a nice vacation & the congress chamchas will as usual do thalia of the family.

 

[Nilu Pule]

All Modi jee needs to do is appease Muslims more

 

[pothead]

All Modi jee needs to do is appease Muslims more

why not?
Are they not Indians?

 

[Śakra]

When is the elections?

 

[pothead]

When is the elections?

They are happening now Sir!!!

CG got finished few days back.

Rest of them go to voting on 7th. Results 11th.

CG is in BJP pocket already.

 

[punit]

1. CG : BJP has upper hand. But being small state a minor swing can change a lot..
2. MP : #mamajirox !! To the boundary for four runs.
3. RAJ : Most interesting election..If Lok Sabha election happens tomorrow BJP will get all. But same can't be said for state assembly elements..
But situation has improved lately due to congres internal confliscs . Also the CP joshi statement on caste of Modi will push the fence seaters.

4. TG : theoretically KCR/ TRS should win without much challenge..But TDP cong combo is unique and was never ever tried. So wait for something inrersinter.

5. Mijoram : a usual congrss stronghold.

 

[zip]

They are happening now Sir!!!

CG got finished few days back.

Rest of them go to voting on 7th. Results 11th.

CG is in BJP pocket already.

Exit polls ?

 

[pothead]

Exit polls ?

Well, officially none can come out until all elections are done on 7th
But it's now an open secret that BJP did spectacularly well, courtesy Ajit Jogi and Mayawati.

It's interesting how regional parties are undermining Congress in Assembly elections.
May be it's a ploy to pin Congress so that they can get a great bargain in 2019 from Congress for support.

But TDP cong combo is unique and was never ever tried. So wait for something inrersinter.

Yes, Even though TDP has lost significant vote share, they are extremely strong in some pockets in Hyderabad and can really help Cong swing votes.
Just wondering if KCR is still as confident as he was a month ago.
Would it have been safer to have an open alliance with BJP? Naa, KCr is very concerned about muslim votes.

Would be interesting to study how muslims vote in TG. They have Cong and TRS which pander to them.

But situation has improved lately due to congress internal confliscs . Also the CP joshi statement on caste of Modi will push the fence seaters.

Not only that but there are a lot of rumors that Amit Shah has promised RSS that Raje's wings will be massively clipped.
Hoping for some Modi Magic and RSS organizational skills to pull a rabbit from the hat.

 

[Soumitra]

Yaar har election semifinals hota hai

Guj semifinal
Karnataka semifinal
These election semifinal
Meri gali ke school main class president ka election semifinal

 

[pothead]

Yaar har election semifinals hota hai

Guj semifinal
Karnataka semifinal
These election semifinal
Meri gali ke school main class president ka election semifinal

Haha, true.
And all elections are test for ONLY Modi and BJP. Even when they win, moral victory is always with Cong and Pappu/

 

[Soumitra]

Haha, true.
And all elections are test for ONLY Modi and BJP. Even when they win, moral victory is always with Cong and Pappu/

Unko 1000 moral victories ka daan mila hai

 

[pothead]

Unko 1000 moral victories ka daan mila hai

Will Modi survive these moral defeats though?